The draft lottery is complete and the 2024 first round draft order is now set.
The Guardians received the first overall pick in the 2024 draft and the complete lottery pick order is as follows:
5. White Sox
The 12 other non-postseason teams are placed in reverse-order of regular season record in 2023. Postseason teams are sorted in a similar manner, though postseason exits and revenue sharing status are factors. For a complete breakdown of the logistics of the draft lottery, check here.
Our latest 2024 MLB Draft rankings update takes into account performances across summer and fall circuits.
We completed a full first round projection for the 2023 draft immediately after the inaugural draft lottery, and in that exercise we correctly identified 20 of 30 players who wound up being selected among the first 30 picks, with a first round hit rate of 100% through the first 15 picks. At this stage in the calendar, a mock draft is more useful to showcase perceived top-of-the-class talents than specific team/player connections, though the 2024 class has less of a consensus tier at the top compared to a well above-average 2023 class.
You can view our updated top 2024 draft list here, with updated reports on every player.
1. Guardians — JJ Wetherholt, 2B, West Virginia
Arguably the best pure hitter in the 2024 class, Wetherholt led all Division I batters in 2023 with a .449 average. He also added significantly to both his speed and power numbers, going from 15 stolen bases to 35 and from five home runs to 16. Wetherholt is shorter of stature at 5-foot-10, but he is strong and filled out with heavy hands that create plenty of force in the box when paired with his innate barrel sense and above-average pure bat speed. He was one of just eight hitters in 2023 with at least 15 home runs and a strikeout rate less than 10%—of that group he was the only Power 5 conference player. Wetherholt was the most impressive hitter with Team USA this summer and he projects to be a fine defender at second base.
2. Reds — Nick Kurtz, 1B, Wake Forest
Kurtz currently ranks as the No. 1 player in the 2024 class thanks to his combination of bat-to-ball skills, offensive approach and raw power. He’s a career .345/.499/.708 hitter with Wake Forest who was the best hitter on a team that included 2023 first rounder Brock Wilken in 2023. Kurtz looks to yet again be a middle-of-the-order force for a loaded Demon Deacons offense in 2024. Among all hitters with 20 or more home runs in 2023, Kurtz’s .527 on-base percentage was second behind only Fairfield’s Charlie Pagliarini. He has a corner-only profile, but is an above-average defender at first base and might be athletic enough for some teams to think about trying him in a corner outfield spot.
3. Rockies — Travis Bazzana, 2B, Oregon State
Bazzana has a lengthy track record of high-level hitting production, which includes a .340/.463/.549 career slash line with Oregon State, standout performance in the West Coast League before he started his college career as an 18-year-old, and also a .375/.456/.581 slash line with Falmouth in the Cape Cod League this summer. He ranked as the top prospect in the league and was also named MVP, which are distinctions he now shares alongside 2023 Cubs first rounder Matt Shaw. Bazzana has less power than Shaw, but he’s an all fields hitter with impressive contact skills and strike zone discipline. He’s also a standout athlete who could provide above-average defense at second base. There were just 10 Division I players in 2023 who homered at least 10 times and stole at least 30 bags, and of that group only Bazzana and Wetherholt played in Power 5 conferences.
4. A’s — Jac Caglianone, 1B/LHP, Florida
Caglianone is simply a freak. He led all Division I hitters with 33 home runs during the 2023 season and possesses some of the best raw power you’ll see. His 113.3 mph 90th percentile exit velocity mark was good for third among all Division I hitters according to data we have at Baseball America. On top of that, the 6-foot-6 lefthander has a fastball that averaged 95 mph and has been up to 99. Caglianone does have flaws that will need to be addressed next spring. He chases out of the zone and swings and misses too frequently—among hitters with at least 20 home runs, his 5.3% walk rate was the worst—and his command is below-average on the mound, but for teams that want to shoot for high-end upside, this is your guy.
5. White Sox — Mike Sirota, OF, Northeastern
A few weeks ago, we discussed whether or not Sirota was the most slept on name in the 2024 draft class. He’s the top mid-major prospect in the class and has an extremely well-rounded toolset and polished game, and is coming off a strong spring season with Northeastern as well as a solid eight-game look in the Cape Cod League. He was one of just three players to clear the following offensive thresholds during the 2023 season: an average of .340 or better; an on-base percentage of .450 or better; a slugging percentage of .650 or better; 15 or more home runs; 15 or more stolen bases; and a walk rate of 15% or better. Astros first rounder Brice Matthews (Nebraska) and Giants fifth rounder Quinn McDaniel (Maine) were the other two.
