Jim Callis Chat: Sept. 15
Jim Callis will answer your baseball questions beginning at 2 p.m. ET.
JAYPERS (IL): I understand Harper is reporting to instructs in Viera. Have you heard anything recently on whether or not he'll play in AZ?
I have not. Probably depends on how he
looks in instructs. It would be fun to see Bryce Harper in the AFL, but I
don't see much upside to it. No point in possibly damaging his
confidence by sending him against by far better pitching than he's ever
seen in his life.
Ty (FL): A friend of mine compared Hosmer to a young version of Tex. Would this be far fetched in your opinion?
Eric Hosmer has that kind of offensive
ceiling, though he's not a switch-hitter like Mark Teixeira and I don't
think he'll be as good a defender as Teixeira is.
Matt (Nebraska): What do you think is the ceiling for AA NW Arkansas player Clint Robinson?
He's more of a cup-of-coffee type of guy
than a major league regular. He has a nice swing, but I'm not sure he
has true first-base power, and he's a below-average athlete. Those guys
don't always get much of a chance, and they better take advantage if
Thomas Wolff (Davis, CA): Do you see Brandon Belt as the Giants future 1st baseman?
Yes. Whether he's going to be a solid regular or something more than that, I still haven't made up my mind.
Angel (NYC): When do your minor league top 20 lists start appearing on this site? thanks!
In a couple of weeks. With how the end of
the minor league season fell related to our publication schedule, the
final stats got pushed back an issue later than usual, and the Top 20s
did as well.
Browning Nagle (Louisville, KY): What is the
long term vision for Garrett Richards, SP or RP? He had great overall
numbers this year, but mixed in quite a few rocky starts. If he stays
at starter, is he looking like a #3?
I see him as a starter. He has a chance to
have three or four solid-or-better pitches, including a fastball that
touches 97 mph and a nifty slider. If he continues to refine his
command, he could be a No. 2.
Greg Pirkl (Seattle, WA): I noticed Fabio
Martinez hasn't pitched since the end of July. Is it an injury or just
watching his innings. If he harnesses his control, does he have a #1
He had a tired arm. Tests didn't reveal any
structural damage and he showed a 94-mph fastball in a simulated game
at the end of the season. The Angels believe he's fine.
Timmy L. (San Francisco): If the rumor over the
demand for a trade is true, what are your thoughts on a Colby Rasmus
for Matt Kemp straight up? Dodgers obviously looking to save money and
would have the player under control for 4 years.
Rasmus had the better year and is a lot
cheaper/further from free agency. I bet the Dodgers would make that
trade but don't think it helps the Cardinals, unless they just want to
be rid of Rasmus.
Derrick (NY): Hi Jim. thanks for chat. you said
before that Danny Duffy has a chance for top 100 for 2011. but it was
not clear with that comment of you how much his stock going up. because
in end of 2008 BA comented he just missed. next year = same situation.
But yesterday in BA ASK you ranked him above guys who i think legit shot
in top 100 - like Mesoraco. so he is legit top 100 prospects for you?
if so, just gut feeling where he can be ranked top 50-75 or 75-100?
I haven't tried to plot out my Top 100 yet,
but Duffy should make the second half of it. His stuff has kicked up a
notch this year, and he already was on the cusp of making the Top 100.
Danny (Philly): Can you give me an accurate
scouting report on Julio Rodriguez? Reports seem to differ but he has
some great statistics this year.
His stats are much better than his stuff.
He doesn't have a plus pitch, works at 87-88 mph with his fastball and
bamboozles low Class A hitters with a big, slow curveball. I don't think
that will play well against better bats.
Greg (LA): What do you think about that kid
(think his name is Pettite) who started for Trenton last night?
Prospect? Seriously, the other team competed all year to make the
playoffs. Shouldn't there be a rule prohibiting major leaguers from
playing in minor league playoff games?
It's not great for the integrity of the
minor league playoffs, but minor league teams exist to serve their
parent clubs. And the Yankees need innings for Pettitte. I'd do the same
thing if I was running the Yankees.
