RoboScout Top MLB Prospects At Every Level On May 19, 2024


We’re over a quarter of the way through the major league season and there are some hitters in Triple-A already with 200 plate appearances so we’re starting to get fairly deep into it. Even the Complex League is starting to find its footing as some hitters have over 50 plate appearances. And before we know it, the Dominican Summer League will begin in a few weeks. Exciting times!

What is the name of the time period before the dog days of summer? The puppy days of spring? Well, that’s what it feels like now.

Let’s dig in. Here are the Top Prospects for fantasy baseball this week per Roboscout.

Complex League Hitters (min 15 PA)

1Felnin CelestenSEA86100
2Edgleen PerezNYY84100
3Jeremy RodriguezNYM10098
4Dameury PenaMIN7993
5Robert CalazCOL7992
6Starlyn CabaPHI8091
7Yeiker ReyesCOL8390
8Filippo Di TuriMIL8089
9Adrian GilCHW7688
10Bryan AcunaMIN7388
11Brailer GuerreroTBR7587
12Yassel SolerARI7185
13Andruw MusettBOS6983
14Eduardo QuinteroLAD7682
15Mario BaezATL7582
16Larry MartinezTBR6982
17Eric BitontiMIL8381
18Leandro AriasBAL6781
19Yeremi CabreraTEX8281
20Luiyin AlastreMIL7080
21Richard RamirezPIT6780
22Enrique JimenezDET6879
23Angel ArredondoTEX7179
24Pablo GuerreroTEX7577
25Esteban MejiaTEX7077

Keen-eyed observers may have noticed that the minimum threshold in the list above was set at a silly 15 plate appearances, meaning that this is still extremely early. Still, some shape is beginning to form as many of the names are recognizable, either from these pages in previous weeks, or in complex league preview articles.

Felnin Celesten (Mariners No. 8 prospect) and Edgleen Perez (Yankees) find themselves at the top of the Complex League rankings. We talked last week about Perez and how he is an intriguing catching prospect. It is encouraging that he has sustained his top performance for another week.

Meanwhile, Celesten was one of the most coveted international signees and subsequent top FYPD name in 2023 after the Mariners signed him for $4.7 million. Having never played a game in the DSL and being immediately drop-shipped into the ACL, “The Prophecy” knocked two home runs and stole two bags, heralding his stateside arrival in a big way. Despite an extreme groundball rate, still a top 100 Fantasy Prospect for me

Another interesting name making some waves in the early going is Dameury Pena (Twins No. 28 prospect) who Josh Norris had as one to watch in the FCL this year  with a potential ceiling as a plus hitter. After raking in the DSL in 2023, Pena has maintained his sub-10% in zone miss percentage and sub-15% whiff% while stateside. His power may never reach an average grade, but so far as an 18-year old, he has a 90th percentile exit velocity of around 100 mph – slightly better than average for the complex league right now.

Eric Bitonti (Brewers No. 16 prospect) hit three home runs last week and is showing the plus power that we graded him with. The pre-season concern was with the hit tool, and with a strikeout rate of 30%, and a contact rate below 60%, it is indeed the area where the 18-year old third baseman should focus.

Before the season, we identified Yassel Soler (Diamondbacks No. 21 prospect) as having a plus hit tool with a quick, short swing (and above average to plus defense) with a desire to see him add damage to the bat. In 2024, he’s already exceeded last year’s maximum exit velocity of 104 mph (achieved in 146 plate appearances) with a 111 mph and a 108 mph on just over 20 balls in play. He still puts the ball on the ground a bit too much but if he’s truly taken a step forward with the power, he has the potential to be a breakout prospect.

It’s too early to make a definitive “ThrowboScout” list for the Complex League pitchers as most of the arms haven’t thrown more than two starts but a few names have done some interesting things in the early going. Dylan Questad (Twins) struck out 10 batters in just under six innings and has been compiling  high whiff rate and chase rate on his 93 to 95 mph four seamer and 87 mph slider. The 5th round draft pick in 2023 has had double digit walks but trails only Jefferson Jean (Athletics) for highest swinging strike rate of any teenage pitcher at the Complex who has averaged over three innings per appearance. Speaking of Jean, the right hander throws 95 mph with big extension, a low 80s slider, and a developmental change-up and went five innings in his only start of the year before being promoted to Low-A where he’s been less inspiring.

