Prospects Chat With Jim Callis
jim m (mariette, ga): What is the offensive upside for francisco lindor ?
Hi, everyone. Glad to be here for the
weekly Wednesday chat. Just to mix things up this week, let's see if I
can hit one question for every organization . . . As for Lindor, I was
very impressed with how well he controlled the strike zone as an
18-year-old in the Midwest League. I could see him his upside as a .300
hitter with 10-15 homers per year. He's a gifted defender who also will
produce at the plate.
Ben (Leland Grove): With the recent injury to
Jason Hammel, could you see the O's giving Bundy a shot, if only in a
bullpen capacity, or are they set at holding him off?
I think they're set on holding him off, but
who knows when they'll contend again? He's already on the 40-man
roster, and I'd take whatever innings he can give.
Mike (Tampa): Even though it doesn't count, I'm curious what you think about Guerrieri suddenly issuing walks in his past two playoff starts?
Wouldn't read too much into two starts at
the end of the season. I was quite impressed with how well he threw
strikes during the regular season. No one questioned his top-shelf
stuff, but there were scouts who wondered about his control/command when
he was an amateur.
Ben (Leland Grove): Between Mike Olt and Joey Gallo, who do you believe has more raw power?
Gallo. Olt may have more usable power, though.
John (Rockland, MA): With the St. Louis
Cardinals having already designated their players for the Arizona Fall
League and Oscar Taveras not being among them, is there any chance he's
called up to the MLB after the Texas League Championship Series ends?
Lots of callup questions today. Taveras
doesn't have to be protected on the 40-man roster in the offseason, so
I'm guessing he won't get the call. The Cardinals don't have an opening
in their outfield right now, so no sense wasting a 40-man spot on a few
Matt (Charlottesville, VA): It seems like the
Rays have graduated most of their best players to the majors. Do the
Rays now have the worst farm system in the AL East? And how you rank
them, I'd go: Blue Jays, Red Sox, Yankees, Orioles, Rays. Thoughts?
The Rays have graduated most of their best
players to the majors, and they haven't drafted as well in recent years,
so it will be interesting to see what they do as their major league
core becomes more expensive. I agree with your order, though with the
caveat that I put a heavy emphasis on stars and that's what leads me to
put the Orioles (Bundy, Machado, Gausman, then a big dropoff) over the
Rays (who have superior depth).
Larry (Oakland, California): What does the future hold for Grant Green?
Just realized I had already answered a Rays
question, but I'll still try to go 30-for-30 . . . I think Green's best
position would be third base. I'm surprised he hasn't shown more with
the bat in pro ball, and he'll have to hit for more power to be a big
Brant (Stratham, NH): Hultzen dominated AA but
lost his control in AAA. Walker is young, posted some good peripheral
numbers and did pretty well in AA. But we are talking about BA's #4 and
#5 in the Mid-Season Top 50, but didn't make your Top 10 on Monday's
Ask BA. Do you think they slightly overrated prospects or have they
just slipped a little? Has Zunino surpassed them as the Mariner's top
I'd rank them Walker, Hultzen, Zunino. I
didn't realize I had left Walker off—I had him on the version I meant
to publish, and I must have inadvertently deleted him. I'll fix that
when the chat is over. I'm mystified by Hultzen's lack of control in
Triple-A, and he also had a lot of walks while dominating in Double-A.
This from a guy who was supposed to be extremely polished.
Frank (Chicago): How would you rate Gioskar Amaya's tools on the 20-80 scale?
Optimistically, you could project him as a 6 bat, 4 power, 55 run, 5 for glove & arm at 2B.
John (Boston): Why'd Bogaerts not make your top 10?
Because there were only 10 spots on my list
of the best prospects not in the majors. He was in the 11-20 range. If I
thought he'd be a long-term shortstop, he might have made it. While
he's athletic enough to stay there for a while, he'll eventually move.
Javier Baez fell into the same category.
George (Chicago): What was your opinion of
Lance McCullers before the draft and have you heard anything that would
change it after his first taste of pro ball?
I thought he had one of the best arms in
the draft, and that hasn't changed. The question was whether he could be
a big league starters, and there was more optimism as the spring went
on, and that hasn't changed either. Great talent value for where the
Astros got him.
Zach (MN): We hear a lot about Miguel Sano's
power, but Kennys Vargas flies pretty much under the radar. What kind of
prospect is he? Also, what are your thoughts on Buxton? His numbers
didn't jump off the page at you, but I'm encouraged that he doesn't look
overwhelmed for his age, showed some pop and also some patience. ETA 4
years if everything falls right? Thanks for the chat!
I'm working on the Midwest League Top 20,
and while Vargas won't make it, I'll second those thoughts. He's an
all-bat guy but a legitimate prospects. I also agree with you on Buxton.
The numbers in his pro debut don't matter as much as the fact that he
wasn't overwhelmed. I could see him in the big leagues at the end of
2015/early 2016 if all goes well.
Stephen (Evansville, IN): Impact of Notre Dame's move to the ACC on the baseball program?
The ACC is a lot deeper than the Big East, so that will make it even tougher on the Irish, who have struggled recently.
Gerry (Philly): What kind of ceiling does Roman Quinn have? Is he a legit prospect with All Star/game changer potential?
