2007 Top 200 Draft Prospects: 61-80

2007 DraftThis is Baseball America's comprehensive review of the top prospects for this year's draft, based on discussions with high school and college coaches and professional scouts and executives. Our list is based on the overall professional potential of the players, not necessarily on where we expect them to get drafted. Capsules were written by Jim Callis, Aaron Fitt, John Manuel and Alan Matthews.

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61. Todd Frazier, 3b
School: Rutgers. Class: Jr.
B-T: R-R. Ht.: 6-4. Wt.: 215. Birthdate: 2/12/86.
Scouting Report: Todd is the third Frazier brother who will be drafted, following Jeff (Mariners) and Charlie (Marlins) in the legacy of the famed Tom's River, N.J., Little League teams of the late 1990s. He has been a three-year starter at Rutgers and carved a reputation as a solid all-around player with a long track record of performance despite a modest tool set. He raised his profile by showing plus power with wood last summer with the college national team, but scouts are apprehensive about his long-term ability to hit for average because of unorthodox swing mechanics. He's a solid-average runner with adequate hands and an average arm, tools that might play at third base or second, but not at shortstop. His instincts and makeup are outstanding, and if he gets to his power as a pro, he'll play his way into a big league lineup. He should be drafted no later than the second round.

.376 194 67 73 15 2 18 53 21

62. Nick Tepesch, rhp
School: Blue Springs (Mo.) HS. Class: Sr.
B-T: R-R. Ht.: 6-4. Wt.: 200. Birthdate: 3/6/89.
Scouting Report: In a state where fans love their World Series champion Cardinals, Tepesch often gets described as a budding Chris Carpenter. At 6-foot-4 and 200 pounds, he has a similar build, and he is developing a similar fastball/curve combination. His fastball began to creep into the 90s last summer, and he opened his senior season by reaching 93-94 mph. He since has settled in at 88-91 mph, holding the velocity throughout a game, and there should be more in the tank as he gets stronger. He also has increased the velocity on his over-the-top curveball, which has good bite when it's on. He's developing feel for his curveball and changeup, but there are no questions about the quality of his arm. He'd make a fine addition to a young, talented pitching staff at Missouri, but he's more likely to sign as a sandwich or second-round pick.

7 0 1.62 7 0 39 20 12 60

63. Kyle Lotzkar, rhp
School: South Delta (B.C.) SS. Class: Sr.
B-T: L-R. Ht.: 6-3. Wt.: 180. Birthdate: 10/24/89.
Scouting Report: It's an unprecedented year for talent in Canada, and Lotzkar has established himself as the consensus second-best Canadian prospect behind Phillippe Aumont. He played on a club team coached by Doug Mathieson, the father of Phillies righthander Scott. Lotzkar, 17, developed physically at the perfect time, adding 15 pounds of muscle and two inches between last summer and this spring. His fastball sits near 91 mph, touching 94. His arm action is loose and clean, though he doesn't repeat his delivery and remains unrefined as a pitcher. His command is erratic. His breaking ball has improved, while his changeup is below-average. Lotzkar turned in an impressive showing in Florida in front of a throng of scouts in April, and because he's projectable and has shown feel for two potentially plus pitches, he's a candidate to be taken in the supplemental round.

0 0 0.00 0 0 0 0 0 0
No spring season

64. Josh Horton, ss
School: North Carolina. Class: Jr.
B-T: L-R. Ht.: 6-1. Wt.: 198. Birthdate: 2/19/86.
Scouting Report: Among the second tier of college position players, Horton has the best combination of performance and tools. He was a second-team All-American as a sophomore, when he won the Atlantic Coast Conference batting title with a .395 mark and helped carry North Carolina to the College World Series. He struggled in the Cape Cod League last summer, however, and has an unorthodox approach at the plate. What he does best as a hitter is use his hands to square balls on the barrel and use the whole field. He has excellent strike-zone awareness and lets balls travel deep in the hitting zone. He's an average runner and an adequate defender with a chance to stay at shortstop, though his range will never be a plus. He has a solid-average arm, though he struggles with accuracy occasionally. Scouts who like him compare him to Adam Kennedy as an offensive-minded doubles machine who can stay in the middle of the field. Other teams have little interest in drafting him in the top five rounds.