Another interesting pitcher is Luichi Casilla (Rockies No. 18 prospect) who reportedly touched 100 mph in his last start. So far, his walk rate is double digits, but armed with an electrifying fastball and slider from the left side, he is ascending.Mariners right hander Jeter Martinez has been electric too with his four seamer sitting 94 mph and his low 80s breaking stuff having over a foot of horizontal break. One thing to note is that his vertical release point did show a distinction in his first start between his fastball and his secondaries – perhaps something to keep an eye on. With a strikeout rate of 32% and a ground ball rate of 68% in his age 18 season, the popular pre-season sleeper would be in the Top 5 if RoboScout had Complex League rankings for pitchers this early in the season.

Low-A Hitters (min 45 PA)

1Lazaro MontesSEA100100
2Jeral PerezLAD97100
3Colt EmersonSEA9999
4Jaison ChourioCLE8589
5Alfredo DunoCIN9187
6Jonny FarmeloSEA8286
7Kevin McGonigleDET7783
8Cristofer TorinARI7883
9Jesus BaezNYM7781
10Zyhir HopeLAD7480
11Josue BricenoDET7480
12Ralphy VelazquezCLE7779
13Aidan SmithSEA7678
14Josue De PaulaLAD7177
15Marco VargasNYM6976
16Aidan MillerPHI7175
17Yophery RodriguezMIL7474
18Leodalis De VriesSDP8274
19Blake MitchellKCR7374
20Tai PeeteSEA7273
21Ariel AlmonteCIN7073
22Angel GenaoCLE6572
23Bryce EldridgeSFG7072
24Rosman VerdugoSDP7871
25Johanfran GarciaBOS7771

The big movers this week were Josue De Paula (Dodgers No. 1 prospect) who had zero home runs and a below average OPS. Well, after a four home run (and one stolen base) explosion over the past week, the teenage Dominican outfielder finds himself firmly in the Top 15. The concern has never been the power and it’s nice to see him start to actualize it in games in 2024.

A new entrant into the Top 10 is Kevin McGonigle (Tigers No. 7 prospect) who is showing some of the best swing decisions in Low-A with a minuscule 11% chase rate and minuscule whiff rate. Although it’s only around 50 balls in play, the Tigers 37th overall pick from the supplemental first round has added 2 mph to his 90th percentile exit velocity and has already reached his max EV from 2023. If he can get to average power to complement his plus or better hit tool, he will be a top 100 Fantasy Prospect for me by next month.

Creeping a few more spots in the Low-A rankings is Aidan Miller (Phillies No. 4 prospect) who has the highest weighted runs created plus amongst any hitters in their age 20 season. With four home runs and nine stolen bases, the former first round pick has already had at least six balls come off his bat in 2024 faster than the 105 mph max exit velocity that he managed in 2023.With four home runs, I would be remiss to not mention 2023 helium name Austin Charles (Royals No. 14 prospect) who is now up to six home runs and 13 stolen bases in 133 plate appearances. Although the toolsy infielder does look like a 20 home run, 20 stolen base threat at peak, he is still showing some significant hit tool risk, with a 30% strikeout rate and a high chase rate. Although, his week has been torrid, RoboScout is still a bit leery.

Low-A Pitchers (min 13 IP)

1Matt WilkinsonCLE100100
2Jonah TongNYM9298
3Quinn MathewsSTL8596
4George KlassenPHI8092
5Santiago SuarezTBR7889
6Yujanyer HerreraMIL8486
7Bishop LetsonMIL7385
8Manuel RodriguezMIL7782
9Franklin GomezNYM7580
10Gary Gill HillTBR7680
11Jedixson PaezBOS7979
12Michael ForretBAL7179
13Thomas WhiteMIA6879
14Welinton HerreraCOL6679
15Luis SernaNYY7278
16Elmer Rodriguez-CruzBOS7678
17Luis De LeonBAL7478
18Jarlin SusanaWSN6277
19Alejandro RosarioTEX6377
20Daniel CornielMIL6777
21Jace KaminskaCOL6676
22Josh GroszNYY6676
23Didier FuentesATL6376
24Michael KennedyPIT8276
25Kohl DrakeTEX7276

The biggest riser since last week was Gary Gill Hill (Rays) who struck out eight batters with zero walks over six innings of work. For more details on this performance – and his arsenal, including a 94 mph four-seamer – Josh Norris wrote up his live look. Also rising is 18-year old right hander Manuel Rodriguez (Brewers) who has yielded a 1.7% walk rate over 30 innings in the Carolina League. Only sitting 88 to 89 mph on his four seam fastball, with a tight slider with 12 inches of horizontal break but that only occasionally flashes 80 mph, the command is truly the calling card so far, with a chance for a back of the rotation starter.

