By Tom Haudricourt
January 10, 2011
Baseball America's Top 10 Prospects lists are based on projections of a player's long-term worth after discussions with scouting and player-development personnel. All players who haven't exceeded the major league rookie standards of 130 at-bats or 50 innings pitched (without regard to service time) are eligible. Ages are as of April 1, 2011.
Moderator: Tom Haudricourt will answer your Brewers questions beginning at 2 p.m. ET.
JAYPERS (IL): Had he been healthy and signed, where would Dylan Covey have ranked on your list?
Tom Haudricourt: Hi,folks. Let's get started with our
Brewers' chat for today.
Had Dylan Covey signed with the Brewers, considering what happened with
their top prospects being traded this winter, he might have debuted at
No. 1.
Steaky (Mass): What's your assessment of Hunter Morris, and how close to your top 10 list did he rank?
Tom Haudricourt: The Brewers think Morris' bat will
take him through the system quickly. They even gave him some playing
time at third base in the Arizona Fall League. I don't have the list I
submitted originally to BA, so I'm not sure where Morris will rank. I
believe he was 10-20, somewhere in there.
JAYPERS (IL): Could you sum up Eric Arnett's problems for us? And did he fall out of your top 30 altogether this year?
Tom Haudricourt: Who knows what happened with that guy.
His velocity and stuff diminished greatly from before the draft, which
shouldn't happen with a pitcher coming out of college. His confidence
eventually was shot from taking so many beatings. The Brewers think
fatigue set in from pitching so much without a break, so they completely
shut him down this winter.
Grant (NYC): What are scouts saying about Matt Miller?
Tom Haudricourt: The scouts like Miller a lot. He had
fallen back a bit in college but was the workhorse of the Helena team
that won the Pioneer League title. He didn't miss by much from making
the Top 10.
JAYPERS (IL): If Rogers and Scarpetta are potential #3 starters, what would you project Peralta as?
Tom Haudricourt: Probably about the same. Rogers might
be a No. 2 if he harnesses his control a bit more. Some folks think
Peralta could morph into a reliever but the Brewers think his repertoire
is good enough to start. He is learning to pitch more to contact and
not try to strike out everybody, which means he is evolving as a
pitcher.
Tex (Houston, TX): Khris Davis - prospect or suspect?
Tom Haudricourt: The Brewers' love Davis' bat. They
just aren't sure exactly where to play him to keep moving him through
the system. They've had that problem with players before and eventually
figured it out. Davis was given consideration for my Top 30 list but
didn't quite make it.
Dara (Chicago): Is Caleb Gindl still a prospect? If so, where did he rank? thanks Tom
Tom Haudricourt: Gindl just missed making the Top 10.
The Brewers are trying him out in center to see if he can handle the
work there. He'll probably never be more than average there, if that,
but the Brewers think his bat will get him to the majors somewhere. He
was one of the youngest players in the Southern League last season and
struggled at times but held his own, then fared OK in the Arizona Fall
League before wearing down a bit.
Brent (NY): Is Angel Salome still residing on your top 30? How are his defensive skills these days?
Tom Haudricourt: I'm not sure Salome is even in the
system anymore. I haven't heard anybody talk about him. The guy played
his way out of a shot at the majors by bugging out on the Brewers as a
catcher last year. He requested to move to the outfield, where he was
just another guy. A pretty good example of professional suicide, in the
opinion of many.
Travis (Seattle, WA): Tom, Thanks for answering
my question. How far outside the top 10 was Tyler Roberts? What can
we expect from him down the line? Thank You!
Tom Haudricourt: You know what, folks? My laptop melted
down over the weekend and I had to get a replacement, and my original
Top 30 list disappeared along the way. So, I don't know the exact
rankings beyond the Top 10. I do know Roberts is in there and I want to
say in the 20-30 group. I do know that scouts said he made a huge leap
in the Arizona Rookie League last year and he is considered a legitimate
big-league prospect now. And a lot of it was self-taught before he was
drafted.
JAYPERS (IL): Do you think any of these Top 10 deserves to rank on BA's Top 100 overall prospects list? If so, which ones?
