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2004 Top 100 Prospects

February 27, 2004

2004 Prospect Handbook
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The 2004 Prospect Handbook

Baseball America's 15th annual Top 100 Prospects list reflects each player's long-term major league value, considering both his ceiling and the likelihood that he reaches that potential. All players who haven't exceeded the rookie limits of 130 at-bats and 50 innings were eligible, regardless of big league service time. Editor in chief Allan Simpson, managing editor Will Lingo, executive editor Jim Callis, national writer John Manuel and former national writer Josh Boyd (now an area scout with the Padres) compiled the top 100 in consultation with general managers, scouting directors, farm directors, scouts, managers, instructors and other Baseball America correspondents and staff members. Executive Editor Jim Callis wrote the summaries. ETA is our estimate of when the player will become a big league regular.

1-25     26-50     51-75     76-100     Breakdown

51. Jason Stokes 1b, Marlins

His power made Adrian Gonzalez, the No. 1 overall pick in 2000, expendable in Florida . . . ETA: 2005

Adrian Gonzalez
No. 52: Adrian Gonzalez

52. Adrian Gonzalez 1b, Rangers

. . . though Gonzalez landed on his feet as the top prospect for Texas after being traded for Ugueth Urbina. ETA: 2005

53. Jeremy Guthrie rhp, Indians

Reached Triple-A in his first pro season, and has the potential for three plus pitches. ETA: 2005

54. John Maine rhp, Orioles

Life and deception on his low-90s fastball enabled him to lead minors with 185 strikeouts, .177 opponent average. ETA: 2005

55. Kris Honel rhp, White Sox

His knuckle-curve is already nasty, and some project his velocity to reach the mid-90s. ETA: 2005

56. Justin Jones lhp, Cubs

Should give the Cubs their first productive homegrown lefty starter since they traded Ken Holtzman in 1971. ETA: 2006

57. Ian Stewart 3b, Rockies

It's scary to think what might happen when Coors Field amplifies his natural power. ETA: 2006

58. Clint Everts rhp, Expos

His curveball breaks so much that it fools umpires as well as hitters. ETA: 2006

59. Denny Bautista rhp, Orioles

His age just jumped up two years, but Pedro Martinez' cousin still has a mid-90s fastball. ETA: 2005

Mike Hinckley
No. 60: Mike Hinckley

60. Mike Hinckley lhp, Expos

A guy with a 21-9, 2.81 pro record, a 91-94 mph fastball and a plus curveball stays anonymous only by being an Expo. ETA: 2006

61. Khalil Greene ss, Padres

Raced to the majors just as expected and should be a solid if not spectacular all-around shortstop. ETA: 2004

62. Bobby Jenks rhp, Angels

Jenks' story remains the same: Tremendous fastball and curveball, questionable command and makeup. ETA: 2005

63. Travis Blackley lhp, Mariners

Ability to mix pitches allowed him to tie for minor league lead in wins (17), and he's starting to throw harder. ETA: 2005

64. Sean Burnett lhp, Pirates

Throws strikes and keeps the ball in the park exactly like a crafty lefty should. ETA: 2005

65. Ryan Harvey of, Cubs

Sammy Sosa's eventual successor in right field also has the ability to drive pitches a long way. ETA: 2007

66. J.D. Durbin rhp, Twins

Self-proclaimed "Real Deal" may project better as a reliever in the majors, and could fill Minnesota's closer void in the near future. ETA: 2004

67. Scott Olsen lhp, Marlins

With Dontrelle Willis and offseason trade acquisition Bill Murphy, Florida is loaded with promising lefties. ETA: 2006

Chris Lubanski
No. 68: Chris Lubanski

68. Chris Lubanski of, Royals

Following Johnny Damon and Carlos Beltran as the next in the line of Kansas City center-field prospects. ETA: 2006

69. Manny Parra lhp, Brewers

While Milwaukee's deep system is most notable for its hitting prospects, Parra headlines a nice pitching crop. ETA: 2006

70. Jose Lopez ss/2b, Mariners

Seattle signed Rich Aurilia to a one-year deal so they wouldn't block Lopez at shortstop. ETA: 2005

71. Alberto Callaspo 2b, Angels

The biggest bargain on the list after signing for $8,000, he has hit .337 as a pro and is a magician with the bat. ETA: 2006

72. Gabe Gross of, Blue Jays

Regained his hitting stroke last year and will claim a starting job in Toronto once his power manifests itself more. ETA: 2004

73. Adam LaRoche 1b, Braves

All in the family: father Dave was an all-star reliever, and brother Andy signed for $1 million with the Dodgers last year. ETA: 2004

74. Jason Bay of, Pirates

Bay, Oliver Perez and Cory Stewart may not look like a bad return for Brian Giles in a couple of years. ETA: 2004

75. Bubba Nelson rhp, Braves

Led the minors with a 1.66 ERA in 2002, reached Triple-A in 2003, could help Atlanta out of the bullpen in 2004. ETA: 2004

1-25     26-50     51-75     76-100     Breakdown

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