.333 183 48 61 9 4 7 35 6

65. Wes Roemer, rhp
School: Cal State Fullerton. Class: Jr.
B-T: R-R. Ht.: 6-0. Wt.: 200. Birthdate: 10/7/86.
Scouting Report: A preseason first-team All-American, Roemer had one of the best seasons in Cal State Fullerton history in 2006, leading the Titans to Omaha at 13-2, 2.38 in a national-high 155 innings. He stumbled out of the gates in 2007, thanks in part to a broken pinky finger, before rallying late to get his numbers (8-5, 2.97) back in line with past performance. Roemer's best weapon is his command. He had plunked 58 batters in his career, many of them on purpose, as he'd rather hit a batter than walk him (40 career walks). While he doesn't have true elite, put-it-in-a-cup command, he has well-above-average control and pounds the strike zone with his fastball, which was fringe-average early but touched 93 mph and sat at 88-91 later in the year. His slider is above-average for the college level and plays average with mid-70s velocity and some depth. He spots his changeup and throws it for strikes. Roemer's spunky attitude can turn some opponents and scouts off, and his average stuff doesn't leave much room for error. But Titans coaches credit him with competing hard and helping the team while pitching through the pinky injury.

8 5 2.97 15 0 103 103 18 115

66. Kellen Kulbacki, of
School: James Madison. Class: Jr.
B-T: L-L. Ht.: 5-11. Wt.: 205. Birthdate: 11/21/85.
Scouting Report: At the outset of the season, scouts made sure to pay a visit to Harrisonburg, Va., to try to get a better read on Kulbacki. They were scratching their heads after he won the Colonial Athletic Association triple crown and led Division I in home runs and slugging percentage as a sophomore. The success didn't translate in the Cape Cod League last summer, though, making this spring key to his draft status. Because he's a well-below-average defender with average speed, all of his value lies in the bat, but most scouts seem confident that he will be an above-average major league hitter. His advanced approach and feel for hitting prompted one scout to say Kulbacki is an average major league hitter now. He can handle lefthanded pitching, which he proved by lining a double off the wall in a game against Maryland's Brett Cecil. Kulbacki's game is a similar to that of Nationals prospect Kory Casto, and how much power he develops will be vital to his ultimate value. Because he makes such consistent hard contact, he should hit for at least average power. He could be taken as high as the supplemental round.

.397 179 52 71 15 1 18 47 8

67. Kevin Patterson, 1b/c
School: Oak Mountain HS, Birmingham. Class: Sr.
B-T: L-R. Ht.: 6-4. Wt.: 215. Birthdate: 9/28/88.
Scouting Report: Power is Patterson's calling card, and he has shown he has lots of it. During a scout-organized tryout for the East Coast Showcase last summer at Mississippi State, he cleared the double fences at Dudy Noble Field, and he mashed 17 home runs in a 10-out round during a home run derby in the offseason. When his senior season began, Patterson homered three times on his first three swings. He got sick and missed the East Coast Showcase last summer, which prevented him from showing his stuff to scouts outside his area, and then broke his hamate bone this spring, which cost him most of this season. He returned for the final two games and was working out for teams leading up to the draft. He has a mature, muscular body and plus bat speed. His swing lacks looseness, he tends to drift to the ball and is susceptible to soft stuff away as well as fastballs above his hands. He's raw but adequate behind the plate, but not a fast-twitch, fluid athlete, so the consensus is his final destination will be first base. Depending on how he bounces back from his injury, he could be the first player drafted from Alabama, as high as the second round.

.437 71 36 31 6 1 9 35 1

68. Scott Moviel, rhp
School: St. Edward HS, Berea, Ohio. Class: Sr.
B-T: R-R. Ht.: 6-10. Wt.: 245. Birthdate: 5/7/88.
Scouting Report: The Andrew Brackman comparisons are obvious. Product of an Ohio high school? Check. Signed to play in college at North Carolina State? Check. Huge body that has scouts dreaming of a monster frontline starter? Check. Unlike Brackman, Moviel doesn't have a basketball scholarship, but he has played the sport in high school. He's an intimidating 6-foot-10 and 245 pounds and athletic for his size. He has a 91-92 mph fastball that tops out at 94, and he has tightened up a curveball that was loopy a year ago. Brackman had similar stuff when he came out of Cincinnati's Moeller High three years ago, though his breaking ball was better. As with any large pitcher, there are concerns as to how well Moviel will repeat his delivery and command his pitches. His mechanics don't have any major flaws, though he could do a better job of staying on top of his pitches. Because his older brothers Paul (in the Devil Rays system) and Greg (in the Mariners organization) went backward in college, Moviel is considered signable, especially if he goes in the top three rounds as expected.

