2023 Top 100 Prospects: Notable Risers And Fallers In May Update

Image credit: Evan Carter (Photo by Ben Ludeman/Texas Rangers/Getty Images)

With the arrival of our first significant in-season Top 100 Prospects update, we wanted to also post explanations for why prospects moved up or down significantly and why prospects moved on or off the list.

In this case, we do not have any prospect who was dropped from the Top 100 Prospects list. Expect to see some in next month’s update, but as a general rule, we try to be relatively cautious in our moves just a month into the season. 

But we did have 14 prospects who moved up significantly, three who moved onto the Top 100 Prospects list (additions thanks to recent graduations) and seven who moved down significantly. With one top 10 prospect exception, we highlighted every prospect who moved up or down 10 or more spots. We have included the complete Top 100 with full movement below, so you can see how much every prospect moved, but in the case of players who moved just a couple of spots, please understand that in some cases, it may have nothing to do with the prospect themselves being re-ranked. Every prospect from No. 41 to No. 48 on the new list moved down two spots, but that was a case of prospects leapfrogging them, pushing all of them down two spots apiece.


Jackson Holliday, SS, Orioles (from No. 12 to No. 7)

Holiday’s inclusion here violates the rule of noting those players who moved up or down more than 10 spots. But moving into the Top 10 is notable in itself. Holliday needed less than a month to show that he was too advanced for Low-A and he’s so far showing he’s fully capable of handling High-A, even though he was playing high school ball at this time a year ago.

Evan Carter, OF, Rangers (from No. 22 to No. 11)

Entering the year, the biggest question revolving around Carter was whether he’d develop power to go along with his excellent command of the strike zone. So far, the results are positive. His exit velocities are up, and he’s taking advantage of the hitter-friendly environs of the Texas League.

Brett Baty, 3B, Mets (Up 10 from No. 26 to No. 16)

Baty’s demotion at the end of spring training earned a collective groan from Mets fans, but it didn’t keep the hard-hitting third baseman down for long. After Baty hit .400/.500/.886 over the first nine games of the Triple-A season he earned a promotion to the major leagues. Since that time Baty has hit .286/.344/.446 in 17 games with the Mets and earned regular at-bats. It’s easy to see why Baty is moving up—he’s a potential Rookie of the Year candidate in the early part of the season. 

Zach Neto, SS, Angels (from No. 47 to No. 26)

The Angels’ surprise promotion of Neto to the majors less than a year after he was drafted is aggressive, but Neto hasn’t looked overawed by the major leagues. His bat may suffer in the short term, but his defense has remained solid and his bat should eventually flourish.

Taj Bradley, RHP, Rays (from No. 38 to No. 27)

The Rays have gotten excellent work from Bradley when they have brought him up to the majors, although his Triple-A work has been much rockier. He looks to be a fixture in the Rays rotation at some point later this year.

Tanner Bibee, RHP, Guardians (from No. 78 to No. 29)

Bibee took a big jump in stuff last season, and he did it again this season. The Guardians helped the righthander amplify his stuff without sacrificing command of the strike zone and the results have led to a quick jump from Triple-A to the big leagues.

Masataka Yoshida, OF, Red Sox (from No. 51 to No. 40)

After a difficult stretch to open the season, Yoshida has settled in nicely in his new league. He’s in the midst of a 16-game hit streak that has pushed his overall line on the season to .321/.403/.536. He’s shown elite on-base ability and bat-to-ball skills with at least average power. Yoshida’s wRC+ of 155 ranks 15th among major league hitters. A much maligned signing this offseason, Yoshida is proving to be a smart investment by the Red Sox. 

Kyle Manzardo, 1B, Rays (from No. 55 to No. 41)

For Manzardo to be a useful big leaguer, he’s going to have to be a massive offensive force, as he’s an extremely slow first base/DH who can’t really play anywhere else. The good news for Manzardo is he’s hit everywhere he’s gone. Manzardo showed power and patience in his first month at Triple-A Durham. His career slugging percentage remains right around .600 (.599 as of May 9).

Mason Miller, RHP, Athletics (from No. 97 to No. 51)

The A’s didn’t get to see Miller pitch much until the Arizona Fall League last October. There, he showed arguably the best stuff in Arizona. After just one start at Double-A this year, he was promoted to Triple-A Las Vegas. He needed only one start there to convince the A’s that they needed him in their big league rotation. He’s been the A’s best starter since arriving in Oakland a couple of weeks ago. His continued development of his slider and cutter will be necessary for him to keep dominating, but his high-90s fastball is a true bat-misser.

Junior Caminero, 3B/OF, Rays (from No. 98 to No. 52)

The Rays are often relatively cautious with how they promote prospects, but Caminero was pushed to High-A after just 117 plate appearances at Low-A last season. He’s more than handled the jump, proving to be one of the best hitters and sluggers in the South Atlantic League. He’s extremely aggressive at the plate, but his bat-to-ball skills and significant power have him bucking for a midseason promotion to Double-A.