High-A Hitters (min 45 PA)

1Luke KeaschallMIN100100
2Carter JensenKCR10099
3Cam CollierCIN9591
4Jay Allen IICIN9290
5Xavier IsaacTBR8990
6Alex FreelandLAD8789
7Sal StewartCIN8988
8Yohendrick PinangoCHC8486
9Luke AdamsMIL8382
10Mike BoeveMIL7882
11Jefferson RojasCHC8181
12Hector RodriguezCIN7779
13Sebastian WalcottTEX8377
14Ricardo OlivarMIN7477
15Creed WillemsBAL8076
16Henry BolteOAK8376
17Joe MackMIA7876
18Samuel ZavalaCHW7275
19C.J. KayfusCLE7475
20Ethan SalasSDP8674
21Rubel CespedesMIN6871
22Pedro RamirezCHC7171
23Dylan O’RaeMIL7270
24Noah MillerLAD7270
25Gabriel GonzalezMIN6970

Luke Keaschall (Twins No. 9 prospect) has taken over top spot in the High-A rankings after knocking two home runs and stealing two bags en route to a  .417/.464/.708 triple slash last week. The second round pick has improved his contact, chase, and barrel rate from his brief 2023 professional debut and RoboScout now sees him as a power/speed threat with solid batting average. Knocking right on the door of a Top 100 fantasy prospect for me.

Henry Bolte (Athletics No. 13 prospect) had solid underlying data as a 20 year old in Low-A Stockton last year with a maximum exit velocity of 111 mph and a 90th percentile reading of 104 mph to complement his plus speed and above-average defense. In other words, tools for days. The biggest concern was the significant swing and miss, as the outfielder had a 33% strikeout rate and a 62% contact rate. To put it into context, the lowest contact rate in the majors in the last two years amongst qualified hitters is the 62% rate that Nolan Gorman (Cardinals) has so far this year. In the last week, no hitter in High-A has been hotter, as Bolte has hit three home runs while stealing five bases. The issue is that for the year, his strikeout rate is still 34% – though with a palatable 20% mark this past week – and his contact and in-zone contact rates are essentially no different from last year’s numbers. Still a huge ceiling, but RoboScout is not quite calling breakout yet, but he does find himself at #16 in the High-A rankings.RoboScout is extremely impressed though by Xavier Isaac (Rays No. 4 prospect) who jumped not only into the Top 5, after a two home run and three stolen base performance this past week. With athleticism that belies his slugger’s frame, the first baseman has surprisingly stolen eight bases on the year and has yet to be caught. The calling card is of course the huge all-fields power, but if he can sprinkle in a handful of stolen bases – similar to how Josh Naylor (Guardians) has contributed the past two years – the extra fantasy value makes him an easy Top 50 fantasy prospect for me (and RoboScout).

High-A Pitchers (min 12 IP)

1Noah SchultzCHW99100
2Owen MurphyATL10097
3Chase DollanderCOL9191
4Jaden HammDET10091
5Luis PeralesBOS8990
6Zebby MatthewsMIN9090
7Winston SantosTEX9089
8Brett WichrowskiMIL8684
9Moises ChaceBAL8383
10Alessandro ErcolaniPIT7880
11Nolan McLeanNYM7678
12Sean SullivanCOL9377
13Cam SchlittlerNYY7877
14Edgar PortesBAL7576
15Juan Daniel EncarnacionBOS7775
16Andry LaraWSN8774
17Jake BlossHOU7474
18Aidan CurryTEX7674
19Peter HeubeckLAD7774
20Andrew MorrisMIN8473
21Rhett LowderCIN8073
22Juan NunezBAL7472
23Trevor MartinTBR7871
24Tanner McDougalCHW7771
25Mitch BrattTEX8371

Juan Daniel Encarnacion (Red Sox) jumps into the Top 15, despite not being on the list last week, after hurling ten solid innings with twelve strikeouts and only one walk and winnings South Atlantic League pitcher of the week. With a flat 92 mph four seamer paired with a 87 mph cutter, the righthander also throws a solid sweeper and a change-up.

