2013 Tampa Bay Rays Top 10 Prospects Wiith Scouting Reports





Baseball America's Top 10 Prospects lists are based on projections of a player's long-term worth after discussions with scouting and player-development personnel. All players who haven't exceeded the major league rookie standards of 130 at-bats or 50 innings pitched (without regard to service time) are eligible.

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Tampa Bay Rays

The Rays fell three games short of making their fourth playoff appearance in five years in 2012, but they continued to serve as the template for small-revenue team success.

Tampa Bay won 90 games despite baseball's sixth-lowest Opening Day payroll ($64.2 million) and a string of injuries. Perennial MVP candidate Evan Longoria and incumbent closer Kyle Farnsworth each missed half the season, and Jeff Niemann made just eight starts. The Rays had as many as 10 players on the disabled list at one time.

The offense wasn't a juggernaut to begin with and sputtered to an 11th-place finish in the American League in scoring (4.30 runs per game) with Longoria sidelined for so long. But the Rays are used to doing more with less, and they compensated with pitching and defense.

Tampa Bay led the American League in ERA (3.19) and opponent average (.229) and set an AL record for strikeouts (1,383). David Price topped the league with 20 wins and a 2.56 ERA, while Fernando Rodney took over as closer and converted 48 of 50 save opportunities while establishing a major league relief record with a 0.60 ERA.

Though the Rays continued to rank near the bottom of the major leagues in payroll, their Opening Day figure did represent a 56 percent increase from 2011. The club's efforts still have not been reciprocated by the fan base, however. Tampa Bay ranked last in the majors in attendance at 1.6 million—an average of 19,255 per game—which commissioner Bud Selig called inexcusable.

Tropicana Field is outdated, but no progress is being made toward a new stadium, and political sparring between the cities of St. Petersburg (site of the current stadium) and Tampa hasn't helped matters. As a result, the Rays are unlikely to keep boosting their payroll. Price is projected to set a record for second-year arbitration players with a salary approaching $10 million, and the departure of free agent B.J. Upton is all but assured.

Tampa Bay's financial limitations mean that it will have to continue growing its own talent, but it now faces a lull in farm system production. The Rays are the only club that hasn't graduated a single pick from the last five drafts to the majors.

After grabbing Price with the No. 1 overall pick and stealing Matt Moore in the eighth round of the 2007 draft, Tampa Bay chose infielder Tim Beckham over Buster Posey with the top overall selection in 2008. Beckham has hit just .264/.330/.379 in five minor league seasons and served a 50-game drug suspension in 2012. The Rays undermined their 2009 draft by failing to sign their top two choices, LeVon Washington and Kenny Diekroeger.

Tampa Bay's more recent drafts show some promise, especially a 2011 crop that included a record 12 picks in the first two rounds. But with most of their best prospects currently in the lower levels of the minors, the Rays are unlikely to get much help for their big league club in the next couple of seasons.

They hope that their increased emphasis on the international front eventually will pick up some of the slack. Tampa Bay mined Venezuela heavily in 2012, signing lefthander Jose Castillo and righthander Jose Mujica for seven-figure bonuses and adding catcher David Rodriguez.

1. Chris Archer, rhp Born: Sep 26, 1988 B-T: R-R Ht.: 6-3 Wt.: 200
Drafted: Clayton (N.C.) HS, 2006 (5th round).  Signed by: Bob Mayer
Chris ArcherBackground: After signing with the Indians for $161,000 as a fifth-round pick in 2006, Archer struggled in his first three pro seasons and never advanced beyond low Class A. He began to blossom after the Cubs acquired him in a trade for veteran infielder Mark DeRosa in 2008, ranking as Chicago's top prospect and being named the organization's minor league pitcher of the year following the 2010 season before going to the Rays in an eight-player deal for Matt Garza in January 2011. Inconsistent in his first year in the Tampa Bay system, Archer led Rays farmhands and the Triple-A International League in strikeouts (139) and strikeouts per nine innings (9.8) in 2012. He also made his major league debut in June when Jeremy Hellickson went on the disabled list. Archer struck out seven and allowed just one earned run in six innings while taking a loss against Stephen Strasburg and the Nationals in his first outing. An oblique injury caused Archer to miss two weeks in July after he returned to the minors, but he bounced back afterward to post a 1.79 ERA with a 41-12 strikeout-to-walk ration in his final nine starts with the Bulls. During a September callup, he fanned 11 and yielded just two runs on four hits in seven innings against the Rangers and beat the Red Sox for his first big league win.

