2018 Colorado Rockies Top 10 Prospects
|Rockies Top 10 Prospects|
|1. Brendan Rodgers, SS/2B|
|2. Ryan McMahon, 1B/2B|
|3. Riley Pint, RHP|
|4. Colton Welker, 3B|
|5. Peter Lambert, RHP|
|6. Ryan Castellani, RHP|
|7. Yency Almonte, RHP|
|8. Garrett Hampson, 2B/SS|
|9. Ryan Vilade, SS|
|10. Tyler Nevin, 3B|
For each organization, we identify the 10 prospects with the highest ceilings, with consideration given to the likelihood of reaching those ceilings.
To qualify as a prospect, a position player cannot exceed 130 big league at-bats, while a pitcher cannot exceed 50 innings or 30 relief appearances. These thresholds mirror major league rookie qualifications, albeit without regard for major league service time.
Trending: 🔻The Rockies graduated four starting pitchers. which would thin out any system.
SYSTEM OVERVIEWStrengths: The Rockies have a deep group of infielders ready to replace D.J. LeMahieu and Nolan Arenado if they leave as free agents after 2018 and 2019, respectively. Most have multi-positional versatility, giving the Rockies plenty of options. A year after four rookies came up to remake the starting rotation, the Rockies still have more arms on the way with Peter Lambert, Ryan Castellani and Yency Almonte all in position to reach the majors within the next two years. There are some intriguing arms lower in the system as well.
Weaknesses: The Rockies system lacks outfielders, putting pressure on David Dahl to stay healthy and Raimel Tapia to perform moving forward. With Carlos Gonzalez hitting free agency and Gerardo Parra and Ian Desmond in their 30s, the Rockies don’t have much in the way of outfield depth should Dahl and Tapia fail to live up to their promise.
BEST TOOLS🔸Best Hitter for Average: Brendan Rodgers. 🔸Best Power Hitter: Ryan Vilade. 🔸Best Strike-Zone Discipline: Garrett Hampson. 🔸Fastest Baserunner: Wes Rogers. 🔸Best Athlete: Ryan McMahon. 🔸Best Fastball: Riley Pint. 🔸Best Curveball: Jesus Tinoco. 🔸Best Slider: Riley Pint. 🔸Best Changeup: Peter Lambert. 🔸Best Control: Peter Lambert. 🔸Best Defensive Catcher: Dom Nunez. 🔸Best Defensive INF: Garrett Hampson. 🔸Best INF Arm: Brendan Rodgers. 🔸Best Defensive OF: Yonathan Daza. 🔸Best OF Arm: Sam Hilliard.
PROJECTED 2021 LINEUP
(Listed with 2021 season age)🔸C Tom Murphy (30) 🔸1B Ryan McMahon (26) 🔸2B Brendan Rodgers (24) 🔸3B Nolan Arenado (30) 🔸SS Trevor Story (28) 🔸LF Raimel Tapia (27) 🔸CF David Dahl (27) 🔸RF Charlie Blackmon (34) 🔸SP Jon Gray (29) 🔸SP Kyle Freeland (28) 🔸SP German Marquez (26) 🔸SP Antonio Senzatela (26) 🔸SP Tyler Anderson (31) 🔸CL Riley Pint (23)
TOP PROSPECTS OF THE DECADE(Listed with 2017 organization)
🔸2008: LHP Franklin Morales (Mexican League) | WAR: 1.8 🔸2009: OF Dexter Fowler (Cardinals) | WAR: 19.7 🔸2010: LHP Tyler Matzek (DNP) | WAR: 2.8 🔸2011: LHP Tyler Matzek (DNP) | WAR: ** 🔸2012: LHP Drew Pomeranz (Red Sox) | WAR: 11.3 🔸2013: 3B Nolan Arenado (Rockies) | WAR: 27.4 🔸2014: RHP Jon Gray (Rockies) | WAR: 5.4 🔸2015: OF David Dahl (Rockies) | WAR: 1.1 🔸2016: RHP Jon Gray (Rockies) | WAR: ** 🔸2017: SS Brendan Rodgers (Rockies) | Top 10
TOP DRAFT PICKS OF THE DECADE(Listed with 2017 organization)