6. Royals — Vance Honeycutt, OF, North Carolina
Honeycutt made an early case as the favorite for the top player in the 2024 draft class with a sensational freshman season in Chapel Hill. He homered 25 times, stole 29 bags and put on a defensive clinic in center field of Boshamer Stadium. He remains near the top of the class thanks to his standout toolset, but he has dealt with injuries and has yet to hit over .300 in a single season. Honeycutt did cut his strikeout rate from 29.7% to 20.4% in 2023, which was a significant question mark entering the year. Opinions will vary significantly on Honeycutt’s hit tool, so he’ll need to improve his swing, his approach and produce a high batting average to ease skeptics next spring.
7. Cardinals — Chase Burns, RHP, Wake Forest
The top-ranked pitcher in the 2024 class, Burns has powerful pure stuff including a fastball that averaged 96 mph and has been up to 102, as well as a hard, upper-80s slider that is a clear second plus offering. What separates Burns a bit from some of the other power-armed college pitchers currently in the first round is the fact that he’s thrown 152.1 innings with a 7.5% walk rate. That walk rate will provide some optimism that Burns can profile as a starter, even though he spent time during the 2023 season as a piggyback reliever with Chase Dollander.
8. Angels — Seaver King, SS, Wake Forest
King was one of the most consistently praised, up-arrow prospects in the college class throughout the summer and fall, thanks to his combination of athleticism, quick-twitch actions, speed, pure hitting ability and defensive versatility. He’s passed every offensive test with flying colors so far in his college career. He is a .399/.454/.676 career hitter with Division II Wingate (N.C.) and also hit well in the Cape Cod League and with Team USA. King will be tested in the ACC for the first time in 2024 after transferring to Wake Forest.
9. Pirates — Braden Montgomery, OF/RHP, Texas A&M
Montgomery has big raw power and arm strength that makes him a classic right field profile, and he took a sizable step forward with his approach from 2022 to 2023. His walk rate jumped around 10 points from 6.6% to 16.5% year-over-year and with that his on-base percentage climbed 100 points from .361 to .461. He’s a switch-hitter with above-average raw power from both sides of the plate and has homered 35 times in two seasons. After moving from Stanford to Texas A&M, Montgomery will look to continue his offensive development, and he might also be more of a factor on the mound, where he has a big fastball that’s been up to 98 mph.
10. Nationals — Tommy White, 3B, Louisiana State
White pairs huge raw power with solid bat-to-ball skills and an aggressive approach that makes him one of the most fearsome sluggers in college baseball. He likes to swing, and he likes to swing with intent to do damage, and that approach led to a .360/.425/.754 slash line with 27 home runs as a middle-of-the-order hitter in one of the best offenses in the country a year ago. While White’s offensive production stacks up with almost anyone in the country, scouts will nitpick his swing decisions and defensive ability at the hot corner next spring. There’s a real risk he moves to first base in pro ball, and if that’s the case more pressure will be placed on his standout offensive skill set.
11. Tigers — PJ Morlando, OF/1B, Summerville (S.C.) HS
Morlando was one of the most consistent offensive performers in the 2024 prep class throughout the summer and fall. He was the one reliable offensive presence on USA Baseball’s 18U National team, and his combination of advanced hitting ability, contact skill and accessible raw power makes him one of the safest overall profiles in the prep class. He is on the older side for the class and will be 19.2 on draft day, and there’s risk that he winds up as a first baseman only—though he is a skilled defender at the position—but there’s lots of conviction with him on the two most important tools: hitting and power.
12. Red Sox — Konnor Griffin, OF/SS/RHP, Jackson Prep, Flowood, Miss.
Griffin possesses some of the loudest pure upside in the 2024 class. He’s a tooled up athlete with an elite, 6-foot-4, 210-pound frame with tons of strength projection remaining and he is a double-plus runner who also has plus raw power and arm strength. He has shown an ability to play both shortstop and center field with solid actions at both positions, and his underclass track record of hitting and overall bat-to-ball skills are encouraging as well. On top of his upside as a hitter, Griffin has real potential on the mound and there are some scouts who prefer him as a pitching prospect although most of the industry leans towards his upside as a hitter.
13. Giants — Caleb Bonemer, SS, Okemos (Mich.) HS
Bonemer was the biggest riser in the class throughout the summer and fall. He’s a physical high school shortstop with a 6-foot, 195-pound frame and a strong power/speed combination. He projects to be an above-average runner in the future and has turned in double-plus run times. Bonemer consistently barreled the baseball and showed loud exit velocities all summer. He also has the tools to be a good defender on the left side of the infield, with solid hands, a strong arm and a nice ability to make plays on the run.
