One Breakout Hitting Prospect For Every Team Hiding Behind Ordinary Stat Lines

Image credit: Enddy Azocar (Brian Westerholt/Four Seam Images)
Earlier this offseason, we highlighted hitting prospects in the American League and National League who stood out both for their back-of-the-baseball-card statistics and under-the-hood Statcast metrics.
How much underlying data translates to on-field performance can vary. As a result, there’s another subset of potential breakout hitters who have impressive traits, but their surface stats don’t necessarily reflect that.
One recent example is Roman Anthony after his start to the 2023 season with Low-A Salem. In 202 plate appearances, Anthony hit .228/.376/.316 with one home run. But his underlying data jumped off the page: he had a 14% in-zone whiff rate, 17% chase rate, 36% hard-hit rate and a 104.6 mph 90th percentile exit velocity. The Red Sox knew that and promoted him to Greenville on June 11, and the rest is history. Anthony dominated every subsequent level and when he graduated, he was the top-ranked prospect in baseball.
The players below are unlikely to reach Anthony’s level, but they still have breakout potential. Below, you can find one such hitting prospect from every team whose surface stats this season don’t align with their underlying data, indicating they are bounceback candidates or could take a step forward in 2026.
— AL East —
Baltimore Orioles
Yasmil Bucce, C/1B
The 21-year-old Venezuelan made the jump to a full-season affiliate in 2025 after spending four years between the Dominican Summer League and Florida Complex League. He spent most of the year in Low-A before an August promotion to High-A. Overall, he hit .241/.388/.378 with eight home runs in 394 plate appearances.
While those seem like relatively modest power numbers, Bucce’s underlying data is impressive. He hits the ball extremely hard, with his average exit velocity of 93.1 mph, 90th percentile exit velocity of 107.1 mph and max exit velocity of 113.3 mph all well above expected for his age and level. He also displays a patient approach with an 18% walk rate and 14% chase rate.
If Bucce can refine his angles and pull the ball more consistently, he could take a step forward with his power production in 2026 and become an intriguing prospect, especially if he can stick behind the plate.
Boston Red Sox
Enddy Azocar, OF
Azocar’s season line of .232/.302/.355 is largely carried by his strong start in the FCL, where he hit .385/.448/.558 in 58 plate appearances and ranked as the 13th-best prospect for 2025. He spent the rest of the season in Low-A hitting .202/.273/.314 in 287 plate appearances.
Azocar doesn’t turn 19 until February, so he was extremely young for the level in 2025. His underlying data shows an intriguing blend of power and contact ability. His 105.4 mph 90th percentile exit velocity and 110.6 mph max ranked near the top of players his age across all of the minors, and he also showed solid contact ability with an in-zone whiff rate of 18%.
The biggest area holding Azocar back right now is his batted-ball angles, as he had a 44% groundball rate and a low hard-hit launch angle. If he can elevate the ball more, his overall offensive performance—and especially his power production—could progress in 2026.
New York Yankees
Lombard Jr. returned to the Carolina League to start 2025 and dominated, hitting .329/.495/.488 in 111 plate appearances. He was quickly promoted to Double-A Somerset, where he got his first taste of the high minors and struggled, hitting .215/.337/.358 in 469 plate appearances. Overall, he slashed .235/.367/.381, but still ranks as the top prospect in the Yankees’ system heading into next year.
Lombard was promoted to Somerset a month before he turned 20 and was one of the youngest position players in the Eastern League in 2025. Even with his youth and overall underwhelming surface stats, his combination of impact ability and hit tool is evident in his underlying data. His 103.2 mph 90th percentile exit velocity and 111.1 mph max EV are above-average for his age, and his 16% chase rate is very impressive.
Lombard’s contact rates are more average, however. Slight hit tool improvements to go along with increased bat speed to allow him to get to fastballs up in the zone and pull the ball in the air more are keys to unlocking his offensive potential.
Tampa Bay Rays
Flewelling held his own as an 18-year-old in his professional debut in Low-A, hitting .230/.393/.341. He recently ranked 10th in the Rays’ system and even though he only hit six home runs in 2025, his batted-ball data indicates he has a lot more power production coming.
Flewelling’s 90th percentile exit velocity of 105.1 mph and max EV of 109.7 mph are excellent for both his age and level. He combines that impact ability with quality angles, including above-average air-pull and barrel rates. He also shows a patient approach with a low chase rate of 18% and high walk rate of 20.4%.
