2018 New York Mets Top 10 Prospects
|Mets Top 10 Prospects|
|1. Andres Gimenez, SS|
|2. David Peterson, LHP|
|3. Justin Dunn, RHP|
|4. Pete Alonso, 1B|
|5. Thomas Szapucki, LHP|
|6. Mark Vientos, SS/3B|
|7. Marcos Molina, RHP|
|8. Desmond Lindsay, OF|
|9. Chris Flexen, RHP|
|10. Luis Guillorme, 2B/SS|
We kick off division-by-division Top 10 Prospects rankings this year with the National League East. For each organization, we identify the 10 prospects with the highest ceilings, with consideration given to the likelihood of reaching those ceilings.
To qualify as a prospect, a position player cannot exceed 130 big league at-bats, while a pitcher cannot exceed 50 innings or 30 relief appearances. These thresholds mirror major league rookie qualifications, albeit without regard for major league service time.
Notable Graduations: SS Amed Rosario (1), 1B Dominic Smith (2) and OF Brandon Nimmo (5) finished the season as regulars, while RHP Robert Gsellman (7) logged 120 innings.
Trending: 🔻Down following myriad graduations.
SYSTEM OVERVIEWSTRENGTHS: The Mets used recent first-round picks on college lefthanders Anthony Kay and David Peterson, who pair with Thomas Szapucki to give the club southpaw depth they haven’t seen in years. The Mets’ international program continues to funnel prospects through the system, particularly projectable Latin American shortstops like Andres Gimenez, Ronny Mauricio and Sebastian Espino.
WEAKNESSES: After graduating the likes of Michael Conforto, Steven Matz, Amed Rosario and Noah Syndergaard (and trading Michael Fulmer) in the past three years, the system lacks blue-chip prospects. In particular, the Mets are short on power bats (aside from Pete Alonso) and top-of-the-rotation-type arms.
BEST TOOLS🔸Best Hitter for Average: Andres Gimenez. 🔸Best Power Hitter: Pete Alonso. 🔸Best Strike-Zone Discipline: Desmond Lindsay. 🔸Fastest Baserunner: Champ Stuart. 🔸Best Athlete: Desmond Lindsay. 🔸Best Fastball: Ty Bashlor. 🔸Best Curveball: Chris Flexen. 🔸Best Slider: Thomas Szapucki. 🔸Best Changeup: Adonis Uceta. 🔸Best Control: Jordan Humphreys. 🔸Best Defensive Catcher: Ali Sanchez. 🔸Best Defensive INF: Luis Guillorme. 🔸Best INF Arm: Andres Gimenez. 🔸Best Defensive OF: Desmond Lindsay. 🔸Best OF Arm: Wagner Lagrange.
PROJECTED 2021 LINEUP
(Listed with 2021 season age)🔸C Kevin Plawecki (30) 🔸1B Dominic Smith (26) 🔸2B Andres Gimenez (22) 🔸3B Wilmer Flores (29) 🔸SS Amed Rosario (25) 🔸LF Brandon Nimmo (28) 🔸CF Juan Lagares (32) 🔸RF Michael Conforto (28) 🔸SP Jacob deGrom (33) 🔸SP Noah Syndergaard (28) 🔸SP Steven Matz (30) 🔸SP David Peterson (25) 🔸SP Robert Gsellman (27) 🔸CL Justin Dunn (25)
TOP PROSPECTS OF THE DECADE(Listed with 2017 organization)
🔸2008: OF Fernando Martinez (Did not play) WAR: -1.4 🔸2009: OF Fernando Martinez (Did not play) | WAR: ** 🔸2010: RHPJenrry Mejia (Permanently suspended) | WAR: 0.7 🔸2011: RHP Jenrry Mejia (Permanently suspended) | WAR: ** 🔸2012: RHP Zack Wheeler (Mets) | WAR: 2.1 🔸2013: RHP Zack Wheeler (Mets) | WAR: ** 🔸2014: RHP Noah Syndergaard (Mets) | WAR: 9.3 🔸2015: RHP Noah Syndergaard (Mets) | WAR: ** 🔸2016: LHP Steven Matz (Mets) | WAR: 4.0 🔸2017: SS Amed Rosario (Mets) | WAR: 0.2
TOP DRAFT PICKS OF THE DECADE(Listed with 2017 organization)
🔸2008: 1B Ike Davis (Dodgers) | WAR: 4.9 🔸2009: LHP Steven Matz (Mets) | WAR: 4.0 🔸2010: RHP Matt Harvey (Mets) | WAR: 9.9 🔸2011: OF Brandon Nimmo (Mets) | WAR: 1.0 🔸2012: SS Gavin Cecchini (Mets) | WAR: N/A 🔸2013: 1B Dominic Smith (Mets) | WAR: -1.2 🔸2014: OF Michael Conforto (Mets) | WAR: 6.0 🔸2015: OF Desmond Lindsay (Mets) | WAR: Top 10 🔸2016: RHP Justin Dunn (Mets) | WAR: Top 10 🔸2017: LHP David Peterson (Mets) | WAR: Top 10
|1. Andres Gimenez, SS|
|BORN: Sept. 4, 1998|
|B-T: L-R | HT: 5-11 | WT: 176|
|SIGNED: Venezuela, 2015|
|SIGNED BY: Robert Espejo/Hector Rincones|
|MINORS: .265/.346/.349 | 4 HR | 14 SB | 347 AB|
