Trey Gibson Stats & Scouting Report

IP	29.1
ERA	7.98
WHIP	1.810
BB/9	3.7
SO/9	9.5

Full name Richard Russell Gibson
Born 05/18/2002 in Newport News, VA
Profile Ht.: 6'5" / Wt.: 230 / Bats: R / Throws: R
School Liberty

Top Rankings

Organization Prospect Rankings

BA Grade/Risk: 55/Average

Adjusted Grade: 45

Track Record: Gibson was on the Orioles’ radar as a Virginia prep ahead of the five-round 2020 draft, and after he didn’t pitch his junior year at Liberty, they rediscovered him in the Cape Cod League in 2023 and signed him as an undrafted free agent. Gibson impressed in the low minors in 2024 before breaking out in 2025 by striking out 40.4% of batters in High-A and then 32.5% in Double-A before finishing at Triple-A Norfolk. Over three levels, Gibson struck out 166 batters with a 1.21 WHIP, 4.26 ERA, and 3.34 FIP in 120.1 innings and earned organizational pitcher of the year honors. Of the 195 pitchers with at least 200 innings in the minors over the last two seasons, Gibson is third among them with a 31.5% strikeout rate.

Scouting Report: After adding a sinker with unique angles in 2025, Gibson now has a pair of mid-90s fastballs. Righties either hit the new pitch into the ground or took it for strikes. However, Gibson gets his upside from his secondary mix. This year, he added a “death ball” slider, with tight downward break in the mid 80s, to a mix that also includes a plus a mid-80s sweeper, a hard slider and a plus, low-80s curveball. The assortment gives Gibson multiple breaking pitches. He didn’t use his changeup much in 2025 but could reintroduce it going forward. He mixed in a cutter in September to help combat righties. His command took significant steps forward and can be average in the future, especially because it applied across his entire arsenal. The additions and improvements, plus his developing knowledge of how to use his growing arsenal, helped Gibson strike out batters at an elite level.

The Future: Gibson has the potential to be a midrotation starter thanks to his pitch mix and aptitude. He’ll return to Triple-A Norfolk in 2026 but could be on the cusp of a major league debut.

Scouting Grades Fastball: 55 | Curveball: 60 | Slider: 60 | Changeup: 40 | Sweeper: 55 | Control: 50.
BA Grade/Risk: 45/High.

Track Record: The Orioles were fascinated by Gibson out of high school after he impressed at a fall showcase, but the pandemic and 2020’s five-round draft meant Gibson instead went to Liberty, where he made some Freshman All-America teams. He didn’t pitch as a junior in 2023, and the Orioles signed him after an intriguing stint in the Cape Cod League. Gibson got his velocity back in his full-season debut in 2024, striking out 30% of batters with a 3.72 ERA between Low-A Delmarva and High-A Aberdeen.

Scouting Report: Pitching in the Orioles’ tandem system to help build up his workload, Gibson was able to add significant fastball velocity as the 2024 season progressed. He averaged 94.5 mph for the season and 95.5 mph from Aug. 1 onward, while getting up to 99, with an 89-92 mph cutter, mid-80s slider, and low-80s curveball that all have above-average potential and solid swing-and-miss traits. His sweepy slider is the best of the pack currently. He also throws a firm, work-in-progress changeup. Gibson has a high-effort delivery, and there were moments when his command escaped him during the season, but his ability to use all of his power arsenal allows him to get the most of his skill set.

The Future: Gibson has the makings of a quality major league starter based on his pitch mix and unique weapons. He will likely return to High-A Aberdeen to start 2025.

Scouting Grades: Fastball: 55 | Curveball: 55 | Slider: 60 | Changeup: 40 | Cutter: 55 | Control: 45.

Draft Prospects

School: Liberty Source: 4YR

Commit/Drafted: Never Drafted
Age At Draft: 21.2
Gibson made a strong early impression at Liberty by putting up a 3.32 ERA with 70 strikeouts and 21 walks in 65 innings as a freshman in 2021. His second season wasn’t as strong. With 72 strikeouts in 56 innings, his strikeout rate was actually up year over year, but otherwise, the numbers paint a grimmer picture. His ERA ballooned to 6.75, his hits allowed per nine innings went from 7.1 to 10.1 and his walks allowed per nine innings went from 2.9 to 4.8. Gibson didn’t pitch at all for Liberty in the 2023 season, but threw in the Cape Cod League during the summer. He struggled through his first four appearances, posting a 13.50 ERA in 10 innings, with 12 strikeouts and eight walks. Gibson pitched around 89 and got his fastball up to 92, but he struggled to land his secondaries, which include a downer curveball in the mid 70s, a low-80s slider and a mid-80s changeup. There’s arm talent here, but his inconsistencies, lack of playing time and history with arm injuries in 2022 could make him a complicated draft target.
Gibson popped onto the national radar last fall in Jupiter, when he struck out 12 batters and walked two while showing a four-pitch mix over six innings. The Liberty commit has a physical, 6-foot-4, 225-pound frame and a below-average operation, but he showed an ability to repeat it consistently and threw solid strikes in that outing. What will challenge scouts given the shortened 2020 season is Gibson’s limited track record. He was close to an unknown before his performance in Jupiter, and teams probably don’t feel great about the information they were able to add to his file this spring. In Jupiter, Gibson threw a 90-93 mph fastball and showed good feel for a slider, curveball and changeup. The slider sat in the mid-80s and was a firm breaking ball, the curve flashed two-plane break and his changeup was in the 82-85 mph range with good depth and sink. His curveball and changeup both looked like above-average offerings. With some stiffness and crossfiring action in his delivery, scouts wonder about Gibson’s reliever risk and without significant looks to clarify that question this spring teams might opt to let him get to campus in Lynchburg.