Tom Haudricourt: I'm guessing none of them will make
the Top 100 but I could be wrong. Maybe Rogers will because of the way
his stuff came back last year after two years of shoulder problems.
Jasen (FLL): What are the odds that Rogers can stick as a SP in the majors?
Tom Haudricourt: A lot better than they used to be.
Getting his feet wet last September helped. A lot will depend on how his
control looks this year. It was a bit shaky last year. He also needs to
continue to build up his arm after being "babied" a bit with pitch
counts last year. I'm guessing he'll start the year in the rotation at
Class AAA Nashville with hopes of being ready should the need arise
during the season.
Hank (Milwaukee): Thanks for the chat Tom. What
can you tell me about the ceiling of RHP Joel Pierce. Seems like he was
one of the few high-upside picks the Brewers managed to sign in this
year's draft.
Tom Haudricourt: The Brewers would disagree with that
assessment that he was one of the few high-upside picks they signed. For
instance, they think Puerto Rican shortstop Yadiel Rivera, taken two
picks after Pierce, has high upside. As for Pierce, those Canadian prep
pitchers haven't pitched enough to get a good read on them, at least for
me. Let's wait until he gets on the mound this year and see what he
looks like, then I'll be better able to answer that question.
Jasen (FLL): Excluding Rogers, who has the highest ceiling in the system and why?
Tom Haudricourt: That's a tough question. Because Cody
Scarpetta is still developing as a pitcher, and is such a big,
workhorse-type of kid, he could be somebody to watch. He'll pitch most
of next season at 22.
Jim (Indiana): The Brew Crew washed away a
great deal of their system acquiring Greinke, Betancourt and Marcum,
which seems like a potential playoff making difference. Are any of what
they gave up, primarily Lawrie, Odorizzi and Jeffress, viewed as
potential All Stars? I'm guessing solid players but not stars, correct?
Tom Haudricourt: In my opinion, Odorizzi was the most
special player traded away because he has such good "pitchability" at
such an early age. He could be a top-of-the rotation starter if he
continues to develop. Lawrie's probably going to hit. Just not sure
where he'll eventually land in the field. I'm guessing it won't be at
second base but I could be wrong.
James (Rome,WI): Tom- Taylor Green ever going to amount to anything other than being good at getting hurt?
Tom Haudricourt: I really liked Taylor a couple of
years ago (and still do as a person) but injuries have taken a toll for a
player with "fringy" talent to begin with. He just hasn't been able to
stay healthy and continue progressing. I don't have him in my Top 30
this year, which tells you something. He needs to make a move in 2011.
Karl of Delaware (Georgetown, Delaware): Caleb Gindall or Lee Haydel? Who do you pick for your team?
Salome or Lecroy?
Tom Haudricourt: I guess you didn't hear that Salome is
no longer a catcher, by his own choice. As for Haydel and Gindl, too
bad you can't combine Haydel's defense with Gindl's offense. Then you'd
have a heck of a center fielder.
Karl of Delaware (Georgetown, Delaware): We know Grienke makes the Brewers.
Of the guys traded for Zach (Ordorizzi, Cain, Escobar, and Jeffries) who makes the 2011 Kansas City roster?
Tom Haudricourt: Well, Escobar will be KC's starting
shortstop. And I'm guessing Cain has a real good chance to be their
center fielder. He was in a prime position for the Brewers at that
position and I know the Royals insisted that he be included in the
trade. Jeffress might earn a bullpen spot but Odorizzi played last year
in low Class A so you won't see him for awhile.
Jim (Indiana): Please correct me if I'm wrong
but I'm not aware of any solid, "big league regular" catching prospects
in the Brewers' system. Given the number of top catching prospects in
the Yankees system, is a trade a possibility? I'm dreaming but would
Braun bring Gardner and Montero?
Tom Haudricourt: As noted earlier, Tyler Roberts has
the potential to be a good big-league catcher. And the Brewers think
Jonathan Lucroy, who was force-fed to the majors last year after Gregg
Zaun was injured, will hold his own. Keep an eye on Cameron Garfield,
too, but he has to smooth out some rough edges first.
William (Salt Lake City, UT): Is the Brewers farm system now a bottom of the barrel farm system or middle of the road ?
