2007 Top 200 Draft Prospects: 181-200

2007 DraftThis is Baseball America's comprehensive review of the top prospects for this year's draft, based on discussions with high school and college coaches and professional scouts and executives. Our list is based on the overall professional potential of the players, not necessarily on where we expect them to get drafted. Capsules were written by Jim Callis, Aaron Fitt, John Manuel and Alan Matthews.

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181. Cory Luebke, lhp
School: Ohio State. Class: Jr.
B-T: R-L. Ht.: 6-3. Wt.: 195. Birthdate: 3/4/85.
Scouting Report: Thrust into Ohio State's No. 1 starter role after Dan DeLucia succumbed to elbow surgery, Luebke has responded by leading the Big 10 Conference with a 1.95 regular-season ERA--nearly a run better than his closest competitor, Penn State's Craig Clark at 2.79. Scouts have been interested in the athletic lefthander since he was in high school, but Luebke was intent on becoming a Buckeye. Draft-eligible as a sophomore a year ago, Luebke turned down the Rangers as a 22nd-rounder and instead spent the summer turning in a solid performance in the Cape Cod League. He doesn't have overwhelming stuff, but his 88-91 mph fastball and slider are good enough, especially because the throws strikes and competes. He has done a better job locating his pitches as a junior, and there's still projection in his 6-foot-4, 200-pound frame. Luebke could go as high as the third round to a club seeking a polished college lefty.

7 1 2.09 12 0 86 68 23 74

182. Eric Sogard, 2b
School: Arizona State. Class: Jr.
B-T: . Ht.: 5-9. Wt.: 175. Birthdate: 5/22/86.
Scouting Report: As the Sun Devils steamed toward their first Pacific-10 Conference regular-season title since 2000, scouts and opposing coaches pointed to Sogard as perhaps the most important player on a deep roster. In fact, they gave him the highest praise a modern-day Sun Devil can get, comparing him to Dustin Pedroia, now the Red Sox' second baseman. Sogard's tools grade out better than Pedroia's for some scouts. He's a better runner with a better arm, though he lacks Pedroia's amazing intangibles. Sogard has some thump in his lefthanded bat, having hit .347 with wood last summer in the West Coast Collegiate League and near .400 for the Sun Devils this spring. What endeared him most to scouts is his improvement defensively. While he lacks Pedroia's pure hands and quick transfer, Sogard has made himself a slightly above-average defender, improving by a full grade with his hands, range and arm. He should be an offensive second baseman and average defender and may not last past the fourth round.

.384 185 59 71 9 4 9 47 15

183. Adrian Ortiz, of
School: Pepperdine. Class: Jr.
B-T: L-R. Ht.: 6-0. Wt.: 165. Birthdate: 1/14/87.
Scouting Report: A fifth-round pick out of Puerto Rico in 2004 to the Cubs, Ortiz might not go any higher this time around. While he has improved in college, he has yet to have the breakout performance that would catapult his stock. Ortiz is the fastest player in Division I, a top-of-the-scale runner who has turned in 60-yard times in the 6.2-second range consistently--on grass--since coming to Pepperdine. His speed translates in center field, where he has good range, but not on the basepaths, where he has just 33 career stolen bases. Ortiz' baseball instincts lag after 160-plus college games, denting his range in center and often leaving him tentative on the basepaths. He has virtually no power (his 14 extra-base hits as a freshman were his career high) and doesn't control the strike zone (12 walks is his career high). Even with those negatives, Ortiz has rare speed and enough hand-eye coordination to hit for average, and figures to go in the fifth-round range again.

.359 220 49 79 5 4 1 20 14

184. Matt Brown, of
School: Wichita State. Class: Jr.
B-T: L-R. Ht.: 6-1. Wt.: 190. Birthdate: 2/21/85.
Scouting Report: Brown had a great summer with wood bats in 2006, ranking as the top position-player prospect in the Jayhawk League after leading the league in homers (nine) and RBIs (36) while finishing third in the batting race (.385). He offers one of the best all-around packages among college position players in this draft, showing all five tools when he's at his best. He's a 6-foot-1, 190-pound right fielder with bat speed, foot speed and arm strength, and he draws praise for playing hard every day. That all-out approach carries over to the plate, however, and can work against him. He has a long, maximum-effort stroke that leaves him susceptible to pitchers who change speeds. Some scouts worry about how that approach will play in pro ball, but a club that believes it can tone him down at the plate could pop him as early as the third round.