Named a pre-season prospect to know Andrew Morris (Twins) entered at #20 this week after throwing six shutout innings with seven strikeouts. With a five-pitch mix, with each pitch garnering more than a 30% chase rate this season, the 2022 fifth round draft pick has a chance to be a high-floor starting pitcher with his deceptive over-the-top delivery.

On the Fantasy Podcast on May 7th , I mentioned 20-year old Alessandro Ercolani (Pirates) as a data standout with his a low release point and the furthest extension – at over seven feet – amongst pitchers with an IVB greater than 17 inches. Although the fastball only nominally averages 92 mph, despite those unique traits, after adding another four innings with no walks and six strikeouts to his season total, the San Marino-born right hander moves into the Top 10.

Double-A Hitters (min 45 PA)

1Agustin RamirezNYY100100
2Carson WilliamsTBR9996
3Alex FreelandLAD8890
4Moises BallesterosCHC8486
5Emmanuel RodriguezMIN8585
6Matthew LugoBOS8179
7Deyvison De Los SantosARI8376
8Jett WilliamsNYM7275
9Roman AnthonyBOS7175
10Harry FordSEA7774
11Cole YoungSEA7173
12Brady HouseWSN7773
13Zac VeenCOL7873
14Jacob WilsonOAK6971
15James TriantosCHC6670
16Mike BoeveMIL6470
17Samuel BasalloBAL6969
18Tyler LocklearSEA6868
19Marcelo MayerBOS6567
20Nacho Alvarez Jr.ATL6265
21Dylan BeaversBAL6864
22Edgar QueroCHW6164
23Colby ThomasOAK6163
24Hao-Yu LeeDET6561
25Brooks BaldwinCHW6563

Top 5 Double-A hitters Agustin Ramirez (Yankees No. 10 prospect and Moises Ballesteros (Cubs No. 7 prospect) all hit two home runs last week to entrench their positions at the top of the table.

The biggest performance though belonged to Carson Williams (Rays No. 2 prospect) who knocked three home runs, stole two bags, and catapulted to second spot in the rankings.

Deyvison De Los Santos (Diamondbacks No. 4 prospect) continues his torrid vengeance tour with another three home runs this week.Alex Freeland (Dodgers No. 27 prospect), now with 42 plate appearances in Double-A Tulsa, qualifies for the list and debuts at No. 3 after aggregating his 110 plate appearance performance from High-A. The big story out of Tulsa for the week though, was Diego Cartaya (Dodgers No. 9 prospect) quadrupling his home run output for the season with three blasts last week. Despite the power explosion, in total, the 22-year old backstop still has a weighted runs created plus below league average, a strikeout rate of 29%, and continues to show difficulty in making in-zone contact. The once lauded prospect is no longer a Top 15 catcher for fantasy according to RoboScout.

Double-A Pitchers (min 11 IP)

1Zebby MatthewsMIN94100
2Chandler ChamplainKCR10099
3Yilber DiazARI9798
4Blade TidwellNYM8896
5Justin WrobleskiLAD9196
6Miguel UllolaHOU8895
7Ben CaspariusLAD8795
8Doug NikhazyCLE9495
9Carson PalmquistCOL9194
10Zach PenrodBOS9490
11Mason BarnettKCR9190
12Jackson JobeDET8089
13Ian SeymourTBR9689
14Mason AdamsCHW9488
15Jacob MisiorowskiMIL8088
16Ian MejiaATL9187
17Ty MaddenDET9087
18Tink HenceSTL9186
19Brandon YoungBAL9186
20Braxton AshcraftPIT8385
21Tyler WoessnerMIL9784
22Troy MeltonDET8084
23Valente BellozoMIA9083
24Chase PettyCIN8282
25Jake BlossHOU7682

What more can be said about the incredible campaign that Zebby Matthews (Twins No. 17 prospect) has had in 2024. After not walking a batter in 22 innings in High-A Cedar Rapids, the 24-year old right hander has hurled another 11.1 innings in Wichita without yielding a free pass.The big jump of the week belonged to Chandler Champlain (Royals No. 8 prospect) who struck out ten batters in just over six innings, while walking only one. On the season, the 24-year old has a strikeout rate of 34.5% and a walk rate of only 5% while showing an ability to throw, on average, over 5 innings per appearance. With a solid four-pitch mix from an over-the-top delivery, headed by a 94 mph four seamer with good extension, RoboScout sees Champlain as having a chance to be a mid-rotation starter.

