MLB Mock Draft
Casey MizeAuburn RHPVideoNotes:
The current draft slotting system encourages teams (and players) to negotiate until the last minute. And by all accounts, the negotiations are still taking place, as rumors persist that the Tigers are looking into options not named Casey Mize, most prominently including Georgia Tech catcher Joey Bart. We’re under the impression that Mize is still the most likely No. 1 pick, however.
Joey BartGeorgia Tech CVideoNotes:
The Giants have long been tied to Bart, and that remains the case on draft day, though if the Tigers do go outside of the box and pop the catcher at No. 1, Southern California righthander Cole Winn could figure to be a backup plan for San Francisco.
Nick MadrigalOregon State 2BVideoNotes:
The Phillies are still considering Wichita State third baseman Alec Bohm, but Oregon State second baseman Nick Madrigal’s name has been floating around this pick more heavily in recent days. If Mize doesn’t go No. 1, this figures to be the furthest that he will fall. Brady Singer is a third option.
Brady SingerFlorida RHPVideoNotes:
The White Sox seem to be deciding between Madrigal and Florida righthander Brady Singer, and in this scenario the Gators ace and Baseball America College Player of the Year falls to No. 4 and is a great match for Chicago.
Jonathan IndiaFlorida 3BNotes:
The Reds typically are a best player available team, so Bohm might be in play here, as should Singer, Madrigal and Florida third baseman Jonathan India. Reds scouting director Chris Buckley likes to draft out of Florida, and India seems to fit here on talent as well after a career-best year with the Gators. This is the first spot that the top prep pitcher in the country, Matthew Liberatore, is mentioned as well.
The Mets are a fulcrum point of this draft as multiple teams picking after them are less certain of what direction they will go than the teams above or below them. Even if India falls to No. 6, there’s no guarantee that New York opts for him, and Bohm might not be a fit here either. The latest information has the Mets leaning towards Wisconsin outfielder Jarred Kelenic, but they are still shopping.
The Padres continue to be linked with prep arms here, and Tennessee lefthander Ryan Weathers seems to be a real possibility, as does Winn and a few other high school arms. San Diego isn’t afraid to spread money around, but we have them going for the best player available in a similar situation to last year when the team took MacKenzie Gore.
The Braves have always believed in scouting the Southeast and Carter Stewart has been one of the most electric arms this spring. Had he stayed healthy and avoided a minor wrist injury later in the season, Stewart could very well have moved himself into top-five consideration. Even with that, Stewart could have the highest upside of any prep arm in the class, and given general manager Alex Anthopolous’ history, as well as scouting director Brian Bridges’ with prep arms, this continues to make a lot of sense. Atlanta has also been on Arizona high school third baseman Nolan Gorman all year.
In this situation, Bohm makes the most sense with the Athletics, as a team that typically favors the college side and has arguably the draft’s best college position player who hits for both average and power falling into their laps. Oakland continues to be linked to South Alabama outfielder Travis Swaggerty, Gorman and Kelenic.
Cole Winn should be one of the first three or four prep arms off the board. And considering his spring, he makes sense here to the Pirates, who don’t have a ton of college hitters available unless they want to bite the bullet on Swaggerty and end the rumors of him sliding. That’s a real possibility, but we’ll side with Winn here.
Nolan GormanO'Connor HS, Phoenix. 3BVideoNotes:
It sounds like the Blue Jays might love for one of the players off the board in the top 10 to fall to No. 12, but in this scenario they would have to decide between Gorman’s power, the local Canadian pick in Noah Naylor, or a college arm like Logan Gilbert, Ryan Rolison or Jackson Kowar.
Prep bats continue to dominate the discussions here, especially bats from the home state of Florida. That seems to be more because of the strength of the state in this year’s draft class than any regional-based discount plays, and there are a number of players who could fit here including Scott and Miami-based Triston Casas. The Marlins sound interested in shortstop Osiris Johnson (Encinal HS, Alameda, Calif.), but that’s most likely with a later pick.
Trevor LarnachOregon State OFVideoNotes:
This should be around the starting point for interest in Larnach, and while it might be a reach to go for the Oregon State outfielder here, the Mariners are certainly a team that prefers to go after college bats. Swaggerty’s name makes sense to mention here as well, as do college arms Gilbert, Rolison and Kowar.
There might not be a player who better fits the Rangers’ typical M.O. than Adams, who has some of the highest upside and definitely some of the best athleticism in the class. If the Rangers want him, they’ll have to take him with this pick, as it seems impossible that he’ll slide past three picks from the Rays and Royals, as well as the Brewers at No. 21.
Logan GilbertStetson RHPVideoNotes:
The Angels continue to be linked with pitching, and in this scenario are deciding between Gilbert and Kowar. The former pitcher saw his stuff tick up near the end of the season and might have the edge thanks to projection remaining and a steady improvement since coming to Stetson.
Shane McClanahanSouth Florida. LHPVideoNotes:
It would not be surprising for McClanahan to fall further than this, and with Kowar still on the board they could opt for the more sure starter, but at some point a team is going to have to bite on the fastest lefthanded arm in the class, and St. Louis is one of the teams who checked in on the South Florida arm late in the spring.
Jackson KowarFlorida RHPVideoNotes:
The Twins could go with Gilbert if he gets here, but Kowar fits as well. They’d presumably also look long and hard before letting Mississippi lefthander Ryan Rolison get passed them, and there are still a number of high-upside prep arms Minnesota could target in this spot.
Seigler could be in play as high as No. 16, and it sounds like the Rays could even entertain the option of continuing to use Seigler on the mound. They’ve been one of the progressive teams in the league in terms of pitcher management and they also have a two-way player already in the system in Brendan McKay—although having players catch and pitch is something that doctors recommend players avoid, so such a plan would likely involve moving Seigler off catcher. Seigler makes sense at a number of spots from 16-24.
We have the Yankees taking the best bat available here, though Naylor does make sense at a number of spots in the teens as well. The Grant Lavigne (Bedford (N.H.) HS) noise around New York is real, but it seems to be an option at a spot later than No. 23 at this point. Prep bats like Turang, Casas and Seigler could also be fits if they last until this point.
Ryan RolisonMississippi LHPNotes:
The Cubs might be targeting a few high school bats here, but in this scenario it’s hard to see them passing up Rolison, who could be the best lefthanded college arm in the class. He fits at a number of spots higher than this and shouldn’t get out of the first 30 picks.
Jake McCarthyVirginia OFVideoNotes:
McCarthy’s track record should keep him in play here, and that logic also fits with Oklahoma outfielder Steele Walker. However, McCarthy’s tools package and center field profile give him the edge here.