Jim Callis Chat: Sept. 8
Jim Callis will answer your baseball questions beginning at 12 p.m. ET today.
Andy (Syracuse): Do you see Shelby Miller becoming a top 20 prospect next year? How good can he really be? Thanks man!
I'm going to block my fourth (and most
important) fantasy football draft out of my mind for the next hour and
think only baseball. Here we go . . . Do you mean being a Top 20
prospect entering 2011 (which is a little rich) or after the 2011 season
(which I could definitely see). Miller had the most impressive 2010 pro
season of any of the elite high school pitchers in the 2009 draft:
Matzek, Turner, Wheeler. Miller has definite frontline starter
potential, maybe even as a No. 1, once he develops reliable command.
Steve (Fort Montgomery, NY): How far out of the top 30 was Clint Moore? He had a nice summer and looks like he could be a utility guy as a pro.
Steve is talking about the Cape Cod League
Top 30 Prospects list I wrote, which is available to subscribers here:
Moore performed as well as any third baseman on the Cape, but he wasn't
one of the guys who just missed the list. He can hit and has some arm
strength, but his power and athleticism makes him profile more as a good
utility guy than as a big league regular.
JAYPERS (IL): Where will Ranaudo be starting off his pro career at next year?
I don't think the Red Sox have determined this, but the best guess is high Class A.
Jack (Queens): Hey, thanks for the chat. How
high do you think St. Johns shortstop Joe Panik can go in the draft next
June? Is he one of the top 5 shortstops in college baseball? Thanks!
He was one of the top two shortstops on the
Cape this summer, and the best one (Deven Marrero) won't be eligible
for the draft until 2011. I could see Panik going in the third round if
he has a good spring, maybe even the second. Not sure I'd call him a
top-five shortstop, but I'd put him in the top 10.
Ian (Pittsburgh): What are scouts saying about
the Altoona rotation? Will the Pirates be able to get a quality starter
or two from that group (Bryan Morris, Jeff Locke, Rudy Owens, Justin
Wilson)? Who has the most upside?
Morris has the most upside, if he can stay
healthy. I like all of those guys to varying degrees, and Wilson's stuff
kicked up a notch, but they're more likely No. 3 or 4 starters than
Brett (Atlanta): Do you think Springer can challenge Rendon for the top collegiate hitter tag in next year's draft?
No. Maybe challenge Rendon as the top college position player, but Rendon is a much more polished hitter.
Ryan (KC): Mike Moustakas has shown he has
prodigious power. And for a franchise with a single season record of a
paltry 36 that is hugely exciting. But there are very real questions
about his plate discipline. Will it limit him to be being a one
dimensional slugger in the big leagues, or are the concerns overblown?
I wouldn't worry too much. He didn't walk a
lot this year, but he also didn't strike out much either (34-67 K-BB in
534 AB). I see him as a guy who hits .275 with big-time power in the
major leagues. Steve Balboni's franchise record for homers is definitely
ScottAZ (Phx, Az): With Torres graduated
leaving 3b for the Devils, does Wilson get first crack at the job
despite his defensive shortcomings, or is he strictly DH for us?
If Brett Wallace could play third base for
the Sun Devils, Zach Wilson could probably play there too. But he'll be a
LF/1B/DH in pro ball.
Shawn (Bellingham WA): If Anthony Ranaudo
pitched as well in the spring as he did on the Cape where would he have
been drafted? Top 10? Top 5? Thanks!
In the top five picks, assuming teams weren't put off by his signability.
Scared White Sox Fan (Chicago): Will Brent Morel ever develop enough power to be a starting 3B?
Sure. I think he'll have average power to go with a plus bat and solid to plus defensive skills.
Jerry (Montana): What have you heard about Diamondbacks sleeper Adam Eaton ? How can that guy have been drafted in the 19th round?
I like Eaton—he was part of my draft
coverage area in Ohio. He's a good college player who really knows how
to play the game and has some all-around tools, too. He's only 5-foot-9,
though, and he's kind of a tweener in the outfield. At worst a good org
player, at best probably a big league fourth outfielder.
Robert (Colorado): I'm going to see some Arizona Fall League games next month. Which players should I make time to watch?
