| Q: | Darren from Dallas asks: Do you have Doug Mathis in your top 30, after an impressive season in High A that culminated in Frisco. Is his future in the rotation or bullpen in Texas? |
| A: | Aaron Fitt: Hello everyone, sorry for the delay. Aaron Fitt: Mathis did indeed make the top 30. He's a guy that really trusted the organization and stayed on his program, finding a more consistent balance point through his delivery so his arm could catch up, and the results were obvious in 2006. With a quality repertoire that includes four average pitches, he profiles as a mid- to back- of the rotation starter. |
| Q: | Tony from Durham, NC asks: Greetings, Aaron. A question on a couple lower level guys. What is your take on Alexi Ogando, whom the Rangers recently placed on their 40 man roster? Is he going to be another conversion success story like Rafael Soriano, Joe Nathan, McBeth, Salas, etc? The second guy is Emerson Frostad, who has put up really solid numbers the last two years, but who hardly comes up in prospect talks? Is it a lack of projection that's keeping him out of the top ten? Thanks! |
| A: | Aaron Fitt: I was just talking about Ogando this morning with Rangers' Latin American scouting director A.J. Preller -- they love what they've seen in his arm, but the question is whether or not he'll be able to secure a visa to come to the states. Right now that is a question mark, and no immediate answer appears on the horizon. But Ogando is intriguing -- he's got a fastball that sits in the mid-90s and touches the upper 90s, and he also has a quality power slider. For a converted guy, Ogando also has a surprisingly good feel for the strike zone. Aaron Fitt: Frostad is a nice sleeper prospect whose bat will have to carry him. He's working on improving his catching -- he's only been doing it a year -- but his throwing needs to get more consistent, as does his footwork, release, and ability to block balls in the dirt. He does have a good knack for calling games. |
| Q: | Brad from Dallas asks: What about Teagarden, since he didnt get to play last year is he still considered the future backstop for the rangers and where do you see him at next year? |
| A: | Aaron Fitt: I still believe Teagarden is Texas' catcher of the future, yes. He swung the bat well in instructs, and his back is fully healed, and the Rangers expect him to be fully recovered from his Tommy John surgery by the spring. He could start the year at Clinton, but I would expect him to see high Class A before too long. He's about as polished a defensive catcher as you'll find in the minors, so he could move quickly. |
| Q: | zywica from Plano, TX asks: Have any of the young Latin players, from among Fabio Castillo, Johan Yan, Cristian Santana, Manuel Pina and Emmanuel Solis, distinguished themselves above and beyond the others? |
| A: | Aaron Fitt: The entire group is promising, but my favorite is Castillo, a precocious teenager with an electric arm and a 91-95 mph fastball. He also should have a plus curveball, and he shows good feel for a changeup, though he seldom had to use it in the DSL. |
| Q: | Warren from Texas asks: I am not surprised that Taylor Teagarden did not make the top 10 after his injury. I was somewhat surprised that your 2010 lineup no longer considers him "the catcher of the future". SO just where does he stand as a prospect? I thought that his arm should come back and the injury was only a delay for him, not a deathknell.Thanks for the chat! |
| A: | Aaron Fitt: I think Teagarden's omission from the projected 2010 lineup is more a credit to Laird than a slight of Teagarden. Remember, in these projected lineups, we don't assume that any player will leave the organization via free agency or trade. But I believe Teagarden could supplant Laird by 2010. |
| Q: | Josh from Ft. Worth asks: How close are Hurley and Danks to eachother, and how much seperation do they have from Volquez? |
| A: | Aaron Fitt: Hurley and Danks are very, very close. I flip-flopped on them ad nauseum, in fact, before finally settling on Danks because he's a polished lefthander with three quality pitches who held his own as one of the youngest players in the PCL. For me, Danks' ability to make adjustments at every level is what really sets him apart from most prospects. I love Hurley's power stuff, and I still think he might have a higher ceiling than Danks, but Danks is a pretty safe bet, in my mind. Aaron Fitt: Those two guys were head and shoulders above Volquez, for me. Serious questions have emerged about Volquez' ability to command his fastball and make adjustments. His stuff is still electric, but I he doesn't have the feel for pitching that Danks and Hurley have, and that is an awfully important distinction. |
