Prospects Chat With Jim Callis
Jim Callis will chat about prospects, the pennant races and the Minor League Player of the Year award beginning at 3 p.m. ET.
Hi, everyone. Plenty to talk about today,
including our Minor League Player of the Year announcement, pennant
races, any residual draft questions . . . anything you like!
Moe (New York): Hey Jim, I have a question
about a lesser known prospect: Vincent Catricala. The guy had a
RIDICULOUS season hitting .351 in high A then .347 in Double A with a
lot of pop and good SB:CS ratio. The only thing is even after he proved
it in Double A I don't hear anything about him. Is he a prospect? What
are scouts saying about his hit / power tools and what defensive
position would he be most apt to play? Thanks Jim!
Catricala's numbers are a lot better than
his tools, though hats off to him for having the .349/.421/.601 season
he did. He's an all-bat guy who belongs at first base, and scouts aren't
sold he has the bat speed to produce on an everyday basis in the big
steve (york pa): Thanks for the chat. Could you
please talk about domonic brown and what you expect from him for 2012?
Also where do you expect Jurickson Profar to begin 2012?
With regular playing time in the majors, I
think Brown will be the player we all thought he'd become. Could see him
hitting .280 with 20 homers for the Phillies in his first full big
league season. Profar won't be 19 until next February, so I'd think he'd
begin 2012 in high Class A but he's so talented that an assignment to
Double-A wouldn't stun me.
@Jaypers413 (IL): As a blantantly biased Rays
fan, I must formally protest in defense of Matt Moore. His stuff has
dramatically improved (even more than usual), and is projected as a true
#1 SP. Oh, and is a lefty, to boot. That is all.
Matt Moore would have been a worthy MLPOY
pick. But I happen to think Trout was a little more worthy. He's a
slightly better prospect in my book if we're splitting hairs—he's No. 1
overall on my list—and they both had stunning seasons.
Eric (Tampa, FL): If the Top 100 came out today, would it be 1) Trout, 2) Harper, 3) Moore?
I think I'm in in the minority at BA in
putting Trout at No. 1, but that would be my order. Trout won't qualify
if he accumulates another 47 big league at-bats, so that would settle
Wendy (Phoenix, AZ): Was Goldschmidt considered for your player of the year?
He came up in the discussion but he's not
the same quality of prospect as Trout and Moore. It really came down to
those two in the end . . . And just to clarify, based on a couple of
questions I've seen: We don't have a ballot or a straight vote. It's
more of a free-for-all discussion.
Chris (Oakland): After seeing post Tommy John
Stephen Strasburg pitching last night in the majors, it made me wonder
about the progress of Michael Ynoa. Is he pitching anywhere this season
on his road to recovery?
I'm not sure Michael Ynoa even exists,
though someone by that name pitched nine innings in Rookie ball last
year. So far, that's working out to $472,222.22 per inning.
Denny (Chatham, On): Who was a better prospect at their age. Desmond Jennings or Jake Marisnick?
I'll give Jennings the edge. He had more speed and better plate discipline.
Dan (Chicago): Who would you rather have for the next 10 years; Jurickson Profar or Starlin Castro?
This may sound crazy, but my gut says
Profar. I think he'll be a better defender and comparable bat with
better control of the strike zone.
Greg (KY): Jim who's your pick for Midwest League playoffs?
I'm working on our MWL Top 20 Prospects
list, so I'm keeping an eye on those playoffs, which start today. I'll
take Dayton (Reds) over Quad Cities (Cardinals) in the finals.
Mike (Chicago): do you think it was smart for
the cubs to hold on to Oneri Fleita, since there is going to be a new GM
and the cubs are going after the big names, its very interesting that
they would fill an important part like that before hiring a GM, what do
I was surprised for that reason. Tom
Ricketts loves the work his farm and scouting departments are doing, and
wants to retain the people running those departments. However, that may
limit the pool of GM candidates, whom you'd figure would want some say
in how baseball operations would be structured.