3 2 1.47 0 1 38 20 7 69

69. Jordan Walden, rhp
School: Grayson County (Texas) CC. Class: Fr.
B-T: R-R. Ht.: 6-5. Wt.: 225. Birthdate: 11/16/87.
Scouting Report: Walden was Baseball America's No. 1 high school prospect at the outset of the 2006 season, but an inconsistent senior year killed any chance that he'd realize his desire for a seven-figure bonus. After touching 99 mph the previous summer, he dipped as low as 85-88. When he fell to the Angels in the 12th round last June, he turned down a scholarship from Texas to attend Grayson County Junior College and keep his draft options open. Walden has been much better in 2007, sitting at 92-94 mph and peaking at 97. In addition to increased velocity, he has improved his slider and his command of his two primary pitches. Grayson's coaches also have forced him to use his changeup, which he'll need in pro ball. They toned down his delivery, though it still has some stiffness that leads to worries about how much command he'll develop. He closed his season with a bang, striking out 15 and carrying a no-hitter into the eighth inning of a regional playoff game. Other clubs expect the Angels to sign him as a draft-and-follow, and he'd be a sandwich or second-round pick if he re-entered the draft.

8 2 1.49 11 1 54 39 16 77

70. Sam Demel, rhp
School: Texas Christian. Class: Jr.
B-T: R-R. Ht.: 6-0. Wt.: 185. Birthdate: 10/23/85.
Scouting Report: Demel broke Josh Beckett's single-season strikeout record with 188 at Spring (Texas) High, and he has set the career saves mark at Texas Christian. He also has enjoyed success as a starter for the Horned Frogs, but pro teams project him as a reliever because he's small (6 feet, 185 pounds) and has a lot of violence in his delivery. That max-effort approach does produce nasty stuff, however. Demel has a 92-94 mph fastball that can touch 96, and it has armside run. His slider may be his best pitch, though at times he'll rely on it too much. He also has a changeup that drops off at the plate, giving him a weapon against lefthanders. While his mechanics make scouts cringe, Demel never has had arm problems. He figures to go between the second and fourth rounds, and a team coveting a nearly ready reliever could make him a supplemental first-rounder.

6 1 2.08 28 11 43 30 15 63

71. Neil Ramirez, rhp
School: Kempsville (Va.) HS. Class: Sr.
B-T: R-R. Ht.: 6-3. Wt.: 190. Birthdate: 5/25/89.
Scouting Report: Ramirez entered his senior season ranked among the top prep pitchers in the country, but an up-and-down spring has depressed his draft stock. Last summer he ranked as the top prospect in the Cal Ripken Senior League, despite pitching against players that were as many as three years older. Most of his inconsistency this spring stemmed from mechanical flaws, though he also missed a week with a back injury. He has a drop-and-drive delivery and tends to rush to the plate, leaving his arm behind and causing his stuff to flatten out. His velocity has been anywhere from 88-96 mph. He'll flash an above-average curveball at 78 mph, but it gets loose and loopy at 71 mph as well. He has some feel for a changeup. He'll occasionally pitch to both sides of the plate with his fastball, while at other times work deep in counts. He could go as high as the supplemental round to a team that has seen him at his best and believes it can iron out the kinks.

5 2 1.60 10 1 49 35 22 66

72. Jonathan Lucroy, c
School: Louisiana-Lafayette. Class: Jr.
B-T: R-R. Ht.: 6-1. Wt.: 206. Birthdate: 6/13/86.
Scouting Report: Teams seeking an offensive-minded catcher will consider taking Lucroy in the second round. He has hit since he arrived at Louisiana-Lafayette, batting .379 as a freshman and increasing his annual home run totals from five to 12 to 15 and counting. He has strong hands and showed prowess with wood bats last summer, when he ranked as the No. 1 prospect in the Florida Collegiate Summer League. Though he has worked hard to improve behind the plate, Lucroy is still just adequate at best. He has slightly below-average arm strength and his throws to second base tend to tail. He's a decent receiver and has strong leadership skills. Like most catchers, he's a below-average runner.

