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2021 Dynasty Hot 100: Your Fantasy Draft Guide To First-Year Players

Even in a typical year, your dynasty league’s first-year player draft can be a challenge to navigate, simply because of the high volume of players.

But 2020 was anything but typical. Because of the pandemic, only one 2020 draft pick—White Sox lefthander Garrett Crochet—appeared in an official pro game. Every other player who turned pro in 2020 had his season shortened by the pandemic. High schools and colleges stopped playing in March. International amateurs saw the opening of the signing period pushed from July to January. 

Thus dynasty leaguers must contend with less performance data and fewer in-person looks than ever before. That makes scouting information you can trust more important than ever, and that’s where Baseball America can help with its second annual Dynasty Hot 100 ranking of first-year players.

Just like last year, draft guru Carlos Collazo and international guru Ben Badler provide BA subscribers with invaluable context and updated information on the top 100 prospects you should be looking at in first-year player drafts.

And since our first installment in early February, we’ve continued to gather information on first-year prospects. Our March 19th update includes several risers and new additions to the list: 

PODCAST: Carlos, Ben and Matt discuss the 2021 Hot 100

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H stands for batting/pitching hand, where an asterisk (*) denotes lefthanded, blank signifies righthanded and a pound sign (#) means switch-hitter.
— We have omitted signing bonuses for international players until, it most cases, they become official.
BA Grades appear in the 2021 Prospect Handbook and estimate players’ projected major league value on the 20-80 scouting scale. Click through each player to access all scouting reports we have on file for him.