14. Cubs — Charlie Condon, OF, Georgia
Condon’s .800 slugging percentage was good for seventh among all Division I hitters and was the best mark among freshmen in the country in 2023. Baseball America’s 2023 freshman of the year, Condon is now a draft-eligible sophomore and provides huge raw power that stacks up with the top sluggers in the country. While Condon’s long levers create some swing-and-miss concerns, he did show solid plate skills with a 17.7% strikeout rate and 13% walk rate. His strikeout rate was the second-lowest among all players with 25 or more homers, behind only Maryland’s Nick Lorusso.
15. Mariners — Josh Hartle, LHP, Wake Forest
It’s likely Hartle or Grand Canyon righthander Daniel Avitia for the title of “best strike thrower in the college class.” And Hartle has the advantage of throwing from the left side. A highly-touted prep prospect, Hartle works with an easy and fluid delivery and fills up the zone with ease, with a 6.4% career walk rate after two seasons. Hartle’s strikeout rate jumping from 16.6% in 2022 to 33.4% in 2023 was an encouraging development. While his low-90s fastball and low-80s* slider might not invoke the same fear that other pitchers’ arsenals can, he does provide the safest big league starter profile in the class. Among pitchers with a sub-10% walk rate, Hartle was fourth in the country with 140 strikeouts in 2023—behind Paul Skenes (209), Quinn Mathews (158) and teammate Rhett Lowder (143).
*Editor’s note: We initially wrote that Hartle had a low-90s slider. This was a typo and has been corrected. We apologize for the error.
16. Marlins — Jacob Cozart, C, North Carolina State
Cozart was inexplicably left off the final roster with Team USA this summer after showing hitting ability, power and defensive prowess behind the plate. He’s the top-ranked catcher in a solid class for the position, and while he is a bit bigger than a typical catcher, he moves well behind the plate. Cozart has a plus arm and can throw from awkward angles with quickness and accuracy and he also pairs solid contact skills and power from the left side of the plate. It’s a well-rounded profile at a coveted demographic.
17. Brewers — Cade Arrambide, C, Tomball (Texas) HS
Arrambide has loud tools and loud performance from the 2023 showcase circuit. He was perhaps the most impressive prospect at the Area Code Games when he showed off plus raw power in batting practice and homered to both his pull side and the opposite field. He also boasts a 70-grade throwing arm and high-level defensive actions behind the plate. Teams will have to overcome their fear of the high school catching demographic to select him with a first-round pick, but his tools and upside are enough to warrant the risk.
18. Rays — Brody Brecht, RHP, Iowa
It would be difficult to find a pitcher with a more lethal two-pitch combination than Brecht’s power fastball and slider. The 6-foot-4 righthander averaged 97.7 mph last spring, which was one of the five hardest fastballs in the country (alongside Eriq Swan, Paul Skenes, George Klassen and Sam Knowlton) and he also threw one of the 10 hardest sliders. Both pitches have 70-grade potential, but he will need to dramatically improve his strike throwing to realize his upside. Brecht has walked 19.4% of batters in two seasons with Iowa, though part of his college career was spent splitting time between baseball and football—something that is no longer the case.
19. Mets* — Cam Caminiti, LHP/OF, Saguaro HS, Scottsdale, Ariz.
Originally a member of the 2025 class, Caminiti reclassified and is now one of the younger preps in the 2024 class and will still be 17 years old on draft day. He’s also one of the most exciting lefthanded pitchers. Caminiti has a loose and easy delivery with a great pitcher’s frame and overpowers hitters with a fastball that’s regularly in the mid 90s. He has three promising secondaries that need further refinement, and has raw power as a hitter, though his pro future lies on the mound.
20. Blue Jays — Jonathan Santucci, LHP, Duke
Santucci pitched just 29.1 innings during the 2023 season before injury ended his year, but he should be ready for a full 2024 season and has flashed a solid three-pitch mix from an easy, starter-esque delivery. He sits in the 92-94 mph range and has touched 96. Both his slider and changeup look like potential above-average offerings. With just 70.1 total innings under his belt, Santucci simply needs to turn in a complete season in a starting role.
21. Twins — Griff O’Ferrall, SS, Virginia
The starting shortstop for two seasons for Virginia, O’Ferrall also claimed that role for Team USA last summer and provides a steady, reliable and well-rounded game despite no loud or carrying individual tools. O’Ferrall is a career .355/.430/.435 hitter with the Cavaliers, and he’s added 33 stolen bases, a 10.9% strikeout rate and an 11.4% walk rate. He grinds out at-bats, swings at the right pitches and has solid contact skills, though his arm strength might be a bit light for a shortstop in pro ball.
