Can RoboScout Predict Breakout MLB Prospects For 2025?
Complex League games are underway, and if you haven’t read them already, check out our Florida Complex League preview and Arizona Complex League preview for prospects to keep an eye on. Keen readers will recognize plenty of names from RoboScout’s 2024 Dominican Summer League final rankings.
Seeing so many of the top 2024 DSL performers become the top prospects to watch in the Complex Leagues gave me an idea. So this week, while also listing the Top 10 prospects for each full-season level, we’ll also take a look at who RoboScout identified as level leaders on this date last year to see how this crop compares, and whether we can learn anything.
Check it out below.
Low-A Hitters
The top 10 hitters, minimum 35 plate appearances in 2025:
| Rank | Name | Team | Age | RoboScore |
| 1 | Andrew Salas | MIA | 17 | 100 |
| 2 | Luis Pena | MIL | 18 | 85 |
| 3 | Asbel Gonzalez | KCR | 19 | 81 |
| 4 | Jesus Made | MIL | 18 | 80 |
| 5 | Braylon Payne | MIL | 18 | 75 |
| 6 | Eduardo Tait | PHI | 18 | 74 |
| 7 | Javier Mogollon | CHW | 19 | 74 |
| 8 | A.J. Ewing | NYM | 20 | 73 |
| 9 | Slade Caldwell | ARI | 19 | 69 |
| 10 | Eduardo Quintero | LAD | 19 | 63 |
Just missed: Caleb Bonemer (CHW), Luis Merejo (CLE).
Despite very little power and a BABIP above .400, Marlins prospect Andrew Salas continues to dominate the Low-A rankings.
We took the 2024 Low-A performance through May 4, 2024 and combined it with RoboScout for this year. Here’s how the top 20 shakes out, with the performance date listed and 2024 names bolded.
| rank | name (PA) | year | robo | BB% | BB% | wRC+ | HR | SB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Andrew Salas (74 PAs) | 2025 | 100 | 23% | 18% | 174 | 0 | 9 |
| 2 | Luis Pena (70) | 2025 | 86 | 11% | 9% | 147 | 1 | 15 |
| 3 | Asbel Gonzalez (116) | 2025 | 83 | 12% | 9% | 172 | 0 | 31 |
| 4 | Jesus Made (95) | 2025 | 81 | 12% | 21% | 142 | 3 | 8 |
| 5 | Lazaro Montes (110) | 2024 | 79 | 14% | 15% | 152 | 5 | 0 |
| 6 | Braylon Payne (108) | 2025 | 77 | 16% | 25% | 124 | 2 | 14 |
| 7 | Jeral Perez (107) | 2024 | 76 | 16% | 23% | 164 | 4 | 3 |
| 8 | Eduardo Tait (102) | 2025 | 75 | 5% | 22% | 120 | 6 | 0 |
| 9 | Javier Mogollon (106) | 2025 | 75 | 21% | 26% | 154 | 3 | 10 |
| 10 | A.J. Ewing (81) | 2025 | 74 | 18% | 12% | 205 | 1 | 14 |
| 11 | Cristofer Torin (95) | 2024 | 71 | 20% | 15% | 165 | 1 | 2 |
| 12 | Slade Caldwell (101) | 2025 | 71 | 24% | 31% | 189 | 2 | 5 |
| 13 | Jaison Chourio (94) | 2024 | 70 | 21% | 13% | 153 | 2 | 8 |
| 14 | Blake Mitchell (103) | 2024 | 69 | 21% | 34% | 153 | 3 | 8 |
| 15 | Jonny Farmelo (86) | 2024 | 69 | 16% | 26% | 108 | 3 | 8 |
| 16 | Aidan Smith (102) | 2024 | 68 | 13% | 26% | 122 | 3 | 7 |
| 17 | Colt Emerson (53) | 2024 | 67 | 8% | 19% | 117 | 2 | 1 |
| 18 | Nehomar Ochoa Jr. (79) | 2024 | 66 | 13% | 29% | 109 | 2 | 3 |
| 19 | Alfredo Duno (73) | 2024 | 66 | 11% | 27% | 124 | 2 | 1 |
| 20 | Eduardo Quintero (94) | 2025 | 65 | 12% | 31% | 129 | 3 | 10 |
There are a few takeaways here. For one, the current crop of performances are better than in 2024, as the top four names are all from 2025. Secondly, the top 2024 names are pretty solid with a number of top prospects listed such as Lazaro Montes, Colt Emerson, and Jaison Chourio.
Similarly, Salas’ 174 wRC+, even without considering that he’s the youngest hitter in the league, is already impressive based on the last two years.