Tom Haudricourt: Well, I know BA is ranking them as
bottom of the barrel. I don't know what other farm systems have. Most of
the Brewers' talent is low in the system now, so let's see how many
make moves this year and whether there's more there than people think.
Joe (Wisconsin): Do you feel Rogers can sustain
enough to be a starter, or could we be looking at a power closer at
some point?? I am not sold on Axford, so the Brew Crew might need a
back up plan...
Tom Haudricourt: How could you have watched Axford
pitch last year and not like him? All he had to do was replace the
all-time saves leader and prove he should have the job, which he did.
I've heard no talk of making Rogers a closer.
Marcus (Sheboygan): This has to be one of the
worst top-10's in BA history, right?
I mean, when your #1 prspect is a 25-year old reliever...well, that's
just sad! What has happened to this organization?!? No future impact
players at all?!?!
U-G-L-Y! Is there any hope here for Brewers fans???
Tom Haudricourt: Mark Rogers is not a reliever. Look,
the Brewers traded Lawrie, who was going to be No. 1, then Odorizzi, who
was going to replace him at No. 1, as well as Jeffress, who was going
to be No. 3. Mat Gamel no longer qualifies because he lost rookie
status, and last year's No. 1, Escobar, is gone. So, when you lose that
many top-of-the-line guys, the Top 10 is going to take a hit. The
Brewers thought it was more important to try to win in 2011 after two
disappointing seasons. Judging from the impact in ticket sales, it seems
like their fans agree.
Mike (Minnesota): What's the good word on Max Walla?
I know he's struggled thus far, but does he have any future with the Brewers in the coming years?
Tom Haudricourt: Walla has been pretty bad thus far. He
hasn't shown any of the power that wowed people in pre-draft workouts.
Considering he was the pick the Brewers' got from the Yankees for losing
CC Sabathia as a free agent (2nd round in '09), he better get going.
James (Rome,WI): Tom-Where is Hunter Morris
going to end up? I know he played 1B at Auburn, some LF at WI, and then
played a little 3B in the AFL. Isn't his bat good enough to advance fast
through the system?
Tom Haudricourt: The Brewers plan to keep looking at
Morris at different positions though he played 1B at Auburn. They do
like his bat a lot and think that will keep him moving up.
Grace (Ohio): Does Kentrail Davis end up having
the bat to compare favorably to Brian Giles or does he come up short
and end up as a Caleb Gindl type?
Tom Haudricourt: Hard to say right now. He had
hamstring problems in the humidity at Brevard County and was dropped to
cooler temps at Wisconsin, where he batted .335 in 64 games with a .939
OPS. There's a lot of talent there but he and Gindl are similar-type
players at this point. Davis is just getting his career started, though.
Shawn Nelson (Chippewa Falls,Wi.): Hi Tom,I was a little surprised not to see Gindl or Schafer in the top ten. What are their ceilings? Thanks.
Tom Haudricourt: Schafer missed almost the entire 2010
season or he might have been in the Top 10. He needs to stay healthy and
re-establish himself but the Brewers think he could play defense in the
majors right now. Gindl is more of an offensive player, which might
limit him to a backup role in the majors. If Schafer stays healthy this
year, he could be the Brewers' center fielder soon.
Kade Nelson (Chippewa Falls,Wi.): What do you think of Erik Komatsu and Cam Garfield? Also,any chance Arnett turns it around? Thanks.
Tom Haudricourt: Komatsu is a guy to watch because
after an injury-plagued 2009, he played very well last season. The
Brewers think he's going to be an on-base type guy and therefore a
future leadoff hitter. Garfield has to continue to catch, get experience
and prove he'll hit enough to be more than a projected backup. As for
Arnett, let's just say that 2011 is a mighty big year for him.
Shane (Miami): Tom - My condolences on having
to put together this list; however, I am one that believes the Brewers
used their system properly in making their deals for Greinke and Marcum,
if they feel they can contend. What are your thoughts about Gennett
sticking at second?
Tom Haudricourt: Second base is definitely the position
for Gennett in the future because he comes up a bit short defensively
at shortstop. He's one of those gritty kids who does what it takes to
win. Gotta like anybody named "Scooter," right?
