| Q: | D J Wallace from Sheridan, Arkansas asks: How close does Philip Humber of the Mets come to being in the top 20 ranking? |
| A: | Moderator: Thanks for stopping by. Let's get started. Matt Eddy: Humber finished just outside the top 20. He was well regarded, but nobody made a strong case for his inclusion. He's got a solid low-90s fastball and 12-to-6 curveball, a pitch that can be groundball offering for him when it's working. His change is his third pitch, and he made strides with it. Matt Eddy: Often Humber seemed to try to do too much, possibly because the Mets opted to give big league starts to Jason Vargas, Chan Ho Park and Brian Lawrence instead of him. His mound presence often wavered, too, and he showed a tendency to get rattled. |
| Q: | Todd from bristol, va asks: What are the Rockies gonna do with Ian Stewart? They cannot keep him in the minors and there really isnt a spot for him in the everyday lineup.They could squeeze him in the outfield but I dont think he is going to steal any at bats from Hawpe. Does he need to be traded? |
| A: | Matt Eddy: Thanks for the setup. Jack Etkin wrote in the most recent Rockies org report that Stewart will get a look at second base in instructional league. Despite his hot playoff stretch, Kazuo Matsui cannot be regarded as a long-term solution. Will the Rockies be able to walk away? Matt Eddy: You're right, Stewart is too talented to keep in the minors for all of 2008. The idea of moving him to the outfield was discussed in 2006 and ultimately discarded. He was only in Double-A then, though, so Colorado has a stronger impetus to make a position switch this time around. |
| Q: | molokia from LA asks: D Young was an XBH machine in the PCL this year and when he got promoted he just smoked the ball. What do the scouts think about him these days? |
| A: | Matt Eddy: It's easy to root for Young. Check out the feature we ran on him during the season for more on that. But about his major league potential, league observers seemed to think he'd fit best as a part-timer or pinch hitter at the big league level. Lenny Harris' name was dropped. Matt Eddy: However, Young's defense has gotten better in the outfield, and he has a real ability to put the bat on the ball versus different types of pitching. Young also shortened his stroke and showed improvement as a righthanded batter in 2007. |
| Q: | Tom from NC asks: With the way that the Mets insist on pushing Pelfrey to the majors, is it possible for him to ever reach his potential as an ace? It seems that he would benefit greatly from a whole uninterrupted season of AAA spent fine tuning his command and building confidence. Do you agree with this assessment? When will he be ready to make an impact in NY? |
| A: | Matt Eddy: Predicting true acedom for Pelfrey at this point would seem to be far-fetched. That's not to say he couldn't find success in the majors, especially in light of the good September starts he had. At times, Pelfrey was so tantalizingly close to breaking through, but a bad inning would completely unravel him. So I'm not sure he has a lot left to learn in the minors. Matt Eddy: Confidence in his fastball was an issue after Pelfrey got hit around in the majors early in the year, but he got back on track with New Orleans. Hold out hope, but proceed cautiously. |
| Q: | JF from NoCal asks: Soto is MVP of the league but only #20 on the list. It seems that scouts slowly changed their opinion on him that he'll be able to be a starting catcher - will he stick? Do you have any comparisons of previousexisting catchers for us to envision what his performance will be like (Javy Lopez, Ramon Hernandez)? |
| A: | Matt Eddy: We'd love to see Soto succeed, but his performance this season was just so unprecedented that it's hard to get a read on him. He crushed all season, but still the Cubs stuck with mediocre veteran receivers in the majors. Soto can hit, though, and he can catch and he can throw. He sounds like a big league regular to me, and it looks like the Cubs are coming around to the idea as well. Matt Eddy: Hernandez hit throughout his minor league career, so I'd hold off on the comp for now. First, let Soto prove he can catch 130 games and keep up his production. Matt Eddy: Keep in mind, the Triple-A and low Class A top 20s should be regarded differently from the other two levels' lists because of the distribution of affiliates between two leagues. As larger leagues, the IL and PCL lists may seem more exclusionary, but it's really just a function of 14- and 16-team leagues. |
| Q: | molokai from LA asks: Would Tony Abreu have received consideration and do the scouts think he can be a starting middle infielder, or is he more of a utility player? |