Rk H Player Pos Org Age Source T100 BA500 Bonus Grade Risk ETA
1   Spencer Torkelson 1B DET 21 4YR 5 1 $8,416,300 70 High 2022
High-probability offensive tools with top-of-the-scale power potential; middle-of-the-order masher
2   Austin Martin SS TOR 22 4YR 19 2 $7,000,825 65 High 2022
Elite hit tool with proven track record against SEC pitching; athleticism to offer defensive versatility
3   Ha-Seong Kim 2B SDP 25 IFA 78 55 High 2021
Kim is your best bet for a position player who will deliver immediate value this year as a well-rounded player who could be an above-average hitter and play multiple positions.
4   Nick Gonzales 2B PIT 22 4YR 51 5 $5,432,400 55 High 2022
Chance for high-end hit tool at a middle infield spot; questions about power potential & usable speed
5 * Zac Veen OF COL 19 HS 86 7 $5,000,000 60 Extreme 2024
Chance for above-average bat and plus or better power; corner profile with average speed
6   Max Meyer RHP MIA 22 4YR 44 10 $6,700,000 60 High 2022
Explosive two-pitch combination with fastball and slider; chance to miss plenty of bats in starting role
7 * Asa Lacy LHP KCR 22 4YR 37 3 $6,670,000 60 High 2022
Loud stuff from the left side, chance for above-average arsenal across the board with solid control
8 * Robert Hassell OF SDP 19 HS 85 16 $4,300,000 60 Extreme 2024
Best pure hitter in 2020 prep class; well-rounded profile with chance for solid power/speed combo
9 * Heston Kjerstad OF BAL 22 4YR 62 13 $5,200,000 60 High 2022
Corner outfield profile with standout power potential; homers in college came with high whiff rate
10 * Garrett Mitchell OF MIL 22 4YR 91 6 $3,242,900 60 Extreme 2023
Outstanding raw toolset; elite runner, center field profile with raw power—medical, hit tool risks
11   Cristian Hernandez SS CHC 17 IFA 2026
Chance to be an impact, middle-of-the-lineup hitter with advanced swing mechanics and power for his age.
12 * Tyler Soderstrom C OAK 19 HS 92 18 $3,300,000 60 Extreme 2024
Advanced prep bat with plus hit & power potential; impressed at A’s alternate site; catcher questions
13   Emerson Hancock RHP SEA 22 4YR 57 4 $5,700,000 60 High 2022
Well-rounded arsenal with chance for plus command; questions about FB/SL impact, swing & miss rate
14 * Garrett Crochet LHP CWS 22 4YR 74 15 $4,547,500 55 High 2021
High-octane fastball with proven ability to miss bats in the bigs; injury questions and reliever risk
15 * Carlos Colmenarez SS TBR 17 IFA 2026
Lefthanded-hitting middle infielder with a sweet, easy stroke from the left side, impressive bat speed and power for his size.
16 * Austin Hendrick OF CIN 20 HS 97 9 $4,000,000 60 Extreme 2024
Best raw power in 2020 prep class; Chance for prototypical right field profile but high-risk
17   Aaron Sabato 1B MIN 22 4YR 35 $2,750,000 50 High 2023
Elite raw power, strong track record of production in ACC; 1B only with limited defensive value/speed
18 * Reid Detmers LHP LAA 21 4YR 8 $4,670,000 55 High 2022
Polished college lefthander with advanced command, hammer curve; velocity could cap upside
19 * Pete Crow-Armstrong OF NYM 19 HS 17 $3,359,000 55 Very High 2024
Safe prep profile with 70-grade run, defense tools in center field; feel for the barrel but impact questions
20   Cade Cavalli RHP WAS 22 4YR 22 $3,027,000 55 High 2023
Picturesque delivery/frame with better pure stuff than college performance; breakout pro candidate
21   Mick Abel RHP PHI 19 HS 99 11 $4,075,000 60 Extreme 2024
Well-rounded with few holes to speak of outside of track record; top-of-the-rotation upside
22   Wilman Diaz SS LAD 17 IFA 2026
Promising mix of tools, athleticism and in-game skills for his age, including a sound swing and power with a chance to stay at shortstop.
23   J.T. Ginn RHP NYM 22 4YR 23 $2,900,000 55 Extreme 2023
When healthy, showed potential 70s with FB and SL with good command; Tommy John adds risk
24 * Austin Wells C NYY 21 4YR 21 $2,500,000 50 High 2023
Offensive-oriented backstop with strong college power production; needs to refine defense to stick
25   Cole Wilcox RHP SDP 21 4YR 24 $3,300,000 55 Very High 2023
Physical righthander with big fastball; carries reliever risk given spotty command history, secondaries
26   Jared Kelley RHP CWS 19 HS 12 $3,000,000 55 Extreme 2024
Power armed prep means plenty of risk, but size and and ease of operation could make him an outlier