Flewelling’s contact ability is closer to average, but with his combination of underlying data, he looks primed to take a step forward offensively in 2026.
Toronto Blue Jays
Sean Keys, 3B
The Blue Jays selected Keys out of Bucknell in the fourth round of the 2024 draft. He had 98 plate appearances in Low-A Dunedin after signing and was assigned to High-A Vancouver to start 2025. He spent the entire season there, hitting .217/.365/.408 with 19 home runs. He walked 16% of the time and struck out in 22% of his plate appearances.
Even though Keys only hit .217, his underlying data indicates there’s more upside with his hit tool. His BABIP was only .250, and his underlying contact metrics are solid. His overall contact rate was just over 76% while his in-zone whiff rate was only 16%. His 17% chase rate shows he also makes solid swing decisions. Keys’ batted-ball data was also impressive, highlighted by a 104.8 mph 90th percentile exit velocity and 112.1 mph max EV.
With solid underlying data, Keys looks due for positive regression and has the makings of a balanced offensive profile.
— AL Central —
Chicago White Sox
Kyle Lodise, SS
The 22-year-old Lodise was Chicago’s third-round pick in 2025 out of Georgia Tech. After signing, he was sent to High-A Winston-Salem for his professional debut but struggled, hitting .185/.319/.370 with four home runs, a 13% walk rate and 19% strikeout rate in 113 plate appearances.
Even though Lodise’s surface stats were lackluster, his underlying data indicates he should have at least average contact ability and raw power. He rarely missed pitches in the zone (14% in-zone whiff rate), and his max EV of 108.5 mph is average for his age and level. His angles were also encouraging, especially his hard-hit launch angle of 19.7 degrees.
Lodise should have a better feel for what to expect from pro pitching in 2026, and if he can make the necessary adjustments, he could take a step forward at the plate.
Cleveland Guardians
Jaison Chourio, OF
Chourio isn’t the same caliber of prospect as his older brother, Jackson, but he still ranks inside the top 10 of the Guardians’ system. He made the jump to High-A in 2025, hitting .237/.379/.286 for a line that was down across the board compared to his numbers in Low-A in 2024. The biggest decrease came in his slugging percentage, which was .398 in Low-A.
Even though Chourio’s surface-level power statistics declined considerably, his exit velocities only decreased marginally. His 90th percentile exit velocity decreased 0.3 mph to 102.5 mph, and his max EV decreased 1.2 mph to 109.6 mph. Part of that decrease could be attributed to a shoulder injury, and even so, those numbers still remain above-average for his age.
Chourio’s contact metrics still remained solid, and if he comes back healthy in 2026 with improved angles, he could reestablish himself as one of the Guardians’ top position player prospects.
Detroit Tigers
Jack Penney, 2B/SS
The 23-year-old Penney spent the majority of his first full professional season in High-A Lakeland, but only played in 83 games after a May injury kept him out for over a month. He hit .243/.372/.340 with 17 extra-base hits and a solid walk rate of 15% compared to a 22% strikeout rate.
Penney’s underlying data shows a very well-rounded skill set. His 104.5 mph 90th percentile exit velocity and 110.2 mph max EV were both above-average for his age and level, and his contact rates were similarly impressive. His in-zone whiff was 16%, and his overall miss rate was 24%. His barrel rate was also slightly above-average, but his angles need some work.
If Penney can take a step forward in those areas, he has the chance to see his offensive production improve in 2026.
Kansas City Royals
Henry Ramos, OF
In his fourth professional season, the 20-year-old Ramos got his first exposure to a full-season affiliate, hitting .224/.327/.302 between the ACL and Low-A. His 13% walk rate and 22% strikeout rate were encouraging, but he only hit one home run and had 15 extra-base hits total.
Ramos’ underlying data suggests he has more power potential than he showed in 2025. His 90th percentile exit velocity was 104.5 mph and his max EV was 111.7 mph—numbers well above-average for his age and level and substantial increases from 2024. His overall contact rate was slightly above-average, too, at 73%, indicating he has the potential to make enough contact to allow him to tap into his raw power if he can make adjustments with his batted-ball angles. Ramos’ air-pull and barrel rates were both below average in 2025, and he had a 56% groundball rate.
Given Ramos possesses intriguing secondary skills, including the best outfield arm in the Royals’ system and plus speed, he could see his prospect status rise with some slight mechanical adjustments.
Minnesota Twins
Brandon Winokur, 3B/SS/OF
The 20-year-old Winokur saw his surface stats regress across the board after jumping to High-A in 2025. Overall, he hit .226/.304/.388 in 529 plate appearances, compared to .249/.327/.434 in Low-A in 2024.