.319 216 41 69 12 4 8 47 16

185. Brian Rike, of
School: Louisiana Tech. Class: Jr.
B-T: . Ht.: 6-2. Wt.: 200. Birthdate: 12/13/85.
Scouting Report: Rike hit just nine homers in his first two seasons at Louisiana Tech before exploding for 20 homers this spring. Scouts still aren't sure just how much power Rike possesses, however, because the Bulldogs play in a bandbox and he went homerless over the last 12 games of the regular season. Fortunately for Rike, he's more than just a one-dimensional slugger. A self-made player, he added 25 pounds of muscle to his 6-foot-2 frame and cut his 60-yard-dash time from 7.1 to 6.7 seconds since arriving in college. A lefthanded hitter, he has the swing and the patience to hit for average, and he has enough arm strength to play right field. Rike also proved himself with wood bats in the Jayhawk League last summer, where he ranked as the No. 2 position-player prospect behind Wichita State's Matt Brown. Though his draft stock dipped with his late-season power outage, Rike still should go in the top four of five rounds.

.351 205 72 72 13 2 20 64 15

186. Eric Farris, 2b/ss
School: Loyola Marymount. Class: Jr.
B-T: R-R. Ht.: 5-10. Wt.: 170. Birthdate: 3/3/86.
Scouting Report: Lightly regarded out of high school in Arizona, Farris has had a solid career at Loyola Marymount and should have a chance to reach the majors either as an everyday second baseman or as a utility infielder. He has increased his visibility the last 12 months, first by hitting .298 in the Cape Cod League (the league average was .244) and by playing plenty of shortstop for the Lions this spring. He lacks pure middle-infield actions, and his arm and hands are short to be an everyday shortstop, but he'll fit fine at second, where his athleticism serves him well. Farris has good bat control and has improved his ability to make contact, though he still needs to walk more to be a true No. 2 hitter. He's a slightly above-average runner who has solid instincts on the basepaths.

.346 228 46 79 12 3 3 28 14

187. Matt Rizzotti, 1b
School: Manhattan. Class: Jr.
B-T: L-L. Ht.: 6-6. Wt.: 230. Birthdate: 12/24/85.
Scouting Report: Rizzotti burst onto the prospect landscape as a freshman at Manhattan, batting .416/.530/.694 with nine homers and 57 RBIs. He tantalized scouts with his huge raw power in batting practice in the New England Collegiate League that summer and again in the Cape Cod League in 2006, but he was inconsistent in game action. Rizzotti struggled out of the gate in 2007, when the weather seemed to hinder his timing and rhythm. But he got hot in the second half and finished the regular season with a career-high 11 homers. Rizzotti flashes 70 power (on the 20-80 scouting scale) and can hit balls out of the park from foul pole to foul pole, but he hasn't proven he can hit quality pitching with any consistency. He has a patient approach, but some scouts would like to see him be more aggressive. He also swings and misses a lot and is vulnerable to fastballs inside. Rizzotti lacks athleticism and mobility and is just an adequate defender at first.

.346 159 36 55 8 0 10 40 0

188. Seth Blair, rhp
School: Rock Falls (Ill.) HS. Class: Sr.
B-T: R-R. Ht.: 6-2. Wt.: 190. Birthdate: 3/3/89.
Scouting Report: Blair generated a lot of buzz when he hit 95 mph in his first outing of the spring. He hasn't matched that velocity since, but scouts have stayed on his trail because he has touched 92 on a few occasions since. He's not exceedingly big at 6-foot-2 and 190 pounds, but Blair generates his velocity with arm speed. He throws from a low three-quarters angle, which gives his heater sinking and boring action. Because of his size and lack of polished command and secondary pitches, Blair projects more as a reliever than as a starter at this point. That will affect him in the draft, as will his uncertain signability. He has committed to Arizona State and rumors on the scouting trail tied him to Scott Boras, though Blair's father Al says he will be his son's adviser.