🔸2008: LHP Christian Friedrich (Padres) | WAR: -0.4 🔸2009: LHP Tyler Matzek (DNP) | WAR: 2.8 🔸2010: OF Kyle Parker (DNP) | WAR: -1.6 🔸2011: LHP Tyler Anderson (Rockies) | WAR: 4.4 🔸2012: OF David Dahl (Rockies) | WAR: 1.1 🔸2013: RHP Jon Gray (Rockies) | WAR: 5.4 🔸2014: LHP Kyle Freeland (Rockies) | WAR: 3.4 🔸2015: SS Brendan Rodgers (Rockies) | Top 10 🔸2016: RHP Riley Pint (Rockies) | Top 10 🔸2017: 3B Ryan Vilade (Rockies) | Top 10
|1. Brendan Rodgers, SS/2B 📹|
|BORN: Aug. 6, 1996.|
|B-T: R-R | HT: 6-0| WT: 185|
|DRAFTED: HS—Lake Mary, Fla., 2015 (1st round).|
|SIGNED BY: John Cedarburg.|
|MINORS: .336/.373/.567 | 18 HR | 2 SB | 372 AB|
Scouting Report: Rodgers’ calling card is his smooth, controlled swing that bodes well for him to hit for average and power. He possesses the bat speed to handle any velocity and the balance and pitch recognition to barrel breaking balls. At times Rodgers becomes too pull-happy, but he has shown he has the strength to drive the ball the other way. Rodgers rarely walks, but knows how to work a count and doesn’t miss the pitch he wants. Evaluators nearly universally regard him as a future plus hitter with enough power to impact a game. A natural shortstop, Rodgers has also seen time at second and third base with the Rockies’ approach of having players work at multiple positions in the minors. Rodgers has the reliable hands, quick release and plus arm strength to play shortstop, but his fringy footspeed could be a deciding factor in an eventual move to second base. Rodgers makes up for his lack of natural range by positioning himself well and showing advanced instincts, enough that some evaluators give him a chance to stay at shortstop and be a possibly average defender there, although not all are convinced.
🔸Projected Future Grades On 20-80 Scouting Scale Hit: 60. Power: 55. Speed: 50. Field: 55. Arm: 60.The Future: The idea of having a middle infielder with an impact bat is exciting, which is why Rodgers isn’t likely to end up at third base. How Rodgers’ body changes over time, particularly if he gets bigger and loses a step, will determine whether he stays at shortstop or makes the move to second base. Even if he does end up at second, he can be an impact player along the lines of Bobby Grich or Ryne Sandberg. The Rockies have brought Rodgers along slowly, but it is not out of the question for him to be in the big leagues at some point after the 2018 all-star break.
|2. Ryan McMahon, 1B/2B 📹|
|BORN: Dec. 14, 1994.|
|B-T: L-R| HT: 6-2| WT: 185|
|DRAFTED: HS—Santa Ana, Calif., 2013 (2nd round)|
|SIGNED BY: Jon Lukens|
|MINORS: .355/.403/.583 | 20 HR | 11 SB | 470 AB|
Scouting Report: McMahon possesses soft hands and a strong arm, but his reaction time was a concern at third base. He handled the move to first base well and, while physically large for second base, impressed the Rockies with how he adapted to the position, although opposing scouts are less convinced. Offensively, McMahon has a consistent, short stroke and uses the whole field. He sits fastball and takes advantage of mistakes, with the strength to produce above-average power in Coors Field. Strikeouts were an issue in the past, but McMahon significantly improved his approach and plate discipline and struck out just 97 times in 2017, compared to an average of 153 strikeouts his first three seasons.