Triple-A Hitters (min 45 PA)

1James WoodWSN100100
2Jackson HollidayBAL9698
3Jose FerminSTL9295
4Coby MayoBAL9194
5Kyle ManzardoCLE8287
6Junior CamineroTBR8687
7Heston KjerstadBAL8386
8Miguel VargasLAD7983
9Jonah BrideMIA7780
10Joey LoperfidoHOU8079
11Andy PagesLAD7579
12Niko KavadasBOS7678
13Tyler BlackMIL7477
14Ji Hwan BaePIT7176
15Addison BargerTOR6773
16Daniel SchneemannCLE7071
17Jonatan ClaseSEA6971
18Orelvis MartinezTOR7070
19Leo JimenezTOR6370
20Owen CaissieCHC6869
21Lenyn SosaCHW6169
22Chase MeidrothBOS6269
23Javier SanojaMIA6168
24Heliot RamosSFG6168
25Enmanuel ValdezBOS5867

After mentioning him last week, Miguel Vargas (Dodgers) was called up the majors at the expense of 2023 fantasy breakout James Outman. A definite add in redraft leagues, look for potential 20 home run/20 stolen base (on a per 600 plate appearance basis) production from the now-left fielder.

Also, after MomoScout identified him as an unheralded name, Daniel Scheenman (Guardians) added another home run and maintained his wRC+ above 170. He is now in the Top 20.

The big story of Triple-A has been Brennen Davis (Cubs) who has slugged seven home runs in his last eight games. Despite the huge recent output, the former top prospect is still below average when it comes to contact rate but has cut his strike out rate to a much more acceptable 23%. The most dramatic improvement has been with his swing decisions, cutting his chase rate from 31% last year – much worse than the league average of 27% rate – to an excellent 16% in 2024, while swinging at a league average rate. RoboScout is nearly ready to call a post-hype breakout – The Cubs outfielder is at #26 – and is encouraged to see the improvement in approach at a still young 24-years old.On the bad news side of the ledger, Coby Mayo (Orioles No. 3 prospect) fractured a rib and will not play for several weeks.

Triple-A Pitchers (min 11 IP)

1Paul SkenesPIT100100
2Christian ScottNYM9292
3Jack LeiterTEX9089
4Bryan WooSEA8486
5Cade PovichBAL9181
6Louie VarlandMIN8380
7Taj BradleyTBR8479
8Matt ManningDET7678
9Mason BlackSFG7274
10Will WarrenNYY7074
11Tobias MyersMIL6973
12Bryce ElderATL7473
13David FestaMIN7773
14Brant HurterDET7472
15Elieser HernandezLAD7072
16Carson SpiersCIN6971
17Robert GasserMIL6771
18Spencer HowardSFG7670
19Alek ManoahTOR7470
20Chayce McDermottBAL6970
21Jonathan BowlanKCR7369
22Gerson GarabitoTEX7169
23Osvaldo BidoOAK7068
24Sem RobberseSTL8168
25Albert SuarezBAL7368

Judging from the fact that only five of the top 20 pitchers on the Triple-A list have never pitched in the major leagues, it is reasonable to assume that it is only a matter of time for them. Regardless of whether this is a testament to RoboScout’s in-season track record or the scourge of pitching injuries and attrition afflicting the sport, don’t be surprised if Cade Povich (Orioles No. 8 prospect), David Festa (Twins No. 5 prospect), Will Warren (Yankees No. 8 prospect), Brant Hurter (Tigers No. 14 prospect), and Chayce McDermott (Orioles No. 7 prospect) all make their major league debuts before the All-Star Break.

Happy bidding!

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