Los Angeles Dodgers: Chat
By John Perrotto
December 4, 2009
Baseball America's Top 10 Prospects lists are based on projections of a player's long-term worth after discussions with scouting and player-development personnel. All players who haven't exceeded the major league rookie standards of 130 at-bats or 50 innings pitched (without regard to service time) are eligible. Ages are as of April 1, 2009.
John Perrotto: Hi everybody. Let's talk some Dodgers' prospects.
JAYPERS (IL): Where did Brian Cavazos-Galvez land overall on your Top 30 list, and what's your assessment of his game thus far?
John Perrotto: He made the top 30 but I hate to ruin
the surprise for when the book comes out. He certain has power and
speed but it's hard to know exactly what his big season in the Pioneer
League meant since he was facing younger competition. He is certianly
an intriguing guy, though.
Ben (Leland Grove): Where would Santana and Bell have ranked had they remained in LA's system?
John Perrotto: In my mind, Santana would have been No. 1 and Bell certainly would have been in the top 10, maybe the top five.
Harry (LA): Where did Russell land? Is he another Cody Johnson in the making, or can he cut back on his K's?
John Perrotto: The alarming lack of Ks is exactly the recent Russell missed the top 10. He was close but not quite top 10 material.
David Bowen (Brushton, New York): The Dodgers
used to be known for utilizing the international players for their farm
system. Who are their top international minor league players?
John Perrotto: Well, there defintely has been a little
bit of a lull as far as producing Latin players but they do have some
interesting guys coming. One in particular that I think has a chance to
be good is Pedro Baez, a third baseman in A ball. He did not make the
top 10 but he has a lot of raw tools that still need refining.
Garrett (Los Angeles): Would you concur that
LA's farm system has been dropping in pure talent over the past few
years, or are you optimistic that this year's crop is still considered
promising?
John Perrotto: There is little doubt the talent level
has dropped, especially after trading Santana and Bell the last two
years to get help for the pennant race. I wouldn't say the talent level
is poor but it isn't great. I guess you'd say it's average, though they
have a lot of interesting pitchers who throw very hard.
JAYPERS (IL): Has there been any suggestion
whatsoever of Ethan Martin reverting to the hot corner if things don't
work out for him on the mound?
John Perrotto: Not yet. The Dodgers are firmly
convinced Martin can be a major-league starting pitcher and a good one.
It would have to take a couple of bad years on the mound before they
would consider a position change.
Ben (Leland Grove): If you were Joe Torre, which reliever would you go to first in an extremely high pressure situation - Lindblom or Elbert?
John Perrotto: Lindblom. A little better command and a little better stuff.
Harry (LA): What is Hoffmann's likely role going to be — utility guy or a future regular?
John Perrotto: Most likely a fourth or fifth outfielder.
Kyle (Orlando, FL): What kept Kenley Jensen off the list, and how would you evaluate his FB?
John Perrotto: Jensen nearly made it and I'd be
shocked if he isn't on it next year, unless he accrues too much
major-league service and is ineligible. I'd rank his fastball as well
above average as he throws as high as 98 mph.
John (Boston): John, what can we reasonably
expect from Blake Smith? Is he going to wind up back on the mound, or
can he develop into having potential to be a starter in the OF?
John Perrotto: Well, I wouldn't read too much into his
struggles last season in the Pioneer League. He wouldn't be the first
player to have a hard time adjusting to pro ball. The Dodgers firmly
believe he will develop into a power-hitting right fielder. However,
pitching is certianly a nice fallback option if he washes out as a
pitcher.
Keith (Jersey): It's seems Dodgers always find
very good pitching in the draft. Sounds like Allan Webster could be a
stud if he puts all together. What is your take on him and what is his
ceiling. THANKS!
John Perrotto: I like Webster a lot and I see no reason why he couldn't develop into a No. 2 starter. He's that good.
Quinn (CA): One of the pleasant surprises for
the Dodgers last season was knuckleballer Charlie Haeger. Does Haeger
have a realistic shot at the rotation next year? If not, do you see him
as a reliever?
John Perrotto: Haeger doesn't seem to fit prominently
into the Dodgers' 2010 plans but he certainly gives them some
organizational depth. As far as a reliever, it's my belief that a
knuckleballer is best suited as a long man because of the potential for
control problems. If he doesn't have command of the pitch on a certain
day, he can cost you the game in a hurry if you bring him into a tight
situation in the later innings.
John Perrotto: He doesn't appear prominently in the
Dodgers' plans for 2010 but a guy who can soak up innings is always a
good option to have in the organization. I'd hesitate to use a
knuckleballer out of the bullpen in anything but a long role because if
he doesn't have command of the floater he can let a close game get away
in a hurry.
Joe (Camarillo): Where would you rank Garrett
Gould? I know he didn't get a chance to pitch much and there have been
questions about his delivery, what is your take on him?
John Perrotto: He just missed the top 10. He's got a
ton of potential and an outstanding curveball. It will be fun to watch
him pitch next season and see how he performs.
Joe (Camarillo): Who is the best catching prospect in the Dodger system? Will Ellis or May ever be more than backups in the Majors?
John Perrotto: Ellis is definitley a backup but May has a chance to be a starter.
Josh (LA): You sound a bit harsh on your view
of Lambo. May start his "third" stint in AA???? Are you considering
Lambo's 36 ABs in 2008 as his "first" stint? 36 AB's is hardly a luke
warm cup of joe let alone a "stint". Lambo also was only 20 years old
for three quarters of the 2009 season and won't turn 22 until August of
2010. So he'll play three quarters of the 2010 season at the age of 21.
Yes, I'd say he is still well ahead of most 22 year olds. Given Lambo's
highest defensive value appears to be at 1b, did you hear anything
regarding the Dodgers possibly moving him to 1b fulltime? Thank you,
Appreciate your time!
