By Bill Ballew
December 10, 2012
Baseball America's Top 10 Prospects lists are based on projections of a player's long-term worth after discussions with scouting and player-development personnel. All players who haven't exceeded the major league rookie standards of 130 at-bats or 50 innings pitched (without regard to service time) are eligible.
Bill Ballew: Hey everyone...let's see what Braves questions you have today.
Harry (NJ): How do Tommy LaStella's tools look to evalators? Top 30 guy to you?
Bill Ballew: La Stella's a nice all-around player who
is a fringy big league prospect. None of his tools really stand out, but
the overall package adds up nicely. For long-term Braves fans, he might
remind you a little of a guy like Mike Mordecai, although he's not a
versatile with the glove. He's a gamer who will get every bit out of his
ability.
Brady (ATL): Just curious why Nick Ahmed didnt make the list this year? Thx Bill.
Bill Ballew: Ahmed was really, really close and
honestly was on and off the list as we went through the process of
ranking the organization. Based on what I learned, his stock increased
substantially this season. I believe he will emerge as a big leaguer, at
least as a utility guy.
Ike (Philly): While Teheran is still a virtual lock to make BA's top 100, do you believe Graham and Gilmartin are worthy as well?
Bill Ballew: I definitely see Graham making it. He has
made major progress since signing and is continuing to get better.
Gilmartin's ceiling is not as great as Graham's at this point, but he
could find a spot in the lower part of the top 100.
Bill Ballew: I definitely see Graham making it. He has
made major progress since signing and is continuing to get better.
Gilmartin's ceiling is not as great as Graham's at this point, but he
could find a spot in the lower part of the top 100.
Jerry (Texas): I know he was injured this year, but is Matt Lipka still considered a prospect or has he fallen off the map? Thanks!
Bill Ballew: He may have slipped a little bit but he's
still on the Braves' radar. He made a solid move to center field before
suffering the injury at midseason. His progress has been choppy to this
point in his career, particularly at the plate, but the tools are still
there. His makeup is off the charts and I believe he has the ability to
be a well above-average center fielder. That said, the 2013 season will
be an important one for Lipka to make some serious progress on the
field.
Patrick (Sandpoint, Idaho): Okay I'll
ask.....is this system SO good that Cody Martin couldn't crack the Top
10 or is Cody just not as talented as his numbers indicated? He was
exceptional in 2012.....what is his outlook and what kind of ceiling
does he have?
Bill Ballew: Martin was very good in 2012, but numbers
do not tell the entire story in the minor leagues. He's definitely among
the Braves' top 30 prospects, but there are several things that he
needs to improve upon in order to crack the top 10. He has a great
one-two punch with his fastball and slider, and the Braves believe he
could help at higher levels in a variety of capacities. He's heading in
the right direction, and his not being in the top 10 is not a slight on
the progress he has made.
Tom (San Francisco, CA): Gattis moves around adequately enough in left to be deemed plausible out there?
Bill Ballew: Gattis is a good athlete for his size. He
may not be a Gold Glove winner out there, but he will get to most balls
that he should catch and his arm would be well above-average. Still,
putting him in left field would primarily be a way to get his bat in the
lineup. It will be a work in progress, but I believe it's a viable
option.
Ben (Leland Grove): With Bethancourt the heir
apparant to McCann and their outfield taken care of, where does this
leave Evan Gattis once he gets the call? Strictly a utility guy, or
trade bait?
Bill Ballew: This is much like the last question.
Gattis could be a solid third-string catcher. Major league teams used to
carry three catchers before pitching staffs grew to 12 and sometimes 13
players. If he wasn't starting in left, he could play first base,
catch, DH in interleague games or provide power off the pines. His
versatility will earn Gattis a long look in spring training.
Steve (Sarasota): Thank you for the chat and
for the list. I was surprised that Edward Salcedo was not included in
Atlanta's top ten. According to BA's stats he hit 17 homeruns and stole
23 bases at HiA and is only 21 years old. Is there a problem I am
missing?
Bill Ballew: No problem on the chat. Salcedo's power
numbers were good, but his other numbers were not impressive. More
importantly, he had difficulty making adjustments and making consistent
contact at the plate, resulting in high strikeout totals. The other big
concern is his defense. Having made the move from shortstop to third
base in 2011, Salcedo continued to struggle with the glove and
especially with his throws at Lynchburg. I'm surprised the Braves
haven't tried him at an outfield corner yet. Atlanta still has
expectations for him, but Salcedo has made only marginal progress in a
variety of weak areas.
Roger (Greenville, SC): If Teheran's breaking ball doesn't develop further, would he be better suited to the pen?