Chris (Secaucus, NJ): There's been conjecture
recently that Mariner's Scouting Directory, Carmen Fusco, was fired over
the Josh Lueke controversy, and others have wondered if the Mariners
will ultimately regret the choice of Smoak over Montero. What's your
take on the turbulence the Lee trade has brought and may bring to the
I'd rather have Montero than Smoak, but I
could see taking either package. The Mariners clearly preferred the
Smoak deal. I think it's ridiculous that Fusco got scapegoated over
Lueke, when his legal situation was common knowledge in baseball
circles. We even cited it in our Trade Central writeup. And as I
mentioned in this week's Ask BA column, if the Mariners are so enraged
about Lueke, why are they holding onto him. It smacks of hypocrisy. It
has not been a good year in many respects for the Mariners.
Landon (Arizona): Jim thanks for answering my
question. I am wondering if Daniel Hudson is for real. Most scouts i've
read have said he is no more than a 3-4 starter, but all he does it put
up good numbers. His k/BB% in the minors says that what he is doing in
the majors is not a fluke. What do you think about him? How good can he
Hudson won't maintain his 1.67 ERA since he
was traded for Edwin Jackson, but he's for real. I don't see him as
more than a No. 3 starter because his stuff is solid but not
overpowering, though I'm willing to acknowledge that his deception and
command make his stuff play up. Maybe he'll prove me wrong and settle in
as a No. 2 starter.
Mike (Seattle): Do you think Justin Smoak will
be successful at the big league level next season, and will he still be a
star? Does he crack the big league roster on opening day 2011?
I do think he'll be successful in the
majors next year and expect him to be Seattle's regular first baseman. I
still believe in his power potential and see some All-Star Games in his
Bryce (Kansas City): Where do you see Wil Myers playing when he makes the majors: C, RF, or somewhere else?
I've been working on our Midwest League
prospects list, and people keep telling me they think he can make it
behind the plate. He has the arm strength, and while he's raw as a
receiver, he has the desire to make it happen. If that's the case, he's
even more valuable. We'll see, but he has a better chance to catch than I
Dino (Bartlett): What is your opinion on Brandon Guyer? He has had a heck of a season!
Nice year for Guyer, who has some of the
best all-around tools in the Cubs system. He's more of a fourth
outfielder than a big league regular, though. He's just not consistent
enough offensively to project as an everyday guy.
travis (minnesota): better prospect, Miguel sano or Gary Sanchez?why?
I'd take Sanchez over Sano. The bats are
comparable, but Sanchez has a chance to catch and Sano probably winds up
at third base, so give me the guy with more positional value.
Trevor (Oakland): Can you rank these 2011
college arms: Cole, Jungmann, Gray, Purke? Can you see any (or all) of
them being the top pick? Which one has the most upside and which is
most likely to reach their ceiling?
Purke, Cole, Jungmann, Gray. All are in the
mix to go No. 1 overall, though Rice third baseman Anthony Rendon
remains the favorite. Cole might have the most upside, Jungmann the best
chance to reaching his ceiling and Purke the best combination of both.
Alexander (Rapid City): Hi Jim,
Thanks as always for the chat! Philosophical (and long) question: given a
roughly average draft budget (~6.5-7m) and a roughly average and
equally distributed talent base (college/high school, hitter/pitcher),
would you pursue a particular draft philosophy in terms of how to spend
the budget and whom to give it to? The Twins, for instance, tend to go
for college arms and high school athletes; the Cardinals, with
exceptions, go for college bats/arms; the Red Sox spread the wealth;
other clubs put it on a few potential superstars.
That's a great question for Ask BA, where I
have more time and space to respond. Please send it to
firstname.lastname@example.org, along with your full name and hometown.
Jason (Pittsburgh): How would you grade
Pittsburgh's farm system at the end of the year...? I know the additions
of Taillon, Allie and Heredia help but there were a lot of injuries
this year and players taking steps backwards.
Still middle of the pack.
Brian (Toledo, OH): Due to Dustin Ackley and
Jason Kipnis sharing time at 2nd in the AFL, Cord Phelps will be moved
to third. Does he have any value as a third base prospect at the major
league level, or is he being moved to simply get more at bats this
That's just to get him AB. Phelps doesn't have the power for third base, and his arm isn't a great fit there either.
Vince (Chicago IL): Starlin Castro has been
great as a 20 year old in he majors. Do you expect him do develop any
more power and will he swipe more bases in years to come?