.377 220 50 83 18 2 15 59 1

73. Danny Duffy, lhp
School: Cabrillo HS, Lompoc, Calif. Class: Sr.
B-T: L-L. Ht.: 6-2. Wt.: 195. Birthdate: 12/21/88.
Scouting Report: Lompoc, midway between San Francisco and Los Angeles on California's Central Coast, is best known for its prison and its proximity to Vandenberg Air Force Base, where the Defense Department tests missiles and launches satellites into space. It has never been a baseball hotbed, but Duffy has attracted scouts by the dozen for his starts this year, dominating with an unrefined but powerful repertoire. He has perhaps the best fastball in the state among draft-eligible players, reaching 95 mph and sitting in the 90-93 mph range with his four-seamer. He's somewhat mature in build and has had back issues in his past, and needs to get stronger. Duffy also throws a high-80s two-seamer with good armside run, and has shown ability with both a slider and curveball. His mechanics aren't a thing of beauty, one easy indicator of how much work he has to do. He doesn't command the strike zone or throw a changeup, and he hasn't maintained his velocity deep into games either. Nevertheless, he's a lefty with power stuff who has dominated inferior competition.

5 2 0.63 0 0 53 24 32 118

74. Josh Donaldson, c
School: Auburn. Class: Jr.
B-T: . Ht.: 6-1. Wt.: 202. Birthdate: 12/8/85.
Scouting Report: After a prolific high school career in Mobile, Ala., where Donaldson played football and basketball and starred as a shortstop and pitcher, he has developed into a dependable, steady player for the Tigers. He played third base as a freshman in 2005, began catching as a sophomore and boosted his reputation with a strong showing in the Cape Cod League last summer. A right thumb injury limited his action behind the plate as a junior, but he had not missed a game dating back to his freshman season. He's a work in progress defensively, but shows passable catch-and-throw skills with a solid-average arm. He's a hitter first, and has relied on plus bat speed and an aggressive approach to pace Auburn in several offensive categories, including double-digit home runs in back to back years. His swing is unorthodox, and a hard front step that triggers his swing should be toned down to improve his timing and balance. He's susceptible to good breaking balls. But Donaldson can murder good fastballs, and did it with wood last summer when he hit .302 with 15 extra-base hits. He'll go off the board as early as the supplemental round and no later than the third round.

.338 201 59 68 19 0 10 49 17

75. Lee Haydel, of
School: Delgado (La.) CC. Class: Fr.
B-T: L-R. Ht.: 6-1. Wt.: 190. Birthdate: 7/15/87.
Scouting Report: Haydel was one of the fastest players available in the 2006 draft, but an undeveloped bat and a commitment to Louisiana State made him unsignable. The Brewers took him in the 19th round, a move that may pay huge dividends. Haydel opted to attend Delgado Community College after LSU forced out head coach Smoke Laval, and he has improved so much at the plate that he has become one of this year's prime draft-and-follows. Speed remains his forte, as he's capable of blazing through a 60-yard dash in 6.35 seconds. He has grown two inches and added 20 pounds, giving him more strength at the plate, and he has a quick bat. He still struggles against some offspeed pitches, but he has improved in that regard, and he has hit quality fastballs. He's an above-average center fielder with obvious range, and his solid arm strength is a plus at his position. Haydel would have signed for $250,000 last year, but now is believed to be seeking a seven-figure bonus. Teams often overdraft speedsters, and he could factor into the supplemental first round if he re-enters the draft.

.421 183 0 77 12 3 3 40

76. John Ely, rhp
School: Miami (Ohio). Class: Jr.
B-T: R-R. Ht.: 6-1. Wt.: 190. Birthdate: 5/13/86.
Scouting Report: Ely can't fill out a uniform or light up a radar gun as well as his Miami teammate Connor Graham can, but he has outperformed Graham in college and in the Cape Cod League and has a better chance to be a major league starter. Ely is just 6-foot-1 and 190 pounds, and he has a head jerk in his maximum-effort delivery. His stuff is hard to argue with, however. His 89-94 mph fastball and his vastly improved changeup both qualify as plus pitches, and his curve is an average offering. Though he lacks smooth mechanics, he throws strikes and has a resilient arm that never has given him problems. His delivery also gives him deception that makes him harder to hit. Ely also is an intense competitor who helped his cause by pitching a complete-game seven-hitter at Texas in March. Though Graham scores better in what the NFL would call

