Jim Callis Chat: July 14
Hi, everyone. Just to clear up some
confusion, but these Wednesday 2 p.m. ET chats should be a regular
event. Some weeks there will be a pinch-hitter, but most weeks it will
be me. You can also ask me long questions at firstname.lastname@example.org
(please include your name and hometown, and remember I answer three
questions a week in our Ask BA column), or shorter ones via Twitter
@jimcallisBA. Fire away!
JAYPERS (IL): With Mike Moustakas being
promoted to AAA Omaha, do you see a possible September callup if he
continues on his current pace?
I don't know if you'll see a September
callup because he doesn't have to be placed on the 40-man this
offseason. I think you'll have to wait until mid-2011 to see him in the
Ben (Leland Grove): Word is there have been no
talks whatsoever between Bryce Harper/Boras Corp and the Nats to this
That's business as usual. Harper will sign,
probably a couple of minutes before midnight on Aug. 16 and I'll guess
for somewhere between $10 million and $12 million. Even if both sides
worked out a deal today, MLB wouldn't want them to announce it until the
last minute. And Boras Corp. will take the Nationals to the deadline
just like they did last year. So no point starting any negotiations at
Opie (STL): At present, which 1st rounders do
you see NOT signing before the deadline?
Zach Lee is the only one I think might not
sign, and I could also see him signing a deal that gives the Dodgers his
baseball rights (at less than what a normal first-rounder might cost)
and allows him to play football. Kaleb Cowart is the next-toughest sign,
but I bet the Angels get that deal done in the end.
Clint (Omaha, NE): Mike Moustakas was promoted
to Omaha today. If he would continue his hot hitting in AAA could he
crack your Top 10 or perhaps even win Minor League Player of the Year?
He could, but I think Domonic Brown and
Mike Trout are the frontrunners for MLPOY right now.
Chris G (Germantown, MD): In Ask BA, there were
3 guys from the draft (Harper, Taillon, Machado) who would make it into
the top 25? No love for Colon from KC?
I like Colon a lot and I don't think he was
a reach as the No. 4 pick. But he's not a Top 25 overall prospect.
Tim Alderson (Brandenton): Were the Pirates
right, do I have to completely overhaul my mechanics to be relevent
again? How am I throwing 83-86MPH as a 6'7 guy. Please tell me there
I'm not especially optimistic about
Alderson's chances to become a solid big leaguer. He's going to have to
make some changes.
Dave from Florida (Delray Beach,FL): Jim, I
have noticed that Casey Kelly has struggled some this year. Do you still
regard him as a top prospect. Also do the Sox have any chance to sign
either Ranaudo or Workman?
I do. He's still young and the Red Sox
aggressively challenged him by jumping him to Double-A. I think Boston
has a good chance to sign both Ranaudo and Workman—the Red Sox haven't
been afraid to invest in the draft.
Ryan (Vancouver BC): Rate the 4 Pirate starters
at AA Altoona who are all having solid seasons. With Morris, Locke,
J.Wilson and Owens, are we looking at the Pirates potential 2-5 starters
I would be surprised if all four of them
made it as starters in Pittsburgh. I rate them in this order: Morris,
Owens or Locke, Wilson. I don't believe Locke has pitched for Altoona
Tim (Austin, TX): How concerned should I be
about Mike Kvasnicka's slow start in the NYP? He's shown patience at
the plate but that's about the only positive so far.
Not very concerned. Debut stats don't mean a
whole lot, plus he has been trying to learn to play third base and
Mike (Boston): Ryan Kalish is he making the
case for red sox number 1 prospect? What do you project from him in the
majors I could see him being a 20 homer guy with 30 or more steals in a
season and a high average
I'd still take Kelly and Iglesias over him.
