AFL Top 20 Prospects Chat




Q:  Luke from Des Moines asks:
Hey Chris, thanks for chatting. With Granderson already entrenched in centerfield at Comerica, do you see Cam Maybin shifting over to right, or some other option?
 A: 

Chris Kline: I'm not sure if this is some kind of record or what, but three chats in the span of two weeks? I don't think I've ever been this chatty. It's a beautiful day here in Eastern N.C., so let's get right after it.

Chris Kline: Maybin is capable of playing all three outfield spots, so it's a good problem to have. And he's got the speed to hit up in the order or hit in the middle and drive in runs. All five tools, and he barely qualified for this list because of the lingering shoulder issue. But there's no question he was the top guy.

 Q:  Tom from Atlanta asks:
Hi Chris, thanks for the chat. I'm curious to hear what managers and scouts had to say about Charlie Morton. He finished the year strong in the minors, and continued to pitch well in the AFL. Should he be considered a sleeper?
 A: 

Chris Kline: Let's see. Morton has a solid arsenal with command of four pitches. He can get outs with his slider, but his curveball has really come on as well. There were several sleepers in the league this year, and Morton was one.

 Q:  Kent from Sonoma, CA asks:
Chris, Thank you for the chat. What is your take on what the future holds for the other Giants org. representatives who played in Scottsdale this year (Buriss, Ortmier, Munter, Periera, Schierholz) - any significant major leaguers here?
 A: 

Chris Kline: The one guy that impressed some people in Arizona was Pereira. He's probably a middle reliever, but really needs a consistent weapon to attack lefthanded hitters.

 Q:  Snapper Bean from Kensington asks:
Greg Golson - Jeff Jackson clone or still has upside?
 A: 

Chris Kline: I'm having flashbacks to the Phillies top 10 chat, after which I was referred to as a Ruben Amaro clone. That's fun. Funny story about Jackson: Back in my younger days growing up right next to the friendly confines of what was once Reading Municipal Stadium, I saw Jackson play a lot. Often times, he was in the lineup to play right field but ran out to left. I'll always remember Reading's hitting coach popping out of the dugout yelling, "No, Jeff! RIGHT field!" Needless to say, Jackson was a little aloof. Golson isn't that way. He's one of the most intelligent players in the Phillies system, so if you read the Phillies' chat the other day—and I know you did, Mr. Snapper Bean in Kensington—you know I still believe in the upside.

 Q:  Gregg from Willow Spring, NC asks:
How close was Aubrey to making the list, based on his late season production? Do you think he is still a viable prospect if he can stay healthy, and what kind of numbers could you project for him if he does make it to the majors?
 A: 

Chris Kline: Willow Spring Represent! He was in the mix, as a lot of guys were in this prospect-laden league, but there are still too many questions about his long term health. During instructional league this year, Aubrey couldn't play every day, which was the same story during the tail end of the regular season at Double-A Akron. There is no question the tools are there. That's never been the issue. I think it's still too premature to predict numbers in the big leagues based on the recent track record. But he's got all kinds of power and can shorten his stroke to use the whole field. Very smart player who knows his limitations in terms of his injury history. If Aubrey doesn't wind up making it, it has nothing to do with the size of his heart.

 Q:  JAYPERS from IL asks:
With the acquisition of Jacque Jones, how much time do you see Maybin getting in the minors next year, and do you think he'll get called up again before the postseason? I for one think they made a major faux paus by calling him up WAY too soon (only 6 games played above High A). Predict his 2008 timetable for us, if you could. Thanks, Chris.
 A: 

Chris Kline: Oh, there you are, JAYPERS. Disappointed you were nearly five questions in, slacker. With the tools and the polish, it's hard to say he needs a full season in Triple-A, but I think that's what it comes down to.

 Q:  JAYPERS from IL asks:
Could Longoria conceivably make the team out of ST, or will he be starting in AAA no matter what?
 A: 

Chris Kline: Rock on, JAYPERS. Conceivably, yes. I don't think he's seen as a Bull heading into the spring, and there is little for him left to prove. Still, a half-season in Durham could serve him well.

