By John Manuel
November 9, 2012



Baseball America's Top 10 Prospects lists are based on projections of a player's long-term worth after discussions with scouting and player-development personnel. All players who haven't exceeded the major league rookie standards of 130 at-bats or 50 innings pitched (without regard to service time) are eligible.

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TOP TEN PROSPECTS

1. Mason Williams, of 2. Slade Heathcott, of 3. Gary Sanchez, c 4. Tyler Austin, of 5. Jose Campos, rhp 6. Brett Marshall, rhp 7. Angelo Gumbs, 2b 8. Manny Banuelos, lhp 9. Ty Hensley, rhp 10. Rafael De Paula, rhp

BEST TOOLS

Best Hitter for Average Tyler Austin Best Power Hitter Gary Sanchez Best Strike Zone Discipline Taylor Dugas Fastest Baserunner Mason Williams Best Athlete Mason Williams Best Fastball Jose Ramirez Best Curveball Bryan Mitchell Best Slider Mark Montgomery Best Changeup Brett Marshall Best Control Caleb Cotham Best Defensive Catcher Austin Romine Best Defensive Infielder Cito Culver Best Infield Arm Cito Culver Best Defensive OF Mason Williams Best Outfield Arm Slade Heathcott

PROJECTED 2016 LINEUP

Catcher Gary Sanchez First Base Tyler Austin Second Base Angelo Gumbs Third Base Robinson Cano Shortstop Eduardo Nunez Left Field Curtis Granderson Center Field Mason Williams Right Field Slade Heathcott Designated Hitter Mark Teixeira No. 1 Starter C.C. Sabathia No. 2 Starter Phil Hughes No. 3 Starter Ivan Nova No. 4 Starter Jose Campos No. 5 Starter Brett Marshall Closer David Robertson

TOP PROSPECTS OF THE DECADE

Year Player, Pos 2012 Org 2003 Jose Contreras, rhp Phillies 2004 Dioner Navarro, c Reds 2005 Eric Duncan, 3b Royals 2006 Phil Hughes, rhp Yankees 2007 Phil Hughes, rhp Yankees 2008 Joba Chamberlain, rhp Yankees 2009 Austin Jackson, of Tigers 2010 Jesus Montero, c Mariners 2011 Jesus Montero, c Mariners 2012 Jesus Montero, c Mariners

TOP DRAFT PICKS OF THE DECADE

Year Player, Pos 2012 Org 2003 Eric Duncan, 3B Royals 2004 Phil Hughes, RHP Yankees 2005 C.J. Henry, SS Out of baseball 2006 Ian Kennedy, RHP Diamondbacks 2007 Andrew Brackman, RHP Reds 2008 Gerrit Cole, RHP Pirates 2009 Slade Heathcott, OF Yankees 2010 Cito Culver, SS Yankees 2011 Dante Bichette, OF (1st rd supp.) Yankees 2012 Ty Hensley, RHP Yankees

LARGEST BONUSES IN CLUB HISTORY

Hideki Irabu, 1997 $8,500,000 Jose Contreras, 2002 $6,000,000 Andrew Brackman, 2007 $3,350,000 Gary Sanchez, 2009 $3,000,000 Wily Mo Pena, 1999 $2,440,000

YANKEES LINKS

Yankees Team Page Yankees Top 10 Scouting Reports Last Year's Yankees Top 10 Prospects 2012 Draft: Yankees 2012 Draft Report Cards: New York Yankees Complete Index of Top 10 Prospects Pre-Order the 2013 Prospect Handbook

Will 2012 be the turning point in recent Yankees history, the year where the heroes of teams that have reached the postseason in 17 of the last 18 seasons fade into the past and force the franchise to forge a new identity?

Derek Jeter and Mariano Rivera have been the two constants in New York, both making their major league debuts when the club started its playoff run in 1995. The two future first-ballot Hall of Famers have aged gracefully, maintaining high levels of play while remaining remarkably durable—until this past season.

Rivera tore the anterior cruciate ligament in his right knee in May while shagging balls during batting practice in Kansas City, costing him the rest of the season. Jeter fared better, leading the majors in hits for the second time and moved into 11th place on the all-time list. But he fractured his left ankle while trying to make a defensive play during the American League Championship Series, and the Tigers went on to sweep a listless Yankees club that looked very old.

While Jeter's career doesn't figure to be over, there's reason to wonder how well a 38-year-old shortstop will recover from such an injury. The same is true of Rivera, a pending free agent who'll be 43 when he tries to come back in 2013.

At best, Eduardo Nunez would be a short-term replacement for Jeter. Rafael Soriano filled in capably for Rivera, though he exercised the opt-out clause in his contract this offseason. The farm system isn't in position to provide any immediate help, as many of the Yankees' top prospects took a step backwards.

That was especially true of Manny Banuelos and Dellin Betances, who entered the year as New York's best pitching prospects. Banuelos blew out his elbow and required Tommy John surgery, while Betances was bumped down to Double-A and is no longer counted on by the organization.

Yankees pitching took two more hits when big leaguer Michael Pineda missed the entire season with a shoulder tear and 20-year-old Jose Campos worked just 25 innings before being shut down with elbow issues. Both were acquired from the Mariners in January for New York's previous No. 1 prospect, Jesus Montero.

Recent top draft picks Cito Culver (2010) and Dante Bichette (2011) also floundered, but other position prospects flourished while playing together in Class A. Outfielders Mason Williams, Slade Heathcott and Tyler Austin and catcher Gary Sanchez need more time to develop, but all are candidates to become the first homegrown Yankees to crack the big league lineup on a consistent basis since Brett Gardner in 2008.

Owner Hal Steinbrenner has said he doesn't want to exceed the $189 million luxury-tax threshold in 2013, but that will be difficult. New York spent roughly $210 million on payroll in 2012, and it carries unenviable contracts for declining players such as Alex Rodriguez ($114 million through 2017) and Mark Teixeira ($93 million through 2016). Its top player, Robinson Cano, is a year away from free agency.

The Yankees have signed and developed young core players in recent years, but they traded Austin Jackson and Montero. The end of the 2012 season made it clear that a new nucleus will have to be developed, and soon.

Scouting reports for the Top 10 Prospects (How to subscribe)

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