Bill Ballew: That could be the case with Teheran. He
kept his pitches up in the strike zone for much of 2012, but some of
that centered on some mechanical changes he was making. He pitched much
better in three of his final four starts but he still needs more
consistently with the breaking ball. His changeup and fastball are solid
pitches, but you're right to suggest he needs that third average
offering to pitch consistently in the big leagues.
Tom (Atlanta): I'm curious whether you feel the
pace at which Bethancourt is being pushed through the system will
ultimately hurt or help him? To avoid being relegated to a
defense-first backup catcher, it would seem that he'd really benefit
offensively from repeating a level.
Bill Ballew: The Braves have tried not to push him but
his offense has definitely lagged behind his defense. When motivated,
his defense is outstanding, and his catch-and-throw skills compare
favorably to any other receiver in the minor leagues. Scouts believe he
has some raw power, but that has been evident only occasionally to this
point in his career. Bethancourt doesn't need to be a .300 hitter but he
must be able to handle the bat reasonably well in order to succeed in
the big leagues.
Joe (Syracuse, ny): Is Carlos Perez back on track after moving to the pen?
Bill Ballew: Possibly. He finally showed some progress
after returning to Danville again last season. He's still very young and
his arm has a lot of electricity in it. He's too young and too talented
for the Braves to give up on him. They're really hoping that a
permanent shift to the bullpen is what it takes to reignite his status
as a prospect.
Jim (Atlanta, GA): Bill,
How close was Aaron Northcraft from making the top 10? I've read a ton
of good things about him and was a little surprised he didn't make it.
Bill Ballew: Northcraft made the top 30 after putting
together a solid season at Lynchburg. He also was rewarded with a spot
on the 40-man roster, which represents a major milestone in his career. A
lot of his progress came this past season after Hillcats pitching coach
Derek Botelho suggested that Northcraft move from the right side to the
left side of the rubber. Northcraft has a nice repertoire of pitches
who records outs quickly and really challenges hitters. I believe he
made as much progress as any pitcher in the organization this year and
I'm excited about watching him this coming year at Mississippi.
Andrew (NJ): Gattis: better or worse LF than Klesko?
Bill Ballew: Better. Klesko was a decent athlete but
Gattis has more athleticism. Klesko also tended to take his at-bats to
the field with him, which is something I haven't seen Gattis do to this
point. The fire is burning brightly in the pit of Gattis' stomach, which
I believe will lead to good things in the near future.
Karl of Delaware (Georgetown, Delaware): Doubleheader:
1) comment on Juan Jaime and his super heater.
2) what can you tell us about power guy William Beckwith?
Bill Ballew: Two underrated guys. Jaime really bounced
back with some impressive arm strength last year at Lynchburg after
missing two seasons due to Tommy John surgery. The Braves' pro scouts
did a great job of picking him off the waiver wire from Arizona and I
believe he has a real shot at helping Atlanta in the near future. The
ball really jumps out of his hand and he is not afraid to throw inside,
traits that will go a long way in helping him at higher levels. Beckwith
has above-average power and makes consistent contact. He had a little
bit of an attitude problem early in the year at Rome but seemed to turn
that around as the 2012 season progressed. There are a few holes in
Beckwith's swing that need to be closed up. If he can do that, he has a
chance to make an impact in the organization with his raw power.
Dave (Atlanta): I'm a Braves fan and have been a
BA subscriber since 2000. To me, this system is as bad as it's been
since then, from a depth and impact standpoint. Agree/disagree?
Bill Ballew: Every organization has ups and downs, and
right now the Braves do not have a plethora of big impact prospects,
especially among position players. That said, they have developed and
delivered Jason Heyward, Freddie Freeman, Andrelton Simmons and Tyler
Pastornicky to the big leagues over the past three years. I believe
there is some solid pitching depth at the lower levels in addition to a
few guys near the top, but again this is not the same depth we saw in
the 1990s and 2000s. Remember, the Braves rarely see picks before the
first 20-plus are off the board in the first round, which makes loading
the farm system that much more difficult.
Dave (Minnesota): Bill, Is Todd Cunningham a prospect for LF/Leadoff Hitter and what kind of prospect is he?
Thanks
Bill Ballew: He could be with an impressive spring, but
I believe Cunningham still has some work to get done in the minor
leagues. He made tremendous progress this past season at Mississippi and
has developed into an above-average defensive center fielder. He makes
steady contact but is not a true leadoff guy or a hitter who will
produce solid power numbers. I believe he needs to refine his small-ball
skills in order to become a true candidate to be a leadoff man in the
big leagues.
Tim (Atlanta): I feel like Kyle Kubitza has the tools to be successful but just hasn't pulled it all together. What's your take?
Bill Ballew: I believe you're right on target with
Kubitza. He struck out way too much at Rome but he has the ability at
the plate and in the field to be a solid prospect at higher levels. His
first full season was an adjustment, and I believe there's a good chance
he will make bigger gains this year at Lynchburg.