 Q:  Jean-Paul from Midwest asks:
Who would you say is the best comp for LaPorta? Assuming he learns OF fairly quickly, could he get a call up to Brewtown next year?
 A: 

Chris Kline: Take your pick of any power-hitting 1blf righthanded batters. LaPorta's power is legit, and he worked hard this fall to hit with that kind of juice to all fields. He'll start in Huntsville and go from there. I don't see a callup next year based on his reads, jumps and routes in left in the AFL, but he's worked hard on that also. At least a grade above Billy Butler in left right now at the same stage when Butler was in Arizona.

 Q:  Mitch Einertson's Evil Clone from Dangerfieldville asks:
Wow, I get no respect, I tell ya....I had a great comeback this year in an otherwise sparsely populated Astros' farm system in terms of prospects, and I even followed it up with a great season in the AFL. Mr. Kline, this is an outrage, I tell ya...
 A: 

Chris Kline: OK, let's skip ahead a little bit to the outrage. Nice season in the AFL, but not great. And your clone's outfield play was suspect at best at times. I like Einertson as a hitter more now than when he won the Appy League MVP as a straight pull power hitter a couple years ago, but he wasn't a top 20-caliber player in this league.

 Q:  Mark from Massachusetts asks:
Will we see Adam Miller stretched out during the fall league, or is he likely to stay in the bullpen, where he finished this past season? Will that have any bearing on what the Indians plan to do in '08?
 A: 

Chris Kline: I think Miller comes into 2008 working out of the Tribe's pen in the big leagues. From there, they can move him to the rotation, but right now his velocity's better in short spurts and he has the ability to attack with all his pitches to either side of the plate.

 Q:  Ben from Leland Grove asks:
I realize he's not exactly on the same level as your Top 20 list, but I'd like to give a shoutout to Marc Maddox. Safe to say he's this year's version of Chip Cannon?
 A: 

Moderator: Maddox doesn't strike out that much. And where you really didn't envision Cannon as pure sleeper material last year, you kind of get that feeling with Maddox. He can do a little bit of everything and makes his average tools play up because he's a smart player. I don't think it's fair to compare him to Cannon. They're totally different players.

 Q:  Ben from Leland Grove asks:
No Blackburn on your list? In a hitter friendly league, he's easily the most dominant pitcher and deserves some props. (I'm well aware your list is based mostly on ceiling, but let's give the guy an Honorable Mention at least.)
 A: 

Chris Kline: OK, Honorable Mention goes to Nick Blackburn. As I've said numerous times before, this league was full of back-of-the-rotation starters and middle relievers on the mound, but Blackburn has a chance to be more than that. Still, based on what I saw (which carries some weight, but not much) and the opinion of many scouts (which is what this list is heavily based on), they considered him below the arms listed. In fact, most of the scouts polled for this list were more into Eduardo Morlan, if you want to just talk Twins.

 Q:  J.P. from Springfield asks:
Faster runner - Maybin or Cutch?
 A: 

Chris Kline: I say Maybin, but McCutchen says McCutchen.

 Q:  chris from san francisco asks:
Can Eugenio Velez be an everyday player for the Giants in 2008?
 A: 

Chris Kline: I think so, and scouts seem to think so too. The wrist injury might hurt him get back on track early next year, but it seems like this is a guy who profiles more than just a utility player. He plays a solid second base, making throws on the run across his body with more than enough arm strength and accuracy and is a line-drive gap hitter. The only thing he doesn't have is power.

 Q:  Mike from Raleigh NC asks:
James Simmons—the next Joe Blanton for the A's?
 A: 

Chris Kline: More of a reliever right now. The secondary stuff still has some questions.

