Paul Wilson Stats & Scouting Report — College Baseball, MLB Draft, Prospects

Full name Paul David Wilson
Born 12/11/2004 in Oregon City, OR
Profile Ht.: 6'3" / Wt.: 197 / Bats: R / Throws: L
School Lakeridge HS, Lake Oswego, Oregon
Drafted in the 3rd round (76th overall) by the Detroit Tigers in 2023 (signed for $1,697,500).

View Draft Report

School: Lakeridge HS, Lake Oswego, Oregon Source: HS

Commit/Drafted: Oregon State
Age At Draft: 18.6
BA Grade:55/Extreme
Tools:Fastball: 60. Slider: 60. Curveball: 50. Changeup: 45. Control: 45.

Wilson is the son of eight-year big leaguer Trevor Wilson. The younger Wilson, like his father, is an Oregon State commit who has plenty of arm talent from the left side. A 6-foot-3, 180-pound southpaw, Wilson throws with a compact arm stroke and varies between a three-quarter and high, three-quarter slot. He’s consistently shown impressive velocity, and was up to 95 mph last summer, though he has improved his strike-throwing while also adding more power this spring to push him up draft boards. He has been up to 97 mph this spring with Lakeridge High, and has consistently pitched in the low 90s. He throws two different breaking balls. The first is a low-80s slider that has plus potential, and the second is an upper-70s curveball that looks like an average offering. He has also worked in a fringe-average, 80 mph changeup that gives him a viable four-pitch mix. Scouts praise the physicality and athleticism that Wilson has, and while he has made strides with his control, he’ll need to continue working on that area of his game. At times he’ll get out of sync with his delivery and a wandering arm slot doesn’t help with consistency or control, but scouts are optimistic that he’ll be able to make the necessary adjustments at the next level. Despite some reliever risk, Wilson is viewed as a top-two round talent.

Top Rankings

Organization Prospect Rankings

BA Grade: 55/Extreme

Track Record: The son of Oregon State and Giants lefthander Trevor Wilson, Paul was committed to the Beavers to follow in his father’s footsteps, but his velocity took a jump as a senior. Suddenly, his stuff was too alluring to let him get to school. The Tigers paid him nearly $1.7 million to entice him to turn pro. The Tigers were cautious with him, and he won’t make his pro debut until 2024.

Scouting Report: Like his father, Wilson is a relatively polished, athletic lefty with a clear idea of what he’s doing on the mound. His plus fastball touched 97 mph this spring, although he generally sat in the low 90s. He mixes a low-80s slider with plus potential and a high-70s curve that is a distinct second breaking ball. It’s not as impressive but it should be a useful early-count surprise offering. He will use a fringe-average low-80s changeup as well. Wilson’s fringe-average control has steadily improved. His arm slot isn’t always consistent and he can lose the strike zone at times. Considering his athleticism, it won’t be a stunner if he eventually gets to average or even above-average control as he matures and gets stronger.

The Future: Wilson has enough starter traits and savvy to develop into a potential mid-rotation starter. He should slot into Lakeland’s rotation in 2024.

Scouting Grades Fastball: 60 | Curveball: 50 | Slider: 60 | Changeup: 45 | Control: 45

Draft Prospects

School: Lakeridge HS, Lake Oswego, Oregon Source: HS

Commit/Drafted: Oregon State
Age At Draft: 18.6
BA Grade:55/Extreme
Tools:Fastball: 60. Slider: 60. Curveball: 50. Changeup: 45. Control: 45.

Wilson is the son of eight-year big leaguer Trevor Wilson. The younger Wilson, like his father, is an Oregon State commit who has plenty of arm talent from the left side. A 6-foot-3, 180-pound southpaw, Wilson throws with a compact arm stroke and varies between a three-quarter and high, three-quarter slot. He’s consistently shown impressive velocity, and was up to 95 mph last summer, though he has improved his strike-throwing while also adding more power this spring to push him up draft boards. He has been up to 97 mph this spring with Lakeridge High, and has consistently pitched in the low 90s. He throws two different breaking balls. The first is a low-80s slider that has plus potential, and the second is an upper-70s curveball that looks like an average offering. He has also worked in a fringe-average, 80 mph changeup that gives him a viable four-pitch mix. Scouts praise the physicality and athleticism that Wilson has, and while he has made strides with his control, he’ll need to continue working on that area of his game. At times he’ll get out of sync with his delivery and a wandering arm slot doesn’t help with consistency or control, but scouts are optimistic that he’ll be able to make the necessary adjustments at the next level. Despite some reliever risk, Wilson is viewed as a top-two round talent.