I like Kalish, but I think your projection is at least a little
Craig (Lake View Terrace, CA): After Zach
Britton's outstanding first half of the season and impressive turn in
the Futures Game a few days ago, what is his short-term value to the
2010 Orioles and where does he rank long-term in Baltimore's deep corps
of pitching prospects? What (if any) holes does he have in his
repetoire, and what's the outlook for him to sustain his incredible
groundball/flyball ratio in the Major Leagues?
Not sure what you mean by short-term value .
. . they could call him up, but what would be the point. He has the
best sinkers in the minors, and he's a lefty who touches 96 mph with his
four-seamer, and his slider is improved. I've underrated him in the
past but won't any longer. He, Matusz and Tillman will form the heart of
future Orioles rotations.
Ken Rule (Lakewood CA): Love your chats Jim.
Wondering what your thoughts and projections are for LF Carlos Peguero
(SEA)? He was good in the Futures game, but his AA stats have him
strking out 1 out of every 3 AB. That doesn't figure to improve when he
gets to AAA and the Big Leagues. How do you see him? He's a big kid and
has power, but that is a lot of striking out/no contact. Thanks.
He's not the one-trick pony I once thought
he was, but there's still a lot of swing and miss there. I'm not the
most bullish on his chances. I'd try to trade him while his value is
JAYPERS (IL): Your thoughts on the Braves-Blue
Jays trade? (Yunel Escobar & Jo Jo Reyes for Alex Gonzalez, Tim
Collins and Tyler Patornicky)
It's interesting, to say the least. The
Braves obviously soured on Escobar. Gonzalez is playing over his head
with a .497 SLG but Collins and Pastornicky are intriguing prospects.
It's a deal that could help both clubs if Escobar gets his act together.
Mike (Minnesota): Joe Benson: top-100 prospect
for next season? Where has all this extra BH pop come from? Does he
have the ceiling as being an MLB-starter in the OF one day?
Wouldn't call him a Top 100 guy, but he's a
legit prospect with athleticism and strength, and he has taken a big
step forward this season. Absolutely has starter ceiling.
Roger (Cullman, AL): Let's say everyone in
professional baseball is speeding through the mountains of France on a
bicycle. Who wins the yellow jersey?
First name that jumped to mind was Ichiro.
Frankie (Salem, MA): Lars Anderson is still
struggling this year now at AAA—showing little power and can't hit a
lefty! While Anthony Rizzo is holding his own as a 20-y.o. in AA...the
debate continues; who is the Red Sox's future 1B'man? (or is it none of
It's not like Rizzo is tearing it up
either. You guys know I love Lars, but it's fair to say that the jury is
out on both guys. Neither is close to being ready to push Youkilis off
first base at this point.
Chuck (Annapolis): Will Bill(y) Rowell ever
make it out of Frederick?!? Is he perhaps...maybe...just a little
bit...turning the proverbial corner this season?
I've lost faith in Rowell. He's in high
Class A for the third straight year and striking out more than ever.
Jamie (Hampton): How surprised are you guys at
BA about the success thus far of Jaime Garcia? And do you see him
maintaining these kind of numbers for the rest of the season and beyond?
Not really. He's always been a favorite of
mine. I mean, the 2.17 ERA is a shock, but there's not reason he can't
be a solid starter for a long time.
Mac (Ft. Lauderdale): With Tyler Matzek putting
up strikingly similar numbers to what Martin Perez did last year in
A-ball, why is Perez so much more highly touted and talked about? I
know Perez is only 19 and in AA right now, but he's not posting the best
numbers there. Has Matzek's stuff declined that much since last year
or is Perez just clearly the better prospect at this time?
Matzek isn't throwing in the mid-90s like
he was last spring. I think the difference in the hype they received in
low Class A is that Perez was coming off a sterling summer in the NWL
where he earned Johan Santana comparisons, while the Rockies didn't let
Matzek make his pro debut until May and he got forgotten about a little.
Perez has better stuff and a deeper repertoire, so he's the better
prospect, hype aside.