Check out the latest Ask BA:
I pick an AFL preseason all-prospect team.
Ryan (Milwaukee`): Been trying to get this one answered forever Jim: Is Scooter Gennett a legit top 100 guy after his breakout 2010?
Not a Top 100 guy but he's a legit prospect as an offensive second baseman.
Jay (Madison): Should Brewer fans be concerned
about Lawrie's low HR total, or is his overall power still good enough
to project big HR numbers down the line?
He had 60 extra-base hits as a 20-year-old in Double-A. He's going to have average to plus power.
John M (Ottawa, Canada): Do you think that the Jays minor league system could rank in the top 15 after this season?
Yes. I haven't sifted through all the
organizations to stack them up, and that takes a while to do, but I'm
comfortable saying they'll easily rank in the top half of farm systems
after the Halladay trade, their 2010 draft and their aggressive work on
the international market.
Steve (Massachusetts): Jim, Why aren't Drew Martinez and Matt Skole on your list? Martinez hit 359?
The primary reason for guys not making the
Cape Top 30 is the league is loaded. Everyone who made the list projects
to go in the top two or three rounds of the draft. As for those guys
specifically . . . Martinez had a good year, but he's a slap hitter with
good not great speed who may fit better in left field than center.
Skole was the sixth-best first-base prospect in the league, and his
stock would be enhanced if he could handle third base on a regular
basis. Both those guys are prospects, just not Cape Top 30 guys.
Matt (KC): It seems like before the minor
league season scouts favored Max Stassi over Wil Myers because of
Stassi's defense. It now seems like a safe bet that Myers has passed
Stassi. Can you talk about the progression of both players and if there
is still a debate over who is the better player?
No debate right now—it's clearly Myers.
His bat is well ahead of Stassi's, and I'd take Myers over Stassi even
if he winds up in right field, as expected. Stassi's .229/.310/.380 line
isn't bad for a 19-year-old in the Midwest League, and he's still a
Peter (Kingston, ON): How good is Chris Nelson's bat? Top 10 major league 2B potential?
Despite his scintillating .571 big league average, I see him as more of an offensive utilityman.
Peter (Kingston, ON): Yonder Alonso is somehow 13/16 in SB. Is he a legitimate major league 10-15 SB threat?
He has more savvy than speed, but if he
picked his spots carefully, he might be able to swipe 10 in the big
leagues. At least until teams started paying attention to him on the
Ted (Cape Cod): Jim, I was really impressed
with Harwich's Ronnie Richardson's (Central Florida) speed and suprising
power-where do you see him going?
He had a nice summer and had some of the
best bat speed on the Cape. He's only 5-foot-7 and 175 pounds, though,
so that may put him in rounds 6-10. He'll be a draft-eligible sophomore
next year, and those guys can plummet if teams are leery of their
Julio (Whittier, CA): Is Zach Lee the Dodgers' top prospect?
I might be tempted to go with Dee Gordon.
Mark (Reseda, Ca.): Where do you put Skaggs on
your list. After his trade he had a 1.69 era , a 5-1 k/BB , his fastball
sat at 93-95 and his change was killer. If you take the 2009 class of
high school pitchers he is in the top 5 in every stat.
Skaggs wasn't in the same class as those
2009 elite high school pitchers I mentioned, but he performed as well as
any of them this year. He belongs in that discussion now.
Victor (San Diego): Jarrod Parker's
consistently throwing 93 and touching 97, also adding a 2-seamer to his
arsenal. Is he still a top 50 prospect for you?
Yes. He had fabulous stuff before he got hurt, so I wasn't too worried about the Tommy John surgery.
KyleC (San Antonio, TX): Ross seaton has
struggled since he started his second year in the astros system. What
does he need to do to catch up with his former team mate Jordan Lyles.