The scary thing is that he's probably five
years away from showing us how good he really can be. I do think he'll
develop at least 15-homer power, but he's an average runner who won't
steal a lot of bases.
Brian (Toledo, OH): Tyler Holt, the Indians
10th round pick out of FSU, has gotten off to a hot start in low a ball.
Is he a legit candidate to be a major league outfielder?
Holt is an interesting prospect. Scouts
wonder about his batting stance and power potential, but he has a
tremendous career at Florida State and has excellent instincts in all
phases of the game. He had some of the best strike-zone control and
baserunning and defensive ability in the draft. I don't see him as a
star, but I could see him willing himself into a solid regular.
Brad (MO): What grade was Pat White's hit tool
coming out of high school? Has anyone that hasn't played for 3-5 years
before starting professional baseball made an impact on a major league
He was much more athletic than polished, so
I'd say a present 3/future 5 hit tool. I applaud the Royals for
gambling on a great athlete, but I can't see how he'll possibly recover
from giving up six years of at-bats while he focused on football.
Sean (Sudbury, ON): The consensus seems to be
that Alvarez and Moustakas will probably both have to make a move to 1B
somewhere down the road. Position aside, who do you expect to put up
better numbers during the peak of their respective careers? Moustakas
seems to have benefited from his home parks and struggles against
lefties, while Alvarez seems to be striking out more than Mark Reynolds.
I go back and forth on this one. My gut says Moustakas, but ask me tomorrow, and I might say Alvarez.
Scott (Chicago): If you are the Pirates next
year do you select Rendon planning to move Alvarez over to 1st base when
both are ready or do you take your favorite college pitcher because you
need so much help in the rotation. I know they signed two top pitchers
from this last draft, but it will be a while before either of them
makes the majors.
You take whoever you determine is the best available prospect, plain and simple. I'd take Rendon.
Eli (NY): Does Montero rank in top 10 prospects for 2011?
Yes, easily. Jesus Montero is still one of the top five prospects in baseball, and I'd take him over Bryce Harper.
Mark (Madison, WI): When you re-ranked the 2007
draft, you ranked Price ahead of Heyward because of how difficult it is
to find lefty starters. Hard to argue that point, but couldn't you also
make the argument that while they are easier to come by, position
players offer more security health-wise?
You could argue Price or Heyward or Mike
Stanton for the top player from the 2007 draft, and defend it easily.
Heyward might be a safer bet, but I think Price has more positional
Rob (Alaska): Saw that you tweeted the other
day that among 2B prospects you have Jean Segura ahead of Jason Kipnis.
Care to elaborate? How close is it and what are their respective
They both have ceilings as solid regulars,
if not more. I think they're comparable hitters, but I'd take Segura
because he's faster and a better defender. If someone wanted to argue
that Kipnis will outhit Segura enough to make it all a wash, that would
marie (san francisco): Hi Jim. Who is your
choice for NL Rookie of the Year? We all knew that Buster Posey was
ready offensively, but are you surprised with his handling of the
Giants' pitching staff as well as his overall defense?
I'd still go with Heyward becauase he has
contributed all season. Posey has similar offensive production, but in
about 200 less plate appearances. His arm is no surprise, and he has
done a nice job of addressing concerns about his receiving.
Mike (Minnesota): Do the Sox keep Ortiz next year, or say goodbye and open the door(s) for Lars and Rizzo to compete at 1b/DH w/Youkilis?
Anderson and Rizzo aren't ready to step in at 1B or DH for the Red Sox. I bet they pick up Ortiz' option.
Cincy Pete (oHIo): Whether the chat is hosted
here on BBA or on that other site, Wednesdays at 2 PM are still the
best. Now that I've buttered you up a bit, can you tell me your thoughts
on how good Kyle Gibson can be...and when he arrives in the bigs.
Thanks, Cincy Pete. No. 2 starter, June 2011.
Josh (Toronto): Based on your 2007 re-draft, should we conclude that you have Moore ahead of Freeman in your prospect rankings?
Yes. That's a fair conclusion.
I have to run, so I'll say goodbye until we
chat again next Wednesday. In the meantime, feel free to submit
questions for our Monday Ask BA column (I can't answer all of them, and
remember to include your full name and hometown) or hit me up at Twitter