Jim Callis Chat: May 9
Hi, everyone. The draft is on our minds at
Baseball America, but anything is fair game. And please bear with me if I
have to run to take phone call. Let's get started!
Draft Junkie (Chicago): When does your first Mock go up? Thanks Jim.
Working on it now for tomorrow's Draft Preview issue deadline, so it should be up online Thursday or Friday.
Andy (Lexington): Has Kentucky's surprising
rise to prominence this season helped and of its players draft stock for
the summer? Maybe Luke Maile for instance?
To a degree. Kentucky obviously has a lot
of guys who are playing well and have helped their cause. At the same
time, I'm not sure their best prospect (C/1B Luke Maile, LHPs Taylor
Rogers and Jerad Grundy) are locks to go in the first five rounds.
Jeff (Bay Area): What are the odds that Jedd Gyorko can handle 2b at the major league level.
I love the bat and couldn't believe he
lasted until the second round of the 2010 draft, but second base is a
stretch for me. Third base is much more realistic. But why not give it a
Frank (Lakeland, FL): Why is Castellanos still here? I love watching him, but the guy is too good for this league.
He's not going to make it to the majors
this year, so they're not going to rush him. I have no problem with him
tearing up high Class A for a couple of months before sending him to
Double-A. He's only 20.
Scott (Pittsburgh): Do you think Giolito, Fried, or Correa make it to the #8 pick?
Giolito is a total wild card until teams
know more about his health and bonus expectations. As of right now, yes,
I think he'd last that far. Correa is the most likely to be gone,
because I could see the Cubs or Padres taking him at 6 or 7. Fried
probably gets to No. 8 and could be the Pirates' guy if he does.
Matt (Texas): Gausman, Appel or Zimmer most likely if the Astros take a College P?
I'd put my money on Appel. Right now, looks like he'll be going to the Astros in my first first-round projection.
Brett K. (Minnesota): Jim, what are your impressions of Miguel Sano's first full season so far?
That with Bryce Harper in the majors, Sano is the best power prospect in the minors.
Harry (Milwaukee): How similar of a player are Albert Almora and David Dahl and is one a clear pick over the other?
Similar. Dahl has the advantage of batting
righthander, while Almora has better instincts and has had a better
spring. Almora figures to go a few picks ahead of Dahl.
Josh (Lake Charles, LA): Thanks for the chat.
What kind of power do you see Buxton developing at this point? He
hasn't shown any this season; has he ever shown the ability in
tournaments or showcases? In what ways is he better than Correa?
I've had scouts put a 70 on his raw power,
so he should be able to develop at least average power, despite not
hitting a ton of HR this spring. Scouts give Buxton a lot of 70s for his
tools and Almora a lot of 60s. Buxton has more upside, though Almora is
a safer bet.
Frank (New Orleans): In your opinion, what prep player or players has emerged has to who could be selected first?
Joel (St. Louis): Andrew Heaney, like him or love him?
Can I choose "like him a lot"? He's the
best college lefty in the draft and he'll be a mid-first-rounder. One
scout described him to me as "55 stuff with 60 command," a perfect
ScottAz (Phx, AZ): Where will Jameis Winston and Anthony Alford go in the draft and which is more likely to sign (all things being equal)
Alford has told teams he won't sign and
would rather play both baseball and football at Southern Miss. That
leaves Winston, though I'm not convinced he'll turn his back on playing
quarterback at Florida State. If he's signable, Winston could be a
sandwich pick. If he were signable, Alford would go in the same range
and would get the overall edge as a prospect.
ScottAZ (Phx, AZ): Arenado's power, too early to be worried, mild, or serious concern?
Too early. He's 21 and in Double-A. I know
he only has one homer in 32 games, but he does have 10 doubles. He'll
hit for a high average with at least average power.
Ben (Miamisburg, OH): Would taking Courtney Hawkins at #14 be a reach for the Reds, or is that area good value for Hawkins?
Nope, that's about where he should go. Might not even get to the Reds at 14.
Sean (Phoenix): Who is your personal favorite college hitter and college pitcher for the impact they will bring to the MLB level?
If we're talking total value as a position
player, it's easily Florida catcher Mike Zunino. I did talk to a
scouting director today who says if you're just looking at offensive
impact, it's Clemson third baseman Richie Shaffer. As for the pitchers,
I'd take San Francisco's Kyle Zimmer.
Greg (Ohio): Should Byron Buxton expect to sign for full pick value of 7.2 mil if slected 1st overall?
At least close to it, because I don't think
he'll get past the Twins and their $6.2 million pick value at No. 2. If
the Astros can save some money at the top and use it elsewhere in the
draft, that would be a nifty advantage, but that may be easier said than
Nick (San Francisco): Where do you project Agosta and Wisdom of St. Mary's to go?