John Perrotto: I think he will wind up at first base
but my biggest concern is he hits with enough power to be an
above-average player the position. I certainly haven't given up on
Lambo by any measure and I realize he is young but he needs to hit with
power to be an above-average major-leaguer.
jr (valencia,ca): Could you please rank these
Dodger backstops? Delmonico, Wise , and May. Who has the most offensive
potential? Whos the better defensive prospect?
John Perrotto: May, Delmonico, Wise. May has a little
bit more offensive potential and Wise is a litte bit better
defensively. They all have a shot to play in the major leagues.
jr (valencia,ca): Should we be excited about Jerry Sands? Is he a legit prospect?
John Perrotto: I think he is. He's got outstanding
power and he isn't a total hacker. He's not a sure thing by any means
but he is definitely an interesting guy.
TBLA (Los Angeles): Elbert dropped his walk
rate significantly while starting for the Isotopes this past summer,
while maintaining a high K Rate. Isn't this what you would call growth,
yet he failed to make the top 20 in the PCL. Does everyone now view him
as a relief pitcher even though he's still starting when in the minor
leagues?
John Perrotto: I think the Dodgers still think he can
be a starting pitcher but the question is always going to be if he can
physically withstand a starter's workload because of his past arm
problems. There is certainly still some upside with Elbert and I'd love
to see him get a chance to take a regular turn in the Dodgers' rotation
to see what he could do.
TBLA (Los Angeles): Jonathan Garcia had quite a year for a real 17 year old in the rookie league. Is he in the top 20?
John Perrotto: Yes, he is in the top 20 and he might
have been the Dodgers' most surprise of 2009, this side of Jensen going
from journeyman catcher to lights-out reliever.
charlie (new york): John, are you a believer in Dee Gordon developing any power? What about consistency to be a ML SS?
John Perrotto: I refer back to wrote in my analysis of
him in the magazine, the sky is truly the limit for this kid. He is
such a raw player who didn't even take up the sport until his senior
year of high school. He truly is a blank canvas at this point. I don't
have a crystal ball to know how he will turn it but it's going to be
fun watching him develop in the next few years.
Karl of Delaware (Georgetown, Delaware): A few
years ago I saw Travis Chick pitch a no-hitter in Greensboro against
the old Greensboro bats. Since then, I've been intereted in how he is
progressing. Is he on track to pitch in Dodger Stadium in the next few
years?
John Perrotto: His career has taken a few twists and
turns but he had a good year at Chattanooga in 2009 and he is at least
still a sleeper propsect.
charlie (new york): obviously hitting depth is
lacking in the system, but how would you rank the dodgers' minor league
pitching compared to other systems in the league?
John Perrotto: On pure talent, the Dodgers' pitching
prospects are above average as many them throw hard and the one that
don't have very good command. However, many of them are quite raw and
need more experience.
Maggie (Pasadena, CA): How did RHP Rubby De La Rosa do this year, and how come he is not one of the Top 10? We heard that he has a great arm!
John Perrotto: De La Rosa is an interesting guy but
not top 10 worthy yet. He got sent home from the Arizona Rookie League
for disciplinary reasons but is certainly a prospect.
Karl of Delaware (Georgetown, Delaware): Javy
Guerra was described in a former Prospect Handbook as having a "crow
hop" in his delivery. Does he still have the "crow hop"? And what is a
"crow hop" anyway?
John Perrotto: A crow hop is something a catcher
usually develops as he takes a little hop toward second base to get
more on a throw. It is actually a balk if a pitcher does it and the
Dodgers have eliminated it from Guerra's delivery.
Nick (Phoenix): With a soild season logged by
Nate Eovaldi was it a toss up between Nate Eovaldi and Allen Webster or
is Webster that good? And whats your take or ceiling for Garrett Gould
John Perrotto: All three of them were in contention for the No. 10 spot. They all have very bright futures.
Greg (LA): If the LAD's turn out to have no
money for free agents, do they have any minor leaguers who might be
forced to take the next step into the rotation?
John Perrotto: I think the most logical rookie to step
into the rotation would be Scott Elbert who had a good 2009 between
Class AA and Class AAA while also getting a chance to pitch out of the
bullpen for the Dodgers.
MJ (Valparaiso): Curious what has happened to
Austin Gallagher? He had a breakthrough 2008—what happened to him in
2009? Does he have a future with the Dodgers?
John Perrotto: Gallagher injured his arm in spring
training, was held back in extended spring training until June and them
really struggled at low Class A Great Lakes. He is too young to write
off but he appears to be outgrowning third base and he has yet to hit
enough power to be a first baseman. He needs a good 2010 to get back on
the map.
sportznut (Clinton Township, MI): Would it be fair to compare Dee Gordon's upside to Jose Reyes? If not, who would you compare his ceiling to?
John Perrotto: I think it's a fair comparison.
PJ (SF): Blake Smith in 11-20?
John Perrotto: 21-30.
greg (mission viejo): What's the future for preston mattingly ?
John Perrotto: Not very bright. He was moved from
second base to left field last season and still hasn't showed the
ability to hit professional pitching. He's a real long shot to play in
the majors at this point.
John Perrotto: Well, thanks for all the good Qs and I hope I gave you some insightful As. Take care everyone and happy holiday to you all.