22. Orioles — Noah Franco, OF/LHP, IMG Academy, Bradenton, Fla.
Franco has a low-90s fastball and decent feel for a solid slider on the mound, but his powerful lefthanded swing likely has more scouts eyeing him as a hitter at the next level. Franco takes big hacks and looks to do damage with a swing that can get overly long, but he drives the ball to all fields with authority and is also a deft defender at first base, with a chance for a corner outfield position as well.
23. Dodgers — Caleb Lomavita, C, California
A well-rounded catcher, Lomavita has proved his offensive ability with California and in the Cape Cod League this summer. He went from seven home runs to 16 year-over-year in the conference formerly known as the Pac-12, and he also slashed .329/.374/.494 with three home runs in 22 games with Cotuit in the Cape. He has above-average arm strength behind the plate and the tools to be a solid defender, but he’s also an above-average runner who will steal bases and could potentially move to the outfield if necessary.
24. Braves — Carter Johnson, SS, Oxford (Ala.) HS
Johnson is one of the more impressive pure hitters in the prep class, with a loose and easy lefthanded swing and an impressive ability to maneuver his barrel to all regions of the strike zone. While he doesn’t have the loudest toolset, he is a fine defender and should stick in the infield with a similar profile to sweet-swinging hitters like Colt Emerson or Kevin McGonigle from the 2023 class.
25. Padres * — Hagen Smith, LHP, Arkansas
Smith has a Tommy John surgery on his resume from high school, but he also has big-time stuff from the left side and took a step forward with his strikeouts during the 2023 season. Smith posted a 3.64 ERA—nearly a run better than his 2022 season—in 11 starts and 71.2 innings, and he improved his strikeout rate from 25.8% to 35.2% while using a mid-90s fastball that has been up to 98 and snapping off a plus slider in the mid 80s.
26. Yankees* — Bryce Rainer, SS/RHP, Harvard-Westlake HS, Los Angeles
Rainer has pro upside as a lefthanded-hitting shortstop with above-average power potential and big arm strength as well as solid defensive actions that should keep him on the left side of the infield. But he also has exciting upside as a loose-armed righthanded pitcher who can touch 96 and break off a lethal curveball with shocking ease and balance for a player who has primarily focused on hitting throughout his prep career.
27. Phillies — Thatcher Hurd, RHP, Louisiana State
Hurd had massive collegiate expectations after being one of the most highly-ranked players to make it to campus from the 2021 draft class. He lived up to the hype with UCLA in 2022, when he posted a 1.06 ERA over 34 innings. He took a bit of a step backward in 2023 after transferring to Louisiana State where he struggled with command for most of the first half of the season. Hurd finished strong and still has loud pure stuff with a mid-90s heater and great feel to spin a pair of breaking balls, so with a bounceback season could easily find himself in the first round.
28. Astros — Cam Smith, 3B, Florida State
Smith has a powerful, 6-foot-3, 221-pound frame and big raw power and arm strength to go with it. Below-average contact ability hindered him during his 2023 freshman season with Florida State, where he hit .258/.326/.517 with 12 home runs. Smith showed an improved approach with much better contact skills with Hyannis in the Cape Cod League. He slashed .347/.406/.575 and hit six home runs and 12 doubles in 44 games and ranked as the No. 2 prospect in the league. If he can replicate those improvements next spring against ACC pitching he could solidify himself in the first round or move even further up the board.
29. D-backs — Drew Beam, RHP, Tennessee
Beam has a deep pitch mix, a great pitcher’s frame at 6-foot-4, 208 pounds and has established a rock solid track record in a starting role in two seasons with Tennessee. He has posted a 3.20 ERA in 32 starts and 160.1 innings, with a 22.6% strikeout rate and 6.6% walk rate. Beam sits in the mid 90s and flashes an above-average curveball and changeup.
30. Rangers — Matt Ager, RHP, UC Santa Barbara
The best pitcher in the class on the West Coast, Ager moved from the bullpen to the rotation last spring to great effect. He posted a 3.12 ERA over 15 starts and 92.1 innings, and among qualified pitchers his 3.50 FIP was the fifth-best in the country thanks to an extremely solid 30.3% strikeout rate and 6.8% walk rate. He has appealing starter traits and pitches off a low-90s fastball and low-80s slider.
*The Mets, Yankees and Padres each exceeded the second threshold of the luxury tax that triggers a 10-spot penalty for their first overall picks. If any of the teams had secured a lottery pick, their second overall pick would have been dropped 10 spots. With none of the three doing so, each of their picks in the first round falls ten spots.