| A: | Matt Eddy: Abreu was a late scratch from this list. He has uncanny hitting ability (he's potentially a 70 hitter on the 20-80 scouting scale) and he's a good defender at second base with a strong arm. He has some pop from the right side of the plate, too, so there's a lot to like. Matt Eddy: However, Abreu's plate plate discipline is poor and he chases too many pitchers' pitches now. He improved in that regard during the season, though, and might be able to handle shortstop if given the chance. |
| Q: | Jeff from California asks: Pie has all the tools necessary to make it but I'm getting a bit scared that he may turn into a Corey Patterson clone w a more dynamicenergetic personality. He has the D, Arm, and athletic ability but am not sure he'll be able to hit enough to become a solid everyday player. Please tell me he will not be the next C.Patterson in Wrigley. |
| A: | Matt Eddy: That's a fair assessment. Keep in mind, Pie has acclimated himself to Triple-A competition much better than Patterson did. And that the Cubs have taken it slow with Pie, letting him dominate a level before moving him up. People who watch Pie think the power is there, and that because he throws so well he might even be a right fielder down the line. And he loves to play and he takes instruction well. Matt Eddy: Getting him more experience against tough pitching -- especially lefties -- will be the Cubs' next priority. And maybe that comes in a Latin American league this winter. I would not temper my enthusiasm for Pie because the ghost of Corey Patterson still clings to the Cubs organization. |
| Q: | Tom from NC asks: How close is Sean Gallagher? IS he MLB starter or bullpen guy? |
| A: | Matt Eddy: Gallagher is a starter. He just missed qualifying for this list, but he probably would have ranked somewhere after Hochevar and ahead of Volquez. Matt Eddy: Gallagher has an aggressive mound presence, he's confident and he commands his stuff to both sides of the plate. He really uses his lower half well and gets tremendous extension out in front. With 89-93 mph heat, a hard breaking ball and a feel for a changeup, Gallagher looks to be a No. 3 or better. |
| Q: | Kent from Sonoma, CA asks: Hello Matt, Thank you for the chat. I'm glad Schierholz came close to making the list - are any other Grizzlies from the 2007 team legitimate prospects (Timpner, Sadler...)? |
| A: | Matt Eddy: One scout thought Schierholtz could be a platoon right fielder as soon as next season. (Yes, I know he hit an adequate .279-.322-.541 vs. lefties this year.) That's how far he's come in changing from a pure-pull approach. Schierholtz still has a cannon for an arm, of course, but now he projects to be a fringe-average hitter and above-average power hitter. Matt Eddy: Among Grizzliles who qualified for this list, Patrick Misch showed promise as a potential back-end starter or left-on-left reliever. He started throwing across his body a little more to improve the life on his breaking ball without losing feel for his fastball or change. That sounds like reliever material. LHP Erick Threets needs consistency, but still has a "damn good arm," as one scout put it. |
| Q: | Bill from Tempe, AZ asks: Matt, thanks for the chat. There's no question that Billy Butler is a great pure hitter whose bat will be good enough for a career as a DH or perhaps at 1B. In your conversations around the league, were there any concerns about his weight? He's already listed at 240 at the young age of 21 and his face looked fuller the last time I saw him on TV. Is this a potential problem with him moving forward? |
| A: | Matt Eddy: The subject of Butler's weight did not come up. But the Royals already seem reserved to the fact they've got a DH on their hands. They played him in the field just 19 times in 92 games in 2007, not a common distribution for a rookie. Matt Eddy: A textbook case of old player's skills -- no running, defense or arm -- Butler may not have a long career, but his bat should carry him through his prime seasons. |
| Q: | John Dark from Moline, IL asks: The obvious question needs to be asked: Had they qualified, where would Tim Lincecum and Ryan Braun have ranked on this list? Thanks. |
| A: | Matt Eddy: Braun and Lincecum would have ranked No. 1 and No. 2, no question. As to who would have come out on top . . . my gut says Lincecum because of his plus fastball and curveball. He's ridiculously talented. Matt Eddy: No offense to Braun, who had perhaps the finest offensive season by a rookie since Albert Pujols in 2001. |
| Q: | Steve from Las Vegas asks: Does Buckner profile better as a starter or a RP? Does he have a shot at the 08' Rotation? |