Low-A Pitchers
The top 10 pitchers, minimum nine innings in 2025:
| Rank | Name | Team | Age | RoboScore |
| 1 | Sean Linan | LAD | 20 | 100 |
| 2 | Wei-En Lin | ATH | 19 | 93 |
| 3 | Liomar Martinez | MIA | 20 | 85 |
| 4 | Dasan Hill | MIN | 19 | 83 |
| 5 | Christian Oppor | CHW | 20 | 83 |
| 6 | Braylon Doughty | CLE | 19 | 80 |
| 7 | Trey Yesavage | TOR | 21 | 78 |
| 8 | Dylan Questad | MIN | 20 | 78 |
| 9 | Tzu-Chen Sha | ATH | 21 | 75 |
| 10 | Luis Reyes | CHW | 19 | 73 |
Just missed: Boston Bateman (SDP), Griffin Herring (NYY).
Wondering why Blue Jays righty Khal Stephen doesn’t appear on this list despite a 0.94 WHIP and 1.82 ERA with a 31% strikeout rate? Well, because Stephen should be dominating at Low-A as a college pitcher, RoboScout dings him with regression. Assuming his success carries over, he should appear near the top of the High-A rankings once he arrives at the level.
Here’s the combined list with 2024 data through May 4, with 2024 players bolded.
| rank | name (ip) | year | robo | K% | BB% | WHIP | ERA | GB% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sean Linan (25.2 IP) | 2025 | 100 | 47% | 6% | 0.74 | 1.40 | 48% |
| 2 | Matt Wilkinson (25.2) | 2024 | 98 | 50% | 10% | 0.66 | 0.35 | 43% |
| 3 | Jonah Tong (18.2) | 2024 | 97 | 53% | 7% | 0.64 | 0.00 | 50% |
| 4 | Wei-En Lin (20) | 2025 | 93 | 41% | 0% | 0.85 | 2.70 | 26% |
| 5 | Yujanyer Herrera (17) | 2024 | 87 | 42% | 9% | 0.94 | 2.12 | 55% |
| 6 | Quinn Mathews (24.1) | 2024 | 87 | 47% | 11% | 0.82 | 0.74 | 65% |
| 7 | Liomar Martinez (19) | 2025 | 85 | 44% | 12% | 1.00 | 2.84 | 60% |
| 8 | George Klassen (25) | 2024 | 84 | 42% | 9% | 0.72 | 0.36 | 58% |
| 9 | Dasan Hill (12) | 2025 | 84 | 44% | 10% | 0.83 | 1.50 | 37% |
| 10 | Christian Oppor (18.1) | 2025 | 83 | 43% | 10% | 0.87 | 2.45 | 22% |
| 11 | Charlee Soto (16.1) | 2024 | 83 | 30% | 7% | 1.53 | 4.96 | 64% |
| 12 | Michael Kennedy (17) | 2025 | 82 | 33% | 4% | 1.12 | 3.71 | 46% |
| 13 | Jedixson Paez (19) | 2024 | 81 | 31% | 3% | 1.26 | 2.37 | 49% |
| 14 | Braylon Doughty (16.2) | 2025 | 81 | 32% | 8% | 1.50 | 4.86 | 58% |
| 15 | Trey Yesavage (23.1) | 2025 | 79 | 40% | 9% | 0.90 | 2.31 | 54% |
| 16 | Santiago Suarez (24) | 2024 | 78 | 27% | 2% | 0.88 | 2.25 | 41% |
| 17 | Elmer Rodriguez-Cruz (19.2) | 2024 | 78 | 36% | 12% | 1.37 | 3.20 | 57% |
| 18 | Dylan Questad (13) | 2025 | 78 | 42% | 12% | 0.54 | 1.38 | 37% |
| 19 | Tzu-Chen Sha (20.2) | 2025 | 76 | 39% | 2% | 0.77 | 0.87 | 52% |
| 20 | Michael Forret (18.2) | 2024 | 75 | 37% | 10% | 0.86 | 2.41 | 44% |
Just missed: Jarlin Susana (WAS).
So far, Sean Linan’s 2025 performance surpasses even Guardians LHP Matt Wilkinson and Mets RHP Jonah Tong from 2024 despite both enjoying torrid starts a year ago. As a reminder, Wilkinson and Tong went from unranked on their team’s prospect lists to No. 18 and No. 12 respectively by the end of the year. In other words, their first 20 innings at Low-A heralded their ascension. Another riser, Cardinals LHP Quinn Mathews, went from No. 24 on the Cardinals’ preseason list in 2024 to second by the end of the year while comfortably ranking inside Baseball America’s Top 100.