7 3 2.94 12 0 89 83 21 81

77. Gary Brown, of/2b
School: Diamond Bar HS, Walnut, Calif. Class: Sr.
B-T: R-R. Ht.: 6-0. Wt.: 170. Birthdate: 9/28/88.
Scouting Report: While he hasn't been a showcase darling like some of his Southern California peers, Brown has elbowed his way into the conversation for best middle-infield prospect in an area with several contenders. While he's played plenty of center field, Brown takes ground balls in infield practice at second base, shortstop and in center field. Some scouts think he has good enough hands to remain in the middle infield, and if not, his well-above-average speed and range would play well in center, as would his athleticism and plus range. Brown's bat will determine where he's drafted. He's strong for his smallish 5-foot-11, 175-pound frame but has bat speed and has shown the ability to square up the ball and drive it from gap to gap. He lacks polish and patience at the plate. Part of a talent-laden Cal State Fullerton recruiting class, Brown has bigger present tools than fellow Titans recruit Chris Colon, and was rumored to be under consideration for the sandwich or second round.

.612 80 44 49 9 2 4 21 15

78. Barry Enright, rhp
School: Pepperdine. Class: Jr.
B-T: . Ht.: 6-2. Wt.: 200. Birthdate: 3/30/86.
Scouting Report: Few college players were having better seasons than Enright, who could go early to a performance-oriented organization. He had climbed to second all-time at Pepperdine in wins, with a career 34-5 record, and his competitiveness and unwillingness to give in to hitters endears him to scouts. On a good day, Enright touches 90-92 mph with his fastball, but he pitches in the 87-89 range, and none of his secondary pitches--slider, curveball or changeup--excites scouts either. His command rivals that of fellow SoCal college righties James Simmons and Wes Roemer, however, and he had walked just 1.62 batters per nine over nearly 333 career innings. He improved his feel for pitching steadily through his college career and firmed up his body. His stuff, strike-throwing and bulldog nature profile him best as a middle reliever, but he'll get a chance in the back of a professional rotation.

11 3 1.86 15 0 111 100 12 75

79. Taylor Cole, rhp
School: Bishop Gorman HS, Las Vegas. Class: Sr.
B-T: R-R. Ht.: 6-1. Wt.: 175. Birthdate: 8/20/89.
Scouting Report: Cole leaped past Colby Shreve in some minds as the best prospect in Nevada, and like Shreve he had made his name as much for his hitting as for his pitching entering the season. Already one of the state's top prospects last year as a shortstop with athleticism, plus speed (6.7-second 60 times) and some hitting ability, he emerged as a bona fide pitching prospect last summer, helping his team reach the American Legion World Series. Once he realized he had professional potential, Cole hit the weight room with a professional trainer and got into outstanding shape for his senior season. He's a fast-twitch athlete with a quick arm that pumps fastballs up to 95 mph, though the pitch sits more in the 89-93 range. His slider and late-sinking changeup are inconsistent, but both pitches improved during the season. At 17, Cole is younger than most draft-eligible prospects, with time to fill out both his 6-foot-2, 175-pound frame and repertoire. He's committed to Brigham Young but has convinced most local scouts he's signable in the first five rounds and will put off his Mormon mission until after his pro career.

5 1 2.70 8 0 36 30 0 49

80. James Adkins, lhp
School: Tennessee. Class: Jr.
B-T: R-L. Ht.: 6-6. Wt.: 225. Birthdate: 11/26/85.
Scouting Report: Adkins established himself as a weekend starter when, in his first turn in the Vols rotation as a freshman, he tossed seven strong innings against Oklahoma State. He has pitched well in showdowns with Arkansas' Nick Schmidt and Vandy's David Price, further bolstering a resume that includes a spot atop Tennessee's all-time strikeouts list. He had shoulder surgery to relieve an impingement before his sophomore season. Adkins is most comfortable pitching off his secondary stuff. He throws a hard slider at 79-82 mph as well as 76-78 mph curveball. He throws them both for strikes, mixing in a fringe-average fastball that sits at 87-90 mph and a rudimentary changeup. His plus command and feel for pitching make him a No. 5 starter candidate as a professional, and he should be drafted in the second or third round.

5 7 2.86 15 0 107 96 37 119

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