| Q: | Erik from Wisconsin asks: What kind of future does Nick Masset have with this club? Is he their future closer if they decide to deal Otsuka at some point? His stock really rose with a great winter league. Thanks! |
| A: | Aaron Fitt: Yeah, the winter performance caused Masset's stock to peak, which is why I wouldn't be surprised if the Rangers dealt him now while his value is at its highest. But they very well could hold onto him, because clearly relief pitching is at a premium in the crazy market this year. I think he would be decent insurance for Otsuka -- his stuff is certainly good enough to close in the big leagues, and it appears he has really settled in with that role. |
| Q: | Travis from Austin asks: Was Christian Santana given any consideration for the top 10? |
| A: | Aaron Fitt: I did not consider Santana for the top 10 because of his labrum surgery, but AJ Preller reports he swung the bat well in instructs and is now in a throwing program, throwing up to 120 feet. He should be good to go by the time extended spring training starts April 1, but the Rangers aren't going to rush him. His talent is very tantalizing, and I wouldn't be surprised to see him in the top 10 a year or two from now. |
| Q: | Travis from Austin asks: What is your take on this years Ranger's draft pick Jacob Brigham? |
| A: | Aaron Fitt: Brigham looks like a potential as a sixth-round pick out of a Florida high school. He's very athletic -- he played a lot of shortstop in high school -- but hasn't really pitched all that much. He loves to pitch and is a good competitor, and his stuff is interesting -- fastball up to 92 mph, and a good hard curveball. He should pitch at Clinton at some point next year. |
| Q: | Travis from Austin asks: Marcus Lemon was the #4 prospect in the Arizona League was he given any consideration for the top 10? |
| A: | Aaron Fitt: Yeah, Lemon checked in at No. 12, one spot behind another 2006 draftee, power-hitting Chris Davis. Lemon's tools aren't off the charts, but his makeup and instincts are -- comparable to Ian Kinsler, in that regard. Players like that have a way of making it. |
| Q: | Browning Nagle from Louisville, KY asks: Danks doesn't throw nearly as hard as most perceived #2 pitchers..is his secondary stuff that good? Is Danks a poor mans Cole Hamels? |
| A: | Aaron Fitt: Danks is not a flamethrower, but he does ratchet his fastball up to 94 at times, which is pretty darn good for a lefthander. And his secondary stuff is very good -- chance for two plus offspeed pitches and a fastball that is at least solid average. I wouldn't rule out the possibility that he could even throw a little harder as he continues to add strength. |
| Q: | Zack from Keller, TX asks: The Rangers are set up to have a great 2007 draft with so many picks. They have 5 picks before round 2 starts! How does the 2007 draft look as far as talent goes? |
| A: | Aaron Fitt: It looks like the strength of the 2007 crop will be high school players -- it's an outstanding group of prepsters. The college ranks are thin, but there are a number of potential high-impact college relievers who could move quickly, such as Daniel Moskos, Cole St.Clair and Josh Fields. One of those guys could be a very good fit for the Rangers, I think. |
| Q: | Jacob from Mansfield, TX asks: Joquain Arias seems to be a great athlete and with Michael Young set a short could Arias get a look in centerfield? |
| A: | Aaron Fitt: I haven't heard anyone bring up that option, but it makes some sense. My guess is it's more likely they'll trade Arias, because he's got a chance to be a quality big league shortstop, and he's still very young. But I bet he'd make a fine center fielder. |
| Q: | Jonathan Quayle Higgins III from Honolulu, HI asks: A few years back Joaqin Arias was the talk of the prospect lists. He seems to have really fallen off most radars. What are the expectations now for him numbers wise? Is he a slick fielder with very little hitting expectations now? |
| A: | Aaron Fitt: To follow up on Arias, remember that he played all year as a 21-year-old in Triple-A, and he's never repeated a level. He still has the tools to be a productive big league hitter, and the Rangers certainly have not lowered expectations for him. |
| Q: | Chris Dittoe from Bloomington, IN asks: Is there any chance that Diamond sharpens up his aresenal and is better than just an innings-eater type of starter? Or does it look more and more like he'd be a Broxton type guy out of the pen? |
| A: | Aaron Fitt: Scouts who saw Diamond in the second half were actually encouraged by the development of his slider, which I think will be key for him to have a chance as a starter. If he can rely on that pitch as a complement to his fastball and changeup, and if he can improve his command, he could still be a quality starter. That last "if" is the big one, though. |