From this track record, I think Marlins righty Liomar Martinez, despite the high walk rate, and A’s lefty Wei-En Lin, despite the relative lack of grounders and eye-popping stuff, should be grabbed as fliers.
High-A Hitters
The top 10 hitters, minimum 35 plate appearances:
| Rank | Name | Team | Age | RoboScore |
| 1 | Leo De Vries | SDP | 18 | 100 |
| 2 | Arjun Nimmala | TOR | 19 | 79 |
| 3 | Yophery Rodriguez | BOS | 19 | 73 |
| 4 | Jeral Perez | CHW | 20 | 72 |
| 5 | Lazaro Montes | SEA | 20 | 71 |
| 6 | Josue De Paula | LAD | 20 | 71 |
| 7 | George Lombard Jr. | NYY | 20 | 69 |
| 8 | Zyhir Hope | LAD | 20 | 66 |
| 9 | Max Clark | DET | 20 | 66 |
| 10 | Josue Briceno | DET | 20 | 64 |
Just missed: Jacob Reimer (NYM), Kyle DeBarge (MIN).
Not much has changed here over the last few weeks. Leo De Vries still has a huge gap between him and everyone else on the list.
Here’s the combined list with 2024 data through May 4, with 2024 players bolded.
| rank | name (pa) | year | robo | bb% | k% | wRC+ | hr | sb |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Leo De Vries (92 PAs) | 2025 | 100 | 13% | 16% | 170 | 4 | 3 |
| 2 | Cam Collier (103) | 2024 | 74 | 6% | 19% | 153 | 7 | 0 |
| 3 | Lazaro Montes (117) | 2025 | 73 | 19% | 23% | 177 | 7 | 2 |
| 4 | Jeral Perez (105) | 2025 | 72 | 12% | 30% | 144 | 8 | 2 |
| 5 | Carter Jensen (113) | 2024 | 70 | 20% | 20% | 163 | 2 | 9 |
| 6 | Arjun Nimmala (102) | 2025 | 69 | 10% | 20% | 157 | 6 | 1 |
| 7 | Yophery Rodriguez (100) | 2025 | 67 | 20% | 18% | 145 | 2 | 5 |
| 8 | Jay Allen II (63) | 2024 | 67 | 18% | 14% | 216 | 5 | 6 |
| 9 | Sebastian Walcott (93) | 2024 | 65 | 14% | 30% | 89 | 2 | 1 |
| 10 | Jacob Reimer (108) | 2025 | 64 | 10% | 20% | 184 | 5 | 2 |
| 11 | Kyle DeBarge (118) | 2025 | 64 | 17% | 15% | 155 | 4 | 13 |
| 12 | George Lombard Jr. (111) | 2025 | 63 | 21% | 20% | 184 | 1 | 11 |
| 13 | Zyhir Hope (114) | 2025 | 63 | 12% | 25% | 145 | 4 | 4 |
| 14 | Ryan Waldschmidt (114) | 2025 | 62 | 21% | 22% | 183 | 5 | 2 |
| 15 | Hector Rodriguez (106) | 2024 | 62 | 7% | 8% | 140 | 4 | 3 |
| 16 | Josue Briceno (105) | 2025 | 62 | 15% | 22% | 127 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 | Jefferson Rojas (101) | 2024 | 62 | 7% | 17% | 110 | 2 | 5 |
| 18 | Josue De Paula (110) | 2025 | 62 | 19% | 14% | 156 | 4 | 5 |
| 19 | Max Clark (109) | 2025 | 61 | 23% | 15% | 161 | 1 | 2 |
| 20 | Creed Willems (81) | 2024 | 60 | 6% | 18% | 163 | 6 | 0 |
Just missed from 2024: Sal Stewart (CIN), Alex Freeland (LAD), Luke Keaschall (MIN) and Joe Mack (MIA).
De Vries’ performance is still worlds above the next-best High-A hitter, even when 2024 is included. Great start for the top prospect.
High-A Pitchers
The top 10 pitchers, minimum nine innings in 2025:
| Rank | Name | Team | Age | RoboScore |
| 1 | Bishop Letson | MIL | 20 | 100 |
| 2 | Gage Jump | ATH | 22 | 98 |
| 3 | Carlos Lagrange | NYY | 22 | 93 |
| 4 | Michael Forret | BAL | 21 | 91 |
| 5 | David Davalillo | TEX | 22 | 90 |
| 6 | Daniel Eagen | ARI | 22 | 90 |
| 7 | Manuel Rodriguez | MIL | 19 | 90 |
| 8 | Tyson Hardin | MIL | 23 | 90 |
| 9 | Elmer Rodriguez-Cruz | NYY | 21 | 89 |
| 10 | Santiago Suarez | TBR | 20 | 88 |
Just missed: Hayden Mullins (BOS), Charlee Soto (MIN).