27   Slade Cecconi RHP ARI 22 4YR 32 $2,384,900 55 High 2023
Strong combination of size, pure stuff and command; needs to prove health and durability in pro ball
28   Bobby Miller RHP LAD 22 4YR 28 $2,197,500 55 High 2023
Power arm with electric fastball/slider combination; needs to refine command/sequencing to start
29   Justin Foscue 2B TEX 22 4YR 36 $3,250,000 50 High 2023
College performer with above-average hit/power potential; defensive limitations and mild toolset
30   Nick Loftin SS KCR 22 4YR 29 $3,000,000 50 High 2023
Solid-average all-around toolset, more than sum-of-his-parts type; should stick in middle infield
31   Jordan Westburg SS BAL 22 4YR 33 $2,365,500 50 High 2023
Plus runner with plus raw power; should stick on the left side of the infield; needs to cut down whiffs
32   Ed Howard SS CHC 19 HS 20 $3,745,500 55 Extreme 2024
Instinctual and nuanced defensive shortstop; overall upside reliant on all-around offensive growth
33   Jordan Walker 3B STL 19 HS 34 $2,900,000 55 Extreme 2024
Long limbed corner infield with plus power potential; moves well but still could move to 1B long-term
34   Tanner Burns RHP CLE 22 4YR 26 $1,600,000 50 High 2022
Plus fastball but solid SEC starting track record due to advanced command than overwhelming stuff
35   Chris McMahon RHP COL 22 4YR 30 $1,637,400 50 High 2023
Three above-average pitches with solid control; mid-rotation upside but some injury history adds risk
36 # Gage Workman 3B DET 21 4YR 51 $1,000,000 50 High 2023
Athletic third baseman with above-average power potential and above-average speed; strikeout questions
37   Bryce Jarvis RHP ARI 23 4YR 37 $2,650,000 55 High 2023
Big strides with stuff, command in draft season; pro bloodlines but struggled at D-Backs alternate site
38 * Daniel Cabrera OF DET 22 4YR 42 $1,210,000 50 High 2023
Professional hitter with simple swing; corner profile and limited supplemental tools puts pressure on power development
39 * Kyle Harrison LHP SFG 19 HS 71 $2,497,500 55 Extreme 2025
Advanced prep southpaw with depthy breaking ball, starter traits; big velocity gains in instructs
40 * Jared Shuster LHP ATL 22 4YR 43 $2,197,500 50 High 2023
Pitchability lefty with plus changeup, average FB/SL; upside depends on velo, breaking ball improvement
41   Carson Tucker SS CLE 19 HS 61 $2,000,000 50 High 2025
Draft riser after physical growth, increased speed; pro bloodlines, all-around toolset, feel for the barrel
42   Cole Henry RHP WAS 21 4YR 44 $2,000,000 50 High 2023
Physical righthander with plus fastball, downer curve; needs to improve consistency, command
43   Nick Bitsko RHP TBR 19 HS 19 $3,000,000 55 Extreme 2025
Upside northeast arm with plus FB/CB combination; extreme risk given track record, labrum surgery
44   Pedro Pineda OF OAK 17 IFA 2026
One of the top power/speed threats in the international class, some length to his stroke but plenty of bat speed and athleticism at a premium position.
45   Maikol Hernandez SS BAL 17 IFA 2026
You can shoot for upside with Hernandez, who has grown taller (6-foot-4) and leaner, with promising athleticism, power and speed if everything clicks.
46 * Isaiah Greene OF NYM 19 HS 49 $850,000 50 Extreme 2024
Advanced feel for the barrel, unfazed by velocity and high-end stuff; tweener outfield profile
47   C.J. Van Eyk RHP TOR 22 4YR 46 $1,797,500 50 High 2023
High-floor type with average-ish tools across the board, repeatable delivery and starter track record
48 * Zach DeLoach OF SEA 22 4YR 87 $1,729,800 50 High 2023
Bat, offensive approach is the calling card; on-base skills, controls the zone but limited power & speed
49   Masyn Winn SS/RHP STL 19 HS 47 $2,100,000 55 Extreme 2025
Explosive athlete with real two-way ability; speed and power as a hitter, FB up to 98 on the mound
50 * Dax Fulton LHP MIA 19 HS 52 $2,400,000 50 Extreme 2025
High-upside lefty with projectable frame and current hammer curve; recovering from TJ, needs innings
51   Jared Jones RHP PIT 19 HS 41 $2,200,000 55 Extreme 2025
Uber-athletic prep two-way player with premium stuff on the mound; high risk given effort, physicality
52   Carmen Mlodzinski RHP PIT 22 4YR 25 $2,050,000 50 High 2023
Safe college starter profile; good command but sinker FB, inconsistent secondaries could limit upside
53   Alex Santos RHP HOU 19 HS 45 $1,250,000 55 Extreme 2025
