2024 NCAA Baseball Tournament Bracket: Projected Field Of 64 (Conference Tournament Week)
UPDATE: Our FINAL Field of 64 projection can be found here.
With just a few days until Selection Monday, things have reached a fever pitch in projecting the NCAA Tournament field.
Baseball America will update this Projected Field of 64 post daily throughout the week with all the latest results.
FINAL FIELD OF 64 PROJECTION
With Selection Monday just hours away, Ted Cahill updates our final 2024 NCAA Tournament bracket projection.
2024 NCAA Baseball Bracket (May 26 update)
| PROJECTED FIELD OF 64 | ||||
| Knoxville, Tenn. | Dallas | |||
| 1. (1) Tennessee^* | 1. (16) Dallas Baptist^* | |||
| 2. UC Irvine | 2. Mississippi State | |||
| 3. Evansville* | 3. TCU | |||
| 4. Jackson State* | 4. Tulane* | |||
| Chapel Hill, N.C. | Corvallis, Ore. | |||
| 1. (2) North Carolina^ | 1. (15) Oregon State^ | |||
| 2. Texas | 2. Duke | |||
| 3. VCU* | 3. Alabama | |||
| 4. Penn* | 4. Grand Canyon* | |||
| Lexington, Ky. | Terre Haute, Ind. | |||
| 1. (3) Kentucky^ | 1. (14) Indiana State^ | |||
| 2. West Virginia | 2. Vanderbilt | |||
| 3. Indiana | 3. Illinois | |||
| 4. Northern Kentucky* | 4. Western Michigan* | |||
| College Station, Texas | Santa Barbara, Calif. | |||
| 1. (4) Texas A&M^ | 1. (13) UC Santa Barbara^* | |||
| 2. Louisiana | 2. Arizona* | |||
| 3. UNC Wilmington* | 3. UConn | |||
| 4. Oral Roberts* | 4. San Jose State* | |||
| Fayetteville, Ark. | Charlottesville, Va. | |||
| 1. (5) Arkansas^ | 1. (12) Virginia^ | |||
| 2. Louisiana Tech | 2. East Carolina | |||
| 3. Nicholls State* | 3. St. John’s* | |||
| 4. Southeast Missouri* | 4. Army* | |||
| Clemson, S.C. | Stillwater, Okla. | |||
| 1. (6) Clemson^ | 1. (11) Oklahoma State^* | |||
| 2. San Diego* | 2. LSU | |||
| 3. James Madison | 3. Oregon | |||
| 4. Sacred Heart* | 4. Niagara* | |||
| Norman, Okla. | Raleigh, N.C. | |||
| 1. (7) Oklahoma^ | 1. (10) NC State^ | |||
| 2. Nebraska* | 2. South Carolina | |||
| 3. Georgia Tech | 3. Coastal Carolina | |||
| 4. Bryant* | 4. High Point* | |||
| Tallahassee, Fla. | Athens, Ga. | |||
| 1. (8) Florida State^* | 1. (9) Georgia^ | |||
| 2. Southern Miss* | 2. Wake Forest | |||
| 3. Florida | 3. UCF | |||
| 4. Stetson* | 4. Samford* | |||
* denotes automatic bid
^ denotes regional host
Bold denotes an automatic bid that has already been clinched
Last Four In
61. Florida ⬇️
62. Georgia Tech
63. Indiana
64. James Madison ⬇️
First Four Out
65. Kansas State ⬇️
66. Charleston ⬇️
67. California
68. Northeastern ⬇️
Next Four Out
69. Xavier
70. Louisville
71. Troy
72. Cincinnati
When does the NCAA baseball bracket come out?
The full field of 64 is released on Monday, May 27 at 12 p.m. ET, an event commonly referred to as “Selection Monday.” The 2024 NCAA Tournament is set to begin later that week with regionals on Friday, May 31. That sets the path to the 2024 Men’s College World Series, which begins Friday, June 14.
Some notes about the field
The hosting race is going down to the wire. I moved Dallas Baptist to the host line for this update, but that is predicated on the Patriots winning Sunday’s Conference USA Tournament championship game against Louisiana Tech. Duke is also still very much in the mix and can push its way to the host line with a win against Florida State in the ACC Tournament championship game.
Mississippi State and East Carolina are lurking if neither DBU nor Duke win Sunday. I find Mississippi State’s case more compelling than ECU’s, but I don’t think it is so far ahead. There’s a lot of jockeying still to be done, even with both the Bulldogs and Pirates already eliminated.
Tennessee has clinched the No. 1 overall seed. The Volunteers on Saturday beat Vanderbilt to advance to the finals of the SEC Tournament and also claimed the top spot in RPI in the process. It will be the second time in three years they are the No. 1 overall seed.
The SEC has 11 bids in this projection. That would set a record and be a controversial decision. But as it stands on Sunday morning, all 11 teams won 13 SEC games and are in the top 30 of RPI and the top 25 of KPI. I believe that the committee did not go through the trouble of adding KPI and tweaking the quadrant system only to ignore it on Selection Monday. This is a potentially unprecedented season, with the SEC so powerful in every metric.
The selection committee is also being presented a situation where five teams tied in the standings with a 13-17 record. In the past, when one of those teams has been left out, it’s been easier to justify as a team that finished off the pace. This year, these teams represent the middle tier of the SEC.
The bubble shrunk Saturday night. And it might shrink a little bit more Sunday. That’s going to cost some teams bids. If you’re bubble watching on Sunday, the Big Ten (Penn State), Sun Belt (Georgia Southern) and Coastal Athletic Association (Delaware for sure, maybe Charleston) are the tournaments to keep an eye on.