Dave (Atlanta): Any hope for former bonus baby Rolando Pascual?
Tom Haudricourt: No longer in the system, to the best of my knowledge.
Dave (Atlanta): Will Mark DiFelice be healthy for spring training?
Tom Haudricourt: Supposedly, yes. The question is how
much losing a year will do to his stuff as an older pitcher. He already
defied the odds to get to the majors, so I wouldn't put anything past
him.
Dave (Atlanta): Is Alex Periard still a prospect? Do the Brewers see him as a starter or reliever?
Tom Haudricourt: Periard's stock has plummeted since
shoulder injuries derailed him in 2009. He is still seen as a starter
but he didn't make my Top 30 this year, if that helps answer your
question.
Michael (Milwaukee): Is the Brewers plan for
rebuilding the worst farm system in baseball, to trade away Greinke and
Marcum next year, and possibly Weeks and Fielder; if the master "win
now" plan does not work?
Tom Haudricourt: Why would the Brewers trade top
prospects for Greinke and Marcum with plans to trade them next year? The
big-league club would have to implode considerably for that to happen.
Both guys are under control through 2012. Weeks and Fielder are free
agents after this season, however. The Brewers hope to extend Weeks'
contract before spring training. Doesn't look promising with Fielder.
Should the Brewers fall out of the playoff race by July, his name would
come up prominently on the trade market. They don't expect that to
happen, however.
Marty (Philly): Tom,
Whats the word on Mike Ramlow (LHP). The year before and after TJ, he
has proven to be a pretty useful lefty? Any thoughts on why he is
overlooked?
Tom Haudricourt: I just don't hear his name come up
much. One thing that was weird about him last season at Class A Brevard
is that lefties batted .344 against him and righties batted .194. That's
strange. He did have a good strikeout rate (9.71 per 9 innings),
however. Never count out left-handed relievers.
Josh (Miami): Will Brendan Katin ever get his
shot at the next level? He misses 6 weeks and still has 26 HR, 75+ RBI
and batted over .285. For a guy who they say never walks, he had a .382
OBP. Thoughts?
Tom Haudricourt: If Katin hasn't gotten his chance by
now, it's hard to imagine what it would take to get one. When you're not
invited to big-league camp, that's not a good sign.
Jesse (Green Bay): If Mat Gamel were eligible
would he have been #1? Does this guy finally get a chance to stick at
the big league level this year?
Tom Haudricourt: Gamel might have been No. 1 if
eligible. People tend to forget his prospect status because he's no
longer rookie-eligible and therefore off the "prospect" list.
Bryce (Calgary): Did Joel Pierce receive consideration for the top 30?
Tom Haudricourt: Not really. Until a guy pitches, it's hard to know what you've got. Let's see what he looks like in 2011.
Perry S (Santa Fe, NM): Does Rafael Neda
project as the Brewers catcher of the future? Does he have the bat to
make a position change possible down the road?
Tom Haudricourt: Neda didn't play enough (13 games in
rookie ball) in 2010 for me to get any solid scouting report on him.
I'll be better able to answer that question after 2011.
Petey Pablo (Carrboro NC): Where will Del Howell begin 2011 and did he make the top 30? Thanks!
Tom Haudricourt: I dropped Howell out of my Top 30 this
time because he just didn't throw the ball well at low Class A
Wisconsin. He'll probably go back to that squad to start 2011 but that
could change with a big spring. He just needs to get better command of
his pitches.
Pony (Chicago): What is going on with Matt Gamel? He seems like he has the talent to hit why won't they give him a chance? Thanks.
Tom Haudricourt: There just hasn't been a spot for
Gamel, who also has been derailed by injuries the past two years. He
played primarily at third base but the Brewers are set there with Casey
McGehee. He has gotten work as a corner outfielder but the Brewers have
all-stars Ryan Brauna and Corey Hart there. Should Prince Fielder leave
via free agency as expected after 2011, Gamel could land at first base
down the line. There just hasn't been an opening for him yet.
Well, folks, I'm going to have to move on to other things. Hope you
enjoyed the chat today. Thanks for your interest and participation.