Comparing the 2022 Top 100 Prospects to the 2023 Top 100
Almost exactly one year ago, we rolled out the 2022 Baseball America Top 100 Prospects list. Now that the newest Top 100 has been unveiled, we wanted to check in on what happened to last year's Top 100 Prospects.
There are 43 players from last year's Top 100 who return to this year's Top 100. Another 34 players from last year's Top 100 have graduated from eligibility. That leaves 23 players from last year's Top 100 who were eligible to be on this year's Top 100 but were left off for whatever reason.
As you might expect, the prospects from last year's Top 100 who are not on this year's Top 100 are heavily skewed to players on the back of last year's list. Of Top 50 prospects from last season, 24 remain on this year's Top 100 and 22 have graduated. Only four players from last year's Top 50 were Top 100-eligible this year and left off of the ranking.
Of the players from 80-100 on last year's Top 100, six have graduated, six remain on this year's Top 100 and eight are unranked this year.
We'll start with a look at the players who were on both last year's Top 100 and this year's Top 100.
Here is a look at which player's from last year's Top 100 have graduated from prospect eligibility.
|3||Bobby Witt Jr.||SS||KC|
2023 Rays Top 10 Prospects Podcast
Kyle Glaser and J.J. Cooper break down the Tampa Bay Rays farm system.
And here is a look at the players from the 2022 Top 100 who did not make our 2023 Top 100, with an explanation of why.
|Leiter's control and the quality of his fastball backed up in 2022. It will have to improve to get him back on track, but he still has the stuff to leap back into the Top 100 with a solid start to 2023.|
|Yorke struggled to hit at High-A Greenville in 2022. That's concerning because Yorke's path to the majors relies very heavily on his bat, as his eventual defensive home is much more of a question.|
|The hope has long been that Martin would find a defensive home and start to hit for power. At this point, he's moving down the defensive spectrum to the outfield or second base and he's likely an on-base machine/singles hitter.|
|Gonzales isn't all that far off of this year's Top 100, but his power didn't make the jump from High-A Greensboro to Double-A Altoona. As a bat-first second baseman, that is a concern.|
|Campusano didn't miss the Top 100 by much, and he's not that far from graduating from prospect status. He's battling with Pedro Severino to be the backup catcher in San Diego.|
|The hope for House is that his 2022 season was derailed by a back injury and Covid. He'll be looking to bounce back in 2023 after posting a sub-.100 isolated power last season.|
|Watson posted strikeout rates that have to improve if he's going to have a path to the majors. Watson was demoted from Low-A last year after fanning 35% of the time.|
|Winn's command disappeared in 2022, but there is hope that it stemmed from an early season ankle injury that affected his delivery.|
|Pearson has shown he can throw as hard as almost anyone when healthy, but he can't stay healthy. A lat injury sidelined him for much of the 2022 season and at this point, he seems destined to be a reliever.|
|Freeman remains one of the Guardians' better middle infield prospects, but his problem is he has plenty of company in one of baseball's most loaded farm systems and his lack of power could make it hard for him to keep up.|
|Lee has been passed by Yainer Diaz as the Astros' catcher of the future. His arm remains one of the best in baseball.|
|Injuries didn't help, but Matos' swing got out of sorts at times in 2022. He's still quite young, but he needs to bounce back in 2023.|
|Martinez's bat speed and power are truly special, but it's hard to remain on the Top 100 when you hit .203 with a .286 on-base percentage. His approach is going to have to improve.|
|Peguero remains a very intriguing shortstop prospect, but upper-level pitchers found his vulnerabilities by giving him a heavy diet of breaking balls. He has to make adjustments to compensate.|
|Hernandez found the Arizona Complex League to be a little tougher than was expected. He still has the tools to be an above-average shortstop, but he'll have to improve his 30% strikeout rate.|
|The 2022 season was a setback for Williamson as his control and stuff dipped. He is not far from the majors, and he did improve his slider, but he needs to have better command of his curveball and changeup.|
|Balazovic's 2022 season was a disaster from start to (nearly) finish. His velocity and quality of his secondary offerings dropped and he was regularly hit hard. He has to try to get back to his 2021 form.|
|Priester's four-seam fastball has proven to be a little less than expected, but the two-seamer he's picked up to go with it is promising. He's a well-rounded starter, but one who doesn't have elite swing-and-miss stuff.|
|Mauricio has shown he can hit for power, and he continues to demonstrate that he has a chance to stick at shortstop, even if he has no hope of moving Francisco Lindor off the position. But his sub-.300 on-base percentages are quite concerning.|
|Walston's velocity varies pretty dramatically from start to start and sometimes from inning to inning. The hope remains that if he gets stronger, he can mature into being a mid-rotation starter.|
|Ramos struggled at the plate for most of 2022. He's reached the majors now, but he has a swing that leads to a lot of mishits and stung ground balls, even if he has the power to hit 20-plus home runs.|
|Nelson reached the majors last season and continues to project as a useful member of the D-backs rotation going forward. He's not far from this year's Top 100.|
|Arias struggled at the plate in his first stint in the major leagues, but he continues to be a smooth-fielding shortstop with a chance to be a solid contributor offensively.|