Mac (Ft. Lauderdale): It seems like Shelby
Miller has come on strong since sitting out some games earlier in the
season. If he continues at this pace is there a chance Cardinals fans
will see him on the mound any time next year? Does he have the ceiling
as a number 1 or is he more of a 2-3 guy?
He'll need more time than that. The
Cardinals are just trying to keep his innings down, which is why he sat
out earlier. He's a possible No. 1 down the road, but he's going to need
another two years of development.
Nick (Connecticut): With the Yankees wealth of
catching prospects is it possible for Gary Sanchez to be the best of all
of them. I know it is only the GCL but he is mashing the ball. Love the
It is possible. I don't think Montero will
wind up at catcher in the long run, and Sanchez has a higher ceiling
(though also a lower floor) than Romine.
Mac (Ft. Lauderdale): Jacob Turner or Tyler
Matzek? Who is the better prospect and why?
I'd take Matzek. Stuff was similar as
amateurs, so give me the lefthander.
richard (boston): I just read the article about
the Redsox' inability to sign quality Latin prospects, and as far as I
know they have not signed anyone during the new international signing
window that just began on July 2nd. Am I correct, or have they signed
some players and just not made an announcement?
I believe either our Ben Badler or WEEI's
Alex Speier (our correspondent) reported they have deals with at least
two players so far. A lot of teams are 1) waiting for what they believe
are exorbitant price tags to come down and/or 2) waiting for
age/identity investigations to be complete before they announce deals.
Navin (Pasadena, CA): What is Chris Archer's
Has the arm to be a No. 2 or 3 starter but I
wonder if his inconsistent command will lead him to the bullpen.
Rich (NJ): Domingo Santana did not fare well in
the 1st half of Low A Lakewood and is now in short season. Has that
tarnished his prospect status at all and is his future still bright.
Santana is 17 years old and is playing well
in the NYP. He still has a very bright future.
Mack (IL): Can you think of the last teenage
shortstop in the MWL who has approached a year like Nick Franklin is
Was it ARod?
It might be A-Rod. I can't remember a more
recent MWL SS with an OPS in the .860 range. Tremendous year for
Brett (Overland Park, Kansas): Chris Dwyer is
having a pretty good year and was recently promoted to Northwest
Arkansas. What kind of ceiling do you think he has?
He's a lefthander with a plus fastball and
curveball—sounds like a frontline starter to me.
Steve (Illinois): Who is your AL central
I still think the Twins, despite their slip
into third place.
Troy (Seattle): We know who Justin Smoak is,
but what do you think of the other pieces to the Cliff Lee trade. Was
the Yankees offer better in your eyes?
The Yankees offer was comparable, but the
Mariners clearly preferred Smoak to Montero. As for the other pieces,
Beavan could be a No. 4 starter, Luecke could be a useful piece and
Lawson is a potential offensive-minded utility guy.
Bob (Winthrop Ma): Hello Jim. Thanks for doing
the chat. How would you rank these 3 prep shortstops? I am doing it
That would be my order, though Cecchini
will move to third base in pro ball.
Jon (Jacksonville): Jim, been trying to get
this one answered for weeks. Could you please rank the following: Martin
Perez, Tanner Scheppers, Simon Castro and Christian Friedrich. Thanks
Perez, Scheppers, Castro, Friedrich.
Brandon (OC, CA): If he were eligible now,
where would Anthony Rendon fit in your Top-25 midseason prospects? I'm
guessing he'd slot between Ackley and Perez... what do you think?
I'd take him over Ackley. Would be very
tempted to put him at No. 4 behind Brown, Trout and Jennings.
Steve (Philadelphia): Does Domonic Brown have
anything left to prove in the minors? Contracts aside, shouldn't he
supplant Raul Ibanez in the Phils OF now to kick start the offense?
Nothing left to prove and he would help the
Phillies more than Ibanez is.