7 1 0.57 9 1 49 28 9 88

189. Dave Stewart, of
School: St. John Vianney HS, St. Louis. Class: Sr.
B-T: L-R. Ht.: 6-6. Wt.: 230. Birthdate: 11/23/88.
Scouting Report: The 6-foot-6, 230-pound Stewart led the Vianney volleyball team to a Missouri state title as a freshman and was the leading scorer on the basketball team this winter as a power forward. He also has starred as an outfielder and pitcher for the baseball team, which won Class 4 state championships in 2004 and 2006. Though he can throw 89-90 mph off the mound, Stewart's future is as a lefthanded slugger. His size gives him tremendous leverage, and he has the quick hands and strength to drive balls a long way. He runs well for his size and has the arm strength to play right field. Because he's so big, Stewart has a naturally long swing, and scouts question whether he'll make consistent quality contact against better pitching. If he attends Nebraska, where he'd get the chance to play both ways, he could become one of the better power prospects for the 2010 draft.

.339 56 20 19 6 1 5 27 3

190. D.J. LeMahieu, 3b
School: Brother Rice HS, Bloomfield Hills, Mich. Class: Sr.
B-T: R-R. Ht.: 6-4. Wt.: 190. Birthdate: 7/13/88.
Scouting Report: LeMahieu's calling card is his power potential, as he uses his 6-foot-4 frame and uppercut stroke to launch balls great distances. There's still plenty of room to add strength on his 190-pound build, though he will have to cut down on his swing and do a better job of staying back against better pitching. LeMahieu performed well on the showcase circuit last summer but hasn't dominated inferior competition this spring. A high school shortstop with soft hands and a strong arm, he'll have to find a new position because he has well-below-average speed. If he's not quick enough to handle third base, he'll have to move to right field. LeMahieu figures to be a higher pick in 2010 if he proves himself in three seasons at Louisiana State than he'll be this year, when teams are unlikely to meet his second-round price tag.

.514 70 36 36 15 5 2 18 24

191. Justin Snyder, of
School: San Diego. Class: Jr.
B-T: L-R. Ht.: 5-9. Wt.: 190. Birthdate: 4/8/86.
Scouting Report: Snyder is a solid all-around athlete and grinder who should go in the first six rounds to a statistically oriented club. A three-year starter for San Diego, he has been the ignitor behind overachieving offenses. He's a lefthanded-hitting second baseman who can play center field, as he did in the Cape Cod League last summer, but mostly he's a top-of-the-order pest who draws walks (35 or more every season at USD, always ranking in the top five in the West Coast Conference). Despite his size, Snyder has solid gap power and won't get the bat knocked out of his hands. He needs to play the short game better, particularly bunting, and if he does he'll be a solid No. 2 hitter. Snyder runs well but isn't as aggressive stealing bases as scouts would like. Defensively, he's sound at second, where he profiles best, and quick enough to play center field.

.348 230 44 80 18 0 4 33 7

192. Andrew Romine, ss
School: Arizona State. Class: Jr.
B-T: B-R. Ht.: 6-0. Wt.: 170. Birthdate: 12/24/85.
Scouting Report: As much talent as Arizona State could put into this draft--with Smith, Sogard, Spencer and Andrew Romine all possible third- to sixth-round picks--the 2008 team will make more of an impact, both in terms of current sophomores (such as first baseman Brett Wallace and catcher Petey Parramore) and recruits (too many to mention). Romine could be part of that Sun Devils squad unless a team strongly believes in his bat, because if he falls far in the draft he would likely end up coming back as a senior. He's a premium defender in a year short on those in the college crop, with excellent arm strength and accuracy to go with good hands and range. Offensively, he has little power (.382 slugging) and had to rally to get over .300. He runs well (leading the team with 18 stolen bases), controls the strike zone and handles the bat, but at his best he profiles as a No. 8 or No. 9 hitter. The son of ex-Red Sox outfielder Kevin Romine needs to add strength, some of which he lost due to surgery in January 2006 to have a rib removed. Romine had thoracic outlet syndrome, which led to a blood clot in his shoulder.

