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Draft Notebook

Compiled By John Manuel
May 4, 2005

TOP 10 RIGHTHANDERS

Among the top righthanded pitching prospects for this years draft, the college crop has pretty much held form while there has been a shakeup in the high school ranks.

Californias Sean OSullivan and Michigans Zach Putnam initially were the top-rated high schoolers, but neither has flashed the mid-90s velocity this spring they did a year ago, dropping their stock. Its just a question of how far. OSullivans fastball has been mostly in the mid- to high 80s this spring.

In the absence of OSullivan and Putnam, Floridas Chris Volstad, Tennessees Bryan Morris and Texas Craig Italiano have surged to the forefront among prep righthanders. Italianos 98 mph fastball is the best that scouts have seen this year. Volstad and Morris are right behind him in the mid-90s. Overall, the prep pitching crop is an attractive lot.

Its very deep, an American League scouting director said. There are more complete pitchers this year than the usual toolsvelocity or spin.

The group of premium college arms may yet face a shakeup because the top five righthanders are all being advised by agent Scott Boras, who is known for driving a hard bargain with clubs, to a point where some teams have said they wont draft a Boras client. That could cause a scramble at the top of the draft, which is scheduled for June 7-8.

ALLAN SIMPSON

 

Player, School

Projected Round

1.

Luke Hochevar
Tennessee

High first

2.

Mike Pelfrey
Wichita State

High first

3.

Chris Volstad
Palm Beach Gardens (Fla.) HS

High first

4.

Mark McCormick
Baylor

Mid-first

5.

Craig Hansen
St. John's

Mid-first

6.

Bryan Morris
Tullahoma (Tenn.) HS

Low First

7.

Craig Italiano
Flower Mound (Texas) HS

Low First

8.

Brett Jacobson
Cactus Shadows HS
Carefree, Ariz.

Low First

9.

Sean OSullivan
Valhalla HS
El Cajon, Calif.

Low First

10.

Zach Putnam
Pioneer HS
Ann Arbor, Mich.

Low First

-- ALLAN SIMPSON

Talent, depth from Northern states makes up for down year in usual hotbeds

The general consensus among scouts working the 2005 draft is the talent is at least average, if not above-average for a draft year.

Scouts are basing that assessment as much on depth as on star talent. But the stars arent necessarily coming from the usual places. The consensus is that the nations three hotbed statesCalifornia, Texas and Floridahave average crops at best.

Florida is as bad as Ive seen it at the top, and its not too deep either, an American League scouting director said. Texas and California are just so-so, just OK. Its not an exceptional year in either place.

So if the traditional talent hotbeds arent making this an average or above-average draft, where are the players coming from? One place to look is Virginia, which one scouting director said was better than its ever been. Top prospect Justin Upton, from the fertile Tidewater region, headlines Virginias outstanding crop.

But perhaps the biggest factor in the drafts perceived solid talent base is the caliber of players Northern climes are contributing. The top college hitter (Alex Gordon, Nebraska) and one of the top two college pitchers (Mike Pelfrey, Wichita State) are from the Midwest. Oregon State outfielder Jacoby Ellsbury and Washington righthander Tim Lincecum give scouting directors plenty of reasons to visit the Pacific Northwest. St. Johns righthander Craig Hansen looks like a first-rounder, and his teammate, Anthony Varvaro, is moving up the single-digit rounds.

Varvaro is interesting, hes really throwing well, an American League scout said of the righthander, who had 80 strikeouts and 17 walks in 55 innings while sporting a 6-2, 2.60 record. Hes a slight guy (6 feet, 170 pounds), but hes got a quick arm and everything he throws has life.

High school players also are coming from non-hotbeds, such as Utahs Mark Pawelek, the top prep lefthander in the draft, and Michigan two-way talent Zach Putnam. Righthanders Michael Bowden and Mike Broadway, (Illinois), Jeremy Hellickson (Iowa), Chaz Roe (Kentucky) and Josh Zeid (Connecticut), as well as lefthander David Duncan (Ohio), add to the deep group of projectable high school pitchers.

I think the high school pool is better than what people thought it was going to be in the beginning of the year, a scout with an American League organization said. From Ohio to Illinois, even Indiana and Michigan, I think its going to end up being pretty good. You already knew about the Putnams and Duncans, but its that next group behind them thats going to be better.

Theres not one guy thats suddenly jumped to the top of the list, but every team has a guy theyve latched onto and they think hes going to be a second- or third-round pick. Theres a bigger pool of guys that will go in that three-to-five (round) range than weve seen in the past.

The strength of the North has affected Mike Rizzos travel schedule. Arizonas scouting director has visited new locales to scout players for the No. 1 overall pick.

Players are coming from all over nowadays, Rizzo said while traveling in Virginia. Its a different dynamic. When you pick number one, you need to go to places like Wichita, Lincoln and Great Bridge, Va.

DRAFT DOPE

Duncan, a 6-foot-8, 190-pounder, had his draft status clouded after he was issued a citation for underage alcohol consumption March 28, an event that came out three weeks later in a newspaper report. He was suspended from the New Richmond (Ohio) High team, reinstated three days later, suspended again for the remainder of the season and finally reinstated. The matter was confusing for scouts trying to make travel plans to evaluate Duncan.

The whole thing is real unfortunate, a National League scout said. Ive met with the kid a couple times. He seems like a real good kid with good parents. He relates well with people. Its just a shame.

Scouts in Ohio considered Duncans makeup a plus before the incident. The lefty was having a strong season, showing a fastball that hits 90-91 mph consistently. He also throws a split-finger fastball, changeup and curveball.

North Carolina outfielder Cameron Maybin, ranked second in the high school draft class, commited to Southern. Obviously if Maybin goes pro, we wont have his services, Jaguars coach Roger Cador said. But he has promised that if things dont work out with the draft, then he could very well end up in a SU uniform.

Contributing: Alan Matthews.

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