 Q:  rookiecardinvestor8 from NJ asks:
How did Antonelli get ranked although he did practically nothing in the AFL? Why does Maybin continue to get ranked so high when Longoria is the better hitter?
 A: 

Chris Kline: Performance is part of it, but Antonelli was the best second baseman out there and is one of the top second base prospects in the game. You have to take into account the full body of work, along with the tools, which is why Brignac is where he is. Maybin continues to be ranked so high because of the skill-level and the fact that he plays in the middle of the diamond . . . with power. You could really go either way, depending on what you like, because they both have game-changing tools. But Maybin can change games with speed and power, which is why he's No. 1.

 Q:  Dave B from Pittsburgh asks:
Will Max Scherzer be a starter or reliever? How good can he be?
 A: 

Chris Kline: Reliever in the AFL, but the Diamondbacks are still committed to him in a starting role. Based on the quality of the stuff and the velocity he showed in short spurts, you really have to like him in the pen long term. But he's much more than a one- or two-pitch guy. He can command three above-average to plus pitches. He likely goes back to Mobile to begin 2008 in the rotation.

 Q:  rookiecardinvestor8 from NJ asks:
Why does Brignac get a better ranking than Schafer who has owned pitchers all year? Why didn't McCutchen show much power in the AFL?
 A: 

Chris Kline: I struggled with Brignac and Schafer on this list, but I think a lot of people can tend to jump ship too early on players at times and it's easy to do that with Brignac right now. I'm sticking with him. That's not to say I don't like Schafer. Everything about him is legit. For me, really, it came down to the premium position and Birgnac's athleticism at short. McCutchen's had problems all year getting extended against righthanders. Still, he just turned 21. He'll figure it out.

 Q:  Dave B from Pittsburgh asks:
Schafer or McCutchen?
 A: 

Chris Kline: Dang. McCutchen, but I really like Schafer's pure strength. I'm just banking on McCutchen figuring it out at the plate.

 Q:  Adam Agata from Ithaca, NY asks:
Ohio State or Michigan?
 A: 

Chris Kline: USC.

 Q:  Tim from Portland asks:
More on Travis Snider please! That's a staggering run of success he had against LHP in the AFL. What's next for young Travis and is he destined for 1BDH?
 A: 

Chris Kline: I don't think first base would be an option. The one thing he did show in RF was arm strength and he did run down a few balls that he probably shouldn't have gotten to based on his routes. Probably DH eventually, but he needs to get better defensively right now. And really, that and getting more ABs against lefties are his only weaknesses.

 Q:  Bill from Tempe, AZ asks:
Chris, thanks for the chat. With many of the high profile prospects either being hurt or moving on to Team USA, some of the better performances came from grinders about whom I knew little coming into the AFL season. Especially notable were undersized second basemen Marc Maddox and Corey Wimberly. What's the big league future for either of those two?
 A: 

Chris Kline: Probably utility, though I think Wimberly has more of a chance to be an everyday player. He's a spark plug.

 Q:  Jake from Seattle asks:
Hey, Kliner, thanks for the chat. Just for fun, let's quibble with Maybin over Longoria even though both are obviously great prospects. Is there a case for Longoria at 1 based on, say, higher probability of reaching his ceiling? Go!
 A: 

Chris Kline: I touched on this earlier, and you really could go either way. I just like the powerspeed combination of Maybin, but there's no doubt Longoria is going to be an impact guy.

 Q:  Jon from Lexington, KY asks:
I'll get it out of the way. Sam Fuld bats .402 and doesn't even sniff the list?
 A: 

Chris Kline: Well, he turns 26 in a few days, so that was against him. But Fuld is a valuable commodity and will find his way to the big leagues in some role. He can play all three OF spots and is just nails at the plate. Nothing fazes that guy. I think the thing that impressed me that I guess I was just missing before was his arm strength. He threw several balls from the warning track in right on the fly to the line at third base. With accuracy.

 Q:  Fred from Madison asks:
How close was Chris Coghlan to making the top 20? How does he project for the majors? Thank you.
 A: 

Chris Kline: Close, Fred. A better defender than Uggla at second who should hit for high average with some power.

