Tying It All Together: Top 30 Graduated Prospects In 2022

Image credit: (Photo by Steph Chambers/Getty Images)

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The offseason is prospect season. 

Over the course of three issues in November, December and January, Baseball America publishes Top 10 Prospects rankings for all 30 organizations. 

This year we added something new. We ranked the top overall graduated prospects from last year’s Top 10s. 

Players are ranked by updated end-of-season BA Grade, which gauges each player’s realistic upside on the 20-80 scouting scale, where 50 is average. A Risk assessment deducts points—10 for High, five for Medium and none for Low—to determine each prospect’s Tier

In the vast majority of cases, these graduated prospects were also top 2022 rookies—but not always. Players retain rookie status as long as they don’t exceed 130 at-bats, 50 innings or 45 days on an active MLB roster in a season or seasons. But sometimes rookie pitchers exceed 45 days without surpassing 50 innings. 

So in this BA ranking, which was developed by the BA editorial staff, you will find three pitchers—Brewers lefthander Aaron Ashby and relievers Camilo Doval of the Giants and Andres Muñoz of the Mariners—who we classified as prospect eligible in 2022 even though they were not eligible for Rookie of the Year awards.

Rk Player Pos Org 2023 Age BA Grade Risk Tier Upside Role
1 Julio Rodriguez CF Mariners 22 75 Low 75 Franchise CF
2 Adley Rutschman C Orioles 25 75 Low 75 Franchise C
3 Michael Harris OF Braves 22 65 Low 65 All-star CF
4 George Kirby RHP Mariners 25 70 Medium 65 No. 2 starter
5 Bobby Witt Jr. SS Royals 23 65 Medium 60 All-star SS
6 Spencer Strider RHP Braves 24 65 Medium 60 No. 2 or 3 starter
7 Nick Lodolo LHP Reds 25 60 Medium 55 No. 3 starter
8 Riley Greene OF Tigers 22 60 Medium 55 First-division CF
9 Reid Detmers LHP Angels 23 55 Low 55 No. 3 or 4 starter
10 Jeremy Peña SS Astros 25 60 Medium 55 First-division SS
11 Oneil Cruz SS Pirates 24 60 Medium 55 First-division SS
12 Steven Kwan LF Guardians 25 55 Low 55 First-division LF
13 Andres Muñoz RP Mariners 24 55 Low 55 All-star closer
14 Vinnie Pasquantino 1B Royals 25 55 Low 55 First-division 1B
15 Jhoan Duran RP Twins 25 55 Low 55 All-star closer
16 CJ Abrams SS Nationals 22 55 Medium 50 Regular SS
17 Vaughn Grissom 2B Braves 22 55 Medium 50 Regular 2B
18 Bryson Stott SS Phillies 25 50 Low 50 Regular 2B
19 Brayan Bello RHP Red Sox 24 60 High 50 No. 3 or 4 starter
20 Aaron Ashby LHP Brewers 25 55 Medium 50 No. 3 or 4 starter
21 Hunter Greene RHP Reds 23 55 Medium 50 No. 3 or 4 starter
22 Joe Ryan RHP Twins 27 50 Low 50 No. 4 starter
23 Edward Cabrera RHP Marlins 25 55 Medium 50 No. 3 or 4 starter
24 Camilo Doval RP Giants 25 50 Low 50 First-division closer
25 Nolan Gorman 2B Cardinals 23 55 High 45 Regular 2B
26 Brendan Donovan 2B Cardinals 26 45 Low 45 Multi-position UT
27 Matt Brash RP Mariners 25 50 Medium 45 First-division RP
28 Felix Bautista RP Orioles 28 50 Medium 45 First-division closer
29 Spencer Torkelson 1B Tigers 23 55 High 45 Regular 1B
30 MacKenzie Gore LHP Nationals 24 50 Medium 45 No. 4 or 5 starter


Honorable Mention: Ten more names at the 45 tier are listed here in alphabetical order: Roansy Contreras, RHP, Pirates; Ezequiel Duran, 3B, Rangers; Shea Langeliers, C, Athletics; Michael Massey, 2B, Royals; Jose Miranda, 1B, Twins; MJ Melendez, C, Royals; Lars Nootbaar, RF, Cardinals; Keibert Ruiz, C, Nationals; Robert Suarez, RP, Padres; and Alek Thomas, CF, D-backs. Note: Nootbaar and Ruiz were not rookie eligible in 2022

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