Top 100 Prospects: Biggest Risers And Fallers

After unveiling our Top 100 Prospects list on Feb. 19, we’re taking a further look at the list today with some additional news and notes. Here’s a look at which players climbed and fell the most on the 2013 Top 100 Prospects list.

No one who was on the 2012 Top 100 Prospects list made a bigger jump than Oscar Taveras. A year ago, Taveras was coming off of an excellent season in the Midwest League, but there were concerns about his defense and focus on the basepaths. He showed improved concentration in 2013, made the jump from indifferent right fielder to solid center fielder and continued to sting almost any and every pitcher he faced.

Biggest Risers From 2012 To 2013 List
Oscar Taveras +71 spots (74-to-3)
Chris Archer +53 spots (89-to-36)
Mason Williams +53 spots (85-to-32)
Xander Bogaerts +50 spots (58-to-8)
Allen Webster +46 spots (95-to-49)
Javier Baez +45 spots (61-to-16)
Casey Kelly +31 spots (76-to-45)
Billy Hamilton +28 spots (48-to-20)
Taylor Guerrieri +28 spots (90-to-62)
Jedd Gyorko +27 spots (98-to-71)
Christian Yelich +26 spots (41-to-15)
Wil Myers +24 spots (28-to-4)
Gary Sanchez +24 spots (81-to-57)
Nick Castellanos +24 spots (45-to-21)
George Springer +22 spots (59-to-37)
Mike Olt + 21 spots (43-to-22)

As big as Taveras’ jump was, it pales in comparison to Jose Fernandez. A year ago, Fernandez was the seventh pitcher taken in the 2011 draft. Now he’s ranked as the second-best pitching prospect in baseball.

Unranked in 2012 to Ranked in 2013
Jose Fernandez (5)
Trevor Rosenthal (39)
Oswaldo Arcia (41)
Gregory Polanco (51)
Noah Syndergaard (54)
Robert Stephenson (56)
Austin Hedges (58)
Alex Meyer (59)
Alen Hanson (61)
Slade Heathcott (63)
Aaron Sanchez (65)
Kyle Crick (66)
Brian Goodwin (70)
Adam Eaton (73)
Avisail Garcia (74)
Tyler Austin (77)
Luis Heredia (78)
Didi Gregorius (80)
Tony Cingrani (82)
Yordano Ventura (85)
Justin Nicolino (86)
Jesse Biddle (89)
Henry Owens (91)
J.R. Graham (93)
Daniel Corcino (94)
Bruce Rondon (95)
Trevor Story (96)
Delino DeShields (99)
Roman Quinn (100)

A year ago, Mike Montgomery’s struggles in Double-A in 2011 could be explained as a setback on what had been a steady climb to the majors for the lefty. But in 2012, Montgomery’s stuff wasn’t as crisp as it had been in past years, he struggled with his control and hitters in Triple-A and Double-A squared him up all too often. Traded in the offseason James Shields-Wil Myers deal, now he’ll try to put it back together with the Rays.

Dropped Out from 2012 list
Mike Montgomery (23)
Manny Banuelos (29)
Brett Jackson (32)
Brad Peacock (36)
Gary Brown (38)
Rymer Liriano (49)
Jarred Cosart (50)
A.J. Cole (57)
Josh Bell (60)
Zach Lee (62)
Dellin Betances (63)
Matt Szczur (64)
Sonny Gray (65)
Trevor May (69)
Jed Bradley (71)
Blake Swihart (72)
Cory Spangenberg (78)
Michael Choice (80)
Jonathan Schoop (82)
Cheslor Cuthbert (84)
Chad Bettis (86)
Zack Cox (88)
Daniel Norris (91)
Joe Benson (99)
Christian Villanueva (100)

Is the fifth time the charm for Martin Perez? This is Perez’s fifth appearance on a Top 100 list, and it’s likely his last one way or another. Either he will pitch enough innings in the big leagues to leave his prospect status behind, or he’ll lose his case for a Top 100 spot by not pitching well enough to earn a spot in the big leagues.

Biggest Fallers From 2012 To 2013 List
Martin Perez -50 spots (31-to-81)
Hak-Ju Lee -46 spots (44-to-90)
Arodys Vizcaino -43 spots (40-to-83)
James Paxton -35 spots (52-to-87)
Jake Odorizzi -23 spots (68-to-91)