 Q:  Mike Marinaro from Tampa, FL asks:
Has any prospect in BA's history been on more top prospects lists in their career than the Indians' Adam Miller?
 A: 

Chris Kline: Great question! I'll call the research department, but right now, we're all hoping for him to stay healthy and graduate.

 Q:  Nate from Dallas,Tx asks:
How does Matt Harrison not make your list? In facing 60 hitters in the AFL, he gave up 3 singles and 6 walks while striking out 13 batters. He was ranked 90th in baseball america's top 100 last year. Was the list just that good?
 A: 

Chris Kline: Another good question, and I'm expecting we'll deal with Andrus shortly. As for Harrison, a lot of scouts were lukewarm on him. Personally, I think he's underrated. One scout I talked to called him Jeff Francis. Everything is hard and down. It doesn't matter how much his velocity fluctuates because he's constantly at the bottom of the strike zone. He barely missed this list. I don't know if I'd say the list was that good, but it was solid. And nearly all the scouts I talked to when putting this list together had the arms on the back end above Harrison.

 Q:  Robert Goldberg from Lyndhurst, NJ asks:
I noticed that there's no mention of 2 outfielders, both of whom were well thought of in the 2005 Draft - Trevor Crowe & Nolan Reimold. Did either of them get any consideration for the top 20?
 A: 

Chris Kline: Guys were considerably down on Crowe this year, and it's tough to see what he'll be in the big leagues. He's not going to play center field, at least in Cleveland, he doesn't hit for power and he had an inconsistent 2007 season. As far as Reimold, I'm still a believer. He's still got some holes and his swing can get long, but the power is real. Both got consideration based on the body of work, but missed out in the end.

 Q:  Alex from Dallas asks:
Why did Matt Harrison or Elvis Andrus not make the cut? I can see Andrus due to not playing enough games, but if he did how high would he have ranked?
 A: 

Chris Kline: Andrus qualified, but again, based on the number of scouts polled for this list, they had him below the 20. Managers loved him, and he hit in the AFL, but there are long term questions about the bat.

 Q:  Ken from TX asks:
Any idea how Elvis Andrus was left off the top 20 at the expense of Junior Mayberry? This kid is tearing up the AFL at 19 while 23 yo Mayberry continues to struggle just to make contact.
 A: 

Chris Kline: Again, and bringing up Mayberry is good because there are obviously questions about his bat as well, but he's a polished defender who runs well with the ability to hit for power. Even though he's 23 and he might not ever hit for high average, you can't give up yet. I love Andrus' defense and his leadership skills, everything about him defensively is easy.

 Q:  Travis from Work .. Argh! asks:
With Dexter Fowler still trying to get his Stroke back, and it looks like it might be coming around, do you think he will start the year in AA, or is a Trip back to Modesto in Store? And with Taveras in the Rockies Control for a couple more years, do you think 2010 is more realistic timetable for Fowler?
 A: 

Chris Kline: The wrist has a lot to do with his struggles, but if he's 100 percent healthy he goes to Tulsa. I think he's at least two years away, yes.

 Q:  Navin from Pasadena, CA asks:
In his limited time with Mesa, how did Steve Clevenger look defensively as a catcher? How likely is it that he can stick as a catcher in terms of defense?
 A: 

Chris Kline: Good receiver, but needs to block balls better and his throwing mechanics need work. I know it's a small sample size, but he went 0-for-5 trying to gun down runners. He's young and needs to get better, but the athleticism is there.

 Q:  James from North East, MD asks:
Your thoughts on Nolan Reimold and Bob McCrory? Can they contribute at the major league level for the Orioles this year?
 A: 

Chris Kline: McCrory, yes. With as much time as Reimold lost last year, he's still at least a half season to a full year away.

 Q:  Lance from Cartersville, GA asks:
Can you give me your assessment of Will Startup? He pitched very well this Fall it seems. Will he be an option for the Pads in '08?
 A: 

Chris Kline: He's really interesting, especially to watch. If you haven't seen him, he has this dramatically violent leg kick in his delivery that oddly creates a lot of . . . ummmm . . . let's call it non-traditional deception. Left-left guy that could probably help in the bullpen now.

