| Q: | Gary from NJ asks: How good can Greg Reynolds be? How do his pitches rate out? Is he a front of the rotation type of guy? |
| A: | Will Lingo: Welcome in to another big Baseball America prospect chat, as we wind down our league prospect lists and get ready for our organization lists. It's finally starting to feel a bit like fall in North Carolina, and the LCSes should both be great, so let's talk Texas League... Will Lingo: I think Reynolds can be a front of the rotation pitcher for sure. His stuff was as good as anyone's in the league, with the mid-90s fastball, curveball and changeup I wrote about in the main text of the top 20. Because he's a Stanford guy who is well prepared for every start, has a cerebral approach, etc., and because he doesn't pile up a lot of strikeouts, people tend to underrate his stuff. I also heard a lot of good things about how hard he competes and how he goes right after hitters. The only concern was his shoulder injury, but there were no major problems found and he should be healthy for next season. |
| Q: | Joe from Springfield, MO asks: What are your thoughts on Mitchell Boggs? Did he get top 20 consideration? Does he factor in as a back-of-the-rotation starter for the Cardinals in '09? |
| A: | Will Lingo: Boggs was definitely one of the guys in the group that just missed the list. He should end up as a workhorse for the Cardinals, but his stuff and performance were just a notch behind the guys who finished ahead of him. He can touch the mid-90s but sits in the low 90s, his slider is pretty good and the rest of the package is a work in progress. He could factor into the Cardinals' plans certainly by 09. One note from the Micah Owings Dept.: Boggs is also a good hitter who went 6-for-23 with a double and a home run, and even appeared in one game as a pinch-hitter. |
| Q: | Mike Marinaro from Tampa, FL asks: Hi Will. Do you think Robnett will ever put it all together? He made some strides in 2007, but he seems like a long shot to me. |
| A: | Will Lingo: I think that's a fair thing to say. You would probably find an even divide among BA staffers about whether Robnett will pan out. Enough managers and scouts were excited by his potential and progress this season that I put him on the list, but even the people who like him know he needs to refine his approach. It's just that I heard enough from people who thought he would make those improvements that I became a little bit of a believer myself. But would I bet the farm on it? Probably not. |
| Q: | Ben from Leland Grove asks: When do you think is the earliest Colby could see Busch? |
| A: | Will Lingo: It's hard to make any definite statements about the Cardinals with the instability in their front office and with La Russa, but I would expect to see Rasmus in St. Louis sometime next season. |
| Q: | Clooch from Norway asks: I know that several factors are taken into account but would you really take Reynolds, Adenhart and Hochevar over Morales if you had to take just one? |
| A: | Will Lingo: Based on his September and October, Morales is certainly looking good, and we've always been huge fans of his stuff (see the Top 100 Prospects coming into the season, where he ranked No. 30). There were enough questions about his command and maturity this season in the Texas League this season, however, that it knocked him down the list a little bit. And keep in mind that these lists are more reflective of the opinions of managers than any other lists we do, and those guys tend to focus more on present performance than future value. |
| Q: | Doug from Utah asks: Did Brandon Boggs get any consideration? How is he rated as a prospect? |
| A: | Will Lingo: Brandon is another Boggs who finished just off the list. He earned comparisons to Milton Bradley, as a switch-hitter with pop from both sides who can play center field and steal a base. You could easily make a case for him to be on the list, though he strikes out more than you'd like. |
| Q: | Jon from Peoria asks: What position do you think is best suitable for Sean Rodriguez? Also, do you think Nick Green has a chance to make it as a fifth starter at some point? |
| A: | Will Lingo: I think second base is probably the best position for Rodriguez in the long run, though he could be a nice utility player with the ability to play just about anywhere on the field and offer good pop. Green could be a good option at the back of the rotation pretty soon for the Angels. He can touch 93-94 mph, with a plus changeup and an average curveball, he works quickly and eats innings. |
| Q: | Bill L from Bozeman asks: Hi Will - Was Chris Lubanski considered? Can we draw any conclusions from his early-season performance when he was repeating the Texas League? How do you see his prospect status? |
| A: | Will Lingo: Lubanski was on the back of the Texas League list last year, and his performance this season was about the same as last season, albeit on a much weaker team. His numbers were much worse in Triple-A. Maybe managers forgot about him after he left, but he generated no enthusiasm this year, and I've never been a huge fan of his anyway. He seems like an extra corner outfielder to me. |
| Q: | Michael from Swecker asks: M Antonelli seems like a young Marcus Giles. Can he produce like this next year for the Pads if given the chance? If so, why would the Pads not begin the season with him as the leadoff man? Why sign a stop-gap or worse go with Blum or Giles? What do you think they should and will do? |
| A: | Will Lingo: I wouldn't have any problem with the Padres trying Antonelli at second base next season, and I was a little surprised they didn't at least give him a look there this season, though that would have been a huge leap and a lot to ask of a guy in his first season playing second base. From what everyone says about him, his makeup should be good enough to handle struggles if they come his way without any long-term damage. The Padres have an option for Giles for next season, but if I were them I would say goodbye and see if Antonelli can handle the job. |
| Q: | Andy from Iowa City asks: What can you tell us about Cardinals infielders Jarret Hoffpauir and Jose Martinez? Martinez was a BA sleeper prospect before the season. Both took nice steps forward this year. What do you see from each of these players in the future? |