Scouting Report: Archer throws two well above-average pitches with his quick arm and easy delivery. His fastball sits at 92-96 mph, has been clocked as high as 98 and features good run and sink. His success in the second half of the season coincided with his willingness to pitch aggressively off his fastball, which allowed him to get ahead in the count more often. In turn, that helped him do a better job of setting up his slider, his most consistent and best all-around pitch. His slider operates in the mid-90s with hard, cutting tilt and impressive depth. He has improved his changeup over the past two seasons, but it's average at best and he just uses it as a show-me pitch to keep hitters off balance. Control problems have plagued Archer throughout his career, as he has averaged 5.1 walks per nine innings in the minors. His mechanics are fine, which leaves most observers to believe his command issues result from his inconsistent focus and mental approach. When he got on his second-half roll at Durham, he walked just 12 in 45 innings, but then he issued 11 free passes in 18 September frames with the Rays. A good athlete, Archer also was used as a pinch-runner in the majors. He moves well off the mound but is prone to making errors and must do a better job of controlling the running game.

The Future: His inability to throw consistent strikes leads some scouts to suggest that Archer could wind up in the bullpen, perhaps even as a closer. But the progress he made after the all-star break showed that he has the ability to be a No. 2 or 3 starter, particularly if he can trust his changeup more against major league hitters. He's a good bet to earn a spot on Tampa Bay's 25-man roster in 2013, though his role as a rookie may depend on whether the club decides to deal a veteran starter or two in the offseason to free up a spot in the rotation.

Year Team W L ERA G GS SV IP H R ER HR BB SO AVG
'06 Indians (R) 0 3 7.45 7 6 0 19 17 22 16 1 17 21 .227
'06 Burlington (R) 0 0 10.80 1 0 0 2 2 2 2 1 1 1 .286
'07 Indians (R) 1 7 5.64 12 11 0 53 56 36 33 4 21 48 .262
'07 Lake County (LoA) 0 0 9.00 1 0 0 4 5 4 4 0 3 5 .294
'08 Lake County (LoA) 4 8 4.29 27 27 0 115 92 64 55 8 84 106 .210
'09 Peoria (LoA) 6 4 2.81 27 26 0 109 78 41 34 0 66 119 .193
'10 Daytona (HiA) 7 1 2.86 15 14 0 72 54 27 23 4 26 82 .199
'10 Tennessee (AA) 8 2 1.80 13 13 0 70 48 19 14 2 39 67 .186
'11 Montgomery (AA) 8 7 4.42 25 25 0 134 136 76 66 11 80 118 .252
'11 Durham (AAA) 1 0 0.69 2 2 0 13 11 1 1 0 6 12 .220
'12 Durham (AAA) 7 9 3.66 25 25 0 128 99 54 52 6 62 139 .205
'12 Tampa Bay (MAJ) 1 3 4.60 6 4 0 29 23 17 15 3 13 36 .207
Major League Totals 1 3 4.66 6 4 0 29 23 23 15 3 13 36 .209
Minor League Totals 42 41 3.76 155 149 0 719 598 598 300 37 405 718 .217

2. Taylor Guerrieri, rhp Born: Dec 1, 1992 B-T: R-R Ht.: 6-3 Wt.: 195
Drafted: Spring Valley HS, Columbia, S.C., 2011 (1st round).  Signed by: Brad Matthews
Taylor GuerrieriBackground: Though he had one of the most electric arms in the 2011 draft, Guerrieri lasted 24 picks because of questions about his maturity. The Rays believed those concerns were exaggerated and were thrilled to land him for $1.6 million. He rewarded them with an impressive pro debut in 2012, ranking as the top prospect in the short-season New York-Penn League.