I wouldn't read too much into Seaton
getting bombed at Lancaster this year, because almost everyone gets
bombed there. He'll show flashes of a plus fastball and solid secondary
pitches, but he lacks consistency and command, which are Lyles' strong
Johnny (NYC): What do you think of Bill
Bavasi's comments that if Yorman Rodriguez was in high school, people
wouldn't be salivating so much over Bryce Harper? It was obvious
embellishment, but is there that much potential for Yorman down the
Rodriguez had a nice year for a 17-year-old
in the Pioneer League, and it's easy to dream on his bat speed, foot
speed and arm strength. That said, Bavasi's comments were more hyperbole
patrick brady (Okla. City, Ok.): Thanks for your time, Will Sonny Gray be a top five
pick next year???
He has a good chance, but the top of the
draft is deep next year with Anthony Rendon, Gerrit Cole, Matt Purke,
Taylor Jungmann and Matt Barnes, too, among others.
Kevin (Akron, OH): Lonnie Chisenhall's had a
pretty strong second half. Does he get a sniff next September, and what
kind of peak power/avg. do you see in his career. Thanks Jim, love
He may take Cleveland's third-base job at
the all-star break next year. I like Chisenhall a lot, project him as a
.290-.300 hitter with 20-25 homers.
Alex (New York): Have 2 questions about Harwich
Mariners. How close was Braden Kapteyn to being in the top 30? For a
two-way player, who focused almost 100% on pitching, he seemed to
dominate this summer as a late-inning reliever with a 92-94 fb. #2 What
are the thoughts about Austin Nola, he's about as smooth as they come
on the field and started off hot before leaving for USA trials, but his
hits seemingly couldn't miss gloves down the stretch. Thanks!
Kapteyn was one of the better relievers in
the league and should get better once he becomes a full-time pitcher in
pro ball. His slider has its moments too, though his command needs to
improve. Nola is a slick fielder but the question is how much he'll hit.
Peter (St.Louis): KC farm system is NO.1 ? no
dout it? I think Braves's pitching prospects are way better than KC. and
Freeman is also kind of Myers or Hosmer type ceiling? what's your
opinion? thanks for chat.
I would take the Royals. Better balance, more upper-level prospects, better depth.
Scott (Houston, TX): Will Texas A&M's John
Stilson be the closest college pitcher to the Majors this year. An
upper 90's closer with a three pitch mix certainly fits the profile for a
fast track that college relievers have had to the show. How high will
he go in next year's draft?
I think he'll go in the top 20 picks, maybe
even the top 10. If he's drafted and developed as a reliever, he very
well could be the first 2011 draftee to reach the majors.
Bill (Massachusetts): Jim, I noticed Alex Dickerson didn't make your Cape Cod top ? Your thoughts?
He just didn't have enough plate
appearances to qualify. He was the best hitter on the Cape during the
short time he was there, and I would have ranked him No. 4 or 5 on the
Top 30 had he qualified.
Derrick (KC): Danny Duffy. He had two
consecutive good season(2008-2009) but he couldn't crack in top 100. I
think MWL and CAR are pitcher friendly league and some scouts worried
about his stuff. this year he miss almost two months but got some speed
and even in TEX he did well. Hey Jim he has a chance in top 100 this
year? i mean 2011. thanks for chat.
He does have a shot at the Top 100. His stuff was better than ever after he returned from his sabbatical.
Michael (MA): Which Wareham pitcher improved
their stock the most this summer — Barnes, Bradley, or Armstrong? Is
there potential for all three to go in the first round next spring?
I'll say Bradley, because I think Barnes'
was pretty high to begin with. Armstrong went backwards, throwing with
more effort and less velocity, which isn't a good combination. If he
turns it around, all three guys could go in the first round in 2011.
Right now, Barnes and Bradley look like locks.
Phil (Cape Cod): Jim, I agree with almost all
your top 30 Cape Cod prospects as i have seen them all myself! However, I
think CJ Cron and Matt Jenson should be on the list?
Thanks, Phil. Again, there's just not room
for everyone. Cron had one of the more intriguing bats, and if scouts
were sold he could catch (they're skeptical), he would have made the
list. Jensen is OK, but he didn't have a great summer and he's a second
baseman to begin with.
My hour is up, and I stayed true to my word
and didn't think of fantasy football once during our 60 minutes
together. Remember, you can always ask me questions via Ask BA (via
firstname.lastname@example.org) or Twitter (via @jimcallisBA). See you next