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MLB Mock Draft

Spencer Torkelson Zachlucy
(Photo by Zach Lucy/Four Seam Images)

By Carlos Collazo

The shortest and most unorthodox draft we’ve ever seen is just two weeks away. Along with today’s update of the BA 500—which now includes full reports for all 500 players—we have a new mock draft. For those counting, this is version 5.0.

In the previous edition of the mock, we spoke ad nauseum about the uncertainty of the first round. While that largely remains true today thanks to the lack of games for teams to “scout the scouts,” plenty of rumors are starting to sprout up and more players are being linked to specific teams and more narrow windows.

Let’s jump right into it.

37 Matches
See Full List Expand Collapse All Updated on: 5/27/2020
  1. 1
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    Spencer Torkelson

    Arizona State 1B
    Video
    Notes:

    Most sources still believe the Arizona State slugger is going to be the first player off the board. There’s not a lot more to write about this pick, as we’ve had it consistent for the last three editions of the mock draft now. We will, however, direct Tigers fans to Teddy Cahill’s recent feature story on Torkelson, the cover man of our draft preview issue.

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    Austin Martin

    Vanderbilt OF
    Notes:

    Like Torkelson with the Tigers, Martin remains the favorite for Baltimore at No. 2, though there are whispers of New Mexico State shortstop Nick Gonzales. Last year there were whispers that the Orioles were entertaining players outside of Oregon State catcher Adley Rutschman throughout draft day. That didn’t come to pass. For now, we believe these are nothing more than noise.

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    Asa Lacy

    Texas A&M LHP
    Video
    Notes:

    Plenty of sources believe scouting director DJ Svihlik would love for Martin to fall to Miami at No. 3. Svihlik, of course, has ties to Vanderbilt and took Martin’s teammate JJ Bleday just a year ago with the fourth overall pick. While Svihlik was with the program when Martin was being recruited, we still don’t believe the best pure hitter in the class will fall to this spot. In this situation, the Marlins will happily settle for the top-ranked pitcher in the class in Lacy.

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    Zac Veen

    Spruce Creek HS, Port Orange, Fla. OF
    Video
    Notes:

    Each of our last three mocks have had the same trio of players selected in front of the Royals leaving Kansas City as something of a fulcrum for the draft, with several options from which to pick. Those options primarily include Nick Gonzales, and Veen, the top prep bat in the class. Lately, we’ve also heard Minnesota righthander Max Meyer linked to this pick. Veen offers more impact potential than Gonzales because of his remaining physical projection, and plenty of people believe Kansas City will shoot for some upside in this spot.

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    Nick Gonzales

    New Mexico State SS
    Video
    Notes:

    With Gonzales linked to a number of picks in front of Toronto, there’s no lock that he makes it to No. 5, but in this scenario, we believe the Blue Jays would be deciding between Gonzales, Meyer and Georgia righthander Emerson Hancock. There has been some chatter of both Gonzales and Hancock potentially sliding a bit, but it’s rare for a bat of Gonzales’ caliber to slip too much.

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    Max Meyer

    Minnesota RHP
    Video
    Notes:

    The Mariners are consistently linked with college players and lately we’ve heard them tied specifically to college arms with good pitch data. Hancock, Meyer and Louisville lefthander Reid Detmers are the top three college arms on the board, and of that trio Meyer has the most explosive pure stuff. This spot also lines the undersized flamethrower up with a range that we’ve heard fairly consistently for the last few weeks.

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    Notes:

    Pittsburgh remains something of a wild card. That could be due how the board diverges a bit around this pick or because the Pirates are keeping things close to the vest—or both. In this scenario, we have them scooping up Hancock and ending a bit of a mini slide for the No. 4 player in the class. It wouldn’t be surprising for them to jump on a prep bat as well, including Veen if he makes it this far, Robert Hassell or Austin Hendrick.

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    Robert Hassell

    Independence HS, Thompson's Station, Tenn. OF
    Video
    Notes:

    Unsurprisingly, the Padres are consistently linked to the top prep players in the class. If Veen falls this might be close to his floor, but Hassell has been mentioned as well and is likely the best pure bat in the prep class. This also seems like the high mark for Northern California catcher Tyler Soderstrom, who has been mentioned with many teams throughout the first round. Because general manager AJ Preller doesn’t shy away from riskier types, it’s worth mentioning that both prep righthander Mick Abel and UCLA outfielder Garrett Mitchell could make some sense at this spot.

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    Notes:

    Kjerstad benefits from a shortened 2020 season more than many other players in this draft environment, thanks to the lengthy track record he has with Arkansas and Team USA. This pick is more of a landing spot for Kjerstad in a range we’ve heard moreso than any specific Colorado-Kjerstad ties. We don’t believe the Rockies are specifically targeting bats, and if any of the pitchers taken above slide to this spot, they make some sense. Don’t count out prep arms such as Abel and Jared Kelley as well. Because of that, we can’t entirely count out Detmers, who is the best available arm on the board here, but most of the first-round arms Colorado has taken in recent years have had significantly more velocity, and Detmers has been more of a fly ball pitcher with Louisville over his career.

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    Reid Detmers

    Louisville LHP
    Video
    Notes:

    This would be tremendous value for the Angels at 10 considering how most in the industry talk about Detmers’ likelihood to be a major league starter for a long time. So many people have talked about him as a lock for the first 10 picks that this spot sounds like his floor. If Detmers does go before this pick we’ve also heard them linked to Abel and North Carolina State catcher Patrick Bailey.

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    Patrick Bailey

    North Carolina State C
    Video
    Notes:

    The White Sox are one of several teams who have been linked to Soderstrom, the top catcher in the high school class. We have them instead going with Bailey, the top catcher in the class period. Like Kjerstad, Bailey is a player whose lengthy collegiate track record and experience with Team USA will be invaluable in the shortened 2020 format. He sounds like a lock to be off the board among the first 15 picks.