Please note that Red Sox lefty Brandon Clarke would rank third on this list if he qualified after his 4.2-inning High-A debut. He’s a top 100 fantasy prospect and rising quickly.
It’s interesting to see Santiago Suarez, Michael Forret and Charlee Soto (honorable mention) here after they ranked highly on the Low-A list at this point in the 2024 season. Red Sox lefty Hayden Mullins is another honorable mention who has since moved on to Double-A. While he only pitches in the low 90s, Mullins has huge extension and impressive pitchability, suggesting back-of-the-rotation potential if he can remain healthy.
Baseball America identified Rangers righty David Davalillo as a sleeper earlier this year and he also ranks prominently so far.
Here’s the combined list with 2024 data through May 4, with 2024 players bolded.
| rank | name (ip) | year | robo | K% | BB% | WHIP | ERA | GB% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sean Sullivan (20.2 IP) | 2024 | 100 | 38% | 1% | 1.15 | 2.61 | 41% |
| 2 | Jaden Hamm (20.1) | 2024 | 95 | 38% | 1% | 0.93 | 1.33 | 33% |
| 3 | Noah Schultz (16) | 2024 | 94 | 42% | 8% | 0.94 | 4.50 | 31% |
| 4 | Andry Lara (23.2) | 2024 | 93 | 39% | 8% | 1.10 | 2.28 | 36% |
| 5 | Bishop Letson (21.1) | 2025 | 93 | 33% | 5% | 0.80 | 1.27 | 53% |
| 6 | Gage Jump (23) | 2025 | 91 | 40% | 5% | 0.96 | 2.74 | 24% |
| 7 | Chase Dollander (19.1) | 2024 | 90 | 43% | 10% | 0.88 | 2.33 | 31% |
| 8 | Owen Murphy (29.2) | 2024 | 89 | 37% | 9% | 0.74 | 1.52 | 28% |
| 9 | Zebby Matthews (22.2) | 2024 | 87 | 33% | 0% | 0.75 | 1.59 | 53% |
| 10 | Winston Santos (20.2) | 2024 | 87 | 39% | 9% | 0.82 | 0.44 | 36% |
| 11 | Carlos Lagrange (19.2) | 2025 | 86 | 40% | 8% | 1.12 | 4.58 | 35% |
| 12 | Michael Forret (21.2) | 2025 | 85 | 37% | 9% | 0.69 | 1.66 | 42% |
| 13 | Brett Wichrowski (14.2) | 2024 | 85 | 34% | 5% | 1.09 | 2.45 | 40% |
| 14 | David Davalillo (20.1) | 2025 | 84 | 40% | 6% | 0.84 | 1.33 | 50% |
| 15 | Daniel Eagen (18.1) | 2025 | 84 | 39% | 9% | 1.31 | 3.44 | 33% |
| 16 | Manuel Rodriguez (25) | 2025 | 84 | 26% | 5% | 1.00 | 1.80 | 36% |
| 17 | Tyson Hardin (25.2) | 2025 | 84 | 30% | 4% | 0.86 | 0.70 | 50% |
| 18 | Andrew Morris (25.2) | 2024 | 83 | 31% | 5% | 1.29 | 2.81 | 46% |
| 19 | Samuel Aldegheri (22) | 2024 | 83 | 36% | 8% | 0.59 | 0.41 | 34% |
| 20 | Elmer Rodriguez-Cruz (28) | 2025 | 82 | 32% | 8% | 0.82 | 2.25 | 50% |
Just missed: Mitch Bratt (TEX), Santiago Suarez (TBR), Ben Kudrna (KCR) and Luis Perales (BOS).
While he’s the top High-A pitcher so far in 2025, Bishop Letson ranks fifth over the last two years with a lower strikeout rate than the pitchers above him. His big extension and his solid groundball rate project to a sub-4.00 ERA in the major leagues so far in the early going. Interestingly, his early-season line looks a lot like what Zebby Matthews did in 2024, and Letson is four years younger.
Brewers righty Tyson Hardin is another interesting one. Geoff Pontes wrote about Hardin and his impressive extension in April.