.305 164 46 50 11 1 0 33 16

193. Matt Clark, 3b
School: Riverside (Calif.) CC. Class: So.
B-T: L-R. Ht.: 6-5. Wt.: 215. Birthdate: --/--/--.
Scouting Report: Clark has big league bloodlines and lefthanded power, both of which should help him be drafted in the first five rounds and make him the highest-drafted position player from California's junior colleges. The son of ex-big league pitcher Terry Clark (who is currently pitching coach for the Rangers' Double-A Frisco affiliate), Clark began his college career at UC Santa Barbara. He was a part-time player due to shaky defense at third base and platoon splits, and he decided to transfer after one season. Clark carried Riverside Community College to the state finals, leading the state's juco players with 14 home runs (he was the only player in the conference with double digits), thanks to a quick, easy swing. Clark has bat speed, having turned around a mid-90s fastball as a freshman from Cal Poly's Gary Daley. He's limited to an infield corner because he's a below-average runner, and while he has some arm strength, his awkward footwork at third likely will force him to first base. His bat might make the move worthwhile.

.328 174 38 57 12 0 12 46 0

194. David Dinelli, rhp
School: Sierra (Calif.) JC. Class: So.
B-T: R-R. Ht.: 6-4. Wt.: 215. Birthdate: 3/14/87.
Scouting Report: While Dinelli served as Sierra Junior College's No. 1 starter this spring--leading the team deep into the state's juco playoffs--pro teams don't want him to be a member of their rotations. Some scouts see him as a potential closer because of his power repertoire and aggressive demeanor. A Texas Tech signee, Dinelli rivals Sac City's Leroy Hunt as the hardest thrower in California's junior colleges. He starts with a good pitcher's body, physical at 6-foot-3, 215 pounds, and comes at hitters hard with a low-90s fastball that often sits at 92-93 mph. While he doesn't throw anything truly offspeed, he has two power breaking balls: a hard curveball that sits around 78 mph, and a true slider/cutter in the low 80s. Scouts can imagine Dinelli eating up a lot of wood bats with his repertoire, when he's not missing them--he struck out 118 in just 86 regular-season innings. Dinelli also averaged more than five walks per nine and will have harness his control to become a closer instead of just a set-up man.

7 5 3.36 14 0 86 53 58 118

195. Brandon Workman, rhp
School: Bowie (Texas) HS. Class: Sr.
B-T: R-R. Ht.: 6-4. Wt.: 195. Birthdate: 8/13/88.
Scouting Report: On the right day, Workman can look like a first-rounder. He'll show a low-90s fastball that tops out at 95 mph to go with a plus 12-to-6 curveball, and that stuff comes from a projectable 6-foot-4, 215-pound frame. He's still growing too, having added two inches and 20 pounds since last summer. But the problem is poor arm action that scares scouts and robs Workman of any consistency. His mechanics will need an overhaul, and though he has enticing raw arm strength, it's going to be difficult to draft him high enough to lure him away from Texas. He's a top student and scouts don't think he'll sign for less than third-round money.

196. Kade Keowen, of
School: Louisiana State-Eunice JC. Class: So.
B-T: R-R. Ht.: 6-6. Wt.: 230. Birthdate: 4/18/86.
Scouting Report: Louisiana State struggled through its worst season since 1982, and losing two players who have emerged as the best junior college outfielder prospects in the draft didn't help. Speedster Lee Haydel opted to attend Delgado (La.) Community College after LSU forced out former head coach Smoke Laval, and Keowen left for LSU-Eunice Junior College after barely playing in two years with the Tigers and expecting to ride the bench again in his third. He redshirted in 2005 and got just six at-bats in 2006, but showed a high ceiling after joining the defending Division II juco national champions in mid-term. There's not a better big athlete in the draft. Keowen is a 6-foot-6, 230-pound center fielder with plus speed and raw power and a slightly above-average arm. The big question is how he'll fare when he faces quality pitching on a consistent basis. His huge frame and long arms result in a long swing, though he does generate plenty of bat speed. A 21-year-old sophomore, Keowen is ready to sign and enter pro ball. He's also a good student receiving plenty of interest from top Division I programs should he choose to return to college.