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    Austin Hendrick

    West Allegheny HS, Imperial, Pa. OF
    Video
    Notes:

    Hendrick’s name has been linked quite a bit to the Reds lately. The No. 9 player on the BA 500, Hendrick’s power tops the prep class and would rank best among the college players as well. His bat speed is electric and his upside is significant, despite some swing-and-miss questions.

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    Tyler Soderstrom

    Turlock (Calif.) HS C
    Video
    Notes:

    Like a few teams mentioned above, the Giants have been linked to Soderstrom, who’s probably more power over hit at the moment but has plenty of upside even if he doesn’t stick behind the plate. He also performed at an exceptional level over the summer. Soderstrom’s name has been talked about enough that he should be off the board at some point among the first 15-17 picks.

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    Notes:

    No one seems confident in the specific landing spot for Mitchell, who at this point would easily be the top-ranked player on the BA 500 at No. 6. His tool set likens him more to a 1-1 candidate than a player who goes in the middle of the first round, but questions about his in-game power, how teams weigh his health (he has Type I diabetes) and his lack of track record during the summer and fall have him slipping into this range.

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    Nick Bitsko

    Central Bucks East HS, Doylestown, Pa. RHP
    Video
    Notes:

    Our last mock draft didn’t have Bitsko in the first round. Now he’s 15. Quite the swing, right? Like Mitchell, Bitsko continues to be difficult to peg thanks to the lack of a spring season, his reclassification from the 2021 class and questions about his signability. He could be a player who slides and still gets paid at a lower pick, but we’ve heard the Phillies specifically tied to him recently and there’s little chance he’s either available or signable at their next pick at 87 in the third round. It would also be slightly surprising to see Bitsko off the board before Abel or Kelley, but that’s how the chips fall in this mock.

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    Mick Abel

    Jesuit HS, Portland, Ore. RHP
    Video
    Notes:

    We’ve had the Cubs linked to bats fairly consistently in our 2020 mock draft process, with names like Hassell, Soderstrom and Arizona’s Austin Wells pegged to this pick. Hassell and Soderstrom have both been picked above and Wells is now being talked about more in the 20-30 range. Prep bat Pete Crow-Armstrong could make sense here, but Abel’s upside is substantial, and he would be the best player available according to the BA 500, as the No. 11 player in the class.

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    Pete Crow-Armstrong

    Harvard-Westlake HS, Studio City, Calif. OF
    Video
    Notes:

    We think Boston might be interested in Crow-Armstrong if he makes it this far, which would get all of the first-round prep outfielders off the board within the first 17 picks. There’s also been something of a prep run in the teens, which is a bit surprising, but each of the players who have gone have been talked about fairly significantly within this range.

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    Notes:

    In this scenario the Diamondbacks don’t get either Crow-Armstrong or Hassell, two sweet-swinging center fielders who fit their typical profile. Perhaps in that scenario they pivot to one of the better college arms available in Cavalli, who has been mentioned in the 10-12 range at times.

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    Notes:

    Crochet’s range of outcomes seems wide considering the combination of his upside, pure stuff and risk factors. He’s the most explosive lefthander in the class, however, and there’s nothing about his operation or strikes that should preclude him from starting—teams just haven’t seen him do it as often as they would like.

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    Dillon Dingler

    Ohio State C
    Notes:

    The Ohio State catcher has gotten consistent first-round buzz over the past month and change. Lately he’s being mentioned in the early 20s, though it wouldn’t be surprising for a team in the teens to grab him if they think he compares favorably to Bailey. College catchers tend to go off the board quickly and he came out of the gates extremely hot with the bat and has the physicality and defensive skill to profile well on both sides.

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    Justin Foscue

    Mississippi State 2B
    Video
    Notes:

    Another name who’s been mentioned quite a bit, Foscue fits the mold of a player who could gain ground as teams hunt for players with proven resumes. He doesn’t have the sort of impact that Kjerstad provides, but he is a safe bet to stick in the infield, which helps. The Cardinals have done well with this sort of profile.

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    Jared Kelley

    Refugio (Texas) HS RHP
    Video
    Notes:

    Kelley has the pro-ready body that Washington has coveted, and his talent fits higher than this. There should be plenty of demographics for the Nationals to choose from at this spot, but in this mock we have them scooping up the best player available. There is a solid chance that Kelley goes inside the top 15, but deciphering which landing spot at this point has been tricky, and prep righties have shown a tendency to slide down boards on draft day—something that could happen to one of the three top prep pitchers in the class.

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    Slade Cecconi

    Miami RHP
    Notes:

    Cecconi would be one of the younger players left at the top of the board, but as a draft-eligible sophomore he’s old for his class, so this isn’t necessarily a pure youth play for Cleveland. Cecconi has plenty of upside and has been discussed in this range frequently, though this second tier of college arms lines up differently almost every time you talk to another scout or team.

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    Aaron Sabato

    North Carolina 1B
    Video
    Notes:

    Sabato’s name has been gaining some steam, and plenty of evaluators saw the UNC first baseman go 2-for-3 against Meyer and Minnesota in late February. That performance sticks with people, and Sabato has some of the most usable power left on the board, which would give Tampa Bay a potential middle-of-the-order slugger.

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    Chris McMahon

    Miami RHP
    Notes:

    We’re continuing to have the Braves tied to college performers, though McMahon has louder pure stuff than you’d typically expect of someone tied to the “college performer” label. He was off to a strong start this spring and his mix of four potential above-average or better offerings is impressive on paper and in person.

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