| Q: | Sean from Fullerton, CA asks: What can we expect from Wes Littleton in the future? Will he be used as the primary set-up man for Otsuka in 2007? |
| A: | Aaron Fitt: The Rangers have plenty of depth with their relief pitching right now, giving them pieces to use in a trade or flexibility to set up their bullpen a number of different ways. If they keep Otsuka and use Masset to set him up, Littleton isn't a bad guy to have pitching the seventh inning. |
| Q: | Bertram from Taiwan asks: Is 2007 a make or break season for Volquez? Even with the great stuff, eventually he's going to have to get guys out in the major leagues. Is confidence an issue with him now that he has had two seasons of miserable major league results? Thanks. |
| A: | Aaron Fitt: Volquez has great makeup, but I would think confidence would have to be an issue to some degree because of the magnitude of his struggles. 2007 is a big, big year for him -- could determine if he ends up in the rotation or the pen down the road. |
| Q: | Bertram from Taiwan asks: How concerned should we be with Hurley's poor stretch right before the promotion to AA? I know he turned it around after the promotion, but were hitters that were on to him in the Cal League after seeing him multiple times? |
| A: | Aaron Fitt: One scout who saw Hurley during that stretch thought he looked a little disinterested, which doesn't exactly fit Hurley's profile but does explain why he got hit. I think some of it could also be chalked up to the struggles of that Bakersfield team -- losing can take its toll on players, even in the minors. In any case, it doesn't seem like reason for much concern. |
| Q: | Bob from Auburn, WA asks: Thanks for the chat Aaron. What is the status with K.C. Herren? Is he considered a bust at this point as a 2nd round pick? |
| A: | Aaron Fitt: Herren got off to a rough start this year and it snowballed on him, but he felt like going back to Spokane and regrouping was the best thing for him. He did make a few adjustments in the second half, getting off his back side more and driving the ball more consistently, but certainly his prospect star has faded somewhat. You can't write off a 21-year-old kid with decent tools, but he's not a top-30 prospect in that organization right now. |
| Q: | Landon from Gainsville, FL asks: What are your thoughts on Ben Harrison? Is he like a Brad WilkersonDavid Dellucci type player? |
| A: | Aaron Fitt: That's not a bad comparison, although Wilkerson can play center field in a pinch, and Harrison will never be able to. He's a corner bat with above-average power who punishes fastballs, and his performance in the Venezuelan Winter League was very encouraging. I think he's improved his stock from a potential fourth outfielder to a possible everyday left fielder, with a solid arm and fringy range. |
| Q: | Jon from Peoria asks: Are there any concerns that Mayberry's swing will lead to too low of an average and too many strikeouts? Or is his power potential so good that the Rangers will live with those strikeouts? Also, Omar Poveda looked good at times at Clinton on a poor team. What type of ceiling does he have? |
| A: | Aaron Fitt: He does still have a long swing and remains vulnerable inside, but the progress he made correcting those things in the last year is a very good sign. I don't think the Rangers are too worried about the strikeouts -- big, long power hitters tend to strike out more than other types of players, and there's nothing inherently wrong with that. As for Poveda, his performance at a young age in the Midwest League was nice to see, and I think he's got a real chance to be a mid-rotation starter down the road. He's got a good feel for pitching and an excellent changeup to go along with an 88-92 mph fastball that figures to add velocity as he fills out. |
| Q: | Jeff Sullivan from Belchertown MA asks: Where does Taylor Teagarden rank? |
| A: | Aaron Fitt: He checked in at 13. |
| Q: | Joe R. from Newport News, Va asks: John Mayberry and Kasey Kiker are the only two on the list who are at the lower levels of the farm system. Does this mean that the 'future is now', or are there exciting players at the lower levels (Class A and lower?) |
| A: | Aaron Fitt: There are a number of decent prospects at the lower levels who are a long way off but have quality tools: Poveda, second baseman Jose Vallejo, Lemon, Davis, Johnny Whittleman, Jacob Rasner, Brigham, and a group of very young Latin players that includes Fabio Castillo, Cristian Santana, Emmanuel Solis, Wilmer Font and Geuris Grullon. |
| Q: | Tony from Edison, NJ asks: Can you compare and contrast Danks with other young lefties: Hamels, Elbert, and Andrew Miller? Which ones have the best chance to become true number ones? |