Matthew Liberatore, LHP, Cardinals (from No. 72 to No. 55)

After a mediocre pair of years coming out of the pandemic, Liberatore has taken strides forward in 2023. He’s added velocity onto his fastball, he now sits in the mid 90s and touches 97 mph. He’s leaned into his plus curveball and mixed in his slider and changeup to strong results. It’s only a matter of time until Liberatore earns a permanent role in the Cardinals rotation. 

Cole Young, SS, Mariners (from No. 90 to No. 75)

Young has so far lived up to his reputation as one of the best pure hitters in the 2022 draft class. The 19-year-old shortstop is batting .306/.456/.469 with more walks (21) than strikeouts (20) at Low-A Modesto, showing a precocious mix of strike-zone discipline and contact ability. Young doesn’t have any home runs yet, but he’s shown plenty of extra-base power with eight doubles and four triples and is showing the ability to impact the ball. 

Bryce Miller, RHP, Mariners (from No. 91 to No. 79)

Miller’s magnificent fastball earned him a quick promotion to the majors, where he’s delivered back-to-back dominant starts to begin his big league career. While Miller’s stuff was never in doubt, his continued control improvements have elevated him to another level. Miller has 33 strikeouts and just four walks in 31.2 innings between Triple-A and the majors this year. As he continues to answer questions about his control and durability, Miller keeps asserting that he can remain a starter. 

Dalton Rushing, C, Dodgers (from No. 96 to No. 80)

Rushing immediately impressed in the Low-A California League upon making his pro debut last summer, and he’s continued thriving in the early months in the Midwest League. He’s solidifying his rep as one of the best offensive catching prospects in the minors.

Moving On

Heston Kjerstad, OF/1B, Orioles

Kjerstad is making up quickly after spending his first year of pro ball on the injured list with effects from the coronavirus. His power has returned in 2023, and he’s adding some position versatility with significant time at first base to go with his work in the outfield.

Ronny Mauricio, SS, Mets

Mauricio has long had plenty of tools but his propensity to swing-and-miss has led to doubts about whether he’d turn them into skills. In the early portion of the season, he’s gotten his strikeout rate under control without sacrificing power, which could help him make his big league debut at some point this spring or summer.

Colt Keith, 3B, Tigers

A shoulder injury cut Keith’s 2022 season short, but he demonstrated in the Arizona Fall League that he was fully recovered. Keith’s one of the better power hitters in the Double-A Eastern League this season. After playing second and third base in past years, the Tigers have let Keith focus on third base full-time this season. If he’s going to stay in the dirt, that’s his best position, as his plus arm helps make up for fringy range.


Druw Jones, OF, D-backs (from No. 20 to No. 32)

Jones’ swing has never been textbook, but early this season he seems a little lost at the plate. He’s generally always figured it out and has shown an ability to adjust and adapt, but his lack of impact in April was notable. He had one extra-base hit in 10 games before going on the injured list with a quad injury.

Everson Pereira, OF, Yankees (from No. 71 to 85)

Pereira certainly has tools, but he needs to tone down the swing-and-miss in his game to help them play in games. In a return to Double-A after his first test was cut short by injury, Pereira is striking out at a clip of just more than 30%. The figure is almost identical to the one he produced at the same level a season ago. Pereira has missed plenty of time over the course of his career and is still just 22 years old, but he’s going to have to make more contact to reach his ceiling.

Elijah Green, OF, Nationals (from No. 53 to 86)

Green’s 45% strikeout rate so far this season is not just an unsustainable percentage, it’s one that even if he improved it by 10%, it still would remain a troubling number. Green isn’t chasing out of the zone as much as he is missing pitches to hit in the zone. He’s struck out at least once in 21 of his first 22 games, and already has nine three-strikeout games.

Ceddanne Rafaela, 2B/OF, Red Sox (from No. 64 to No. 76)

Whether it’s at shortstop or in center field, there’s little doubt that Rafaela will have defensive value once he reaches the big leagues. Now, the question is: Can he rein in his approach to take advantage of his raw tools at the plate? If he does, his stock will rebound.

Noelvi Marte, SS, Reds (from No. 57 to No. 84)

Early in 2022, there were questions about how big Marte had gotten and whether he’d stick at shortstop. In the Arizona Fall League, he began the transition to third base. Now, there are questions about whether he can hit. He got off to a very slow start in the Southern League, before a monster first week of May. Scout feedback for this list brought back serious concerns about what kind of hitter he can be in the long run.

Daniel Espino, RHP, Guardians (from No. 34 to No. 87)

Through the early portion of 2022, Espino looked like one of the best prospects in the minor leagues. He hasn’t pitched since April 29 of that year, however, and just had shoulder surgery that will keep him out between 12-14 months.

Miguel Bleis, OF, Red Sox (from No. 79 to No. 97)

Bleis has plenty of explosive tools, but evaluators early saw a swing with enough flaws that might prevent him from getting the most out of those gifts. The bat speed, foot speed and raw power are there, but he needs to fix his swing mechanics and improve his swing decisions to reach his ceiling.