Starter traits with high-spin fastball, feel for spinning breaking balls, but a high-risk demographic
54   Freddy Zamora SS MIL 22 4YR 73 $1,150,000 55 Extreme 2024
Plus defender with 55-grade speed when healthy, average bat; torn ACL prevented draft season
55   Justin Lange RHP SDP 19 HS 50 $2,000,000 50 Extreme 2025
Big-time risk/reward type with massive arm talent, FB up to 98; rudimentary skills across the board
56   Jeff Criswell RHP OAK 22 4YR 53 $1,000,000 45 High 2024
Arm strength righty up to 98 with potential plus breakers; effort and control questions add reliever risk
57   Nick Garcia RHP PIT 22 4YR 56 $1,200,000 50 Very High 2024
Conversion arm with surprisingly advanced starter traits, deep pitch mix; short track record on the mound
58   Casey Schmitt 3B SFG 22 4YR 76 $1,147,500 50 High 2023
Plus defensive potential at 3B with big arm; pure hitter in college but questions about in-game power
59   Nick Yorke 2B BOS 19 HS 96 $2,700,000 50 Extreme 2024
Risky prep 2B profile but chance for plus hit tool with impressive bat speed, approach; limited toolset
60   Cristian Santana SS DET 17 IFA           2026
Santana was one of the better hitters in games in the Dominican Republic, with a short, compact stroke and potential 15-plus home run power.
61 * Evan Carter OF TEX 18 HS $1,250,000 50 Extreme 2025
Under-the-radar draftee who Texas paid handsomely; Five-tool potential with power/speed combo; strong instructs performance
62   Danny De Andrade SS MIN 17 IFA 2026
One of the top international prospects, De Andrade should stick somewhere in the dirt, with a chance to hit and hit for power.
63   Manuel Beltre SS TOR 17 IFA 2026
Other international prospects have bigger raw tools, but Beltre has a compact swing and is one of the best pure hitters in the class.
64   Jackson Bryan Chourio SS MIL 17 IFA 2026
Chourio projects to play somewhere in the middle of the diamond, with an exciting package of power and speed.
65   AJ Vukovich 3B ARI 19       $1,250,000 50 Extreme 2024
Vukovich could end up at 1B, but even so, he has a promising combination of patience and outstanding raw power.
66   Denzer Guzman SS LAA 17 IFA 2026
A likely third baseman, Guzman has a sound swing with good bat speed and power potential, one of the most advanced offensive players in the international class.
67 * Manuel Pena SS ARI 17 IFA 2026
A probably 3B/2B, Pena is one of the top offensive threats from the Dominican Republic, with an advanced lefty swing and projectable power.
68 * Starlin Aguilar 3B SEA 17 IFA 2026
Aguilar is one of the most advanced pure hitters in the class with a sweet lefty swing, good bat speed and power, though he will probably start at third base and has some first-base risk.
69   Clayton Beeter RHP LAD 22 4YR 58 $1,196,500 50 High 2023
Loud two-pitch combo with high-spin heater, downer CB; lack of third pitch & control lead to reliever risk
70 * David Calabrese OF LAA 18 HS 67 $744,200 45 Extreme 2025
70-grade runner should stick in center field; bat-to-ball skills but lacks power with small frame
71   Hudson Haskin OF BAL 22 4YR 211 $1,906,800 45 High 2024
Well-rounded toolset with chance for solid power/speed combo; swing has a lot of moving parts
72   Pedro Leon OF HOU 23 IFA 2024
Leon got the biggest bonus in the international class ($4 million), but a lot of teams didn’t see much of him; he has big power, but we need to see him tested against better pitching.
73 * Yeison Morrobel OF TEX 17 IFA 2026
Morrobel is a lean, athletic outfielder with a fast, high-contact bat and lots of strength projection to hit for power, though as he fills out he could end up in a corner.
74   Daniel Vazquez SS KCR 17 IFA 2026
Vazquez projects as an athletic shortstop with ample strength projection remaining his frame, giving him a chance to drive the ball with impact as he fills out.
75   Yhoswar Garcia OF PHI 19 IFA 2025
Garcia signed last year in March, so he might still be eligible in your league; he’s an outstanding athlete with well above-average speed, though uncertainty comes with his hitting given the limitations from the pandemic.
76 # Patrick Bailey C SFG 22 4YR 14 $3,797,500 50 High 2023
Advanced, polished defensive catcher with above-average raw power; fringy hit tool from both sides
77 * Samuel Zavala OF SDP 16 IFA 2026
