BA Newsletter: Get Analysis, Rankings Delivered To Your Inbox!

2023 NCAA Tournament Projected Field of 64 (5/17/23)


The first automatic bids to the 2023 NCAA Tournament will be handed out this weekend at the Ivy League and Patriot League tournaments. Selection Monday itself is less than two weeks away.

In short, it’s crunch time around college baseball. Teams will have very few opportunities to improve their standing. Most teams have just one regular-season series remaining before the frenetic week of conference tournaments begins.

The host line is firming up and there is just one change in this week’s projection. Duke, which has struggled since returning from its finals break, falls out of the host line, replaced by Dallas Baptist. The Patriots last weekend clinched the Conference USA title with a sweep of Texas-San Antonio and are up to No. 14 in RPI.

While the hosts were mostly stable this week, there’s still time for several schools to snag one of the 16 regionals. Oklahoma State is just outside the group now and could move up with a series win this weekend against Oklahoma. Auburn and Tennessee can make their case with a series win this weekend, while Alabama needs either a sweep or a strong run at the SEC Tournament. North Carolina is making another late surge toward hosting and Connecticut cannot be counted out yet, though it may need to win out.

The tournament bubble will inevitably tighten next week due to conference tournament upsets. There are a couple key series to watch this weekend, however. In the ACC, Georgia Tech boosted its hopes with a series win last weekend against Duke. Now, it hosts Virginia. Another series win would make things interesting for the Yellow Jackets. In the Big 12, TCU travels to Kansas State. They’re just a game apart in the standings and both have RPIs of about 50. The winner this weekend should feel good, while the loser might be sweating things next week at the Big 12 Tournament. In the Pac-12, Southern California could use at least one win at Arizona, while UCLA and Arizona State face off with some urgency on both sides, but especially for the Bruins. In the SEC, a home series loss last weekend has left Texas A&M needing a series win at Mississippi State.

For further bubble analysis, check out Bubble Watch. Baseball America will continue to update the projected field weekly throughout the spring.

Winston-Salem, N.C.
Terre Haute, Ind.
1. (1) Wake Forest*^1. (16) Indiana State^*
2. East Carolina*2. Tennessee
3. UC Irvine3. Iowa
4. Davidson*4. Wright State*
Fayetteville, Ark.Dallas
1. (2) Arkansas^*1. (15) Dallas Baptist^*
2. Oklahoma State2. Texas
3. Southern California3. Texas A&M
4. Oral Roberts*4. Sam Houston State*
Gainesville, Fla.Brighton, Mass.
1. (3) Florida^1. (14) Boston College^
2. Oregon2. Connecticut*
3. Florida Gulf Coast*3. Northeastern*
4. Maine*4. Army*
Baton Rouge, La.Columbia, S.C.
1. (4) LSU^1. (13) South Carolina^
2. Southern Miss2. Duke
3. TCU3. Texas Tech
4. Nicholls State*4. Mercer*
Stanford, Calif.Coral Gables, Fla.
1. (5) Stanford^*1. (12) Miami^
2. Auburn2. Alabama
3. UC Santa Barbara3. Kansas State
4. Loyola Marymount*4. Central Connecticut State*
Clemson, S.C.Lexington, Ky.
1. (6) Clemson^1. (11) Kentucky^
2. Campbell*2. Indiana
3. Oklahoma3. Notre Dame
4. Air Force*4. Morehead State*
Morgantown, W.V.Charlottesville, Va.
1. (7) West Virginia^*1. (10) Virginia^
2. Oregon State2. Maryland*
3. Texas State3. Cal State Fullerton*
4. Kent State*4. Pennsylvania*
Conway, S.C.Nashville
1. (8) Coastal Carolina^*1. (9) Vanderbilt^
2. North Carolina2. Washington
3. Arizona State3. Troy
4. Fairfield*4. Alabama State*

* denotes automatic bid
^ denotes regional host

Chase Davis Courtesyarizonaathletics

2023 Draft Stock Watch: 10 Risers On The May BA 500 Update

Breaking down 10 significant up-arrow prospects on the first edition of the BA 500.

Last Four In

UC Irvine
Notre Dame
Southern California

First Four Out

North Carolina State
Texas-San Antonio

Next Four Out

UNC Wilmington
Georgia Tech

Bids By Conference

10: SEC
8: ACC
7: Big 12
6: Pac-12
4: Sun Belt
3: Big Ten, Big West

Are you a member?

In order to access this exclusive content you must have a Baseball America Account. 

Login or sign up  

Additionally, you can subscribe to Baseball America's newsletter and receive all of our rankings, analysis, prospect insight & more delivered to your inbox every day. Click here to get started. 

of Free Stories Remaining