Ryan (Tampa, FL): This is a joke, right? I
could understand Trout winning it last year, but his numbers do NOT
reflect that of a POY this year in ANY way, shape or form. You guys are
WAAAAAY too in love with Trout's potential and completely glossed over
his actual performance. Moore was robbed.
How about you give me a list of teenagers
who have hit .326/.414/.544 in Double-A in 400-plus plate appearances
and get back to me on this?
Ben (Miamisburg, OH): Would Reds prospect David
Vidal be considered a sleeper prospect for 2012 even with an .850 OPS,
20 HR and plus defense at 3B as a 21 year old in Low A this year or is
he already a legitimate prospect to watch?
I'd still say "sleeper" because he was 21
in low Class A. But he has some tools. Needs to control the strike zone
better but he has some pop and plays some nifty defense at the hot
Ben (Miamisburg, OH): Billy Hamilton set a Reds
organizational record with stolen bases this year, who finished with
the second most in the minors this year and how far behind Hamilton were
Anthony Gose, a fine prospect in his own right, finished 70 with second—33 behind Hamilton.
Nafi Wong (North of the border): Did the fact that there are so many great pitchers already on the Rays rotation hurt Matt Moore's ranking versus Trout?
Not at all. We may have slightly differing
views at BA as to what the exact definition of the award, but I always
vote for the best prospect who had a tremendous minor league season
(which is different, of course, than the legitimate prospect who had the
best minor league season). The Rays rotation had nothing to do with
Moore not winning.
Mike (Pittsburgh): I just finished reading John
Manuel's article in which he "explained" (I use that term loosely) how
Trout won the POY. Let's go over his arguments - 1) Trout is younger
than Moore, 2) Trout had an "unprecedented" season (in which Manuel
points to his OBP and nothing else), and 3) Moore "probably" dominated a
bit more. Can you say, with a straight face, that these arguments hold
I'm just baffled by the vitriol here.
Either Trout or Moore would have been a terrific choice for Minor League
Player of the Year. I guess we were bound to disappoint a fan base no
matter who we picked. But again, Trout hit better than .300/.400/.500 as
a teenager in Double-A — that just doesn't happen very often. I don't
know who the last guy to pull that off was, but I do know it's been at
least a few years.
Doug (O-town): What's more coveted, a stud young hitter like Mike Stanton or a dominant young starter like Clayton Kershaw?
I'll go with the pitcher, because I think they're harder to find.
John Havok (Lethbridge, Alb): Would a fair ceiling for Trout in the bigs be a .300-.310 hitter with 10-15 HR, 30-40 steals with great defense?
Think you're selling him short on the
power. I think he's going to be a .300-plus, 25 homer guy with lots of
steals and defensive highlights.
Brandon (Dallas, TX): At the same stage in their careers, is Jurickson Profar further along than Elvis Andrus was? Who is the better defender?
Yes. Comparable defenders, maybe Andrus gets a slight edge, but Profar has significantly more offensive potential.
Nate (Chicago): Is Brandon Short the best position prospect in the White Sox organization?
It's down to him, Eduardo Escobar and
Keenyn Walker. Which should send a message to Jerry Reinsdorf that maybe
it's time to start spending money on the draft.
Big Dave (AR): Rewind a few
months<<<<Josh Bell sends a letter out to all major league
teams about how he can't wait to get his big league career started.
Where does he get drafted?
I think he would have gone 17 (Angels), 18 (Athletics), 19 (Red Sox) or 21 (Blue Jays).
Roger (Greenville, SC): When will the league top 20s come out?
The date is not locked in stone, but the first Top 20 (either the AZL or GCL) will go up Sept. 16 or 19.
Travis M. (Arlington, VA): What's your take on Mason Williams? He's only a couple of weeks younger than Mike Trout, but looks to have a decent skill-set.
Williams has good tools and looks like the
No. 1 prospect in the short-season New York-Penn League. He's one of the
best Yankees draft picks in recent years and is showing why New York
invested $1.45 million in him last year.