Mitchell S. (Pittsburgh): What do you think of
Gorkys Hernandez and his potential? His stock over the past year has
definitely dropped, but his impressive defensive abilities displayed at
the future's game seems to indicate otherwise. Is he in the Pirate's
I like his defense a lot more than his
offense. I just don't think he's going to hit a lot. He could help a
club with his glove but I see a bottom-of-the-order bat.
Chris (Northern Virginia): Hello Jim, thanks
for the chat. In 5 years, would you rank them: Price, Latos, Hanson,
Buchholz, Hughes? Thanks, Jim.
Price, Hanson, Buchholz, Hughes, Latos.
Ted (San Diego, CA): After the Future's Game,
it sounds like some folks are a little down on Simon Castro. Can we
really use one outing as a measuring stick?
No, we should not do that. That said,
Castro was the most disappointing player I saw at the Futures Game.
Tony (Cape Cod): How good of a draft prospect
is Zach Cone, OF from Georgia?
First-rounder next year. Might be the best
athlete in the 2011 college crop.
Shane (Miami): Aaron Hicks recently ranked in
the mid-season top 10. His stats have improved slightly in his repeat of
the MWL, so what are you guys hearing from scouts about his
development/future to warrant the placement?
He has some of the best tools in the
minors. Personally, I would have hoped he'd be doing better in the MWL
after playing there last year.
Bardin (San Diego): Jaff Decker hasn't hit like
he was expected to in the California League. In fact, he hasn't hit at
all! Should Padres fans be worried about him?
Yes, because he's 100 percent bat.
Ryan Giggs (New York): Iglesias over
The glove is that good.
Raoul (Tucson, AZ): Jim, you didn't include
Barret Loux in your list of first round picks that might not sign. Will
the Diamondbacks walk away from the guy with a bum shoulder and take the
7th pick next year or will they sign him to a reduced price?
I should have mentioned the possibility of
Loux. Could go either way on that one. The Diamondbacks didn't want to
go over slot, which is why they took Loux, so they may be more inclined
to sign him at a discount than have to haggle with an unprotected pick
Josh Dean (Los Angeles): Given the recent
conflicts between Boras and the Mets over O. Perez and Beltran's
offseason procedure, do you see any chance the Mets actually hold off on
signing their Boras picks in Harvey and Peavy, take the #7 pick in a
more rich draft next year and zing Boras a bit in the offing?
No. Zinging Boras wouldn't help the Mets
and that pick would be unprotected next year (they'd get the No. 8
Jason (Atlanta): Two questions here. 1.) What
do you see as Trout's upside projection in the majors? Is hitting
.300, 20 HR and 40 Steals too outrageous? and 2.) Is Renaudo a
possible top 50 prospect if he signs with the Sox? Looks like he's out
to prove his injury woes are behind him.
1) Not outrageous at all—Trout is a stud.
2) Too early to call Ranaudo a Top 50 prospect, even with his Cape
Matt (DC): Ackley was just promoted. What's
his timetable? Has he shown any signs of what we thought he could
be—high AVG, decent pop, good speed? Have you soured at all?
I never soured on Ackley. Starting him in
Double-A while he made the transition from first base to second was a
tough task. Crown him!
Todd (NY, NY): back to Zach Britton- If it was
handbook time and you needed to order Matsuz, Tillman, Britton for the
projected 2014 rotation would it be in that order? thx
Yes, because the other guys have reached
the majors. Gut feel says Britton should be No. 2 ahead of Tillman.
Jason (New York): Hi Jim, hope yuo enjoyed the
all star game. Lots of top 30 handbook alumni there. Quick question.
It was reported last week that Eric Goeddel has officially signed to
contract equal to that of a mid 2nd rounder to the Mets. Now were hear
some rumors and rumblings that he actually did not sign. Have you heard
It's a done deal. Don't know the exact
amount, but it's a little under $500,000. He has signed the deal and MLB
has approved it, but MLB has asked the Mets to hold onto it. He'll
start pitching by July 20.