Double-A Hitters
The top 10 hitters, minimum 35 plate appearances:
| Rank | Name | Team | Age | RoboScore |
| 1 | Sebastian Walcott | TEX | 19 | 100 |
| 2 | Cooper Pratt | MIL | 20 | 88 |
| 3 | Ethan Salas | SDP | 19 | 85 |
| 4 | Jett Williams | NYM | 21 | 85 |
| 5 | Cooper Kinney | TBR | 22 | 85 |
| 6 | William Bergolla | CHW | 20 | 84 |
| 7 | Hector Rodriguez | CIN | 21 | 84 |
| 8 | Joe Mack | MIA | 22 | 83 |
| 9 | Xavier Isaac | TBR | 21 | 82 |
| 10 | Mikey Romero | BOS | 21 | 81 |
Just missed: Bryce Eldridge (SFG), Diego Velasquez (SFG), Denzer Guzman (LAA).
It might be surprising to see Ethan Salas so high on this list with only a 76 wRC+. RoboScout likes that Salas is just 19 years old in Double-A with a 12% strikeout rate and a 15% walk rate. We’ll keep an eye on him as he accrues more reps.
Interestingly, after showing up in the 2024 High-A list, Reds outfielder Hector Rodriguez is here in 2025 with a 169 wRC+ and three home runs over 96 plate appearances. Rodriguez just turned 21, so RoboScout likes his performance for his age relative to the level. However, there are some orange flags, namely a 56% groundball rate and a below-average chase rate. Still with this performance, RoboScout projects Rodriguez to be better-than-league-average with 20-homer pop as a big leaguer.
Here’s the combined list with 2024 data through May 4, with 2024 players bolded.
| rank | name (pa) | year | robo | BB% | K% | wRC+ | hr | sb |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Emmanuel Rodriguez (87 PAs) | 2024 | 100 | 29% | 28% | 204 | 4 | 9 |
| 2 | Moises Ballesteros (71 PAs) | 2024 | 92 | 14% | 13% | 191 | 3 | 0 |
| 3 | Deyvison De Los Santos (105) | 2024 | 90 | 7% | 24% | 212 | 9 | 1 |
| 4 | Agustin Ramirez (106) | 2024 | 89 | 18% | 19% | 162 | 9 | 5 |
| 5 | Harry Ford (109) | 2024 | 87 | 19% | 21% | 152 | 4 | 4 |
| 6 | Carson Williams (91) | 2024 | 81 | 6% | 26% | 187 | 4 | 7 |
| 7 | Sebastian Walcott (109) | 2025 | 80 | 15% | 21% | 110 | 2 | 5 |
| 8 | Cooper Pratt (114) | 2025 | 77 | 9% | 13% | 119 | 3 | 7 |
| 9 | Samuel Basallo (95) | 2024 | 77 | 3% | 25% | 106 | 5 | 2 |
| 10 | Matthew Lugo (65) | 2024 | 76 | 12% | 29% | 236 | 6 | 1 |
| 11 | James Triantos (96) | 2024 | 75 | 5% | 9% | 153 | 3 | 7 |
| 12 | Jett Williams (83) | 2025 | 74 | 8% | 24% | 154 | 2 | 6 |
| 13 | Zac Veen (75) | 2024 | 74 | 15% | 23% | 186 | 3 | 7 |
| 14 | Jett Williams (50) | 2024 | 73 | 16% | 10% | 105 | 0 | 2 |
| 15 | Eddinson Paulino (80) | 2024 | 72 | 14% | 26% | 150 | 3 | 3 |
| 16 | Mikey Romero (93) | 2025 | 71 | 13% | 28% | 140 | 4 | 2 |
| 17 | Hector Rodriguez (96) | 2025 | 71 | 8% | 16% | 169 | 3 | 3 |
| 18 | Wilfred Veras (91) | 2024 | 70 | 2% | 34% | 189 | 4 | 2 |
| 19 | Bryce Eldridge (38) | 2025 | 70 | 10% | 34% | 156 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 | Edgar Quero (94) | 2024 | 70 | 7% | 19% | 145 | 5 | 1 |
This is a great reminder that we were spoiled with exceptional Double-A performances in 2024. Marlins sluggers Agustin Ramirez and Deyvison De Los Santos both had nine homers at this point last year, while Cubs catcher Moises Ballesteros owned a wRC+ near 200 as a 20-year-old in the upper minors. Twins outfielder Emmanuel Rodriguez was healthy and raking, putting them all at the top of the combined 2024 and 2025 list.