Even though Winokur’s surface stats backed up, his underlying data actually improved. His 90th percentile exit velocity increased from 104.6 mph in 2024 to 106 mph and his max EV rose from 111.2 mph to 113.5 mph. Both those numbers are well above-average now and show that he has premium impact ability if he can make enough contact. Winokur’s overall contact rate and in-zone whiff rate also improved, though both still remain below average. His contact rate jumped from 62% to 66%, and his in-zone whiff rate went from 29% to 26%. The only area that really backed up was his swing decisions, as his chase rate rose from 31% to 34%.
Even as his surface numbers regressed, the underlying data suggests it was still a productive season for Winokur. If he continues to improve like he did last year, he could be a prospect to watch in 2026.
— AL West —
Athletics
Darwing Ozuna, OF
Ozuna signed with the Athletics for $1 million as part of their 2025 international class. He made his debut in the DSL, hitting .211/.301/.311 in 103 plate appearances. He was limited to only 35 games by a hamate injury and produced only five extra-base hits.
Ozuna’s stat line masks his premium power potential. His 6-foot-3 frame has plenty of projection left, and his exit velocities in 2025 were near the top of the scale for his age and level. His 90th percentile exit velocity of 105.2 mph ranks inside the top 10 for all minor leaguers under 18, and his max EV of 110.7 mph was also well above-average for his age.
Ozuna’s other underlying data doesn’t jump out as much, but few players possess his raw power. It could be only a matter of time before it starts to translate in games.
Houston Astros
Joseph Sullivan, OF
Sullivan was the Astros’ seventh-round pick in 2024 out of South Alabama. He played 20 games with Low-A Fayetteville after signing and moved up to High-A Asheville to start 2025. He played 75 games there, hitting .233/.411/.462 before receiving a late-season promotion to Double-A Corpus Christi, where he struggled in 31 games, hitting .191/.357/.264. Overall across the two levels, he hit .220/.395/.403 with 17 home runs in 481 plate appearances.
Sullivan’s underlying data shows he has a balanced offensive profile with the potential for an average hit tool and average raw power. His 90th percentile exit velocity of 106.9 mph and 111.6 mph max EV are both above-average, while his contact rates are more average. Sullivan makes good swing decisions and his 13% chase rate was the lowest in the Astros’ system among players with at least 150 plate appearances.
Sullivan can get passive, though, with only a 35% swing rate, and he could stand to be more aggressive on pitches in the zone. He also needs to improve his angles, especially to the pull side, to maximize his offensive upside.
Los Angeles Angels
Joswa Lugo, SS
Lugo received the eighth-highest bonus in the 2024 international class, signing for $2.3 million with the Angels. After a strong debut in the DSL in 2024, he made the jump stateside in 2025, hitting .271/.375/.372 with limited game power and only two home runs in 152 plate appearances. He ranked sixth in the Angels’ system heading into 2026.
Lugo’s underlying data indicates he has a power-over-hit profile, which is the opposite of his baseball card stats. His 107.4 mph 90th percentile exit velocity and 113.5 mph max EV are outstanding for his age. His contact rates are closer to fringy right now, however, and his approach and swing decisions need some work. Lugo’s angles also need to be optimized, but few players his age can match his ability to impact the baseball.
Seattle Mariners
Jared Sundstrom, OF
The 24-year-old Sundstrom struggled in his first go-around in the upper minors minors in 2025, hitting .219/.297/.374 in Double-A. His strikeout rate increased, and his walk rate decreased compared to an impressive 2024 campaign in which he hit .263/.380/.434 in High-A.
Even while his surface-level stats declined this year, Sundstrom still showed some intriguing underlying power metrics. His 103.9 mph 90th percentile exit velocity and 109.6 mph max EV were slightly above-average for his age, and his batted-ball angles remained solid. His 90th percentile EV actually increased 1.6 mph, but his contact rate declined and chase rate spiked. If he can return to his 2024 rates in those areas but maintain his exit velocity gains, he could be primed for a bounce back in 2026.
Texas Rangers
Dylan Dreiling, OF
Dreiling was the Rangers’ second-round pick in 2024 out of Tennessee. After signing, he made his debut in High-A, where he hit .198/.340/.279 over 24 games. He returned to High-A in 2025 and improved his line to .226/.319/.381 with 12 home runs, a 21% strikeout rate and 12% walk rate.
