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| Q: | JAYPERS from IL asks: Did Bumgarner garner consideration? He had a great week, from what I can see. |
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Matt Eddy: You bet he was. The tall, flamethrowing lefty struck out seven in six innings this week, issuing only one walk. He still has yet to allow a home run to SAL batters in 34 innings. |
| Q: | Luke Hughes's Clone from Midwest asks: Where am I? |
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Matt Eddy: Luke, we can only hope you're in New Britain, preparing for your game against the Sea Dogs tonight. Matt Eddy: Seriously, Hughes was 1-for-5 yesterday with a home run. Check out Ben Badler's blog on Hughes to find out why he missed time. Matt Eddy: http://www.baseballamerica.com/blog/prospects/?p=1008 |
| Q: | Jay Bruce from Louisville asks: How much longer can it be until I finally start getting at bats over Corey Patterson? |
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Matt Eddy: The ability to drive the ball is most crucial to Bruce's future success (and he's shown that), but the Reds want to make sure he's got a firm grasp of the strike zone before setting him loose against NL pitchers. Matt Eddy: While we don't have data on how many bad pitches Bruce has chased this year, we do know that he's drawn seven unintentional walks in 39 games this year. I'm not trying to paint this as a concern—just pointing out the Reds' line of thinking. |
| Q: | Chris from Gaylord, MI asks: With so many great players coming through the minors. When do you see the reds contending? When will we finally see Bruce and Bailey? |
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Matt Eddy: Playing in the NL Central, the Reds could conceivably catch lightning in a bottle and contend in any season. And you can't write them off this year, either. Dunn won't slug .413 all year, and Bruce should give them a boost when he gets called up. Matt Eddy: For the Reds, the stars seem to be aligning for 2010. By that time, Cueto, Volquez, Bruce, Votto and Bailey—barring injury to any of them—will all have one to two seasons of experience. And Dunn and Griffey will have been traded for younger players. Harang will be exiting his theoretical peak, but then his career arc has been so unconventional that it's anybody's guess what he'll do. |
| Q: | Steve from Fairfax, VA asks: I have read some conflicting reports on Chris Tillman, as some scouts think he has ace potential, while others only consider him a back of the rotation guy. Where do you think he falls? Also, when do you think Wieters and Arrieta will be joining Tillman at AA? |
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Matt Eddy: The impression I had when I ranked him third with the Mariners last year was future No. 2 or 3 type. His terrific curveball gets plenty of swings and misses in the minors, but the fastball command has to progress—as it does with almost all young pitchers—to set it up. If it does all come together, he's a 2, at worst, but he'll pitch in the big leagues one way or another. Matt Eddy: Wieters is a safer bet for an early Double-A promotion. |
| Q: | Chris from New Jersey asks: Michael Taylor had a very nice week. Any reason for his omission from the hot list?...thanks....Chris |
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Matt Eddy: Taylor's a 22-year-old outfielder drafted in 2007 (from Stanford) who's tearing up Low A competition (.400-.444-.840 last week with 3 HR). Let's wait until the Phillies move him up to Clearwater before going crazy. |
| Q: | Travis from Ewa Beach asks: When should we expect to see Chris Davis in Texas? Ben Broussard and Jason Botts have already been designated, Frank Cattalanatto and Chris Sheldon are platooning and Nate Gold looks more like a journeyman Minor Leaguer than a prospect. |
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Matt Eddy: Davis may not be far off. He's got 60 home runs in 231 minor league games (he turned pro in 2006, so that's not even two full seasons), and he could get his feet wet with the Rangers in the second half—especially if he continues to minimize his strikeouts while still hitting for power, as he did this week. |
| Q: | Jorge from Bronx, NY asks: Cahill is better than Kershaw! (They both are really young) Aree or disagree with that disputable comment? |
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Matt Eddy: Disagree. Cahill is intriguing, but Kershaw has two otherworldly pitches (fastball, curveball), a 6-foot-3 frame and a track record to match. In 37 innings this season, Kershaw has struck out 40 and not given up a home run — in Double-A. Best of all, he's trimmed his walks this season. He's issued 11. |
| Q: | Andrew from New Haven asks: Not to pick nits, but Tillman isn't Tillman a month younger than Kershaw? Not that a month matters too much for development... |
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Matt Eddy: Kershaw was born March '88, and Tillman in April '88. |
| Q: | ScottAZ from Phx, AZ asks: Denard Span is still relatively young. Any chance he can become a starter? Maybe not in Minnesota, but somewhere else? |
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Matt Eddy: He's got a chance, but he might fit best as a quality bench player or second-division regular. Despite his speed and center-field defense, it would be tough to project him as a first-division regular at this point, unless he's really turned a corner offensively. But he's gotten progressively better from the midpoint of last season to now, so who knows? |
| Q: | Santino from Cincy asks: Matt - Francisco is off to a good start. It's a bit weird because his strikeout ratio is down a bit down this year, but the walks aren't up at all. Out of Francisco, Frazier, Waring (and maybe even Valakia), who do you think is the Red's best option at third long term? |
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Matt Eddy: Francisco is very intriguing, and he's the guy I'd go with in that group. He's a switch-hitting third baseman with power from both sides of the plate (he led the MWL in HR last season), but you do have to be a little concerned about his strike-zone discipline. A scout recently said that he loves Francisco's hitting hands and bat actions, but wonders if his swing-at-the-first-pitch approach would hinder him as he moves up the ladder. |
