Draft Chat With Conor Glassey
Can you believe the draft is less than 50 days away? Thanks for coming out - let's get to some questions!
Joe LeCates (Easton, MD): Conor, thanks for
the chat! Any news on Justin O'Conner this spring? Curious both about
how he is hitting and also, more importantly, the catching experiment.
Hey, Joe! There are still split camps
on O'Conner. I've talked to scouts that really like the bat and think
he's a good enough athlete to make it work behind the plate, and I
talked to another scout this week that prefers him on the mound, where
he said he's been up to 96. My guess is that he'll go out as a
catcher—seems like that's where he's the most valuable—and then he'll
have a couple fallback options if it doesn't work out, either at 3B or
on the mound.
Abe (SF): Who are the college bats that could
fall to the Giants? Any chance to steal Colon, Brentz, Cox or Wilson at
24? And will the Giants take a college bat considering their offensive
Abe, as it stands now, Cox and Colon
will almost certainly be gone, but I think Brentz could be available
there. The Giants will select the best player on their board, they
won't draft a bat just because they've struggled offensively.
Paul (Atlanta, GA): What are the ceilings of
the top 2 college righties, McGuire and Ranaudo? Do either of them
profile as a staff ace in the bigs?
I think McGuire's ceiling tops out as a
solid No. 2. Ranaudo has better frontline stuff, but you also have to
stay healthy to be a true ace.
Bryan (San Francisco): Seems like last year
was a banner year for Northern California as far as the draft goes. Is
this year a down year? Who are the top guys (high school and college)
and where do they project to go? Thanks!
Bryan, last year was a great year for
NorCal talent but, you're right, this year is a bit down. The top high
school guys this year are righthanders A.J. Vanegas, Robby Rowland and
Scott Frazier. For position players, it's guys like outfielder Joc
Pederson and first baseman Eric Jaffe. Stanford has a young team, but
Cal's best guys are righthander Dixon Anderson and outfielder Mark
Canha. Next year will be better for the high school class, highlighted
by a righthanded pitcher named Robert Stephenson from Alhambra High in
Martinez, Calif. that has been sitting 92-93 mph with projection for
Joe LeCates (Easton, MD): Where do you see
Derek Dietrich lining up right now in the draft? Any possibility he
sneaks into the first round given the rather thin college hitting crop?
You're right that it's a thin year for
hitters, but I don't see Dietrich getting into the first round. Maybe
the supplemental, but he's more of a 2nd to 3rd rounder, I think.
JAYPERS (IL): As an Illinoisan, I was both
happy to read Folty's BA scouting report and puzzled not to see him on
your Top 50 list. How close did he come? And will he be a tough sign,
Yep, Folty's definitely making some
Illinoise, as Sufjan Stevens would put it. He's close to the top 50 and
could certainly be in there between now and the beginning of June.
john (houston): What is Mike Ojala's draft status? Heard he has hit 93 numerous times in the past few weeks.
I haven't heard 93. Our college guru,
Aaron Fitt, spoke with Wayne Graham today actually and reports that
Ojala is sitting 87-90, up to 91 and the power curveball is back—the
same hammer he used to have. His command isn't quite back yet, but he's
been better every time out. The curveball is really good—giving him a
chance as a bullpen guy at the next level.
Todd (My mom's basement): Will any one of Nick
Castellanos, Yordy Cabrera, AJ Cole, or Christian Yelich make it to
Miami? Or will all be drafted too high? What about Dale Carey?
I would be against Castellanos,
Cabrera, Cole & Yelich getting to Miami. Carey might because he's
not regarded nearly as highly as those guys and would benefit more from
going to school and polishing up his tools.
Travis (Peoria, AZ): What does the prep landscape look like in AZ? Ive seen a few things written on your site recently about some local kids.
Travis - you haven't seen a lot written
about AZ HS kids because there hasn't been a lot to write about. It's
pretty bare out there this year. The best hitter out there is Taylor
Lindsey and the best pitcher is Jake Cole, but neither cracked our high
school Top 100.
Mike (Houston, TX): Where would Rendon fit on your draft list if he were eligible? What about Jungmann?
Rendon would be 2, Jungmann would probably be 3 or 4
Brett (Auburn, AL): Hunter Morris is hitting
.409/.468/.768 and has stepped up his play in SEC games. He can get a
little long with his swing, and he does have a propensity to strike
out, but he has serious power and is well above-average athletically
for a first basemen. This year he is 100% healthy and in the shape of
his life and it is paying off. I think he can sneak into the first 40
picks. What do you think Conor?
You're mostly right, Brett. Morris is
killing it. He's a good hitter with power and a disciplined approach at
the plate. Scouts really like his work ethic and the fact that he
dropped 25-30 pounds. Calling him an above-average athlete is still
generous though. He could sneak into the top 40—we have him at the
back end of our latest Top 50, so it's not out of the question.
Walt Moore (Tyler, TX): Tyrell Jenkins? I have
not seen any coverage from Baseball America and other sites are saying
he will go in the first 30 picks. Do you guys not view him as an elite
We were, admittedly, too low on Jenkins
coming into the season. He's a freak athlete with a body to dream on.