SCOUTING REPORT: Described as a “ball of dynamite” by one Mets official, Gimenez has a shorter, thicker build than many shortstops but compensates with twitchy athleticism. Scouts expect him to impact the ball more frequently as his body matures and he gains strength in his 20s. Gimenez pushed his average to .289 on Aug. 2, but he closed the year in an 18-for-91 (.198) skid as he dealt with a jammed thumb and general fatigue. Nothing phases Gimenez at the plate, where he has the attributes to be an above-average hitter. His lefthanded swing is direct to the ball, and he identifies pitches well, doesn’t swing and miss often and hangs in versus southpaws. Skeptics question his batting upside potential, however, because he has average present running speed, while his power projects to be below-average because of his level swing plane and spray-hitting approach. Body control and quick actions serve Gimenez at shortstop, where he has above-average range, reliable hands and an arm that plays up to plus thanks to a quick release and accuracy. His instincts and feel for the game will keep him at shortstop—where he has plus defensive potential—as he climbs the ladder, while his arm and reliability would allow him to shift to second or third base as needed.
🔸Projected Future Grades On 20-80 Scouting Scale Hit: 55. Power: 40. Speed: 50. Field: 60. Arm: 60.THE FUTURE: Given his youth and distance from the big leagues, Gimenez’s future role has not yet come into focus. Some scouts fall short of giving him a single plus tool, which could make him a second-division regular or utility infielder, but those who see a plus middle-infield defender and above-average hitter envision a potential double-play partner for shortstop Amed Rosario in Queens. Gimenez has three more minor league levels to master before then, and that task begins at high Class A St. Lucie in 2018.
|2. David Peterson, LHP 📹|
|BORN: Sept. 3, 1995|
|B-T: L-L | HT: 6-6 | WT: 240|
|DRAFTED: Oregon, 2017 (1st round)|
|SIGNED BY: Jim Reeves|
|MINORS: 0-0, 2.45 ERA | 6 SO | 1 BB | 4 IP|
SCOUTING REPORT: Peterson walked 3.5 per nine innings in his first two college seasons before reducing that rate to 1.4 in 2017, when he showed the best control in his draft class. A physical, 6-foot-6 lefthanded starter, he has ordinary fastball velocity—he sits 90-91 mph and peaks at 95—but above-average sink and run. Peterson shows advanced command of an above-average, low-80s slider that flummoxes batters with its unique angle and deceptive late drop. It’s an out pitch versus lefthanders and a back-foot weapon against righties. His fading changeup could develop into an above-average weapon now that he has sharpened his fastball command. He throws an occasional fringy curveball early in counts.
THE FUTURE: Peterson signed at deadline and then had surgery to remove an ingrown toenail, which inhibited his ability to walk or pitch, so he made just three abbreviated starts at short-season Brooklyn, none more than 39 pitches in duration. He notched 20- and 17-strikeout games at Oregon in 2017, but his repertoire suggests more of a durable, groundball-oriented No. 3 or 4 starter.
|3. Justin Dunn, RHP 📹|
|BORN: Sept. 22, 1995|
|B-T: R-R | HT: 6-2 | WT: 195|
|DRAFTED: Boston College, 2016 (1st round)|
|SIGNED BY: Michael Pesce|
|MINORS: 5-6, 5.00 ERA | 75 SO | 48 BB | 101 IP|
SCOUTING REPORT: As a starter with an athletic delivery, quick, loose arm and pitchability, Dunn could be in line for better days ahead. He flashes a plus fastball and slider, his primary weapons in college, but below-average control and command hampered his effectiveness. At his best, he ranges from 92-96 mph with above-average life on his fastball and breaks off a mid-80s slider with late three-quarters tilt. He even shows surprising command of a changeup given his bullpen background, but just as a platoon split plagued him in college, Dunn needs to find a way to retire lefthanded batters after they hit .345/.464/.462 against him in the Florida State League.