| A: | Aaron Fitt: Danks is behind those three guys simply because he doesn't have the same kind of power stuff they've got. Hamels, Elbert and Miller could all be No. 1 starters, but I don't think anyone projects Danks as a No. 1. |
| Q: | JAYPERS from IL asks: I'd like to know your opinion of Jim Fasano. Is he perhaps the 2nd coming of Botts? |
| A: | Aaron Fitt: I don't think so -- looks more like a solid organizational player at this point. |
| Q: | Eric from Elk Grove, IL asks: Thanks for the chat, Aaron. Do you think that Josh Rupe's staggeringly ridiculous facial hair gives him any special edge over batters, who may be disoriented? Somewhat more seriously, dare we hope that this will be the year for Rupe's prodigious talents to finally translate into quality production? Hopefully he's hired a team of trainers, nutritionists, acupuncturists, and voodoo practitioners to keep him healthy for a change. I'd like to see what he could do with that opportunity. |
| A: | Aaron Fitt: I think this one gets question of the day -- nicely phrased. My gut is that Rupe winds up in the bullpen -- that seems to be the only place he feels comfortable and stays healthy, for whatever reason. |
| Q: | jared from spokane,wa asks: Im surprised to see that chad tracy is not on the list. Has he surpassed teagarden on the depth chart? do you think he skips low A this year? ETA to the majors? |
| A: | Aaron Fitt: I've still got Teagarden ahead of Tracy on the depth chart, because Teagarden is an exceptional defensive catcher, but there are serious doubts about Tracy's defense. If I had to bet on it, I'd say Tracy ends up at first base down the line. But he'll probably start as the catcher at Clinton this year, assuming Teagarden goes to the Cal League. |
| Q: | Tom D. from Spokane asks: How close was chris davis to making the list? He absolutely tore up the NWL. Where do you see him headed this year? |
| A: | Aaron Fitt: Chris Davis can really kill the ball, and he brings a much-needed power bat to the system. As I mentioned earlier, he just missed the top 10, coming in at 11. He's probably ticketed for Clinton this year, though I wouldn't be shocked to see him push his way to high A. |
| Q: | Mario66 from Toronto asks: Johnny Whittleman. What's up with that? |
| A: | Aaron Fitt: Rough year, but still on the map. He's just still very raw, and he needs to work on some mechanical things at the plate, such as improving his timing. He's got excellent makeup though, and I expect him to bounce back. |
| Q: | dave from atlanta asks: What happened to Shane Funk and Michael Kirkman in the Arizona League? |
| A: | Aaron Fitt: Just a brutal year for both of those guys -- a number of younger players in this system did not perform like the Rangers hoped they would. Funk really struggled to repeat his delivery, and his confidence sank. Kirkman pulled a hamstring early on and was never able to get his mechanics in synch. Both guys are young, but clearly there is much work to be done. |
| Q: | Walter Barnard from Plano, Tx asks: Two years ago the Rangers made a distinct effort to draft pitchers and drafted I beleive 19 pitchers. Here we are with the same 3 draft picks of Danks, Hurley and Diamond. Where are the rest? Is this reflection of scouting with Rangers? It seems to be a waste of time... |
| A: | Aaron Fitt: The Rangers did not use a premium pick on pitching in 2005, instead opting for Mayberry in the first round and concentrating on pitching in the middle rounds. Some of those guys, like Funk and Kirkman, really struggled, and others made slow but steady progress, like Jake Rasner and Doug Mathis. But they used their top pick on pitching this year, taking Kasey Kiker, and he's in their top 10. Danks, Hurley and Diamond are at the higher levels of the minors, however, and a young, recent draft pick wasn't going to supplant them unless he was something really special. |
| Q: | John from New Mexico asks: Aaron, why has DRay Herrera proven so adept at pitching at altitude? Between success in college and the California League, the southpaw has done well in very difficult environments. Does Texas believe in this guy, or is he just a good story? |
| A: | Aaron Fitt: I think it comes down to this: Herrera can pitch, no matter what the altitude. He absolutely befuddles hitters with his unusual repertoire and ability to spot his pitches anywhere he wants, and that recipe will make him successful whether he's pitching in Death Valley or the top of Mount Rainier. He's a legitimate prospect, and it will be very interesting to see how he fares against more advanced competition. Gimmick pitchers eventually get eaten up in the big leagues, but Herrera just might be more than a gimmick pitcher, thanks to his impeccable command and toughness. |