| Q: | John from DC asks: We have 1/4 of the season in the books. Would your top 10 minor league prospect list be any different today as opposed this winter? Has anyone in the top 10 moved up or down in your mind based on their performance thus far this season? |
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Matt Eddy: I'll leave this one for Jim Callis. Drop him a line and I'm sure he'd relish in answering your question in Ask BA. Matt Eddy: Jim: askba@baseballamerica.com |
| Q: | John from DC asks: Better bat and power, today and in the future, Jay Bruce or Justin Upton? |
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Matt Eddy: Upton on both counts. He's just a special player with gigantic offensive upside. |
| Q: | Big Dave from Arkansas asks: Was the main reason Jaime Garcia was left off the Top 100 list this year because of injury concern? Because it doesn't look like he's fallen off his game any. |
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Matt Eddy: The elbow injury was, in fact, the primary reason for Garcia's exclusion. But he's pitched very well whenever healthy, and he's probably the least-appreciated pitching prospect at Triple-A right now. |
| Q: | Braden from Richmond, Va. asks: Charlie Morton's having a tremendous season at Triple-A Richmond. You wrote about him in last week's Hot Sheet and I was wondering if you think the Braves should give a shot in their rotation sooner rather than later. |
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Matt Eddy: The Braves probably will wait until the second half to test drive Morton, who needs time to refine his fastball command. He's also never made it through an entire year of full-season ball as a starter (not because of injuries, but because of demotions to the bullpen), so it's important to carefully monitor the number of stressful innings he throws this season. |
| Q: | Brandon from Charleston, WV asks: Chris Valaika - the next Michael Young? Is that a fair comparison? Same college, similar hitters, and both lack solid range at SS? |
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Matt Eddy: Not the worst comp in the world, but Young is and was much more athletic. And while he's not an ideal shortstop, Young is playable at the major league level. Valaika is a hitting machine, but he'll probably break into the big leagues as a second baseman, like Young did. |
| Q: | Grigsby from Athens, GA asks: Matt - Heyward's been on the Hot List roller coaster! This kid looks like he'll be something special...power, speed, a cannon of an arm. Do you think the Braves will promote him to High-A, or do you think he might stay at Rome for the year, and they'll push him a bit more next year? ETA mid-2010? |
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Matt Eddy: He's certainly in the top handful of prospects at Low A, that's for sure, but the Braves are generally conservative in promoting their high-school drafts. They may make an exception, though, if Rome continues to play so poorly, because there's no sense in exposing Heyward to prolonged losing. |
| Q: | Ron from Mobile AL asks: Do you guys really think the only reason Bruce is still in AAA because of his walk total? Or is it more likely that it is because of the glut of LH OF on the Reds roster? I just cant see Bruce getting everyday starts over Dunn or Griffey, and Bakers love fest with Corey Patterson has many Reds fans pretty disgruntled. If you were Walt Jockety ... what would you do? |
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Matt Eddy: You have a point in that being a powerful lefty bat is probably working against Bruce right now because of the presence of Dunn, Griffey and Votto (and others). Matt Eddy: Griffey really can't hit his 600th homer soon enough, can he? Once he does, the Reds have to strongly consider trading him. And Dunn, too, if they can find the right trading partner. If not, let him walk and take the draft picks. Either way, Bruce could be in Cincy by June. |
| Q: | JAYPERS from IL asks: Has Gamel's amazing hitting taken a vacation this week in your eyes? |
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Matt Eddy: Gamel was our final cut. He hit .357/.367/.750 on the week, with two doubles, three homers and 7 RBIs. I have a feeling he'll be a mainstay on future Hot Sheets. |
| Q: | Neftali Feliz from Clinton asks: Why no love for me? I have only tossed 20 consecutive shut out innings. |
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Matt Eddy: In Feliz's 20 1/3 innings, he's allowed only one run while striking out 25. Impressive, but when you're throwing five innings a start it's harder to get noticed among the pitchers who are going six-plus. |
| Q: | MJ from Valpo asks: Love the chats...but no Ben Revere?!?!? Surprising. Do you think he'll be in Ft. Myers later this year? How does his upside compare with other '07 draftees, like Heyward, Fairley, etc.? Thanks. |
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Matt Eddy: Like the Braves, the Twins generally are conservative with first-year players out of high school, so don't count on the Fort Myers promotion. Fun Revere stat: On his brief career, he has more triples (13) than doubles (10). |
| Q: | kevin from ca asks: What does Craig Italiano have to do to make the hot sheet? In his last 7 starts he's allowed 1 earned run in 36 innings with 47 k's, 13 walks and 18 hits |
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Matt Eddy: Like Gamel, Italilano was considered for Hot Sheet. The number are staggering, but we're wary of fourth-year pros beating up on Low A competition. He deserves mention, though, so thanks for bringing him up. |
| Q: | Adam J. Morris from Houston, Texas asks: Max Ramirez vs. Chris Davis — who do you take right now? And could Max handle first base if he can't stick behind the plate? |
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Matt Eddy: Ramirez, but as a first baseman and not a catcher. Love the bat. |
| Q: | Jacob from NYC asks: How long is it until the floundering friars call up Chase Headly? At this point it just seems like they are trying to pinch pennies. |
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Matt Eddy: The Padres don't want to call up Headley now for two reasons: 1) they don't want him to feel as if he's there to save their season, and 2) they don't want him around the losing atmosphere right now. The Padres are an MLB-worst 15-27. |
Moderator: Thanks for your questions. We'll return next week with another Hot Sheet chat.