Even though Dreiling’s stat line didn’t stand out in 2025, his under-the-surface metrics show an intriguing blend of contact and impact. Both his 83% contact rate and 88% zone-contact rate rank near the top of the Rangers’ system, and he complements that contact ability with quality exit velocities. His 90th percentile exit velocity was 104.2 mph and his max EV was 111.2 mph—both marks that are above-average for his age and level. When combined with his 24.1% air-pull rate and 19.5% barrel rate, they indicate Dreiling is a player who could take a step forward with his power output in 2026.
— NL East —
Atlanta Braves
John Gil, SS
Gil originally signed with the Braves for $110,000 in 2023 out of the Dominican Republic. After a year in the DSL, he came stateside in 2024 and impressed enough in the FCL to earn a promotion to Low-A. He returned to Low-A for the 2025 season and hit .252/.348/.366 with seven home runs.
Gil’s underlying data indicates a more promising hit tool than his slash line indicated. He had a 77% contact rate and 14% in-zone whiff rate in 2025 and combined those contact skills with the best strike-zone discipline in the system. Although his average and 90th percentile EVs don’t jump off the page, he did produce a max EV of 111.1 mph, indicating he might have some power potential if he can improve his angles.
Miami Marlins
Fenwick Trimble, OF
The Marlins selected Trimble in the fourth round in 2024. He started his first full season in 2025 in High-A and impressed in 29 games, hitting .284/.407/.422 and getting a quick promotion to Double-A. He missed two months there with a hamstring injury, however, and struggled in his first exposure to upper-minors pitching, hitting .237/.355/.395 in 54 games. Overall, he hit .253/.372/.402 and just missed the top 10 in the Marlins’ system, but he has the organization’s best strike-zone discipline.
Trimble’s underlying data shows an intriguing hit/power combination. His contact metrics were solid, including a 76% contact rate and 17% in-zone whiff rate, and his swing decisions were strong. His 90th percentile EV was 104.3 mph and his max was 109.6 mph, indicating he should have more power than he’s shown so far.
Trimble’s angles are the main thing holding him back right now, but if he can improve in that area, he could take a step forward next year.
New York Mets
Eli Serrano III, OF
Serrano’s 6-foot-5 height stands out immediately. Drafted by the Mets in the fourth round in 2024, he played 17 games with Low-A St. Lucie after signing. He was sent to High-A Brooklyn for his first full season in 2025, hitting .222/.332/.358 with seven home runs, a 13% walk rate and 20% strikeout rate.
Though Serrano’s baseball card stats are relatively modest, his underlying data stands out. He hit the ball extremely hard, as evidenced by a 90 mph average exit velocity, 105.3 mph 90th percentile EV and 110.7 mph max. He also showed he could elevate the ball to the pull side and posted a solid barrel rate of 22.8%. Even though players with his height and long levers tend to struggle to make consistent contact, Serrano’s underlying contact metrics were solid, too. His contact rate and in-zone whiff rate were both above-average, and he made solid swing decisions.
Philadelphia Phillies
Burkholder entered the 2025 season as one of the top 10 prospects in the Phillies system but really struggled in Low-A and was demoted to the FCL. Overall, he hit .197/.290/.386 with four home runs in 145 plate appearances.
The surface stats don’t show it, but the 20-year-old showed impact potential in 2025. His 105.3 mph 90th percentile exit velocity and max of 111.1 mph were both well above-average for his age and level. Burkholder’s hit tool remains a work in progress, as his contact rate and in-zone whiff rate were both below average. His angles were good, though, so if he can make more consistent contact, he could be in for a bounceback 2026.
Washington Nationals
Luke Dickerson, SS
Even though Dickerson wasn’t selected until the 44th pick in 2024, his $3.8 million bonus was equivalent to the slot value for the 20th pick. He didn’t play after signing and made his professional debut in 2025, appearing in six games in the FCL before a quick promotion to Low-A. He struggled while playing through a wrist injury there, hitting .208/.315/.326 with six home runs in 359 plate appearances. He ranked eighth on the Nationals’ top 10 prospect list for 2026.
On the surface, Dickerson’s professional debut looks underwhelming, but his underlying data showed some encouraging signs for the future. His exit velocities were very impressive, especially for a 5-foot-11, 19-year-old, as he posted a 104.6 mph 90th percentile exit velocity and 112.3 mph max. His angles and contact metrics were more average, but his combination of bat speed and impact ability give him a chance to hit for average and power in the future.