Second or third round for Agosta, fourth or fifth for Wisdom.
Jason (Houston,TX): Who would you take 1-1 if
you were drafting for the Astros and why? Also, who do you think they
will take based on what you've heard.
I'd take whoever I determined was the best
player available, plain and simple. The Astros have a lot of needs and
aren't going to contend in the immediate future. For me, the best player
is Buxton. I keep hearing that higher-ups want more immediate impact,
which leads me to think the Astros will take a college pitcher. I'm
Kevin (San Diego): Hi Jim, have you heard any names as possibilities for the Padres at #7? Any chance Correa falls there?
Assuming the top college pitchers (Appel,
Zimmer, Gausman) go off the board in the first five picks, I think the
Padres are looking at bats. Correa is as good a guess as any, unless the
Cubs opt to take him at No. 6.
Alex (Toronto): Any word on Eflin? Heard he was going to try and pitch through his tricep tendinitis.
Sorry, got on the phone there . . . Eflin came back last night and hit some 94s. John Manuel blogged about it here
Laura (Oakland CA): When does BA's draft top 200 come out this month?
We have a preliminary version we're still
tweaking. Our first Draft Preview goes to print tomorrow, and that will
have players ranked by rounds (first, sandwich, second, third/fourth,
fifth/sixth) at their positions. We'll release our official Top 200 in
1-200 order in a couple of weeks, as part of our second Draft Preview
Kevin (MN): How would you characterize the 2013
draft? We've had Strasburg, Harper and a potentially historic 2011
draft class all leading up to 2012 which is probably averageish but
seems like a bit of a letdown after last season. What can we expect next
June? I'm a Twins fan very desperate for hope.
2013 will be better than 2012 but it's nothing special at this point.
Rob (Parlin, NJ): Can you give me a quick scouting report on Monmouth's Pat Light and where you see him going?
Big body (6-foot-6), big fastball (90-96 mph), throws strikes, second round.
Matt (Minneapolis): Is Nick Castellanos now a top 20 or even top 10 prospect in baseball?
The Tigers are going to have a nice huge problem in 2 years aren't they?
He's getting there. Third base won't be a
problem because Miguel Cabrera really can't play there. He and Prince
Fielder will share 1B and DH once Castellanos is ready.
Matt (Minneapolis): Castellanos or Sano?
Sano. Hard to walk away from that kind of power. And you guys know I love Castellanos.
David Yuen (Portland, OR): With a higher
pick(6th) than last year(9th) but not as deep of a talent pool, will the
Cubs be able to get a prospect better, as or worse than last years pick
in Javier Baez?
@Jaypers413 (IL): Could we get your thoughts on the Hamels/Harper incident?
Much ado about nothing. Thought it was overblown. Hamels wasn't headhunted and admitted what was pretty obvious.
Grant (Winnipeg): Not to pre-empt your mock too
much, but if you have Appel to the 'Stros, other speculation has the
Twins looking for college RHP, and Seattle on Zunino. Could Buxton last
all the way to #4? Could he drop farther than that, even to #6?
I won't give more away, but I don't see Buxton getting past the top three picks.
Taylor (Houston): Have you heard any rumors as
to who or where the Astros are looking to go with that first pick?
We've all heard Appel and Gausman, and most likely not Buxton, but I've
heard a rumor of working them working out a deal with Wacha...Thanks!
I think the Wacha deal rumors are
overblown. Texas is one of my draft states, and I talk to a lot of
people down there, and no one has gotten wind of that.
John C (New York City): Could OF Lewis Brinson make it to the Yankees at the end of the first round?
Yes. We've got him as a sandwich-round talent. Very nice tools tempered by more swing and miss than you'd like.
Max (New Mexico): What are scouts saying about Alex Bregman and where do they project him to be drafted?
Little guy who can really hit. Profile
would be better if you think he can catch. Third-round talent who
probably won't go that high and has a good chance of winding up at
Jeff (Washington, DC): What are the odds that
the Royals find themselves in a similar situation as last year, where
their "favorite" pitchers (presumably Gausman, Zimmer, and Appel) are
already off the board, and some position player with big tools or big
skills (e.g., Zunino, Correa) is considered more valuable by scouts than
any remaining pitcher?
It could happen, but I think Buxton and
Zunino will go in front of them, which will leave them one of the top
three college pitchers. If all three college pitchers are gone, I think
the obvious move would be to take Buxton or Zunino, i.e., best player
There goes my phone again, so I'm going to
run. I'll be back to chat again next Wednesday, hopefully at a more
leisurely pace! You can always try to hit me up with long questions for
my Ask BA column (firstname.lastname@example.org, include name and hometown)
or with shorter ones at Twitter (@jimcallisBA).