| A: | Matt Eddy: With the progress he showed with the changeup in 2007, Buckner is a starter all the way. Is he a front-of-the-rotation guy? No, probably not. But Buckner keeps the ball on the ground and doesn't hurt himself with walks. Matt Eddy: And would you look at the quality arms the Royals are amassing in Triple-A and the big leagues: Gil Meche, Hochevar, Butler, Zack Greinke and Brian Bannister |
| Q: | Sean from Seattle asks: Was Chris Carter anywhere near making this list? |
| A: | Matt Eddy: Carter elicited one of the funniest comments I received in researching this list. According to one scout, Carter has goofy actions and a goofy body. He's a well below-average fielder at first base and doesn't offer a ton of power, but Carter has a great batting eye and a great feel for hitting. He sounds like a good part-time DH. |
| Q: | Larry from Franklin Square, NY asks: With Ichiro locked up in Seattle, what do you think Adam Jones' long term position is, RF or CF? Also, what do you think about his short term prospects (2008)? I would think Seattle will keep Guillen and Ibanez around for at least another year, given their success in 2007. So where does that leave Jones? Hopefully they won't let him sit around the bench like they did most of the 2nd half of 2007. |
| A: | Matt Eddy: Jones has the defensive tools to play right field, assuming Ichiro stays in center. You'd definitely like to see the Mariners make room for him, but keep in mind Jones is not quite a finished product. He improved his command of the strike zone in 2007, but it needs further tightening. And he's spent just two years in center, so it's not quite second nature for him yet. Jones also hasn't developed a real feel for stealing bases, despite very good speed. Matt Eddy: If Seattle can find someone -- anyone? -- to take Richie Sexson off their hands, Ibanez could conceivably shift to first base, opening an outfield position. |
| Q: | molokai from LA asks: Was pleasantly surprised with La Roches's defense during his brief Sept stint. Is he now considered an above average defensive 3rd baseman or was that just a matter of looking good because of what we'd seen in LA before he showed up? |
| A: | Matt Eddy: A little of both. LaRoche will be a solid-average big league third baseman because the defensive tools are there. Will his shoulder hold up over the course of a season? That's the biggest question remaining. |
| Q: | Tom from NC asks: Can you compare Pie vs. Gomez in terms of where they currently stand as well as potential upside. Where do they begin 08? |
| A: | Matt Eddy: Pie got the nod on this list because he has more present power and because of his lefty bat. It's a toss-up as to which of them was the better center fielder (each had his supporters), but Gomez clearly had more speed and better baserunning acumen. Matt Eddy: Because Gomez is a plus-plus runner, it's easy to assume he's just a waterbug. In fact, he's a 6-foot-4, 195-pound athlete who's still learning how to apply his natural hitting ability in games. He made giant strides in the plate discipline department with New Orleans, but he needs to cut down his swing. More often than not, Gomez swung from the heels after coming back from his hamate bone surgery in September. Matt Eddy: Given that both the Cubs and Mets will be playing for 2008, it might not be the worst idea to give both Pie and, particularly, Gomez in Triple-A for a few months. |
| Q: | Larry from Newport, RI asks: Where does Jerry BlevinsLHPSacramento fall he was absolutely dominate in the playoffs, so dominate he was called to the Bigs for the remainder of the season. He had something like 30ks in only 9inns. Did he just miss the list? |
| A: | Matt Eddy: With just 3 innings in the PCL, Blevins fell well short of qualifying -- about 45 innings short, in fact. However, his season was just incredible, so I've posted your question. Dig this: Blevins fanned 102 minor league batters while walking just 18 in 77 innings. |
| Q: | Chris Dittoe from Bloomington, IN asks: What spot in the rotation does Eric Hurley project? Is he a solid #2 guy or more of a 34 type? |
| A: | Matt Eddy: Hurley sounds like a quality power sinker and slider type guy, someone who projects more as a No. 3 than a 2. |
| Q: | Jonner from Boulder, CO asks: How close was it between Butler and Jones? Do you think that if Butler was at least average with the glove, he might have passed Jones simply on his ability to rake? Thanks!! |
| A: | Matt Eddy: Butler probably would have ranked higher if he had any defensive ability, but Jones offers true five-tool potential. Those guys are harder to find. |