CJ (Charlotte): No prospect ranking ever lists
Ernesto Mejia anywhere. He has tremendous power from the right side.
Could he help the Braves as a pinch hitter next season or does he simply
strike out way too much to ever be of help to the MLB club.
Bill Ballew: He does strike out a lot, but there's no
denying that Mejia has been very productive from a power standpoint over
the past couple of years. The Braves added him to the 40-man roster,
but with his power potential, you would think he would at least get a
long look at some point instead of being labeled a 4-A guy. He'll
finally get a chance this spring, but with Freddie Freeman holding down
first base, I don't know how much Mejia will be given a shot as a bat
off the bench.
CJ (Charlotte): There seems to be a lot of
disagreement among scouts and fans alike about Christian Bethancourt.
John Sickels ranked him as the 17th best prospect, you guys have him at
#3, and Talking Chop (Braves site) has him at #7. Why such a disparity?
We all know he has outstanding defense but he has never been able to
hit at the minor league level. Can he be fixed?
Bill Ballew: I believe it centers on his offensive
potential. As I mentioned earlier, his average has been lukewarm and his
power has been nonexistent. His body language also does not create a
lot of rave reviews from some scouts. Remember, he's still young and
still maturing, and some catchers hit better at higher levels because
the pitchers are around the plate more consistently. We'll see if that's
the case with Bethancourt, who needs to improve offensively in order to
be a legitimate number one receiver in the big leagues.
Tom (San Francisco, CA): Has Joe Leonard stalled?
Bill Ballew: Leonard had a pretty good season last year
but in some ways he has seemed to stall. His power has been decent but
it has not blossomed the way the Braves envisioned when they drafted him
out of Pittsburgh. I like his action at third and I believe he has more
ability than other guys in the organization who get more attention. At
the same time, Leonard is a little bit older and needs to have a true
breakout season in order to be considered a top prospect.
James Arnott (Cole Harbour, Nova Scotia, Canada):
If Lucas Simms dominates in the first half next year do the Braves skip
Hi A and promote him to AA or is he too young to consider such a move?
Bill Ballew: No, I don't seem Sims moving that fast
this year. The Braves limited his innings this past year at Danville
after experiencing a decent workload in high school and they will most
likely do the same thing in his first full professional season. I see
Sims spending most of the season at Rome, with the possibility of a
late-season promotion to Lynchburg, provided his innings and pitch
counts are not high. Getting a full-seaosn foundation of success under
his belt is the most important thing for his development at this point
in his career.
Eric (CT): Hi Bill. How does the Braves
organization look as a whole comapred to other teams? I know they have
graduated a lot of top prospects recently, but they do still seem to
have enough talent to rank in the middle of the pack, #15-#18 range?
Thoughts? Thanks!
Bill Ballew: I'm not sure where BA would rank them
right now, but I believe you're correct to suggest it might be in the
15-20 range among the 30 major league organizations. The talent is a
little down, but the depth has been increased over the past two years in
both the draft and on the international market.
Dan (Idaho Falls): Curious where Luis Merejo falls within the top 30. Quick synopsis? Thanks.
Bill Ballew: Merejo fits close to the middle of the top
30 and has a chance to move up even more in the near future. He has
excellent command and mixes three advanced pitches very well for a young
pitcher. The Braves love his feel for pitching and the way he gets
ahead in the count. He skipped the Dominican ranks last year by making
his pro debut in the Gulf Coast League. Throw in his plus makeup, and
Merejo has a chance to be a breakout prospect in 2013, where he will
likely see Rome at some point.
Nils (Stamford): Could Mauricio Cabrera take
the next step this year to get to Teheran's level in terms of prospect
status? Do they have similar ceilings?
Bill Ballew: It's possible. Teheran, of course, has
been considered one of the top righthanders in the minor leagues and
some observers feel he will live up to those lofty rankings. Cabrera,
meanwhile, is not to that point but he's headed in the right direction.
Let's see how he does on the full-season ranks before putting that type
of pressure on him. Yet considering what he has shown to this point in
his career, Cabrera's development is something that should excite all
Braves fans.
Tom (Atlanta): Thanks for the chat Bill. I'm curious who would be your sleeper to make the top 10 list a year from now?
Bill Ballew: I've kind of given it away, but I would
say Luis Merejo definitely fits that description. Juan Jaime is another
guy who could move into the top 10. A true sleeper would be Nathan
Hyatt, a reliever out of Appalachian State who excited a lot of people
in the organization in his first taste of pro ball.
Bill Ballew: Thanks for all the questions once again.
I'm always impressed with how much depth BA readers have in their
knowledge of the lower ranks of the minor leagues. Have a great holiday
season and thanks again for your interest!