— NL Central —
Chicago Cubs
Saul Ramirez, 1B/OF
Ramirez signed with the Cubs just after his 19th birthday in January 2025. He played for both Cubs DSL affiliates in his debut, struggling with the Cubs Blue before improving after moving to the Cubs Red. Overall, he hit .203/.354/.328 in 161 plate appearances with seven doubles, three home runs, a 17% walk rate and 20% strikeout rate.
Though the stat line doesn’t indicate it, Ramirez showed an intriguing combination of underlying metrics in his debut. His 90th percentile exit velocity of 103.2 mph was the second-highest of all Cubs DSL prospects, and his 110.5 mph max EV was the highest. He combined that impact potential with solid contact and approach metrics, as his overall contact rate, in-zone whiff rate and chase rate were near the top of all Cubs DSL prospects.
Ramirez is old for the level, and his angles need work, but if he comes stateside and has similar underlying data, he’s a name to watch in 2026.
Cincinnati Reds
Carlos Jorge, OF
Jorge once ranked among the Reds’ Top 10 Prospects, but his stock has fallen over the last two years. He has spent the last two full seasons in High-A, hitting .220/.291/.394 in 2024 and .250/.340/.353 in 2025.
Given Jorge’s combination of speed and defensive value, the bar for him at the plate is lower, but his underlying data indicates he could still have some offensive upside. His average exit velocity and 90th percentile are closer to average than above-average for his age, but both improved from 2024. His max EV jumped to 110.9 mph, which is above-average and could allow him to get to more power in the future if he improves his quality of contact. Jorge also increased his walk rate and cut his strikeout rate by over 12% in 2025. Both are backed up by his underlying data, as his chase rate decreased 5%, and his in-zone whiff rate dropped from 27% to 18%.
Milwaukee Brewers
Encarnacion signed for $400,000 in January 2024 and hit .210/.378/.330 in the DSL during his debut. He made the move stateside in 2025, hitting .242/.323/.375 overall. He got off to a strong start in the Arizona Complex League, hitting .289/.369/.463 in 214 plate appearances, but struggled after a promotion to Low-A Carolina, hitting .155/.237/.214 in 114 PAs.
Even though Encarnacion’s line doesn’t stand out, his underlying metrics show an intriguing blend of hitting ability and power. His 77% contact rate and 16% in-zone whiff rate were both solid numbers, and he combined them with good swing decisions. He isn’t the most physical player, but his 103.9 mph 90th percentile exit velocity was well above-average for an 18-year-old, and his max EV of 118.5 mph was the highest in the organization.
Pittsburgh Pirates
Wyatt Sanford, SS
The Pirates have taken things slow with Sanford since taking him in the second round of the 2024 draft and signing him for a well-overslot bonus just shy of $2.5 million. He didn’t debut until 2025 and started in the FCL, where he hit .259/.487/.370 in 79 plate appearances. He was promoted to Low-A Bradenton in June, slashing .238/.342/.378 in 194 plate appearances. Overall, he hit .243/.384/.376 across the two levels.
Even though Sanford didn’t hit for much power in his debut, his data suggests more could be coming. His 102.7 mph 90th percentile exit velocity and max of 109.8 mph were solid for his age and level. His quality of contact needs work, however, and his barrel rate of 12.8% was below-average. Sanford’s overall contact rate was only average at 73%, but he rarely missed pitches in the zone, as evidenced by an 18% in-zone whiff rate.
With improved swing decisions, Sanford shows some metrics that would indicate he could take a step forward offensively in 2026.
St. Louis Cardinals
Catcher is one of the deeper spots in the Cardinals’ system, with three making their top 10 for 2026. Bernal was the third of those three, slotting in at ninth after a solid, but not spectacular year with Double-A Springfield in which he hit .247/.332/.394 across 455 plate appearances.
Even though Bernal’s surface stats don’t stand out, his underlying data was impressive pretty much across the board. His contact rate was a respectable 78%, and he was even better on pitches in the zone, whiffing only 17% of the time on them. His exit velocities were also impressive for a 21-year-old. His 90th percentile exit velocity was 104.4 mph and his max was 112.1 mph, indicating he could have more power than he showed in 2025.
— NL West —
Arizona Diamondbacks
Jose Alpuria, OF
Alpuria’s development has been slow so far, as the 20-year-old spent two years in the DSL and then all of 2024 in the ACL. He made the jump to full-season ball with Low-A Visalia in 2025 but struggled, hitting .199/.323/.297 with three home runs in 297 plate appearances. He missed a month with an injury and spent six games back in the ACL on a rehab assignment in June, hitting .222/.391/.444 with one home run. Overall for the year, he hit .201/.328/.307.
