Now that spring-training games are being played, Baseball America's Prospect Report has returned for 2010. If you sign up at http://www.baseballamerica.com/e-mail/, each weekday you'll receive a BAPR update on how top prospects are performing in games, from spring training to the minor league regular season and playoffs to winter ball. Today's edition let you know that Desmond Jennings went 2-for-2 with a double Sunday in his bid to crack the Rays outfield, while precocious Red Sox righthander Casey Kelly twirled two scoreless innings.
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This question has become an Ask BA tradition, and Stephen posed it last year. Among the players I cited as having their arrow pointing up a year ago were Braves first baseman Freddie Freeman, Rays righthander Jeremy Hellickson and Royals lefty Mike Montgomery.
The best bets among players who ranked between 26th and 50th on the Top 100 to rise to truly elite status this season are Tigers righthander Jacob Turner (No. 26), Rays lefthander Matt Moore (No. 35), Rangers righthander Tanner Scheppers (No. 42), Dodgers shortstop Dee Gordon (No. 46) and Tigers lefty Casey Crosby (No. 47).
Among players ranked in the second half of the Top 100, the most upward momentum belongs to Brewers second baseman Brett Lawrie (No. 59), Twins righthander Kyle Gibson (No. 61), Indians righty Jason Knapp (No. 64), Rays shortstop Tim Beckham (No. 67), Rays righty Alex Colome (No. 68), Braves righty Arodys Vizcaino (No. 69), Cubs third baseman Josh Vitters (No. 70), Marlins lefthander Chad James (No. 78) and Cubs righty Andrew Cashner (No. 95).
In the last Ask BA, I mentioned my choices for the six best players who missed the Top 100: Diamondbacks third baseman Bobby Borchering, Royals first baseman Eric Hosmer, Marlins third baseman Matt Dominguez, Orioles first baseman Brandon Snyder, Twins outfielder Ben Revere and Cubs shortstop Hak-Ju Lee.
We didn't include it in the magazine for space reasons, but that's not an issue here. Four of us submitted preliminary Top 150 lists to kick off the Top 100 process, and there were 111 players who received votes but didn't make the final cut. Six of them were named on all four ballots, and Dodgers righthander Ethan Martin got the highest ranking (No. 45 on Conor Glassey's list) of anyone who missed out.
Below is the complete list of vote-getters, sorted by the numbers of ballots they appeared on and their highest ranking:
| Player, Pos, Team | Votes | Highest Rank |
| Ethan Martin, rhp, Dodgers | 4 | 45 |
| Bobby Borchering, 3b, Diamondbacks | 4 | 76 |
| Max Stassi, c, Athletics | 4 | 79 |
| Michael Brantley, of, Indians | 4 | 87 |
| Jose Tabata, of, Pirates | 4 | 95 |
| Chad Jenkins, rhp, Blue Jays | 4 | 97 |
| Alex Liddi, 3b, Mariners | 3 | 62 |
| Matt Hobgood, rhp, Orioles | 3 | 63 |
| Wil Myers, c, Royals | 3 | 65 |
| Jurickson Profar, ss, Rangers | 3 | 74 |
| Eric Hosmer, 1b, Royals | 3 | 79 |
| Matt Dominguez, 3b, Marlins | 3 | 81 |
| Mike Minor, lhp, Braves | 3 | 82 |
| Brad Lincoln, rhp, Pirates | 3 | 84 |
| Jaime Garcia, lhp, Cardinals | 3 | 85 |
| Ben Revere, of, Twins | 3 | 86 |
| A.J. Pollock, of, Diamondbacks | 3 | 90 |
| Andy Oliver, lhp, Tigers | 3 | 96 |
| Robbie Ross, lhp, Rangers | 3 | 96 |
| Zach Stewart, rhp, Blue Jays | 3 | 98 |