| Q: | Penny Simone from Bellwood, Illinois asks: I may be wrong but producing major league quality catchers is one of the most difficult positions to fill in player developement. If that assumption is true why was Geovany Soto ranked as low as 20 on the PCL prospect list? Thank you. |
| A: | Matt Eddy: You are not wrong. Quality minor league catching is severely underrated. We want to see Soto succeed, and we believe in the tools, but why did the Cubs leave him in Triple-A all year? |
| Q: | Kyle from Middletown asks: More talent: International or Pacific League? |
| A: | Matt Eddy: The PCL seems deeper, but it's hard to argue with the IL's top two of Jay Bruce and Homer Bailey. |
| Q: | Lance from Memphis, TN asks: Who were the top 5 prospects from the PCL that just missed the list? |
| A: | Matt Eddy: OF Nate Schierholtz, Fresno; OF Brett Carroll, Albuquerque; 2B Tony Abreu, Las Vegas; C Kurt Suzuki, Sacramento; and RHP Philip Humber, New Orleans |
| Q: | Mike Marinaro, who fixed the typos...LOL from Tampa, FL asks: Brandon Wood was bounced around like a pinball this season. He also was trying to make adjustments all season, yet he still pounded 51 extra base hits in 437 at bats. Considering how difficult it must have been for Wood to get in a groove, those numbers look better than they do on paper. Plenty of major league power hitters strike out in abundance, but not many have Wood's upside in the field. Ryan Howard won M.V.P. last season. He also struck out 199 times in 529 at bats this season. Then you have All-STARS and rising stars in Adam Dunn, Dan Uggla, Grady Sizemore, and B.J. Upton, all of whom struck out more than 150 times this season. The Angels should just let Brandon Wood figure things out on his own. He obviously has lightning in his bat, and a great head on his shoulders. Your write-up compares him to Glaus, but Scioscia compares him to Mike Schmidt. So why don't the Angels just let the kid play? |
| A: | Matt Eddy: A long-winded question from an (apparently) ardent Brandon Wood supporter. Comping minor leaguers to Hall of Famers makes no sense to me, but I agree with you that the Angels should make a decision about Wood and stick with it. Matt Eddy: Most everybody thought that while he wouldn't set the world on fire, Wood would be a competent big league shortstop. Yes, he's always going to strike out a ton, but the power is real. That doesn't seem to fit with the Angels present M.O., so maybe a trade is in order. |
| Q: | Steve from Las Vegas asks: What do you think about James Loney's upside? I have heard Mark Grace with 25 homeruns...Is that the limit? Could we see this kid contending for a batting title? |
| A: | Matt Eddy: All Loney's done to this point in the big leagues is exceed expectations. On the optimistic side, yes, we could be seeing the next Mark Grace or John Olerud -- a high-average, mid-range power first baseman who defends well. |
| Q: | Jerry from California asks: Will Jeff Clement finally be a starting catcher for an MLB team someday, or are his defensive skills simply not good enough to play at the MLB level? How will things play out with Kenji blocking the spot for another year? I hear a possible DHplatoon role between the two next year, and with Kenji's contract expiring at the end of 2008, will it be Clement at catcher for good in 2009? Or will he be traded? |
| A: | Matt Eddy: Clement probably always will struggle to throw out basestealers, but he also offers lefthanded power at catcher, maybe the rarest of all commodities. Matt Eddy: Only the Mariners know how Clement's career will play out. It wouldn't make sense for them to move Johjima because he's a huge asset for them, meaning Clement may have to break in at first base or DH. Perhaps Seattle would be able to maximize his value by trading him to a club willing and able to play him at catcher. |
| Q: | Matt from Wheaton asks: is that Bill Buckner's son i see on this list? |
| A: | Matt Eddy: No, Billy Buckner is not related to the Dodgers, Cubs and Red Sox first baseman Bill Buckner. Interestingly enough, the elder Buckner's son Bobby, a middle infielder, is an incoming freshman with Texas. |
| Q: | Jeff from Sarasota asks: Memphis had a very bad year. Nevertheless, were there any plyers from there that were near consideration for the next several spots? |
| A: | Matt Eddy: OF Rick Ankiel was their obvious candidate. He showed plus power, very good range in center field and, naturally, a cannon for an arm. Aside from him, SS Brendan Ryan had a nice rookie season in the big leagues, and would likely have ranked in the 31-40 range. |
