By Andy Baggarly
February 22, 2007

Baseball America's Top 10 Prospects lists are based on projections of a player's long-term worth after discussions with scouting and player-development personnel. All players who haven't exceeded the major league rookie standards of 130 at-bats or 50 innings pitched (without regard to service time) are eligible. Ages are as of April 1, 2007.

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TOP TEN PROSPECTS

1. Tim Lincecum, rhp 2. Jonathan Sanchez, lhp 3. Angel Villalona, 3b 4. Emmanuel Burriss, ss 5. Brian Wilson, rhp 6. Kevin Frandsen, 2b 7. Fred Lewis, of 8. Nate Schierholtz, of 9. Eddy Martinez-Esteve, of 10. Billy Sadler, rhp

BEST TOOLS

Best Hitter for Average Eddy Martinez-Esteve Best Power Hitter Angel Villalona1 Best Strike-Zone Discipline Brian Horwitz Fastest Baserunner Mike McBryde Best Athlete Fred Lewis Best Fastball Tim Lincecum Best Curveball Tim Lincecum Best Slider Brian Wilson Best Changeup Jonathan Sanchez Best Control Adam Cowart Best Defensive Catcher Justin Knoedler Best Defensive Infielder Emmanuel Burriss Best Infield Arm Brian Bocock Best Defensive Outfielder Clay Timpner Best Outfield Arm Mike McBryde

PROJECTED 2010 LINEUP

Catcher Eliezer Alfonzo First Base Travis Ishikawa Second Base Kevin Frandsen Third Base Angel Villalona Shortstop Emmanuel Burriss Left Field Eddy Martinez-Esteve Center Field Fred Lewis Right Field Nate Schierholtz No. 1 Starter Matt Cain No. 2 Starter Tim Lincecum No. 3 Starter Barry Zito No. 4 Starter Jonathan Sanchez No. 5 Starter Noah Lowry Closer Brian Wilson

TOP PROSPECTS OF THE DECADE

Year Player, Position 2006 1997 Joe Fontenot, rhp Out of baseball 1998 Jason Grilli, rhp Tigers 1999 Jason Grilli, rhp Tigers 2000 Kurt Ainsworth, rhp Dodgers 2001 Jerome Williams, rhp Athletics 2002 Jerome Williams, rhp Athletics 2003 Jesse Foppert, rhp Mariners 2004 Merkin Valdez, rhp Giants 2005 Matt Cain, rhp Giants 2006 Matt Cain, rhp Giants

TOP DRAFT PICKS OF THE DECADE

Year Player, Position 2006 1997 Jason Grilli, rhp Tigers 1998 Tony Torcato, of White Sox 1999 Kurt Ainsworth, rhp Dodgers 2000 Boof Bonser, rhp Twins 2001 Brad Hennessey, rhp Giants 2002 Matt Cain, rhp Giants 2003 David Aardsma, rhp Cubs 2004 Eddy Martinez-Esteve, of Giants 2005 Ben Copeland, of (4th round) Giants 2006 Tim Lincecum, rhp Giants

LARGEST BONUSES IN CLUB HISTORY

Angel Villalona, 2006 $2,100,000 Tim Lincecum, 2006 $2,025,000 Jason Grilli, 1997 $1,875,000 David Aardsma, 2003 $1,425,000 Brad Hennessey, 2001 $1,380,000

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A day after the Giants finished with a sub-.500 record for the second consecutive year, general manager Brian Sabean admitted the organization had to change its decade-long plan of surrounding Barry Bonds with older, short-term veterans.

Then San Francisco went out and committed $64 million to six free agents, none younger then 31, before re-signing the 42-year-old Bonds to a one-year, $16 million contract.

Nevertheless, the Giants have started a shift in philosophy, even if it won't be apparent at AT&T Park in 2007.

In August, they paid $2.1 million to sign 16-year-old Dominican third baseman Angel Villalona. That broke the record for a bonus given to an amateur, besting the $2.025 million given to first-round righthander Tim Lincecum two months earlier. The signings were an about-face for an organization that had intentionally sacrificed draft picks and diverted bonus money to the major league payroll in previous years.

While Bonds should be back and taking aim Hank Aaron's all-time home run record--assuming his contract gets finalized in the wake of news regarding Bonds' violation of the league's new ban on amphetamines--owner Peter Magowan has said that Bonds would be a complement and no longer a centerpiece.

The new nucleus of the Giants is their pitching staff. With Jason Schmidt departing for the Dodgers as a free agent, San Francisco broke the bank to bring lefthander Barry Zito in as its ace, signing him to a seven-year, $126 million contract. He'll be backed by Matt Cain, who played all of last season at age 21. Under-recognized amid baseball's hailstorm of spectacular rookies in 2006, he won a team-high 13 games and showed marked improvement in the second half.

San Francisco also expects big things from Lincecum (22), who's on the cusp of making a big league impact in his first full pro season. Noah Lowry (26) and Jonathan Sanchez (24) give the Giants a solid pair of lefty starters.

San Francisco hired manager Bruce Bochy away from the Padres partly because of his track record working with young pitchers and his judicious use of the bullpen. He replaces 71-year-old Felipe Alou, a man held in high esteem but not the right leader for a club that Sabean pledges to make younger and healthier.

Giants minor league affiliates led baseball with a combined .557 winning percentage last season, and how they compiled that record was telling. After years of passing up premium draft choices, there's little talent at the upper levels of the system, and Triple-A Fresno and Double-A Connecticut finished a combined 35 games under .500.

Scouting director Dick Tidrow has a knack for unearthing talented arms in the draft, but in 2006 he found several promising position players. Players like outfielder Mike McBryde (fifth round), middle infielder Brian Bocock (ninth) and catcher Adam Witter (a predraft signee as a fifth-year college senior) teamed with shortstop Emmanuel Burriss (supplemental first round) to help Salem-Keizer win the short-season Northwest League title.

Those hitters won’t arrive in time to help the Giants in 2007. They won't shake the skepticism about whether homegrown players will be given fair chances to sink or swim. Kevin Frandsen, their second baseman of the future, might apprentice in a utility role. No other position prospect is ready to contribute, with the possible exception of Fred Lewis, who could make San Francisco as a fourth outfielder.

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