| Q: | Aaron from Tuscaloosa asks: Aaron, finish this sentence: if I had been running the Rangers draft room in June, my first round pick would have been _______? |
| A: | Aaron Fitt: Daniel Bard. |
| Q: | R.C. Cook from Dallas, TX asks: Why were Mayberry and Arias ranked ahead of Botts? Youth and upside? |
| A: | Aaron Fitt: Exactly. Botts could platoon at DH this year, but Mayberry and Arias both have a chance to be everyday position players, and potentially standouts. |
| Q: | Petey Pablo from Carrboro asks: Two questions: 1) That Taylor Teagarden would be limited this season would have came as no surprise when last year's handbook was written. So, why did he fall out of the top 10 - pushed out by new prospects or is it his other injuries? 2) Danny Ray!! So ... where does he slot and will the Rangers continue to let him start or will he be immediately consigned to the role of a LOOGY. Thanks! |
| A: | Aaron Fitt: Teagarden slipped only because new players entered the system. I don't think his value declined, but Kiker's a better prospect, and Davis and Lemon might be as well after their encouraging debuts. As for Herrera, I think he continues to start at AA next year, but I think he profiles as a reliever eventually. He ended up ranking in the 25-30 range. |
| Q: | Dean from Madison asks: What is Mayberry's upside and how likely is he to reach it? Any comps you can give us? Thanks again! |
| A: | Aaron Fitt: He's built like Jermaine Dye, with a similar tools package. |
| Q: | Walt from Templeton, CA asks: Last year Danks profiled as a #3 starter, with potential to slot in as a #2. What changed? Why is he now a future #1 starter? Could he develop into a true ace? |
| A: | Aaron Fitt: I still don't think he's a future true No. 1 starter, but I think he can be a legit No. 2. But remember, not all clubs have a true No. 1 starter, so a guy who would be a "classic" No. 2 might end up at the front of your rotation. I would cite Kevin Millwood as an example of this. |
| Q: | Jeff P. from Slidell, LA asks: I was wondering what your assessment of Zack Phillips is? |
| A: | Aaron Fitt: He's a guy worth keeping an eye on. He started strong in 2006 before struggling with his command and confidence in the middle of the season and then finishing strong. He's an 87-90 guy with a good, short, downer curveball and a good feel for a changeup. Not loud stuff, but interesting. |
| Q: | Steve from DeKalb,IL asks: Where did Anthony Webster come in? Seems like he is bouncing back after he was a big part of the Carl Everett trade in 2003. |
| A: | Aaron Fitt: Lightning round time. Webster was in the 20s. He had a good bounceback year, i'm just not sold on his profile -- seems more like an extra outfielder. |
| Q: | Stouty from Dallas asks: Hi Aaron - Does Tug Hulett have a MLB upside? Also, how fast could Eric Hurley come on? Thanks |
| A: | Aaron Fitt: With his outstanding plate discipline and instincts, Hulett's got a chance, but he'll have to prove it at every level. |
| Q: | Jason from Austin, TX asks: Aaron, where does Daniel Haigwood rate alongside the other pitching prospects in the Ranger organization? Also, is there any hope for Armando Galarraga? |
| A: | Aaron Fitt: Haigwood's stuff is fringy, and he struggled with his command this year. He was a low-20s type guy. There is indeed still hope for Galarraga -- it looked like he was getting his arm strength back toward the end of the year. I still love his FB-SL mix and his aggressive approach, and I think he's in for a big bounceback year in 07. |
| Q: | JParks77 from NYC asks: Would you say the Rangers have a top ten farm system going into 2007? |
| A: | Aaron Fitt: No, not even close. I'd put them in the back third -- a number of their guys took steps back this year, and until some of the younger talent starts to develop more, it's not a great system. There's a reason there are so many relievers in their top 15. |
| Q: | Michael Stern from Rochester NY asks: I'm very surprised Ben Harrison ddin't make the top 10. What was the reason? In a weak system so devoid of hitters you have a guy who hit .289 with 26 HR - 101 RBI and 15 SB between high A and AA. He was rated the # 14 prospect in the California league where he was projected as a major league everyday left fielder. How does Texas view him for the future? And where did you have him rated - 11 - 15? |
| A: | Aaron Fitt: Harrison's 25 now, and he's hardly a shoo-in to be an everyday big leaguer outfielder. He really needs to improve against breaking balls -- if he does that in 2007, his stock will rise. Aaron Fitt: That's it for me. Thanks everyone for stopping by -- I enjoyed it, as always. |