| Q: | Michael Caldwell from Hanover, Indiana asks: If Carlos Marmol had spent the entire season in Iowa, would he have made this list? |
| A: | Matt Eddy: Marmol compiled 77 big league innings in 2006, exhausting his rookie eligibility for 2007 and making him ineligible, also, for these lists. |
| Q: | Peter Kennedy from San Diego asks: There weren't any prospects from the Portland Beavers in your top 20. Who is there top prospect and what is his ceiling? |
| A: | Matt Eddy: Portland had the league's worst team, both from a performance and prospects standpoint. Vince Sinisi, Brian Myrow and Paul McAnulty all could be bats off the bench. 2B Craig Stansberry, a fringe-average hitter, doesn't really have the defensive profile to be a big league utilityman. And LHP Ryan Ketchner is a competitor, but has no real breaking ball, making him a less than ideal fit as a reliever. |
| Q: | Overton Tremper from Brooklyn asks: Other than the fact that he's a reliever, why doesn't Jonathan Meloan get much love from BA as a prospect? He absolutely dominated both the Southern League and the PCL but didn't make the Top 20 list for either league. |
| A: | Matt Eddy: Meloan ranked seventh in the Dodgers system coming into the year, and was a minor league all-star selection this year on the second team. |
| Q: | John from Seattle asks: Do you see the Mariners playing both Balentine and Jones in the OF next season? |
| A: | Matt Eddy: Not likely. The outfield picture is too crowded, and Balentien could use more seasoning, anyway. He's a good prospect, but he could use a more consistent approach, offensively and defensively, before he's ready for regular big league play. |
| Q: | Kaz from Edison asks: Assume you are Omar Minaya and you have to trade 2 of your 3 young outfielders for pitching; who do you keep out of Milledge, Gomez, and Martinez, and why? Thanks Matt. |
| A: | Matt Eddy: Longterm, I'd go with Gomez and Martinez. Matt Eddy: Martinez probably will be the best hitter of the group, so he's an easy choice. Regarding, Gomez vs. Milledge: I think Gomez is just a more natural, complete player. Some in the Mets organization championed Gomez over Milledge dating back to 2004, when Gomez was a wee 18-year-old GCL Met who hadn't proven anything on the field. |
| Q: | Glenn Quagmire from Quahog, RI asks: What is the ceiling for Chin-Lung Hu? Everything he does seems so smooth and easy, and his power is starting to play (even though he won't admit it). When should he officially replace Furcal at SS? Maybe take over for Kent at 2B? Can he be a star in the majors, or is he just a solid regular? |
| A: | Matt Eddy: Given how far Hu came with the bat in one season, I'd like to see him do it again. But his glove alone should make him a candidate for regular play. Matt Eddy: Relax. You've got just one more season of Furcal, and it's a contact year. |
| Q: | Jason from Salem, OR asks: Those seem to be pretty harsh words for Deric Barton! You highlight his numbers that weren't involved in any hot streak period, but that is just picking and choosing stats to make a point. The bottom line with Barton is that he's not going to hit for much power but will likely hit for avergae and draw plenty of walks. Defensively, he's passable at 1B. I don't see where such discouraging comments regarding Barton come from!? |
| A: | Matt Eddy: Would you honestly have expected Daric Barton to perform so poorly over a stretch of 416 at-bats? Sure he was just 22, but with such a limited ceiling, shouldn't we be in position to demand a more consistent performance than what he gave in 2007? Matt Eddy: I framed the performance debate around his hot steak as a shorthanded way of saying Barton hit .221-.306-.314 in April; .260-.347-.385 in July and .236-.358-.355 in August, all of which are accurate. |
| Q: | Adam W. from New York City asks: Another solid Rockies power hitter - Joe Koshansky. Where does he fit in with that team? Trade-bait for more pitching? |
| A: | Matt Eddy: Let's touch on a couple Colorado Springs players. Matt Eddy: Koshansky is a grinder with a solid offensive approach, but observers wondered if he had enough bat to be a big league regular at first base. His bat is a bit slow and his swing is long. Matt Eddy: OF Seth Smith is similar to Koshansky in that he's a lefthanded batter who knows how to hit. But Smith's ability to play all three outfield spots will probably earn him many looks as a reserve. He's a slightly below-average out there because he's not especially athletic, but not a butcher. In a lot of ways, Smith is a lefthanded version of Ryan Spilborghs. |
Moderator: Thanks for the great questions. Stay tuned for our organization Top 30 Prospects chats.