THE FUTURE: If he improves his fastball command, changeup and stamina, Dunn could profile as a No. 3 or 4 starter. If he doesn’t, he should have no trouble reaching the big leagues as a high-leverage reliever. A key development year in which he should reach Double-A awaits.
|4. Pete Alonso, 1B 📹|
|BORN: Dec. 7, 1994|
|B-T: R-R | HT: 6-3 | WT: 245|
|DRAFTED: Florida, 2016 (2nd round)|
|SIGNED BY: Jon Updike|
|MINORS: .289/.359/.524 | 18 HR | 3 SB | 353 AB|
SCOUTING REPORT: Alonso generates by far the highest exit velocity and has the most power in the system. He looks for pitches to elevate with his plus-plus raw power, and the ball carries to all fields when he connects. In addition to plus game power, Alonso has a chance for an average hit tool because he hits the ball hard with frequency and doesn’t swing and miss as much as many sluggers. A well below-average runner and uncoordinated, slow-bodied defender, he committed 19 errors at first base in 2017, the majority of them fielding miscues and dropped catches. He requires a lot of work to be playable in the field.
THE FUTURE: Alonso has crushed lefthanders as a pro, compiling a 1.166 OPS, but he has hit a more modest .256/.316/.456 against same-side pitchers. Regardless, his power will play in the big leagues, perhaps in the second half of 2018, whether as a regular or a platoon masher.
|5. Thomas Szapucki, LHP 📹|
|BORN: June 12, 1996|
|B-T: R-L | HT: 6-2 | WT: 181|
|DRAFTED: HS—Palm Beach Gardens, 2015 (5th round)|
|SIGNED BY: Cesar Aranguren|
|MINORS: 1-2, 2.79 ERA | 27 SO | 10 BB | 29 IP|
SCOUTING REPORT: A physical 6-foot-2 lefthander, Szapucki when healthy delivers high-quality stuff from the left side out of a low three-quarters arm slot. He ranges from 90-96 mph and sits 93 with electric life on his plus fastball. He commands his big-breaking, low-80s slider and uses it as an out pitch. Szapucki even showed feel for a changeup he has developed in his three pro seasons, though it remains fringe-average. His control grades as below-average but can be improved with better direction to the plate.
THE FUTURE: Szapucki might have ranked No. 1 in the system had he remained healthy. If he recovers fully and proves his durability, he can develop into a No. 3 starter. He turns 23 in 2019, when he is targeted to return to the mound.
|6. Mark Vientos, SS/3B 📹|
|BORN: Dec. 11, 1999|
|B-T: R-R | HT: 6-4 | WT: 185|
|DRAFTED: HS—Plantation, Fla., 2017 (2nd round)|
|SIGNED BY: Cesar Aranguren|
|MINORS: .262/.318/.398 | 4 HR | 0 SB | 191 AB|
SCOUTING REPORT: The Mets zeroed in on Vientos early in the spring season, drawn to his fast, powerful swing, strong hands and projectable 6-foot-4 frame. He started slow in the Rookie-level Gulf Coast League but then hit .305/.339/.467 in 115 August at-bats. After hitting only one home run as a prep senior, Vientos clubbed four homers in the GCL, and the Mets believe his knack for elevating the ball will lead to plus power down the road. Though he is a well below-average runner, he has plus hands and an above-average arm at shortstop. Most scouts project him to third base because he’s not as quick as a typical shortstop and his frame still has plenty of room to fill out.