Zavala has a lot of hitterish tendencies, with a knack for barreling balls from the left side, an all-fields approach and emerging power as he’s getting stronger.
78   Christian Roa RHP CIN 22 4YR 64 $1,543,600 50 Very High 2023
Solid-average four-pitch mix with solid control provide high floor; back-of-the-rotation starter type
79   Blaze Jordan 3B BOS 18 HS 90 $1,750,000 50 Extreme 2025
Famous prep power bat; massive raw power is the calling card, risk to move from 3B to 1B
80 * Danyer Cueva SS TEX 17 IFA 2026
The Rangers scored Maximo Acosta and Luisangel Acuña out of Venezuela; they have another talented Venezuelan infielder this year in Cueva, a high-contact hitter with a smooth stroke.
81   Alerick Soularie OF MIN 21 4YR 175 $900,000 50 High 2024
Old-school hitter with crouched, handsy swing; lacks power to profile in corner outfield, chance for 2B
82   Yoelqui Cespedes OF CWS 23 IFA 2024
Cespedes has good bat speed and power for his size, but teams have minimal scouting looks at him recently in part due to the pandemic, so we need to see how he fares against better arms.
83 * Ariel Almonte OF CIN 17 IFA 2026
Almonte is a physical 6-foot-4 outfielder with a relatively compact swing for someone his size, with a sound grasp of the strike zone for his age and a chance to hit for plus power.
84   Coby Mayo 3B BAL 19 HS 79 $1,750,000 45 Extreme 2025
Plus-plus raw power out of a large, physical frame with plenty of arm for the hot corner; bat needs time
85   Dillon Dingler C DET 22 4YR 27 $1,952,300 50 High 2024
Athletic backstop with strong defensive skills; shortened 2020 season prevented potential offensive breakout
86 # Zavier Warren C MIL 22 4YR 122 $575,000 50 Very High 2024
Solid on-base skills, baseball IQ & average toolset; value reliant on ability to stick behind the plate
87 * Nick Swiney LHP SFG 22 4YR 85 $1,197,500 50 High 2024
Reliever-turned-starter showed improved control in small sample; funky lefty with FB into mid-90s
88   Casey Martin SS PHI 22 4YR 38 $1,300,000 50 Extreme 2024
First-round caliber toolset with plus power, speed, defense; approach, consistency are huge questions
89   Jose Fernandez SS ARI 17 4YR           2026
One of the best sleepers in the international class, Fernandez has huge physical upside with a chance to be an impact hitter who could stay at shortstop.
90   Miguel Bleis OF BOS 17 IFA 2026
Bleis sticks out for his lean, athletic frame and physical upside in center field as the top signing in Boston’s international class.
91 # Victor Acosta SS SDP 17 IFA 2026
Acosta’s value stems from his true shortstop skills, with a slashing offensive approach from both sides and more impact from the left side.
92   Alika Williams SS TBR 22 4YR   31 $1,850,000 50 High 2024
Top defensive SS in 2020 class, fluid and smooth defender; contact skills but little power limits offense
93   Kyle Nicolas RHP MIA 22 4YR 68 $1,129,700 45 High 2024
Power arm with FB up to 100, firm slider up to 90; needs third pitch to start, heavy reliever risk
94 # Abel Bastidas SS DET 17 IFA 2026
Long, lanky switch-hitter with a knack for finding the barrel and the physical projection to grow into more power and a chance to stick at shortstop, though he might outgrow the position.
95   Hans Montero SS NYY 17 IFA 2026
Montero is steady across the board, a middle infielder with a compact swing, good bat speed and a line-drive approach.
96   Ambioris Tavarez SS ATL 17 IFA 2026
Likely ticketed for third base or a corner outfield spot, Tavarez has big bat speed and power potential.
97   Ian Seymour LHP TBR 22 4YR   93 $1,243,600 45 High 2024
Deceptive southpaw with average FB, above-average CH; ultra competitive and could wind up in pen
98   Gabriel Gonzalez OF SEA 17 IFA 2026
A strong, stocky outfielder, Gonzalez could end up in a corner, but he has hit well in games with power, albeit with an aggressive approach he may have to reign in.
99   Armando Cruz SS WAS 17 IFA 2026
Cruz is a defensive wizard, which won’t help much other than in his ability to stick at shortstop, with a split camp on his bat but solid contact skills and a high baseball IQ in all facets of the game.
100 * Samuel Basallo C BAL 16 IFA 2026
If you’re comfortable with 16-year-old catchers, Basallo is worth a roster spot; he’s huge for a catcher, but he has a compact swing and huge power for his age.

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