Interestingly enough, despite Sebastian Walcott having a huge lead over the second-ranked player in 2025, he’s only seventh here. Another 19-year-old at the time, Samuel Basallo, ranked behind Walcott, though he showed more power at this stage of the season in 2024.
Double-A Pitchers
The top 10 pitchers, minimum nine innings:
| Rank | Name | Team | Age | RoboScore |
| 1 | Chase Burns | CIN | 22 | 100 |
| 2 | Yordanny Monegro | BOS | 22 | 96 |
| 3 | Robby Snelling | MIA | 21 | 92 |
| 4 | Hunter Barco | PIT | 24 | 92 |
| 5 | Blake Adams | COL | 24 | 89 |
| 6 | Jack Wenninger | NYM | 23 | 88 |
| 7 | Jonah Tong | NYM | 22 | 88 |
| 8 | Duncan Davitt | TBR | 25 | 88 |
| 9 | Henry Baez | SDP | 22 | 87 |
| 10 | Jackson Wolf | SDP | 26 | 87 |
Just missed: Kohl Drake (TEX), George Klassen (LAA).
Just like fellow Red Sox lefty Brandon Clarke at High-A, Hayden Mullins would rank third here if he hit the innings minimum behind a 42% strikeout rate. His peak major league projection includes a 1.24 WHIP and 3.94 ERA. Mullins might be yet another feather in the cap of the Red Sox development machine.
Reds righty Chase Burns leads Double-A with a 34% strikeout-minus-walk rate and a peak major league projection of 1.21 WHIP and 3.72 ERA. Don’t be surprised if Burns is pitching in Cincinnati later this season.
Jack Wenninger was one of Geoff Pontes’ 10 April pitching prospects who stood out. Wenninger’s velocity is up and he has a new slider shape, which allows his whole arsenal to play up. The arrow is pointing up for the Mets righthander.
Here’s the combined list with 2024 data through May 4, with 2024 players bolded.
| rank | name (ip) | year | robo | k% | BB% | WHIP | ERA | GB% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chase Burns (9 IP) | 2025 | 100 | 37% | 3% | 1.22 | 2.00 | 43% |
| 2 | Yordanny Monegro (13.1) | 2025 | 97 | 48% | 7% | 1.43 | 2.70 | 44% |
| 3 | Mason Adams (28.1) | 2024 | 94 | 32% | 3% | 0.88 | 3.18 | 46% |
| 4 | Tyler Woessner (20.1) | 2024 | 94 | 34% | 5% | 1.18 | 2.66 | 46% |
| 5 | Robby Snelling (26) | 2025 | 93 | 31% | 7% | 1.15 | 2.42 | 55% |
| 6 | Yilber Diaz (25) | 2024 | 93 | 39% | 11% | 1.32 | 3.96 | 47% |
| 7 | Hunter Barco (25.2) | 2025 | 93 | 36% | 7% | 0.70 | 0.00 | 49% |
| 8 | Tink Hence (25.2) | 2024 | 93 | 33% | 6% | 0.74 | 2.10 | 51% |
| 9 | Blake Adams (19.2) | 2025 | 90 | 36% | 4% | 1.22 | 7.32 | 41% |
| 10 | Jack Wenninger (24.2) | 2025 | 89 | 35% | 7% | 1.01 | 2.92 | 46% |
| 11 | Jonah Tong (17.1) | 2025 | 89 | 40% | 15% | 1.33 | 3.63 | 53% |
| 12 | Duncan Davitt (25) | 2025 | 88 | 32% | 3% | 1.00 | 3.60 | 47% |
| 13 | Henry Baez (22.2) | 2025 | 88 | 30% | 4% | 0.84 | 3.18 | 53% |
| 14 | Lael Lockhart (19) | 2024 | 88 | 35% | 5% | 1.05 | 2.84 | 36% |
| 15 | Jackson Wolf (25) | 2025 | 88 | 33% | 3% | 0.80 | 3.24 | 39% |
| 16 | Kohl Drake (16.1) | 2025 | 87 | 42% | 13% | 1.10 | 3.31 | 30% |
| 17 | Aaron Brown (21.2) | 2024 | 87 | 34% | 8% | 1.20 | 4.15 | 48% |
| 18 | Cade Horton (16.1) | 2024 | 86 | 29% | 3% | 0.92 | 1.10 | 49% |
| 19 | Ian Seymour (25.2) | 2024 | 86 | 35% | 7% | 0.78 | 2.10 | 42% |
| 20 | Adam Mazur (26.1) | 2024 | 86 | 29% | 4% | 0.95 | 2.39 | 43% |
Just missed: Ty Madden (DET), Mason Barnett (KCR), and Chandler Champlain (KCR).