While Alpuria’s surface numbers in 2025 were underwhelming, his exit velocities and in-zone contact rate were solid. His 104.7 mph 90th percentile exit velocity and 17% in-zone whiff rate are both above-average for his age, but his swing decisions held him back and led to a lower overall contact rate of 69%. Alpuria’s angles are also poor, and his swing is long and lacks consistency.
There’s a lot of work needed at the plate, but there are also things to build on, especially given Alpuria’s combination of a projectable 6-foot-2 frame, plus speed and plus arm strength.
Colorado Rockies
Cole Messina, C
Messina was the Rockies’ third-round pick in 2024 out of South Carolina. He got a cup of coffee in High-A Spokane after signing and went back to the level to start 2025. He spent the majority of the year there, receiving a late-season promotion to Double-A after the Spokane season ended and hit .258/.354/.378.
Messina’s underlying data in 2025 was balanced, showing a combination of strong contact skills and solid exit velocities. His 80% contact rate was very respectable for his first full season, and his in-zone whiff rate of 12% was near the top of the Rockies’ system. He hit only seven home runs in 2025, but his 102.5 mph 90th percentile exit velocity and 111.1 mph max EV indicate he could have more power at his peak with improved angles.
Los Angeles Dodgers
Samuel Munoz, OF
The Dodgers signed Munoz for $757,500 in 2022 out of the Dominican Republic. He received the largest bonus in the class and hit well in his first two years in the DSL and ACL before running into some trouble in 2024 in his full-season debut with Low-A Rancho Cucamonga, where he slashed .229/.306/.342. He returned to Rancho this year, hitting .248/.355/.411 in 451 plate appearances before a late-season promotion to High-A. He struggled in 70 plate appearances after the move, hitting .183/.300/.250. Overall across the two levels, he hit .239/.347/.389.
The 21-year-old Munoz has strong underlying contact metrics, but his impact ability remains to be seen. His 79% contact rate and 16% in-zone whiff rate are solid for his age and level, and he makes quality swing decisions, as evidenced by his 18% chase rate. Munoz’s exit velocities are more of a mixed bag. His 112 mph max EV is intriguing, but his 101.7 mph 90th percentile mark is more average.
If Munoz can combine improved quality of contact with his feel to hit, he could take a step forward in 2026.
San Diego Padres
Jorge Quintana, SS
The Padres acquired Quintana at the trade deadline from the Brewers, who originally signed him for $1.7 million in 2024 out of Venezuela. He impressed in the ACL with the Brewers, hitting .264/.349/.403, and the Padres quickly moved him to Low-A. He struggled there, however, hitting .193/.317/.265 in 101 plate appearances over the rest of the season. Overall, he slashed .243/.339/.363 between the two teams and recently ranked fifth on the Padres’ top 10 list.
The 18-year-old Quintana’s offensive upside is much better reflected in his underlying data than it is in his surface stats. His exit velocities are already impressive, especially when you consider he still has remaining projection in his 6-foot-2 frame. His 104.1 mph 90th percentile exit velocity ranked first for all teenagers in the Padres’ system, and his 110.3 mph max EV ranked in the top five.
How Quintana’s power translates will depend on improving his angles and contact ability, as his overall contact ability was fringy last year. His overall contact rate was 72%, but encouragingly, his in-zone whiff rate was only 18%.
San Francisco Giants
Walker Martin, SS/3B
Martin was the Giants’ second-round pick in 2023 and signed for a $3 million bonus that was almost double slot value. He struggled in his debut in 2024, hitting .218/.391/.362 between the ACL and Low-A San Jose with a 41% strikeout rate. He returned to San Jose in 2025 and improved slightly, but still struggled, hitting .234/.353/.384 with 12 home runs.
Martin’s development has been slow so far, but his underlying data remains intriguing. The most encouraging aspect is his ability to impact the baseball, as his 106.7 mph 90th percentile exit velocity and 114.2 mph max EV were very similar to Bryce Eldridge’s in 2025. Martin’s contact ability remains a major question mark, but it improved in 2025. His strikeout rate dropped from 41% in 2024 to 28%, his contact rate increased from 55% to 65% and his in-zone whiff rate decreased from 37% to 26%. It remains to be seen if Martin will hit enough to tap into his raw power, but if he takes another step forward in 2026, it would go a long way to helping him regain his prospect status.