 Q:  Emmanuel from Nebraska asks:
By putting Joe Savery so low on this list, are you saying that you don't think he'll be able to make a big jump next year when he's able to focus on pitching exclusively and regain arm strength?
 A: 

Chris Kline: I'm not sure about the big jump. According to several sources with the Phillies, they have him ticketed to start 2008 at low Class A Lakewood and move from there. His stuff wasn't very impressive in his debut, and I think that assessment had a lot to do with putting him at Lakewood. But after his AFL season, they might change their minds and start him higher. But yes, he is a guy who should move quickly.

 Q:  Russell from McKinney, TX asks:
Was Chris Davis in consideration for the top 20 prospects? What about Elvis Andrus?
 A: 

Chris Kline: Davis didn't have enough ABs to qualify. For Andrus, see above.

 Q:  Russ from NY asks:
What future does Sean Thompson have?
 A: 

Chris Kline: You know, for a guy who was DFAed twice I think, there is some upside as a lefty pen guy. Nothing to blow you away, but he kept the ball down early in the AFL season before some fatigue set in and started getting hit around some.

 Q:  James from North East, MD asks:
What should the Oriole fans expect from Hayden Penn this year? I would hate to see him get thrown in a trade as an afterthought. Our luck, we will turn out to be the next John Maine.
 A: 

Chris Kline: I wouldn't set my expectations too high. Penn's secondary pitches weren't very good and for lack of a better way to explain it, he just kind of looked lost. The strikeouts were impressive and that's something to build on, but he falls out of his delivery pretty easy and a change of scenery might be for the best.

 Q:  Merkado from White Plains, NY asks:
The biggest surprise to me this fall was the emergence of Juan Miranda, especially given the questions about his age. Have the Yankees and scouts around the league changed their view on him? Will we see him at Yankee stadium in 2008? Estimated ETA at 1B? He really can't be worse than Giambi, given his departure.
 A: 

Chris Kline: It's funny, because in talking to a lot of international scouting directors over the course of the year, they all wanted to talk about Miranda and mentioned him taking over for Giambi. I think there's a pretty good chance you see him in the Bronx at some point in 2008. His swing can get long, but when he stays compact, he can drive fastballs or breaking balls all over the zone.

 Q:  David Stevens from Medicine Hat asks:
Was David Pucey for real in the AFL or just a good run of outings
 A: 

Chris Kline: He was very good, but it's hard to buy into it. Let's see him do it consistently in Double-A as a Fisher Cat again.

 Q:  Kirk from MN asks:
Which Twin's AFL player should contribute the most to the Twins in '08? Swarzak might be the best, but he's still probably a year away, correct?
 A: 

Chris Kline: Probably Blackburn in terms of contributing now. With all the time Swarzak missed this year, he's still a little ways away.

 Q:  Tommy from New York asks:
First, thanks for all the great chats, Chris. My question is, did you find the defense in the AFL to be lacking this year? I went out for a week or so and thought that the defense was absolutely horrendous all around the diamond. Is that a product of the infield's being so fast, the players being tired from a long season, or something else?
 A: 

Chris Kline: I think what you mentioned is part of it, but it also comes down to fundamentals. And yes, some of the defensive play was abysmal. Talk to any infield coordinator around the game and they'll tell you the same thing . . . there's so much focus on the offensive side of the game, that guys often get a pass on their defense. It's become the nature of the beast. Ryan Braun is the best current example of that. I mean, it is a developmental league after all, but you'd expect the level of play defensively in a league like this to be not on par with watching the GCL, you know?

 Q:  emilfaber from faber college asks:
Hi Chris, thanks for taking my questions. I'd appreciate your thoughts on Reid Brignac's 2007 season, both AA and AFL — an aberration or more indicative of his true abilities? Has his prospect status dimmed since this time last year?
 A: 

Chris Kline: He might have gone from being elite prospect status to solid prospect status in a lot of people's minds, and that's fair. I'm just trying harder to not automatically jump off the bandwagon on players. If I miss somebody or am wrong about someone, that's fine. Everybody does. I just want to stay true to what I believe. So I'm still on the Brignac train.

