2020-21 MLB International Prospects Class
By Ben Badler
Our list below provides an overview of the international prospects expected to sign for the top bonuses in the 2020-21 class.
It is not a talent ranking—I'll get to that more below—but instead a board sorted by the expected top signing bonuses in the 2020-21 class, with reports on every player that include where they're expected to sign and videos. We will continue to add more information as we get closer to the signing date, which moved back from July 2, 2020 to Jan. 15, 2021.
Like last year, I do not believe it would be honest or fair to anyone—the players, the clubs or our readers—to publish a talent ranking yet, given the realities of how players are now being scouted in Latin America. Players are often committing to teams multiple years in advance of when they're eligible to sign, so many of them are no longer being rigorously scouted by 29 other clubs.
That's a continuation of an evolving trend in the industry. I wrote a story six years ago regarding how teams were scouting and trying to secure agreements with players younger than ever. That process has accelerated, as I wrote in a cover story last year before July 2, to the point that players are often committing to sign with teams at 13 and 14 years old.
In the United States, high school players routinely commit to colleges at the same ages. Blaze Jordan, one of the top 2020 high school draft prospects, committed to Mississippi State when he was 13. But unlike with international prospects, American players continue to play in front of scouts leading up to the draft in high school games, travel circuits and showcases. All 30 teams scouted Jordan and other top high school players last summer and would have continued to watch them all spring leading up to the draft—if the season hadn't been canceled.
It's different for international players. Once they commit to a club, they stop working out for other teams and don't get scouted at showcases. A scout from another club might happen to see that prospect at his trainer's field while going there to see other players in that program, but it's usually a quick glance at a player taking infield or batting practice, a look that's not suited for a more substantive evaluation.
During that window from age 14 to 16, players change significantly. They can put on 30 pounds, grow a few inches, go from a 30-runner to a 60-runner, or from a below-average arm to a plus arm and gain five mph of velocity. Or they stagnate and don't progress the way a team had anticipated. Those changes can happen in a few months, so a period of multiple years is enormous at that age.
The challenges are even more pronounced than usual right now due to Covid-19. Teams were prohibited by MLB rules from seeing players in person for six months between March and September, even if it was just to check in on players they're expecting to sign on Jan. 15. Even now, clubs are prohibited from bringing amateur players into their academies.
Rather than force a talent ranking right now that wouldn't meet our standards, I think an honest approach that adds the most value is to look at the 2020-21 international market as a whole, with our 2020-21 international board sorted by expected signing bonus. It's a good guide to the big prospects to know in the 2020-21 class that include a snapshot of each player and where they're expected to sign, plus videos of the players over the last few years. Out of caution, some Cuban free agents are not on the list because it's not clear yet which teams will sign them, but the board will be updated as that changes.
Our rankings of the Top 100 international signings from the 2019 class are available here.
- 21Last: 20
Victor AcostaDominican Republic SSVideoNotes:
Born: June 10, 2004. B-T: B-R. Ht.: 5-11. Wt.: 165.
Report: Acosta projects as a true shortstop with a chance to be a plus defender at the position. A plus runner with an above-average arm, Acosta has quick reactions off the bat and nimble footwork, with good body control and instincts in the field. A switch-hitter, Acosta has a slashing offensive approach, with more bat speed and power from the left side. He trains with Hector Evertz and is expected to sign with the Padres with a bonus in the $1.5 to $2 million range.More Less
- 33Last: 32
Maikol HernandezVenezuela SSVideoNotes:
Born: Oct. 4, 2003. B-T: R-R. Ht.: 6-4. Wt.: 175.
Report: While the Cardinals and Pirates were once connected to Hernandez, he's now expected to sign with the Orioles. Hernandez is tall, lean and athletic, with a promising mix of power and speed. Compared to Angels shortstop Arol Vera and Padres shortstop Reggie Preciado, two tall-framed shortstops who ranked among the top prospects in the 2019 international class, Hernandez is a better runner, with plus speed and the ability to generate impressive power with relative ease. Hernandez has the arm strength for the left side of the infield, with the athleticism and actions that might allow him to stay at the position for a bigger shortstop. He trains with Jhoan Hidalgo.More Less
- 34Last: 33
Victor LizarragaMexico RHPNotes:
Born: Nov. 30, 2003. B-T: R-R. Ht.: 6-4. Wt.: 180.
Report: Cuban 20-year-old righthander Norge Vera is expected to be the top-paid pitcher when the signing period opens. Among teenage pitchers, the top bonus this year is likely to go to Lizarraga, who is expected to sign with the Padres for more than $1 million. Lizarraga, who trains at the Mazatlan academy and is represented by Jorge Campillo, has a fastball that has been up to 93 mph with the space on his tall, lean frame to project a mid-90s or better fastball once he packs on weight. He pairs it with a potential out pitch curveball that can miss bats and solid feel for a changeup for his age.More Less
- 37Last: 36
Samuel ZavalaVenezuela OFVideoNotes:
Born: July 15, 2004. B-T: L-L. Ht.: 6-1. Wt.: 178.
Report: One of the top pure hitters from Venezuela in the 2020 class, Zavala has a rhythmic lefthanded swing with good path, using his hands well with an all-fields approach. He's on the younger side of the class, and as he's grown more physical, the ball has started to jump off his bat better with the projection for more. Zavala shows good defensive instincts and a solid-average arm in center field, though his speed likely fits best in a corner. Zavala trains with Henderson Martinez and is expected to sign with the Padres.More Less
- 42Last: 41
Daniel MontesinoVenezuela OFVideoNotes:
Born: Feb. 12, 2004. B-T: L-R. Ht.: 6-3. Wt.: 200.
Report: The Padres are expected to sign two of the best lefthanded hitters out of Venezuela this year with Samuel Zavala and Daniel Montesino. From Carlos Guillen's academy, Montesino has grown into a large-framed, physical corner outfielder with good feel for the barrel, showing a sound approach for his age and the ability to hit to all fields, with his power trending up as he's gotten taller and stronger over the last year.More Less