Scouting Report: Clocked as high as 98 mph in high school, Guerrieri pitched at 90-95 with his fastball in his first pro summer. His two-seamer has hard, late sink and armside run, and he does an excellent job of spotting it on both sides of the plate and down in the strike zone. His sharp 77-81 mph curveball has good depth and is a swing-and-miss offering at times. His changeup has a chance to give him a third plus pitch as he incorporates it more into his repertoire. Guerrieri has a solid delivery and ideal pitcher's body, and he walked just five batters in his 12 starts. He displays a strong competitive drive and there were no issues with his makeup in 2012.

The Future: A potential frontline starter, Guerrieri should open 2013 at low Class A Bowling Green. The Rays usually develop their high school pitchers slowly, but he could force their hand if he repeats his New-York Penn League performance when he opens next year in a full-season league.

 
Year Team W L ERA G GS SV IP H R ER HR BB SO AVG
'12 Hudson Valley (SS) 1 2 1.04 12 12 0 52 35 7 6 0 5 45 .183
Minor League Totals 1 2 1.04 12 12 0 52 35 35 6 0 5 45 .183

3. Hak-Ju Lee, ss Born: Nov 4, 1990 B-T: L-R Ht.: 6-2 Wt.: 170
Signed: South Korea 08. Signed by: Steve Wilson (Cubs)
Hak-Ju LeeBackground: Two of the Rays' three best prospects are products of the Matt Garza trade with the Cubs in January 2011. Signed by Chicago for $725,000 out of South Korea, Lee hit well in the lower minors but has leveled off in Double-A the last two years, batting .249/.325/.351 at Montgomery. He did post a 21-game hitting streak and a 46-game on-base streak this season before an oblique injury sidelined him in mid-August.

Scouting Report: Lee's calling card is his defensive acumen. He has quick-twitch actions, plus speed and a sixth sense about where to position himself. His hands are soft and he bolsters his above-average arm strength with good accuracy and a quick release. At the plate, Lee tends to slap at pitches and uses the opposite field more often than not. While his power is modest, he can drive the ball to the gaps. He needs to do a better job of working counts and getting on base so he can take advantage of his plus speed. He knows how to steal bases and swiped 37 in 46 tries in 2012, an improvement on his 33-for-49 total from the 2011 season.

The Future: The Rays continue to see Lee as their long-term answer at shortstop, but they want him to improve his strength and make a few more adjustments at the plate and improve his strength. He should spend most of 2013 in Triple-A.

 
Year Team AB R H 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS AVG OBP SLG
'09 Boise (SS) 264 56 87 14 2 2 33 31 50 25 8 .330 .399 .420
'10 Peoria (LoA) 485 85 137 22 4 1 40 49 86 32 7 .282 .354 .351
'11 Charlotte (HiA) 400 82 127 16 11 4 23 42 72 28 14 .318 .389 .443
'11 Montgomery (AA) 100 16 19 1 4 1 7 11 22 5 2 .190 .272 .310
'12 Montgomery (AA) 475 68 124 15 10 4 37 51 102 37 9 .261 .336 .360
Minor League Totals 1724 307 494 68 31 12 140 184 332 127 40 .287 .359 .383

4. Alex Colome, rhp Born: Dec 31, 1988 B-T: R-R Ht.: 6-2 Wt.: 185
Signed: Dominican Republic '07 Signed by: Eddy Toledo
Alex ColomeBackground: Colome pitched well in 2012 but had a hard time staying on the mound. He missed a month and a half when he hurt his left oblique while fielding a bunt in his second start, and his season came to a premature end with a lat strain in mid-August. His uncle Jesus pitched 10 seasons in the majors, including six with the Rays.

Scouting Report: Colome has a special arm that generates impressive velocity and good movement. His fastball sits at 93-95 mph with excellent sink and some armside run. He also throws two breaking balls, a sharp curveball with tight spin and an upper-80s slider that's less consistent. He has added fade to his changeup, but he lacks the confidence to throw it when behind in the count. Colome made the transition from a thrower to a pitcher in 2012 after trying to strike out every batter earlier in his career. He struggled at the beginning of his starts early in the campaign before he improved his pitch selection and command.

The Future: If his feel for pitching continues to get better, Colome has what it takes to be a solid mid-rotation starter in the big leagues. At worst, he should be a late-inning reliever. He'll open 2013 in the Durham rotation, with a big league promotion a strong possibility later in the season.