Sure, that's his ultimate ceiling. More
realistically, his future ceiling is as a solid regular. He's one of the
quickest guys this side of Billy Hamilton, though Quinn will have to
make more consistent contact as he moves up.
Kyle (Chicago): David Dahl has had a great pro debut. How would you grade out his tools on the scouting scale?
Future grades: 6 bat, 55 power, 6 run, 5 D in CF, 65 arm.
Andy (Bloomington, IL): Does Sam Selman have top of the rotation upside?
Sorry, had a phone call there . . . Despite
his 91-95 mph fastball from the left side and strong pro debut, that's a
stretch for me. The secondary stuff and the performance were always
inconsistent at Vanderbilt. I think the Royals would be thrilled if he
could be a good No. 3, and my gut says he winds up in the bullpen in the
Dees (Jersey): If Andrelton Simmons were still eligible, where would you rank him in your top 100?
He still qualifies until he gets another 10
big league at-bats. I'd put him in the middle somewhere. Gifted
defender who won't be a lightweight at the plate.
Bret (Toronto): The Jays will try Anthony Gose in LF over the next few weeks to give him a trial for the role in 2013.
Would Gose be able to hit enough to have any value as a left fielder at this stage in his career?
I don't think so. He's still refining his
considerable tools into skills, and putting him in LF would put a lot of
pressure on the bat. He clearly profiles best in center.
@Jaypers413 (IL): White Sox question, Jim. Is Andre Rienzo's future as a SP or RP, and has his stock improved of late in your eyes?
Reliever for me, because of control and
consistency issues. He throws hard, touching 94, but still lacks a
quality second pitch. His stock is about the same for me. Nice year, but
it also includes a drug suspension.
Sammy (Cincy): Reds Q. Tony Cingrani vs. Robert Stephenson. Who projects higher, and who has the higher ceiling?
Stephenson is the better prospect and the
higher ceiling. You're talking about a high school first-rounder vs. a
college senior third-rounder. That said, Cingrani has been spectacular
as a pro and while he has boosted his stock, I think he's underrated.
Stephenson has frontline starter potential. Cingrani could be a good No.
DAle (Atlanta): Are you an Austin Meadows fan and is he a lock to go #1?
Let's head to the lightning round as I try
to cover the 12 organizations I haven't taken a question for yet,
diverging briefly here for the draft. As for Meadows, yes, I'm a fan and
no, he's not a lock by any means to go No. 1. I could see college
pitchers (Appel, Stanek, Manaea) going 1-2-3.
Tarun Joseph (Plainfield, NJ): Who do you believe has the better offensive upside between Josh Bell (Pitt) and Gregory Polanco?
I'll still say Bell, despite his injury-ruined year and Polanco's impressive breakout.
Kyle (LA): Has Yasiel Puig impressed you enough to consider him as a top 5 prospect in LA's system?
There's still a lot of mystery surrounding
Puig, and I don't want to read too much into 92 pro PA, but yes, he's
one of the Dodgers' best prospects. You could make a case that he's
their very best.
EricJ (SF): Why hasn't Howie Kendrick turned into the perennial batting title contender everyone projected?
He never walked much in the minors, but
he's swinging and missing a lot more now than he did as a prospect. That
said, he does have a career .291 average in the majors.
Terry (Concord, CA): Is Clayton Blackburn now the Giants' top pitching prospect? How high is his ceiling?
I'd go with Kyle Crick No. 1, then Chris Stratton, then Blackburn.
@Jaypers413 (IL): Harper has been raking of
late. If he keeps it up throughout the remainder of the season, do you
believe he could take the NL ROY away from Todd Frazier and Wade Miley,
or is it too little, too late?
It's definitely a three-man race. Too close
to call, but the hype that surrounds all things Harper will help his
cause. As will an obviously remarkable season for a 19-year-old.
Rafa (Los Angeles): Yeison Asencio, do you see
him getting protected in the 40-man roster this season and starting the
year in San Antonio next year?
Asencio was known as Yoel Alcantara and
believed to be three years younger when we ranked him as the No. 1
prospect in the Arizona League last year. He'll turn 23 in November, so I
do think the Padres will skip him a level to Double-A next year. He
doesn't warrant 40-man protection at this point, though. Tools aren't as
good as his numbers as a 22-year-old in low Class A.
Jared (NYC): Yankees question: Mason Williams, Tyler Austin, Gary Sanchez, Manny Banuelos. Can you please rank them?
Amazingly, this was my first Yankees
question. And it's a tough one. You could argue those guys in just about
any order. I'd so Sanchez, Williams, Austin, Banuelos.
Sandy (Queens, NY): Any chance we will get to see Zack Wheeler this season at CitiField?
Nope. The Mets have already shut him down.
But you'll see him next season, probably in the Opening Day rotation . .
. I still need questions for the Tigers, Marlins, Brewers and
Diamondbacks, so help me out!
Rafa (Los Angeles): Jim, Asencio does qualify
for protection. He was 19 when he signed. Therefore, being this his 4th
season in the organization he's Rule V eligible.
I didn't mean he didn't qualify. I meant
his value as a prospect doesn't warrant protecting him on the 40-man
roster. He's not good enough . . . I'm going to have to wrap this up by
only going 26-for-30 with answering a question for each organization.
See you next Wednesday!