The top 2024 Double-A pitchers are not the same type of impressive household names that we saw in previous levels of the minors. That might be because we don’t have 2025 Stuff+ yet, so it hasn’t been added into the analysis. Therefore, the 2024 comparison is solely an apples-to-apples surface performance comparison.
Lael Lockhart, Tyler Woessner, Mason Adams and Aaron Brown all have 2024 Stuff+ below 100, suggesting that their initial 2024 season performance wasn’t entirely supported by the underlying data. It will be interesting to do this same analysis in the next couple of weeks when our minor league stuff model gets folded into the 2025 RoboScout allowing for a more informed analysis.
Triple-A Hitters
The top 10 hitters, minimum 50 plate appearances:
| Rank | Name | Team | Age | RoboScore |
| 1 | Jordan Lawlar | ARI | 22 | 100 |
| 2 | Moise Ballesteros | CHC | 21 | 96 |
| 3 | Roman Anthony | BOS | 21 | 89 |
| 4 | Otto Kemp | PHI | 25 | 84 |
| 5 | Samuel Basallo | BAL | 20 | 80 |
| 6 | Nick Kurtz | ATH | 22 | 77 |
| 7 | Jesus Rodriguez | NYY | 23 | 71 |
| 8 | Coby Mayo | BAL | 23 | 70 |
| 9 | Marcelo Mayer | BOS | 22 | 68 |
| 10 | Dylan Beavers | BAL | 23 | 67 |
Just missed: Juan Brito (CLE), Matt Shaw (CHC), Brady House (WAS).
Here’s the combined list with 2024 data through May 4, with 2024 players bolded.
| rank | name (pa) | year | robo | bb% | k% | wrc+ | hr | sb |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Junior Caminero (64 PAs) | 2024 | 100 | 9% | 22% | 177 | 6 | 1 |
| 2 | Jordan Lawlar (142) | 2025 | 97 | 12% | 22% | 175 | 6 | 12 |
| 3 | Coby Mayo (145) | 2024 | 95 | 8% | 28% | 162 | 11 | 3 |
| 4 | Moises Ballesteros (122) | 2025 | 92 | 8% | 11% | 169 | 4 | 3 |
| 5 | Jackson Holliday (86) | 2024 | 92 | 21% | 16% | 147 | 2 | 1 |
| 6 | Joey Loperfido (122) | 2024 | 87 | 13% | 30% | 154 | 13 | 5 |
| 7 | Kyle Manzardo (124) | 2024 | 83 | 12% | 16% | 147 | 8 | 0 |
| 8 | Heston Kjerstad (102) | 2024 | 83 | 12% | 22% | 191 | 10 | 1 |
| 9 | Jose Fermin (72) | 2024 | 83 | 15% | 4% | 185 | 4 | 5 |
| 10 | Roman Anthony (124) | 2025 | 82 | 18% | 21% | 148 | 5 | 2 |
| 11 | Andy Pages (73) | 2024 | 81 | 11% | 18% | 177 | 5 | 2 |
| 12 | Otto Kemp (139) | 2025 | 80 | 9% | 24% | 192 | 9 | 5 |
| 13 | Orelvis Martinez (119) | 2024 | 79 | 8% | 24$ | 140 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 | Miguel Vargas (134) | 2024 | 77 | 17% | 19% | 142 | 6 | 6 |
| 15 | James Wood (127) | 2024 | 77 | 16% | 20% | 142 | 2 | 8 |
| 16 | Samuel Basallo (51) | 2025 | 76 | 12% | 18% | 106 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 | Jonah Bride (110) | 2024 | 74 | 17% | 14% | 199 | 7 | 1 |
| 18 | Nick Kurtz (97) | 2025 | 74 | 10% | 27% | 145 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 | Tyler Black (117) | 2024 | 72 | 11% | 14% | 136 | 5 | 3 |
| 20 | Jordan Beck (121) | 2024 | 71 | 15% | 20% | 142 | 5 | 5 |
Just missed: Owen Caissie (CHC), Caleb Durbin (MIL)
Major Leaguers adorn this list, suggesting that ranking near the top of RoboScout’s Triple-A list indicates a likely future big league contributor. A’s slugger Nick Kurtz ranks surprisingly low on this list. The issue appears to be his elevated 27% strikeout rate–and those strikeout woes have carried over to his nascent 2025 major league output. His 145 wRC+ isn’t all that elite compared to other performances at the same point in the season, either.