 
Year Team W L ERA G GS SV IP H R ER HR BB SO AVG
'07 Devil Rays (R) 1 6 2.97 14 11 0 39 30 18 13 1 31 50 .203
'08 Princeton (R) 0 5 6.80 12 11 0 46 50 45 35 5 26 52 .265
'09 Hudson Valley (SS) 7 4 1.66 15 15 0 76 46 22 14 0 32 94 .168
'10 Bowling Green (LoA) 6 6 3.95 22 22 0 114 98 59 50 14 45 118 .223
'10 Charlotte (HiA) 0 0 2.25 1 1 0 4 5 1 1 0 0 8 .294
'11 Charlotte (HiA) 9 5 3.66 19 19 0 106 78 45 43 8 44 92 .197
'11 Montgomery (AA) 3 4 4.15 9 9 0 52 41 25 24 5 28 31 .208
'12 Montgomery (AA) 8 3 3.48 14 14 0 75 69 30 29 2 34 75 .235
'12 Durham (AAA) 0 1 3.24 3 3 0 17 12 6 6 1 9 15 .194
Minor League Totals 34 34 3.66 109 105 0 529 429 429 215 36 249 535 .213

5. Richie Shaffer, 3b Born: Mar 15, 1991 B-T: R-R Ht.: 6-3 Wt.: 210
Drafted: Clemson, 2012 (1st round).  Signed by: Brian Hickman
Richie ShafferBackground: The Rays considered Shaffer the best all-around hitter in the 2012 draft, so they were surprised when he fell to them with the 25th overall pick. He signed for $1.71 million and had no problem handling pro pitching. He hit a game-deciding three-run homer in the second game of the New York-Penn League finals, helping Hudson Valley to its first league title in 12 years.

Scouting Report: Shaffer is the most polished hitter and biggest impact bat in the system. He employs a patient approach with good discipline, uses his hands well and has power to all fields. His swing generates leverage and impressive bat speed that creates loud contact. He'll chase out of the strike zone at times but has the ability to recognize pitches. Just the second third baseman ever drafted in the first round by the Rays, he's blocked by the first, Evan Longoria. Capable of playing first base and right field, Shaffer will remain at the hot corner for now. He has solid athleticism and ability to make throws from a variety of angles. He possesses average speed, plus arm strength and good instincts. He's a hard worker who loves to play.

The Future: Given his tools and savvy, Shaffer could move quickly. He could start his first full professional season at high Class A Charlotte and crack Tampa Bay's lineup at some point in 2014.

 
Year Team AB R H 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS AVG OBP SLG
'12 Hudson Valley (SS) 117 25 36 5 2 4 26 16 31 0 0 .308 .406 .487
Minor League Totals 117 25 36 5 2 4 26 16 31 0 0 .308 .406 .487

6. Enny Romero, lhp Born: Jan 24, 1991 B-T: L-L Ht.: 6-3 Wt.: 165
Signed: Dominican Republic '08 Signed by: Eddy Toledo
Enny RomeroBackground: In three years in the United States, Romero has led the Rookie-level Appalachian League with a 1.95 ERA (2010), the low Class A Midwest League with 11.1 strikeouts per nine innings (2011) and the high Class A Florida State League with a .201 opponent average (2012). He pitched in the Futures Game last July before falling into a second-half slump, posting a 5.09 ERA and 39 walks in his final 53 innings.

Scouting Report: Romero can dominate with his plus fastball when he's in rhythm and pounding the strike zone. He was unhittable at times in the FSL, but struggled at others because of self-inflicted mistakes. His 92-97 mph fastball has great movement and armside run. He throws a hard curveball in the low 80s but battles to command it from his three-quarters release point. His changeup is a work in progress but shows promise when he maintains his arm slot. Romero's greatest need is to repeat his delivery with more consistency so he can throw more strikes. The Rays believe he'll continue to improve as his projectable frame develops and adds strength.

The Future: Romero could move quickly if he harnesses his command and control. His ability to do so will determine whether he becomes a No. 3 starter or late-inning reliever. He'll make the jump to Double-A in 2013.