The Future: McMahon’s positional versatility gives the Rockies options. Wherever he plays, the Rockies envision his bat making a significant everyday contribution.
|3. Riley Pint, RHP 📹|
|BORN: Nov. 6, 1997|
|B-T: R-R| HT: 6-4| WT: 195|
|DRAFTED: HS—Overland Park, Kan., 2016 (1st round)|
|SIGNED BY: Brett Baldwin|
|MINORS: 2-11, 5.42 ERA | 79 SO | 59 BB | 93 IP|
Scouting Report: Pint simply overpowered high school hitters, which covered up mechanical shortcomings that have hampered him in pro ball. His fastball ranges anywhere from 93-98 mph and touches 102 but plays down due to poor command and control, the result of a delivery he doesn’t repeat even though it is clean. He pulls off of pitches and misses the zone, and isn’t much better with his secondaries. His slider flashes above-average and his curveball and changeup flash average potential, but he doesn’t have consistent control of any of them. The Rockies have taken a cautious approach with Pint, limiting his innings and adjusting his mechanics slowly.
The Future: Scouts remain bullish on Pint because of his premium stuff and clean delivery, but his lack of strike-throwing ability is alarming. High Class A Lancaster is likely next in 2018.
|4. Colton Welker, 3B|
|BORN: Oct. 9, 1997.|
|B-T: R-R | HT: 6-2| WT: 195|
|DRAFTED: HS—Parkland, Fla., 2016 (4th round)|
|SIGNED BY: Rafael Reyes|
|MINORS: .350/.401/.500 | 6 HR | 5 SB | 254 AB|
Scouting Report: Welker’s bat is his best asset. He has impressive knowledge of the strike zone, particularly for a young power hitter, and makes full use of the entire field. His swing has some length to it and a bit of a hitch, but he makes up for it with advanced feel to hit, above-average power potential and limited swing-and-miss. A high school shortstop, Welker moved to third base as a pro and has shown above-average potential there. He has a good first step, is quick on his feet and possesses a plus, accurate arm, although his below-average speed and fringy athleticism cuts into his range.
The Future: Nolan Arenado is a free agent after 2019, and Welker is in line to be Arenado’s eventual replacement if the Rockies are unable to resign him. For now, Welker will head to high Class A Lancaster.
|5. Peter Lambert, RHP 📹|
|BORN: May 28, 1997.|
|B-T: R-R | HT: 6-2 | WT: 185|
|DRAFTED: HS—San Dimas, Calif., 2015 (2nd round)|
|SIGNED BY: Jon Lukens|
|MINORS: 9-8, 4.17 ERA | 131 SO | 30 BB | 142 IP|
Scouting Report: Lambert’s poise and fearless mentality have helped him conquer three of the most hitter-friendly environments in baseball in Grand Junction, Asheville and Lancaster his first three seasons. The expected physical gains have come too. Lambert now comfortably sits 91-93 mph and touches 95 with his fastball, dialing it up and down as necessary, and it plays up further with excellent control and sink. Both his biting 78-82 mph curveball and mid-80s changeup consistently project above-average-to-plus, with the best of his swing-and-miss curveballs drawing plus-plus grades. Lambert throws everything for strikes and keeps the ball down, a critical factor in his success pitching in environments similar to Coors Field.
The Future: Lambert has all the components of a quality mid-to-back of the rotation starter, and could be more if he continues to grow and add fastball velocity.
|6. Ryan Castellani, RHP 📹|
|BORN: April 1, 1996.|
|B-T: R-R | HT: 6-3| WT: 190|
|DRAFTED: HS—Phoenix, 2014 (2nd round)|
|SIGNED BY: Chris Forbes|
|MINORS: 9-12, 4.81 ERA | 132 SO | 47 BB | 157 IP|
Scouting Report: Castellani works with a three-pitch mix with sinking action. His fastball holds serve at a steady 93 mph, and he has shown the ability to touch 97. His best secondary is a hard slider, and he also mixes in a usable changeup. All three pitches have flashed above-average at one point or another, but he runs into trouble when he isn’t keeping the ball down. When right, Castellani commands both sides of the plate in the bottom half of the zone, and his strong lower half allows him to hold his stuff late in games. He is cerebral with a feel for the game that helps his stuff play up.