 Q:  Tim from Portland, OR asks:
Kliner, thanks for the chat. After a solid season in the MWL and a real eye-opening line against LHP in the AFL, Travis Snider is now being called the next Jay Bruce. Is that fair? How good can this guy be and what is his timetable?
 A: 

Chris Kline: Bruce is athletic enough to play center field and he runs a lot better, so while I can see it with the bat, I don't see it in the fielding and run tools. Like I said to a lot of guys when I got back from the AFL, if there was one player I completely fell in love with that I hadn't seen in person, it was Snider. Outstanding patience in his at-bats, plus strength and bat speed . . . I could really talk about him all day, but then my housecleaning would get neglected.

 Q:  Paul Spain from Toronto, Canada asks:
Hi Chris, It's always enlightening to hear what the people from BA have to say...especially for those of us that play in deep fantasy leagues! When do you see Maybin having a serious impact at the major league level and what type of numbers do you project in his prime? Thanks again for the chat!
 A: 

Chris Kline: Thanks for the kind words. Tell your friends. Well, the ones that aren't in the same leagues as you. I think Maybin makes a serious impact in 2009.

 Q:  Doug from My Computer asks:
The Reds never send their top prospects to the winterfall leagues, but of the guys they sent to the AFL, who was the best of the group?
 A: 

Chris Kline: Dickerson obviously needs to still cut down on his strikeouts, but he was more interesting than I expected. The guy I liked most was Craig Tatum behind the plate. Total sleeper.

 Q:  Apollo from Toronto asks:
How much power does Longoria project to have 25-30 or 30 plus....enquiring minds want to know!
 A: 

Chris Kline: 25-30 is totally fair.

 Q:  pete from LA asks:
can you rank the these AFL SS prospects, Hu, Pennington, and Lowrie? are either traded this offseason?
 A: 

Chris Kline: Andrus above all the others. Lowrie didn't have a great AFL, but was learning multiple positions and I think if one guy could get dealt of those you mentioned, it's Hu.

 Q:  Paul from Arlington VA asks:
What kind of ceiling does Jake Arrieta have?
 A: 

Chris Kline: Everyone I talked to says No. 4 or 5, but he really has a chance to be a No. 3 if the secondary pitches come along.

 Q:  EricEric from Austin asks:
WHAT ABOUT ANDRUS! Don't you know the Rangers have the best farm system ever?
 A: 

Chris Kline: Arguably the most improved system with what they were able to do via trades, the draft and the way they work Latin America every year. I made several trips up to Surprise while I was in AZ to see their instructs camp. Watching that was enough to make at least two-thirds of all clubs envious. They're definitely on the rise.

 Q:  phil from Arizona asks:
Rafters or Desert Dogs?
 A: 

Chris Kline: Love Surprise, but have to go with the Dogs, dude. This could be three in a row, and they play in Phoenix Muni, which resembles what a stadium would look like if there was one in Planet of the Apes (the 1968 Charlton Heston version). I always feel like I'm about to run into Dr. Zaius whenever I'm at the Muni.

 Q:  Dan from Hartford, CT asks:
Chris, which AFL relievers have the best chance to help their major league team in 2008? Bob McCrory? Kris Medlen?
 A: 

Chris Kline: Well, Medlen is actually in Hawaii, so . . . both guys you mentioned have a chance to help their respective big league clubs in 2008.

 Q:  Mark from Massachusetts asks:
Thanks Chris!
 A: 

Chris Kline: Thank you! And thanks for all the great questions, and there were a ton of them. Sorry I couldn't get to all of them, seriously. You guys are the greatest. Please check back in as we move onward in our organizational top 10s next week with a Hawaii Winter Baseball top 20 chat on the slate for Tuesday. So even though I wished everyone a happy Thanksgiving already, I'll hang on until Tuesday to do that. Later, CK