 
Year Team W L ERA G GS SV IP H R ER HR BB SO AVG
'08 Rays (R) 1 0 2.76 10 0 0 16 11 9 5 0 8 20 .183
'09 Rays (R) 2 4 4.81 11 4 0 39 38 25 21 2 21 33 .244
'10 Princeton (R) 4 1 1.95 13 13 0 69 51 15 15 2 14 72 .197
'10 Hudson Valley (SS) 1 0 1.80 1 1 0 5 1 1 1 0 5 4 .063
'11 Bowling Green (LoA) 5 5 4.26 26 26 0 114 104 67 54 9 68 140 .233
'12 Charlotte (HiA) 5 7 3.93 25 23 0 126 89 67 55 5 76 107 .191
Minor League Totals 18 17 3.68 86 67 0 369 294 294 151 18 192 376 .210

7. Blake Snell, lhp Born: Dec 4, 1992 B-T: L-L Ht.: 6-4 Wt.: 180
Drafted: Shorewood HS, Shoreline, Wash., 2011 (1st round supplemental).  Signed by: Paul Kirsch
Blake SnellBackground: The Rays' sixth pick (52nd overall) in the 2011 draft, Snell has surged past all the players they took ahead of him except for Taylor Guerrieri. He has compiled a 2.44 ERA while being kept on tight pitch counts in two years of pro ball. He would have led the Appalachian League with a 2.09 ERA in 2012 if he hadn't fallen seven innings short of qualifying because Tampa Bay shut him down with fatigue in mid-August.

Scouting Report: Snell's fastball sits in the low 90s and touches 94 mph with good sinking action that results in lot of groundouts. His low-80s slider is tough on lefthanders when he throws it for strikes. His curveball and changeup lag behind his other two pitches and require plenty of work, but his biggest need is to add strength to his lanky frame in order to handle the wear and tear of a full season. Snell still is learning that strikeouts aren't everything, and that he can reduce his pitch counts if he's more efficient. Though he's slow to the plate, he gave up just one steal in four attempts over 11 starts in 2012.

The Future: Scouts like Snell's arm and projectable body, and they see a potential No. 3 starter on the verge of a breakthrough. The Rays will be conservative with his development, so his next stop could be Hudson Valley.

 
Year Team W L ERA G GS SV IP H R ER HR BB SO AVG
'11 Rays (R) 1 2 3.08 11 8 0 26 30 9 9 0 11 26 .275
'12 Princeton (R) 5 1 2.09 11 11 0 47 34 12 11 4 17 53 .193
Minor League Totals 6 3 2.47 22 19 0 73 64 64 20 4 28 79 .226

8. Tim Beckham, ss/2b Born: Jan 27, 1990 B-T: R-R Ht.: 6-0 Wt.: 190
Drafted: Griffin (Ga.) HS, 2008 (1st round).  Signed by: Milt Hill
Tim BeckhamBackground: As the first overall selection in the 2008 draft, Beckham always will be compared to Buster Posey, who went four picks later to the Giants. Since signing for $6.15 million, Beckham has made a rocky ascent through the minor leagues. He has hit just .256/.314/.389 in Triple-A during the last two seasons and was suspended for 50 games in 2012 after testing positive a second time for a drug of abuse.

Scouting Report: While he hasn't developed as quickly as hoped, Beckham continues to maintain plus bat speed that generates raw power to all fields. His lack of consistency at the plate comes from his below-average pitch recognition and refusal at times to shorten his swing in order to make contact. The Rays are encouraged by adjustments he has made, including lowering his hands and reducing his pre-swing movement. Questions have centered on Beckham's ability to remain at shortstop since he signed, and he saw action at second base for the first time in 2012. He has a plus arm, but his average speed and decent range and hands are better suited for second than shortstop.

The Future: A favorite of Tampa Bay manager Joe Maddon, Beckham is knocking on the door to the big leagues. His ticket appears to be developing into an offensive-minded second baseman, though the Rays have a greater need at shortstop.