Frankie (Mobile): Will Jason Heyward go down as
BA's biggest bust/disappointment and worst pick as POY ever? For all
the hype and pub he's gotten, he's gotta be the softest .220 hitter I
know...and the worst player ever to have his own ESPN Sportscenter
How has he gotten so bad so quickly?!?!?
He's only 21 and will turn it around. But I don't know how to begin to explain his 2011 season.
Scott (DC): Do the nationals have a better future middle infield combination with Desmond and Espinosa, or Espinosa at SS and Lombardozzi?
I'll take option C, Espinosa at SS and Rendon at 2B.
Norm Youngerman (Portland, OR): Gary Brown or Jake Marisnick? They're very similar players (on paper) to me...
I'd take Marisnick, because he's more well-rounded to me.
Brett (NYC): As a Yankees Fan, should i be concerned about all this talk of the Blue Jays system?
The Blue Jays system is on the rise and is
now one of the best in the game, but I don't think you need to worry
unless MLB gets a salary cap.
Jake (California): Take your pick:Jake Marisnick or Rymer Liriano. Ceiling for both?
That's a tough one I'm bouncing around for
the MWL Top 20 right now. I'll say Marisnick, because I think they're
comparable bats and he's the better athlete. Both have the tools to be
Peter Rose (Cincy): What do i do with Yonder Alonso? I cant trade him now — i should have traded him 2 years ago. Do i consider trading Votto?
I think Alonso gets traded. It's too bad one of those guys can't play left field.
James (Maryland): As of today, who is the #1 shortstop prospect in baseball?
With 10 minutes to go, it's lightning-round time . . . Profar over Machado.
Dan (Chicago): Is Bryan LaHair just Micah Hoffpauir 2.0 or a legitimate option for the Cubs at first base in 2012?
David (Wichita, KS): Is Cheslor Cuthbert the
royals top prospect right now? How close is Bubba Starling to that
distinction and where would Elier Hernandez and Adalberto Mondesi rank
in their system?
It's Bubba Starling over Wil Myers and Mike
Montgomery. Hernandez and Mondesi likely will fit in the 11-20 range on
the Royals Top 30 in the 2012 Prospect Handbook.
John (Bluefield): Marisnick top 100?
Efrim (Middletown, CT): Hey Jim. Is Danville 3B
Brandon Drury a legit prospect? His walk rate was tiny, but he showed
good power for an 18 year old in the Appy league.
Yes. He'll rank near the top of our Appy League Top 20.
Jerry (Columbia, MO): Do you think Zach Cox will be able to be MLB average as a defensive 3B?
Still do, yes.
Andrew (Tampa): Can we give some love to starling marte do you predict a top 100 ranking next season?
Bobo (Chillin w/ Sasquach): Who has the better career as a starter: Vizcaino, Delgado, or Minor?
Ed (Fort Wayne, In): Feeling old school, I am going to make a comparison of Brent Jackson to Rick Monday. What do you think of such a comp?
Works for me. Solid but not spectacular.
Kyle (St Louis): Carlos Martinez has really been performing poorly in the last month or so. Sign that he should be moved to the bullpen?
Sign that he was 19 and in his first full pro season.
Jim T (NJ): Is Johnny Damon with better speed a reasonable floor for Trout's career performance?
Better pure hitter, too.
Matt (NY): So Trout's best case scenario is Ellsbury?
Sure. I could see him putting up numbers like Ellsbury has this year. But remember, Ellsbury wasn't nearly this good at age 19.
Robert (Secaucus, NJ): As you're doing the MWL Top 20 - is Corcino a future starter or reliever?
He's not big, but no reason to rule out starting.
Jon (DC): Is it true that Rizzo was considering Mike Trout for the spot in the draft occupied by Drew Storen?
I did not hear that at the time. I will
say, it's amazing how many teams have come out of the woodwork and now
claim they would have drafted Trout but fate intervened.
Eric (VA): Miguel Sano cracks the top 20 prospect list next year?
Too high, but he's definitely on the rise. I assume you mean the top 20 on the Top 100 Prospects list.
Thanks for all the questions. See you next Wednesday.