Diff. Player Team Pos
1 1 0 Jackson Chourio Brewers OF
2 2 0 Jordan Walker Cardinals 3B/OF
3 3 0 Elly De La Cruz Reds SS
4 4 0 Anthony Volpe Yankees SS
5 7 2 Grayson Rodriguez Orioles RHP
6 8 2 Eury Perez Marlins RHP
7 12 5 Jackson Holliday Orioles SS
8 5 -3 Francisco Alvarez Mets C
9 6 -3 Andrew Painter Phillies RHP
10 10 0 James Wood Nationals OF
11 22 11 Evan Carter Rangers OF
12 11 -1 Jordan Lawlar D-Backs SS
13 9 -4 Marcelo Mayer Red Sox SS
14 16 2 Gavin Williams Guardians RHP
15 26 11 Brett Baty Mets 3B
16 15 -1 Diego Cartaya Dodgers C
17 17 0 Bobby Miller Dodgers RHP
18 21 3 Pete Crow-Armstrong Cubs OF
19 18 -1 Jackson Merrill Padres SS
20 19 -1 Endy Rodriguez Pirates C
21 13 -8 Kodai Senga Mets RHP
22 23 1 Brandon Pfaadt D-Backs RHP
23 24 1 Ricky Tiedemann Blue Jays LHP
24 28 4 Tyler Soderstrom A’s C/1B
25 47 22 Zach Neto Angels SS
26 38 12 Taj Bradley Rays RHP
27 29 2 Curtis Mead Rays 2B/3B
28 78 50 Tanner Bibee Guardians RHP
29 27 -2 Sal Frelick Brewers OF
30 36 6 Logan O’Hoppe Angels C
31 20 -11 Druw Jones D-Backs OF
32 25 -7 Shane Baz Rays RHP
33 33 0 Mick Abel Phillies RHP
34 35 1 Colton Cowser Orioles OF
35 30 -5 Marco Luciano Giants SS
36 31 -5 Kyle Harrison Giants LHP
37 32 -5 Colson Montgomery White Sox SS
38 37 -1 Royce Lewis Twins SS/OF
39 51 12 Masataka Yoshida Red Sox OF
40 55 15 Kyle Manzardo Rays 1B
41 39 -2 Brooks Lee Twins SS
42 40 -2 Emmanuel Rodriguez Twins OF
43 41 -2 Tink Hence Cardinals RHP
44 42 -2 Masyn Winn Cardinals SS
45 43 -2 Termarr Johnson Pirates 2B
46 44 -2 Kevin Parada Mets C
47 45 -2 Zac Veen Rockies OF
48 46 -2 Carson Williams Rays SS
49 48 -1 Michael Busch Dodgers 2B
50 97 47 Mason Miller A’s RHP
51 98 47 Junior Caminero Rays SS/3B
52 49 -3 Ryan Pepiot Dodgers RHP
53 50 -3 Gavin Stone Dodgers RHP
54 72 18 Matthew Liberatore Cardinals LHP
55 52 -3 Robert Hassell Nationals OF
56 54 -2 Owen White Rangers RHP
57 56 -1 Oswald Peraza Yankees SS
58 58 0 Harry Ford Mariners C
59 59 0 Edwin Arroyo Reds SS
60 60 0 Jasson Dominguez Yankees OF
61 61 0 Bo Naylor Guardians C
62 62 0 Dylan Lesko Padres RHP
63 63 0 Cam Collier Reds 3B
64 65 1 George Valera Guardians OF
65 66 1 Henry Davis Pirates C
66 67 1 Luis Ortiz Pirates RHP
67 68 1 D.L. Hall Orioles LHP
68 69 1 Jordan Westburg Orioles SS/3B
69 74 5 Adael Amador Rockies SS
70 75 5 Yainer Diaz Astros C
71 77 6 Logan Allen Guardians LHP
72 70 -2 Brayan Rocchio Guardians SS
73 73 0 Drew Romo Rockies C
74 90 16 Cole Young Mariners SS
75 64 -11 Ceddanne Rafaela Red Sox OF/SS
76 81 5 Max Meyer Marlins RHP
77 82 5 Kevin Alcantara Cubs OF
78 91 13 Bryce Miller Mariners RHP
79 96 17 Dalton Rushing Dodgers C
80 83 3 Alex Ramirez Mets OF
81 84 3 Connor Norby Orioles 2B
82 92 10 Ethan Salas Padres C
83 57 -26 Noelvi Marte Reds SS
84 71 -13 Everson Pereira Yankees OF
85 53 -32 Elijah Green Nationals OF
86 34 -52 Daniel Espino Guardians RHP
87 85 -2 Austin Wells Yankees C
88 86 -2 Joey Ortiz Orioles SS/2B
89 87 -2 Jonathan Aranda Rays 2B
90 88 -2 Gavin Cross Royals OF
91 89 -2 Jett Williams Mets SS
92 93 1 Edouard Julien Twins 2B
93 94 1 Joey Wiemer Brewers OF
94 95 1 Brice Turang Brewers 2B/SS
95 99 4 Cade Horton Cubs RHP
96 79 -17 Miguel Bleis Red Sox OF
97 100 3 Edgar Quero Angels C
98 NR NA Heston Kjerstad Orioles OF
99 NR NA Ronny Mauricio Mets SS
100 NR NA Colt Keith Tigers 3B

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