He's a thin 6-foot-4 with long arms and legs, giving him a huge
wingspan and a lot of whip in his arm. He's still raw at this point,
but that's typical of two-sport players and Jenkins is also a talented
quarterback that is committed to Baylor for football. But Jenkins has
great upside. He has been up to 93 mph with his fastball and shows
flashes of a solid curveball. And, don't worry, we have a feature on
him coming out soon!
Jake Eliopolous (Chippola): Did I make a mistake not signing last year? Any sense of where I'll go this time?
Yeah, you probably did, Jake. Turning
down top-round money is always a gamble, and it hasn't worked out for
Eliopoulos. His stuff has gone backwards a bit at Chipola and he's
really struggling right now. Someone will probably take a chance on him
late, but I can't see him being a single-digit pick.
Jack (North Carolina): Who are the highest rated prep players from North Carolina this year?
Ty Linton (OF - Charlotte Christian),
Connor Narron (SS - Aycock HS) & Matt Roberts (C - Graham HS) are
the players in our Top 100. My sleeper is James Baldwin (OF - Pinecrest
Taylor (Houston): Any word or rumors floating
around about what the Astros might look to do with their top pick? What
are your thoughts about who will be there and who would be a good pick
It's too early for teams to start
locking onto guys, but the Astros will certainly have a lot of good
players to choose from. They have two first-round picks (8 and 19) and
then a supplemental pick (33), which will help them restock one of the
weakest farm systems in the game.
Phil (Cleveland, OH): Where does Alex Lavisky rank on your list? It can't hurt that he is catching Allie all season long.
Phil, Lavisky was No. 56 on our
preseason HS Top 100 and voted as a first-team All-American catcher by
scouting directors. You're right - catching Allie helps him. Not only
does it bring more scouts out, but it also shows those scouts that
Lavisky can handle receiving velocity, something they often have to
project on with high school catchers.
Carl (Altoona): Does Josh Spence have any kind of helium for the draft if he comes back and dominates for ASU?
Even if Spence comes back, it will be
darn-near impossible for him to generate helium. Helium guys are almost
always big fastball guys and Spence is the opposite of that.
Dale (Detroit): Is Cowart a hitter or pitcher for you as a pro? Scouts seem to be split on the issue. Where does he have the most upside?
Yeah, he's another guy that teams are
definitely split on. Obviously two-way guys are always a case-by-case
basis, but my general feeling is that it's better to give a guy a shot
as a position player, because it's a lot easier to put them back on the
mound if that doesn't work out than it is for them to try and go back
to hitting after giving it up for however many years. For Cowart, as a
switch-hitter with power, I would draft him as a position player, but I
can certainly understand why teams would like him on the mound, too.
Joe (Bellflower, CA): Scott Frazier is from Upland HS in Southern California.
You're right, Joe. For some reason I thought Upland was more in Northern California. Thanks for the geography lesson.
Brian (Arizona): Hayden Simpson - where do you see him being drafted? Any chance at the first round?
He's got good stuff, but he's small and profiles more as a relief pitcher. He's probably a 5th-8th round guy.
Tim (Near Target Field - what a view !):
Thoughts on Rosin from the Gophers ? Power arm with extremely good
control . Leading the nation in fewest walks per 9IP. Had a great Cape
season as well.
You're in luck, I just talked to a
scout about Rosin the other day: "I think a lot of people like Seth.
He's a big strong arm, a big-bodied, power-type guy. You've got to love
the fact that he's a strike thrower, but he almost throws too many that
hitters get too comfortable. It could be advisable for him to move
hitters off the plate a little bit, but those are things that can be
learned. There's no question he has arm strength. The secondary stuff
needs to come on, but he's an interesting kid, for sure."
Mike (Kentucky): Who do you think is more valuable . . . Machado having to be pushed to third or Colon sticking at short?
Kind of a weird question because Machado has a better chance to stay there than Colon does, which is why I like Machado better.
Jeff (North Carolina): Who will the O's take or should take at number 3?
Our top 5 right now is: Harper, Taillon, Pomeranz, Whitson, Covey.
Kyle (Oxford): What have you heard about Gauntlett Eldemire's draft stock? Is he looking like a second round guy?
I'm a big Eldemire fan. He's a little
raw at the plate, but has some of the best tools in the draft. He's got
a body like Domonic Brown and can really cover some ground in the
outfield. The 2nd round is probably as high as he could go. Hopefully
the wrist problems that kept him out of last week's action is nothing
Kyle (Oxford): I know you aren't big on
comparisons at BA, but to gauge how good of a prospect he is, how would
you compare Josh Sale to Travis Snider at a similar stage?
Yeah, the Snider comps are easy to make
because Sale has a similar build and is from the same area. But while
they look similar at first glance, Sale has a much more sculpted
build—more tightly wound and muscular than Snider is or ever was. I
think Sale will be a better defender too, and a scout I talked to when
I profiled Sale earlier in the year said Sale has better bat speed than
Thanks for all the great questions,
everybody. I tried to make as big a dent in them as possible, but there
were still a lot of good ones leftover. Don't worry though, we'll do
this several more times between now and June. In the meantime, follow
all of our writers on Twitter: @johnmanuelBA @willingo @aaronfitt
@jimcallisBA @benbadler @joshlev44 @jjcoop36 @eddymk @jimshonerdBA
@BAHighSchool and me, @conorglassey
Updated 4/23: Corrected Robert Stephenson's handedness. He is a righthanded pitcher, not a lefthanded pitcher.