90th Percentile Exit Velocities For Every 2025 Top 100 Prospect

0

Image credit: Twins OF Emmanuel Rodriguez (Photo by Mike Janes/Four Seam Images)

In recent years evaluation of prospects has evolved, and with the onset of advanced data, we have more precision in how we measure certain skills and characteristics.

Years ago, the idea of measuring power based on exit velocity entered the public space and has become a key piece of how players are evaluated publicly and behind closed doors by MLB organizations. Baseball America has had the good fortune of reporting on prospects’ advanced minor league power data over the last few years, and we have blended it into our process when building our Top 30 lists and Top 100.

Top 100 Prospects For 2025

Baseball America presents its initial ranking of the Top 100 prospects in the game for 2025, headlined by Roki Sasaki.

Below are the 90th percentile exit velocities of all Top 100 prospects who played in affiliated baseball in 2024. We have included the Brewers’ Jeferson Quero’s 2023 exit velocity data after he missed the 2024 season recovering from a shoulder surgery.

For those unaware, 90th percentile exit velocity isolates the top 10% of exit velocities among a player’s batted ball data, giving us a good idea of a hitter’s high-end power.

T100 RANKPLAYERORGPOS2025 AGEEV 90THPEAKNOTE
2Roman AnthonyRed SoxOF21108.5AAA
4Kristian CampbellRed Sox2B/OF23106.5AAA
5Walker JenkinsTwinsOF20102.3AA
6Dylan CrewsNationalsOF23106.2MLB
11Carson WilliamsRaysSS22104.7AA
12Bryce EldridgeGiants1B20106.6AAA
13Jordan LawlarD-backsSS22100.9MLB
14Samuel BasalloOriolesC20106.5AAA
15Marcelo MayerRed SoxSS22106.5AA
16Colt EmersonMarinersSS19102.5A+
17Jesus MadeBrewersSS18104.2DSL
18Leodalis De VriesPadresSS18102.1A
19Emmanuel RodriguezTwinsOF22110.1AA
21Sebastian WalcottRangersSS19106.4AA
22Max ClarkTigersOF20103.2A+
23Kevin McGonigleTigersSS20103.1A+
24Travis BazzanaGuardians2B22102.4A+
25JJ WetherholtCardinalsSS22105.3A
28Jasson DominguezYankeesOF22107.5MLB
29Coby MayoOrioles3B23106.6MLB
30Dalton RushingDodgersC/OF24106.1AAA
31Ethan SalasPadresC19101.4A+
32Jaison ChourioGuardiansOF20102.8A
34Nick KurtzAthletics1B22109.4AA
35Matt ShawCubs3B23105.1AAA
36Aidan MillerPhilliesSS21105.4AA
37Angel GenaoGuardiansSS21102.4A+
38Jacob WilsonAthleticsSS2399.2MLB
39Colson MontgomeryWhite SoxSS23104.5AAA
42Charlie CondonRockiesOF22107.6A+
43Jeferson QueroBrewersC22105.2AAA2023
45Luke KeaschallTwins2B/OF22102.6AA
46Alex FreelandDodgersSS23104.3AAA
47Josue De PaulaDodgersOF20105.3A+
48Chase DeLauterGuardiansOF23104.2AAA
50Cooper PrattBrewersSS20100.7A+
51Zyhir HopeDodgersOF20108.5A
52Kyle TeelWhite SoxC23104.2AAA
53Drake BaldwinBravesC24105.9AAA
55Cam SmithAstros3B22106.0AA
56Cole YoungMarinersSS21100.9AA
57Konnor GriffinPiratesSS19N/AHS
58Jett WilliamsMetsSS21103.4AAA
60Bryce RainerTigersSS19N/AHS
62Moises BallesterosCubsC21105.0AAA
63Jac CaglianoneRoyals1B22109.2A+
64Owen CaissieCubsOF22106.6AAA
65Brayden TaylorRays3B23100.9AA
66Braden MontgomeryWhite SoxOF22N/ANCAA
69Thayron LiranzoTigersC21107.9A+
70Jonny FarmeloMarinersOF20103.2A
71Kevin AlcantaraCubsOF22106.2MLB
72Starlyn CabaMarlinsSS1997.7A
75Blake MitchellRoyalsC20105.3A+
76Franklin AriasRed SoxSS19102.6A
77Michael ArroyoMariners2B20102.7A+
79Christian MooreAngels2B22105.0AA
80Tre’ MorganRays1B22101.6AA
81Heston KjerstadOriolesOF26104.3MLB
84Demetrio CrisantesD-backs2B20102.5A
85Cole CarriggRockiesOF23101.7A+
86Colby ThomasAthleticsOF24106.8AAA
87Xavier IsaacRays1B21107.9AA
88George Lombard Jr.YankeesSS20102.4A
89Felnin CelestenMarinersSS19103.8R
91Ralphy VelazquezGuardians1B20105.1A+
92Jesus BaezMets3B20104.9A+
93Eduardo TaitPhilliesC18103.8A
95Harry FordMarinersC22102.0AA
96Justin CrawfordPhilliesOF21104.6AA
97Lazaro MontesMarinersOF20104.8A+

Pay Attention To Age Norms

The age for each player is listed above to provide context for his exit velocity data. The average 90th percentile exit velocity jumps significantly between teenage players and those in their early 20s, peaking around age 22. For example, Jesus Made’s 104.2 mph 90th percentile EV is several standard deviations above the average marker for a 17-year-old (96.6 mph).

Age90thEV
1796.6 mph
1898.4 mph
19100 mph
20101.1 mph
21101.3 mph
22101.9 mph
23102 mph

The chart listed above gives you context for where each player ranks against the average for age-based peers. While current exit velocity data gives a good feel for a player’s current raw power, it doesn’t give you any idea of future power projection or the ability to optimize that hard contact into quality ball flight.

Take Note Of The Outliers

The average MLB 90th percentile exit velocity in 2023 was 104 miles per hour. Of the 68 hitters with listed exit velocity data on the Top 100, 41 met or exceeded the major league average. Based on the Braden Montgomery’s college in-season and summer ball data, he’s likely to rank among the top third of prospects in the Top 100 per 90th percentile exit velocity upon his debut.

While Montgomery could join the upper echelon of the list in due time, the current standouts are as follows:

All of these players are between age 20-22 and each of them already boasts double-plus raw power based on MLB standards. It also highlights how loaded the 2024 draft was for college power hitters.

Download our app

Read the newest magazine issue right on your phone