The Future: Castellani projects as a potential workhorse in the middle-to-back of a rotation as long as he keeps the ball down. His ability to do that will be tested at Triple-A Albuquerque to open the 2018 season.
|7. Yency Almonte, RHP|
|BORN: June 4, 1994.|
|B-T: B-R| HT: 6-3| WT: 205|
|DRAFTED: HS—Miami, 2012 (17th round)|
|SIGNED BY: Ralph Reyes (Angels)|
|MINORS: 8-4, 2.91 ERA | 93 SO | 52 BB | 111 IP|
Scouting Report: Almonte gained 25 pounds since turning pro, which has led to a fastball that topped out at 92 mph in high school now sitting 93-96 mph and touching 98 with hard sink as a starter. Almonte also has a two-seamer he likes to use to further induce ground balls, and his main secondary is an 86-88 mph slider that is consistently above-average and flashes plus. He flashes a usable changeup but it is not consistent, although he still kept lefthanded hitters in check with a .217/.319/.310 slash line in 2017. Almonte’s control is lacking at times, the result of an arm action evaluators fear may hamper his ability to throw consistent strikes.
The Future: Almonte’s lack of a changeup and inconsistent control hamper his chance to start, but it’s not out of the question. As a fallback, his hard sinker-slider combination would play extremely well in late relief. He will begin 2018 back at Triple-A.
|8. Garrett Hampson, 2B/SS 📹|
|BORN: Oct. 10, 1994.|
|B-T: R-R | HT: 5-11 | WT: 185|
|DRAFTED: Long Beach State, 2016 (3rd round)|
|SIGNED BY: Matt Hattabaugh|
|MINORS: .326/.387/.462 | 8 HR | 51 SB | 533 AB|
Scouting Report: A top-of-the-lineup catalyst, Hampson is an undersized plus-plus runer who plays at full speed all the time. He keeps the ball on the ground or strokes it on a line to let his speed play, and he shows hints of power, although that will never be his game. His plate discipline is improving, allowing him to project as an above-average hitter with a lot of steals. Hampson gets too big in his swing sometimes, but generally self-corrects. Drafted as a shortstop, Hampson’s arm is a short for the position, but his exemplary hands, quick-first step and top-notch reaction times fit at second base, where he shows flashes of being a plus defender. He also got some exposure to center field last year.
The Future: Most evaluators see Hampson as a future super utility player, but a few see enough for him to start at second base. Double-A Hartford is next in 2018.
|9. Ryan Vilade, SS 📹|
|BORN: Feb. 18, 1999.|
|B-T: R-R | HT: 6-2| WT: 194|
|DRAFTED: HS—Stillwater, Okla., 2017 (2nd round)|
|SIGNED BY: Jesse Retzlaf|
|MINORS: .308/.438/.496 | 5 HR | 5 SB | 117 AB|
Scouting Report: Vilade’s offensive profile is what drives him. He has a strong frame and a quick bat that produces plus raw power, and he already has a knack for driving the ball in games. He makes adjustments quickly for his age and shows advanced instincts in the box. He recognizes and tracks pitches well and draws plenty of walks. Vilade is an average runner and there is some question whether he has the quick-twitch athleticism for shortstop defensively, but believers point to his above-average arm, soft hands and advanced instincts.
The Future: Vilade will play shortstop for now, but will also see time at third base and first base. It will be his bat that carries him regardless of position. Vilade is set to open his first full season at low Class A Asheville.
|10. Tyler Nevin, 3B 📹|
|BORN: May 29, 1997.|
|B-T: R-R| HT: 6-4 | WT: 200|
|DRAFTED: HS—Poway, Calif., 2015 (1st round supplemental)|
|SIGNED BY: Jon Lukens|
|MINORS: .299/.353/.454 | 8 HR | 10 SB | 328 AB|
Scouting Report: Two inches taller than his all-star father, Nevin’s ticket will be his bat. He has bat speed, works counts and projects to hit for power as his body fills out and gets stronger. He shows all-fields power and drives the ball into the right-center gap frequently, just as his father loved to. Nevin grew up a third baseman but has increasingly seen time at first base, where he projects best. Scouts don’t see in Nevin the feet, agility or athleticism necessary to handle third base on an everyday basis, and the Tommy John surgery he had as a junior in high school sapped some of his arm strength.
The Future: Evaluators generally see Nevin as a platoon corner power bat, but he has a chance to put up big offensive numbers at high Class A Lancaster in 2018 and prove he’s more. His health will bear watching as he tries to complete a full season for the first time.
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