| Alex Torres, rhp, Rays | 3 | 103 |
| Chris Heisey, of, Reds | 3 | 107 |
| Jonathan Lucroy, c, Brewers | 3 | 109 |
| Ryan Kalish, of, Red Sox | 3 | 110 |
| Hector Rondon, rhp, Indians | 3 | 111 |
| Josh Lindblom, rhp, Dodgers | 3 | 120 |
| Brandon Allen, 1b, Diamondbacks | 3 | 123 |
| Nick Weglarz, of, Indians | 3 | 138 |
| Pedro Figueroa, lhp, Athletics | 2 | 70 |
| Logan Forsythe, 3b, Padres | 2 | 74 |
| Hak-Ju Lee, ss, Cubs | 2 | 75 |
| Brandon Snyder, 1b, Orioles | 2 | 82 |
| Jose Iglesias, ss, Red Sox | 2 | 84 |
| Trevor May, rhp, Phillies | 2 | 87 |
| Jake McGee, lhp, Rays | 2 | 91 |
| Tyson Ross, rhp, Athletics | 2 | 92 |
| Fabio Martinez, rhp, Angels | 2 | 95 |
| Trevor Reckling, lhp, Angels | 2 | 99 |
| Jemile Weeks, 2b, Athletics | 2 | 101 |
| Ian Desmond, ss, Nationals | 2 | 105 |
| Reymond Fuentes, of, Red Sox | 2 | 106 |
| Slade Heathcott, of, Yankees | 2 | 108 |
| Junichi Tazawa, rhp, Red Sox | 2 | 109 |
| Brad Holt, rhp, Mets | 2 | 112 |
| Aaron Miller, lhp, Dodgers | 2 | 114 |
| Wilin Rosario, c, Rockies | 2 | 115 |
| Danny Duffy, lhp, Royals | 2 | 116 |
| Brent Morel, 3b, White Sox | 2 | 116 |
| Carlos Triunfel, inf, Mariners | 2 | 117 |
| Chris Carpenter, rhp, Cubs | 2 | 120 |
| Kyle Lobstein, lhp, Rays | 2 | 121 |
| Carlos Gutierrez, rhp, Twins | 2 | 122 |
| Esmil Rogers, rhp, Rockies | 2 | 124 |
| Manny Banuelos, lhp, Yankees | 2 | 128 |
| Cody Scarpetta, rhp, Brewers | 2 | 129 |
| Cory Luebke, lhp, Padres | 2 | 129 |
| Jordan Danks, of, White Sox | 2 | 129 |
| Danny Espinosa, ss, Nationals | 2 | 135 |
| Daniel Schlereth, lhp, Tigers | 2 | 137 |
| Alex Avila, c, Tigers | 2 | 137 |
| Craig Kimbrel, rhp, Braves | 2 | 139 |
| Garrett Richards, rhp, Angels | 2 | 140 |
| Anthony Rizzo, 1b, Red Sox | 2 | 144 |
| J.P. Arencibia, c, Blue Jays | 2 | 145 |
| Christian Bethancourt, c, Braves | 2 | 146 |
| Wilmer Font, rhp, Rangers | 1 | 57 |
| Tim Wheeler, of, Rockies | 1 | 72 |
| Nick Franklin, ss, Mariners | 1 | 85 |
| Edinson Rincon, 3b, Padres | 1 | 87 |
| Everett Williams, of, Padres | 1 | 89 |
| Rex Brothers, lhp, Rockies | 1 | 96 |
| Tommy Joseph, c, Giants | 1 | 99 |
| Sebastian Valle, c, Phillies | 1 | 105 |
| Danny Valencia, 3b, Twins | 1 | 106 |
| Lance Lynn, rhp, Cardinals | 1 | 107 |
| Eric Arnett, rhp, Brewers | 1 | 108 |
| Randall Delgado, rhp, Braves | 1 | 108 |
| Scott Elbert, lhp, Dodgers | 1 | 109 |
| Luke Bailey, c, Rays | 1 | 111 |
| Kasey Kiker, lhp, Rangers | 1 | 112 |
| Garrett Gould, rhp, Dodgers | 1 | 114 |
| Hector Gomez, ss, Rockies | 1 | 118 |
| Tim Melville, rhp, Royals | 1 | 118 |
| Zach McAllister, rhp, Yankees | 1 | 120 |
| David Freese, 3b/1b, Cardinals | 1 | 122 |
| Juan Francisco, 3b, Reds | 1 | 123 |
| Reese Havens, ss Mets | 1 | 124 |
| Wilking Rodriguez, rhp, Rays | 1 | 124 |
| Adrian Cardenas, inf, Athletics | 1 | 125 |
| Trayvon Robinson, of, Dodgers | 1 | 125 |
| Jason Kipnis, 2b/of, Indians | 1 | 127 |
| Wynn Pelzer, rhp, Padres | 1 | 128 |
| Brandon Erbe, rhp, Orioles | 1 | 130 |
| Mitch Moreland, of/1b, Rangers | 1 | 130 |
| Trayce Thompson, of, White Sox | 1 | 130 |
| Jon Niese, lhp, Mets | 1 | 131 |
| Carlos Carrasco, rhp, Indians | 1 | 132 |
| Madison Younginer, rhp, Red Sox | 1 | 135 |
| Nick Barnese, rhp, Rays | 1 | 136 |
| David Cooper, 1b, Blue Jays | 1 | 137 |