.400 220 57 88 16 6 10 62 14

197. Angel Morales, of
School: Puerto Rico Baseball Academy, Guaynabo, P.R. Class: Sr.
B-T: R-R. Ht.: 6-1. Wt.: 187. Birthdate: 11/24/89.
Scouting Report: Morales raised his profile when he performed well at a pair of Perfect Game events in Florida, first in Jupiter in October and again in January in Fort Myers. He was the talk of Puerto Rico a month later when a bevy of scouts attended a workout in February, but the more he has been evaluated, the less certain scouts become about his swing and future as a hitter. He approach changes from at-bat to at-bat. He leaks out on his front side, flies open and has a huge hole on the outer half of the strike zone. His pitch recognition and plate discipline are below-average. He does, however, have good bat speed, and when he squares up balls they jump off his bat. He's further along in center field, where his above-average speed and graceful actions profile well. He has a 55 arm on the 20-80 scale. Teams that believe Morales can make strides at the plate could show interest in drafting him as early as the second round, though his holes make him more of a fourth-round talent.


198. Matt Spencer, of/lhp
School: Arizona State. Class: Jr.
B-T: . Ht.: 6-4. Wt.: 225. Birthdate: 1/27/86.
Scouting Report: In terms of tools, Spencer is the same player who was part of a banner 2004 draft class in his home state of Tennessee. He went to North Carolina for his first two college seasons and helped the Tar Heels reach the College World Series last season, often playing center field despite his 6-foot-4, 225-pound frame and finishing second on the team with 15 stolen bases. Spencer returned to UNC for his junior year after a poor performance in the Cape Cod League (.197, one extra-base hit) and lost his job, so he transferred between semesters to Arizona State. He burst back on the prospect scene with a pair of homers at an early-season tournament in Houston with most of the industry's scouting directors in attendance, but his season was plagued by as much inconsistency as his Tar Heels career. Spencer has above-average raw power and profiles as a right fielder if he can make consistent contact. After pitching just five innings for North Carolina, Spencer had worked into a set-up role with Arizona State. Though he lacked command (16 walks in 10 innings), he has hit 94 mph, and some scouts who doubt his hitting savvy like him better on the mound. Either way, he's still far from a finished product, just as was the case out of high school.

.388 147 37 57 13 2 7 43 6

199. Trystan Magnuson, rhp
School: Louisville. Class: Sr.
B-T: . Ht.: 6-7. Wt.: 194. Birthdate: 6/6/85.
Scouting Report: A former walk-on from British Columbia, Magnuson made just 35 appearances for the Cardinals prior to 2007 and wasn't on the prospect map. His father and uncle both played college hockey, and his great uncle, the late Keith Magnuson, spent 11 years in the NHL with the Chicago Blackhawks, amassing more than 1,400 penalty minutes and appearing in two Stanley Cup finals during the 1970s. Trystan has slowly learned to control his thin, 6-foot-7 frame over the rubber and had been lights-out coming out of Louisville's bullpen this season. He did not allow an earned run in his first 23 innings and had 43 strikeouts and eight walks while posting a .165 opponent average in 44 innings during the regular season. He has a low-90s fastball and mid-80s slider that he has learned to keep down in the zone. His got ahead in the count with his fastball and used his slider as a chase pitch this spring. He'll have to improve its break in order for it to be as effective in pro ball. Unless Louisville receives an NCAA regional bid and makes a run, its season will be over in time for Magnuson to negotiate as a free agent because he is a fifth-year senior. He should receive plenty of interest as potential set-up man.

1 1 0.92 26 8 39 23 8 38

200. Nick Hill, lhp
School: Army. Class: Sr.
B-T: L-L. Ht.: 6-1. Wt.: 185. Birthdate: 1/30/85.
Scouting Report: Hill struck out 13 over 8 2/3 innings in a Patriot League tournament win over Navy ace Mitch Harris, putting an exclamation point on a standout four-year college career that saw him go 33-12, 2.20 with 336 strikeouts and 85 walks in 328 innings. The Red Sox drafted him as a junior just to honor him, even though U.S. Military Academy rules prevented him from signing. He has received permission to put off his active duty to pursue his professional baseball career this year. One of the fiercest competitors in the nation, Hill has thrived this year even though his fastball sat around 87 mph with riding life, not approaching the low 90s he touched last summer for USA Baseball's college national team. He locates to both sides of the plate with all his pitches, including a fringe-average, slurvy curveball and a slightly above-average changeup. Hill could climb into the fourth round as a money-saving senior draft.

7 3 1.91 13 0 85 69 18 100

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