 
Year Team AB R H 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS AVG OBP SLG
'08 Princeton (R) 177 30 43 12 0 2 14 13 43 5 1 .243 .297 .345
'08 Hudson Valley (SS) 6 5 2 1 0 0 0 2 1 1 0 .333 .556 .500
'09 Bowling Green (LoA) 491 58 135 33 4 5 63 34 116 13 10 .275 .328 .389
'10 Charlotte (HiA) 465 68 119 23 5 5 57 62 119 22 14 .256 .346 .359
'11 Montgomery (AA) 418 82 115 25 2 7 57 39 91 15 4 .275 .339 .395
'11 Durham (AAA) 106 12 27 3 2 5 13 3 29 2 1 .255 .282 .462
'12 Durham (AAA) 285 40 73 10 1 6 28 29 71 6 0 .256 .325 .361
Minor League Totals 1948 295 514 107 14 30 232 182 470 64 30 .264 .330 .379

9. Derek Dietrich, ss/2b Born: Jul 18, 1989 B-T: L-R Ht.: 6-1 Wt.: 200
Drafted: Georgia Tech, 2010 (2nd round).  Signed by: Milt Hill
Derek DietrichBackground: A third-round pick of the Astros in 2007, Dietrich opted to attend Georgia Tech and went a round higher in the 2010 draft. He has homered 36 times in his two full pro seasons, reaching Double-A in the process. He played shortstop until reaching Montgomery, where he moved to second base in deference to Hak-Ju Lee.

Scouting Report: One of the better power hitters in the system, Dietrich could be a poor man's Jeff Kent. Dietrich's quick hands and natural strength allow him to drive the ball. While his plate discipline has improved, he struggles at times trying to do too much at the plate, leading to an uppercut stroke. It was only a matter of time before he moved off shortstop, because he lacks the actions and range for the position. His hands are relatively soft and he has plenty of arm strength to turn double plays. He's a below-average runner.

The Future: With second base somewhat of a revolving door with Tampa Bay, Dietrich could be a long-term answer at the keystone sack—especially if Tim Beckham doesn't get his bat going. Where the Rays send Beckham to start 2013 may determine whether Dietrich opens in Triple-A Durham or Double-A Montgomery. A big league promotion could be possible late in the year.

 
Year Team AB R H 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS AVG OBP SLG
'10 Hudson Valley (SS) 179 33 50 12 2 3 20 11 42 2 2 .279 .340 .419
'11 Bowling Green (LoA) 480 73 133 34 4 22 81 38 128 5 7 .277 .346 .502
'12 Charlotte (HiA) 372 49 105 21 9 10 58 25 78 4 2 .282 .343 .468
'12 Montgomery (AA) 133 22 36 7 1 4 17 7 36 0 1 .271 .324 .429
Minor League Totals 1164 177 324 74 16 39 176 81 284 11 12 .278 .342 .470

10. Drew Vettleson, of Born: Jul 19, 1991 B-T: L-R Ht.: 6-1 Wt.: 185
Drafted: Central Kitsap HS, Silverdale, Wash., 2010 (1st round supplemental).  Signed by: Paul Kirsch
Drew VettlesonBackground: Vettleson first captured attention as a switch-pitcher when he was in high school, but he went 42nd overall in the 2010 draft because of his hitting ability. The best prospect on a loaded Bowling Green roster in 2012, he set a franchise record with 139 hits and ranked second in the low Class A Midwest League with 218 total bases.

Scouting Report: Though he's still rough around the edges, Vettleson has all the tools to be a solid right fielder. He has a short swing and is capable of driving the ball to all fields. He does a good job of getting around on premium fastballs and makes consistent contact, even when he's behind in the count. He should have solid power once his body fills out. He sells out for home runs at times, adding length to his swing. Vettleson has average speed and good instincts on the basepaths and in the outfield. He's working on refining his basestealing jumps and defensive routes. Managers rated his arm as the best among Midwest League outfielders, and he finished second in the league with 20 assists.

The Future: If Vettleson makes the necessary adjustments, he could have solid tools across the board. He's expected to spend the majority of 2013 in high Class A, and he's probably three years away from reaching Tampa Bay.

 
Year Team AB R H 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS AVG OBP SLG
'11 Princeton (R) 234 33 66 13 4 7 40 27 53 20 6 .282 .357 .462
'12 Bowling Green (LoA) 505 80 139 24 5 15 69 51 117 20 11 .275 .340 .432
Minor League Totals 739 113 205 37 9 22 109 78 170 40 17 .277 .345 .441