| Derrik Gibson, ss/2b, Red Sox | 1 | 138 |
| Eduardo Sanchez, rhp, Cardinals | 1 | 138 |
| Dan Runzler, lhp, Giants | 1 | 142 |
| Sean Doolittle, of, Athletics | 1 | 143 |
| Andrew Lambo, of, Dodgers | 1 | 147 |
| Adrian Salcedo, rhp, Twins | 1 | 148 |
| Jarred Cosart, rhp, Phillies | 1 | 148 |
| Kyle Heckathorn, rhp, Brewers | 1 | 148 |
| Logan Watkins, 2b, Cubs | 1 | 149 |
| Tyson Gillies, of, Phillies | 1 | 149 |
| Jeremy Jeffress, rhp, Brewers | 1 | 150 |
Any changes to free-agent compensation would have to be negotiated with the MLB Players Association, though this wouldn't figure to be a hot-button issue because it shouldn't affect the market for free agents. That said, I've never heard this proposed.
I don't have a problem with large-revenue teams getting compensated for losing free agents. But I do think it's silly that sandwich picks aren't based on the net total of Type A or B free agents gained/lost by a club.
The Red Sox lost their first- and second-round choices for signing Type A free agents John Lackey and Marcos Scutaro, and they picked up a first-rounder (from the Braves) and a second-rounder (from the Mets) for losing Type A free agents Wagner and Bay. That's equitable. However, Boston also gets a supplemental first-round choice for each Type A, so it gains the 36th and 39th overall picks.
A better way to allocate sandwich picks would be to tie them to the net total. A team should gain a choice for each Type A or B it loses—over the number it signs. My plan would eliminate eight of the 18 supplemental first-round picks in the 2010 draft. Below is the order for that round:
| Supplemental First-Round Picks 34. Blue Jays (Marco Scutaro, A, to Red Sox) 38. Blue Jays (for failure to sign 2009 sandwich-rounder James Paxton) 41. Blue Jays (Rod Barajas, B, to Mets) 42. Rays (Gregg Zaun, B, to Brewers) 44. Tigers (Brandon Lyon, B, to Astros) 45. Rangers (Ivan Rodriguez, B, to Nationals) 46. Cardinals (Mark DeRosa, B, to Giants) 47. Rockies (Jason Marquis, B, to Nationals) 49. Rangers (Marlon Byrd, B, to Cubs) 50. Cardinals (Joel Pineiro, B, to Angels) |
The Astros signed Lyon to replace Valverde, so they don't get a supplemental pick. (And before you complain that they lost a Type A and signed a Type B, Houston still gets to keep Detroit's first-rounder, so they're well-compensated.) The Braves, Red Sox (two picks), Angels (two picks), Mariners and Tigers also would lose sandwich picks because they offset their losses by signing Type A or B free agents. The revised sandwich round would look like this (with the Blue Jays' choice for not signing Paxton locked in at No. 38, one pick after the selection Toronto used on him):
| Supplemental First-Round Picks 33. Blue Jays (Marco Scutaro, A, to Red Sox) 34. Blue Jays (Rod Barajas, B, to Mets) 35. Rays (Gregg Zaun, B, to Brewers) 36. Tigers (Brandon Lyon, B, to Astros) 37. Rangers (Ivan Rodriguez, B, to Nationals) 38. Blue Jays (for failure to sign 2009 sandwich-rounder James Paxton) 39. Cardinals (Mark DeRosa, B, to Giants) 40. Rockies (Jason Marquis, B, to Nationals) 41. Rangers (Marlon Byrd, B, to Cubs) 42. Cardinals (Joel Pineiro, B, to Angels) |
That's a lot fairer than the current system. But I've also never heard this proposed, so it probably won't happen either.