THE FUTURE: Vientos offers a promising blend of offensive upside and left-side-of-the-infield value, but he is four years or more away from the big leagues.
|7. Marcos Molina, RHP|
|BORN: March 8, 1995|
|B-T: R-R | HT: 6-3| WT: 206|
|SIGNED: Dominican Republic, 2012|
|SIGNED BY: Daurys Nin/Gerardo Cabrera|
|MINORS: 5-10, 3.21 ERA| 86 SO | 26 BB | 107 IP|
SCOUTING REPORT: With a workhorse physique and easy, athletic delivery, Molina throws strikes and generates above-average life on all his pitches. He sat 94 mph in the Arizona Fall League in 2016, but his velocity dipped to 91 mph with a peak of 93 in 2017 as he focused on commanding and sinking the ball. He commands his high-spin two-seamer to both sides of the plate and hides the ball well. Molina’s plus low-80s slider has late three-quarters tilt and depth to play against batters on both sides of the plate. His mid-80s changeup took a step forward in 2017 and projects as average.
THE FUTURE: Based on his pitch profile and sharp control, Molina has the attributes to be a No. 4 starter. If he rediscovers a few ticks of velocity, he could be better than that. He figures to be the next Mets starter to make his major league debut at some point in 2018.
|8. Desmond Lindsay, OF 📹|
|BORN: Jan. 15, 1997|
|B-T: R-R| HT: 5-11 | WT: 196|
|DRAFTED: HS—Sarasota, Fla. 2015 (2nd round)|
|SIGNED BY: Cesar Aranguren|
|MINORS: .220/.327/.388 | 8 HR | 4 SB | 214 AB|
SCOUTING REPORT: At full strength, Lindsay has power-speed potential and a discerning batting eye. He struggled out of the gate in 2017 at low Class A Columbia and hit just .149 through his first 38 games, but an altered eyeglass prescription might have cued a late surge. In his final 27 games, he hit .300/.352/.560 with six of his eight home runs. Lindsay has plus raw power and impacts the ball to all fields when he connects, but he didn’t do that often enough, with rates for walks (13 percent) and strikeouts (31 percent) that ranked among the highest in the South Atlantic League. A prep third baseman, Lindsay has used his above-average speed to develop into an average center fielder with an average arm.
THE FUTURE: A healthy season would go a long way toward determining Lindsay’s future potential and timetable. Moving to a more hitter-friendly park at high Class A St. Lucie in 2018 could help.
|9. Chris Flexen, RHP|
|BORN: July 1, 1994|
|B-T: R-R | HT: 6-3 | WT: 250|
|DRAFTED: HS—Newark, Calif., 2012 (14th round)|
|SIGNED BY: Jim Blueberg|
|MINORS: 6-1, 1.76 ERA| 63 SO | 10 BB | 61 IP|
SCOUTING REPORT: Flexen added a few ticks to his fastball, threw more strikes and improved the effectiveness of his mid-70s curveball in 2017. In fact, he recorded the second-highest curveball spin rate on Mets’ big league staff, finishing (a distant) second to Seth Lugo, owner of the highest-spin curve of the Statcast era. Flexen pitches at 92 mph and can reach 96, while adeptly adding sinking or riding life to his fastball by changing his grip. He made progress with his average changeup but would benefit from developing his fringe-average slider into a chase pitch.
THE FUTURE: Flexen commands three pitches but lacks a knockout offering. Without an out pitch, he profiles as a No. 5 starter or reliever.
|10. Luis Guillorme, 2B/SS 📹|
|BORN: Sept. 27, 1994|
|B-T: L-R | HT: 5-9 | WT: 199|
|DRAFTED: HS—Coral Springs, Fla., 2013 (10th round)|
|SIGNED BY: Mike Silvestri|
|MINORS: .283/.376/.331 | 1 HR | 4 SB | 481 AB|
SCOUTING REPORT: Guillorme drew national attention during spring training 2017 when he nonchalantly barehanded a bat hurtling for the Mets dugout. Appropriately, his scouting report begins with lightning-quick hands and reflexes, which he parlays into plus defensive ability at shortstop and second base. He confidently makes difficult plays in the field with above-average range, a solid-average arm and a great internal clock. Guillorme hardly ever pulls the ball and has bottom-of-the-scale power, but he could develop an average hit tool because he works deep counts, hits the ball hard consistently and uses the whole field.
THE FUTURE: As a lefthanded batter who brings a plus glove to shortstop, second base or third base, Guillorme is a shoo-in for a utility infielder role. If his bat develops, he could be a second-division regular.
Trade Central: Mets Land Ruf In Five-Player Swap
The Mets continued to make budget buys at the trade deadline by adding first baseman Darin Ruf from the Giants for a four-player return centered on corner infielder J.D. Davis.