By that logic, Yankees prospect Jesus Rodriguez looks like a major league bat. Whether it’s at catcher remains to be seen, but both Austin Wells and Agustin Ramirez have carved out major league roles behind the dish despite poor initial minor league reports. Let’s see if Rodriguez is next in that lineage.
Triple-A Pitchers
The top 10 pitchers, minimum 11 innings:
| Rank | Name | Team | Age | RoboScore |
| 1 | J.T. Ginn | ATH | 26 | 100 |
| 2 | Bubba Chandler | PIT | 22 | 97 |
| 3 | Spencer Strider | ATL | 26 | 97 |
| 4 | Logan Henderson | MIL | 23 | 89 |
| 5 | Nathan Wiles | ATL | 26 | 86 |
| 6 | Joe Boyle | TBR | 25 | 84 |
| 7 | Jacob Misiorowski | MIL | 23 | 82 |
| 8 | Caden Dana | LAA | 21 | 82 |
| 9 | Cooper Criswell | BOS | 28 | 82 |
| 10 | Blade Tidwell | NYM | 24 | 80 |
Just missed: Carlos Rodriguez (MIL), Noah Cameron (KCR), Zebby Matthews (MIN), Kyle Harrison (SFG).
This is essentially a list of big leaguers with Bubba Chandler and Jacob Misiorowski on the precipice of debuts. Chandler is showing the best peak pitching projection in the minors based on 2025 performance and, even as a 22-year-old, looks like he might post a sub-4.00 ERA in 2025 when he debuts.
Braves righty Nathan Wiles is interesting. He has a 27% strikeout-minus-walk rate in 25 Triple-A innings, but doesn’t have much prospect pedigree and is already 26 years old.
Here’s the combined list with 2024 data through May 4, with 2024 players bolded.
| rank | name (ip) | year | robo | k% | bb% | whip | era | gb% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Paul Skenes (23 IP) | 2024 | 100 | 47% | 7% | 0.87 | 0.39 | 52% |
| 2 | J.T. Ginn (11) | 2025 | 95 | 51% | 5% | 0.64 | 1.64 | 56% |
| 3 | Bubba Chandler (25.1) | 2025 | 92 | 40% | 8% | 0.67 | 1.42 | 56% |
| 4 | Spencer Strider (13.2) | 2025 | 92 | 53% | 10% | 0.73 | 1.32 | 28% |
| 5 | Christian Scott (25.1) | 2024 | 91 | 38% | 6% | 0.71 | 3.20 | 33% |
| 6 | Cade Povich (32.1) | 2024 | 86 | 37% | 12% | 0.90 | 1.11 | 41% |
| 7 | Logan Henderson (26) | 2025 | 84 | 35% | 11% | 0.96 | 2.42 | 30% |
| 8 | Jack Leiter (25.1) | 2025 | 84 | 37% | 8% | 0.91 | 2.84 | 43% |
| 9 | Nathan Wiles (25.1) | 2025 | 82 | 33% | 6% | 0.96 | 2.16 | 46% |
| 10 | Taj Bradley (11) | 2024 | 80 | 40% | 8% | 0.45 | 0.82 | 26% |
| 11 | Joe Boyle (26) | 2025 | 80 | 34% | 10% | 0.85 | 1.73 | 56% |
| 12 | Sem Robberse (35.2) | 2024 | 80 | 26% | 5% | 0.95 | 1.77 | 52% |
| 13 | Jacob Misioroski (35.2) | 2025 | 78 | 31% | 12% | 1.01 | 1.77 | 39% |
| 14 | Caden Dana (25.2) | 2025 | 78 | 29% | 9% | 1.25 | 2.45 | 43% |
| 15 | Cooper Criswell (17) | 2025 | 77 | 37% | 6% | 0.88 | 1.06 | 43% |
| 16 | Clayton Beeter (23) | 2024 | 77 | 36% | 14% | 1.22 | 2.74 | 53% |
| 17 | Carlos Rodriguez (28.2) | 2025 | 76 | 30% | 8% | 1.19 | 1.26 | 35% |
| 18 | Louie Varland (12) | 2024 | 76 | 30% | 2% | 0.67 | 0.75 | 64% |
| 19 | Blade Tidwell (27) | 2025 | 76 | 32% | 8% | 1.33 | 5.00 | 38% |
| 20 | Zebby Matthews (23.1) | 2025 | 75 | 31% | 7% | 1.07 | 1.93 | 44% |
Just missed: Quinn Priester (MIL), Noah Cameron (KCR), Kyle Harrison (SFG)
From a “will they make it to the major leagues” standpoint, that’s a pretty solid list.
Happy bidding!