| A: | Will Lingo: Hoffpauir just looks like an organizational player to me, a nice college hitter who performed much better in his second time around in the Texas League, but not a big leaguer. Martinez could be a nice utility player. He has good hands and positions himself well but has below-average range for shortstop. He hit just about everywhere in the Springfield lineup and is a great situational hitter. But he's a backup for a championship team. |
| Q: | Earl from Buffalo asks: Was there any consideration for Landon Powell, or did the injury end any chance of making the list? Where does he now stand as a prospect after the injury? Thanks for doing the chat! |
| A: | Will Lingo: I did hear good reports on Powell, but ultimately the knee injury, not to mention the fact that he'll be 26 when next season starts, meant there were more promising players to put ahead of him. It's a shame about the injury, though, because some managers thought he was the best defensive catcher in the league and liked his bat as well. |
| Q: | Jack from Rolla, MO asks: What about Jason Motte? Can he pull a Troy Percival? |
| A: | Will Lingo: There's no one you can slide past the BA readers, though I am disappointed not to have seen a Cory Rauschenberger question yet. Motte, for those of you who might have missed it, moved from catcher last season and jumped from Low A to Double-A this year. He throws a heavy fastball at 97-98 mph and showed the ability to spot it, and he made progress with his slider this year. He had a 2.20 ERA and held batters to a .208 average. So I think he could figure into the Cardinals bullpen, perhaps as soon as next season. |
| Q: | Ben from Leland Grove asks: Is Venable still one of SD's better bats, and did he get consideration for the list? |
| A: | Will Lingo: Venable is in that 21-25 group, but there were enough questions about him that ultimately I didn't put him on the list. The people who like him think he's a do-everything player who makes all the plays in center or left (below-average arm) and is a gap to gap hitter who should add power. Detractors thought his defense was questionable and his swing was long, and they saw him more as a fourth outfielder. |
| Q: | Mike Marinaro from Tampa, FL asks: Where were all those crazy power numbers we usually see from the Texas League? |
| A: | Will Lingo: More than anything, I just think it was a better year for pitching talent than hitting talent in the league this year. Midland in particular can be a launching pad, but the RockHounds were a little thin on hitters this year. |
| Q: | Luke from Des Moines asks: Hey Will, thanks for the chat. With Bryan Anderson, is it a lack of power or just overall low ceiling that is keeping him from the top 10? I mean he's a lefthanded hitting catcher with improving defense and one of the younger players in AA. Also, when will he take over as the St. Louis catcher? Thanks. |
| A: | Will Lingo: For me it was just the questions about his defense that drove him down the list. Some people really didn't like his defense and don't think he can make it back there. One manager even worried that he doesn't have the body to be a full-time catcher. Now he is just 20 years old, so for now you give him every opportunity to make it. And his own manager is a believer, so it's not like he has no chance. But it doesn't look like he's going to have big power, so if he can't play catcher his value takes a huge hit. |
| Q: | Jerry from California asks: Nick Hundley certainly does not get much fanfare. Do you see him as a future MLB back-up catcher, or does he have the skills to be the team leader for the Padres in the future. What's his ceiling as a hitter, and is his power potential legit? |
| A: | Will Lingo: Hundley was the league's all-star catcher, and everyone loves him behind the plate, but there aren't many people who think he'll hit enough to be a big league regular. I think what he did this year (hitting around .250 with 20 home runs) would be his best case, but I just didn't find anyone who thought he would be able to do that in the big leagues. But he has the defensive skills to be a backup for sure. |
| Q: | Eric from California asks: Hi Will. Great list! What is the deal with German Duran. His numbers looked very solid but he seems to be an afterthought when people talk about quality second base prospects. What's the rub on him? |
| A: | Will Lingo: I don't think there is a rub on Duran; he just wasn't on anyone's radar coming into the season, so he's not in the front of people's minds when they talk about second-base prospects now. But he's legit, with a strong body and a quick bat, so I think he'll continue to perform. |
| Q: | Cam from Midland, TX asks: Will, does Josh Geer project as a major leaguer, or just an organizational guy? I know he doesn't light up the gun, but he is quite savvy. |
| A: | Will Lingo: I think he can be a back of the rotation guy in the big leagues, and that's why I put him at the back end of the prospect list. He has great command and is a strong competitor, so I think he will continue to get people out. But he's not overpowering so his margin for error will always be small. |
| Q: | Curt from Sacramento asks: Can either Headley or Antonelli be an impact player for the Padres? They seem to always produce marginal major leaguers, but not top-notch guys. |
| A: | Will Lingo: I think both can be impact players, with Headley having a higher ceiling. Basically managers were reduced to walking him to try to limit his effectiveness by the end of the season. |
| Q: | Adam from NYC asks: How close was John Mayberry Jr. to making the list? He pretty much matched his production from the CAL league in the first half, which seems like a good sign for his maturation. What type of player does TEX expect him to be? Is a poor man's Ryan Howard, with lower average, out of the question? What holds him back from taking the next step? |
| A: | Will Lingo: Everyone recognizes the tools and the light-tower power potential, so there's no debate there. But no one ever forgets to mention his long swing either. He also still hasn't developed any strike-zone discipline to speak of, either. He's not sure of his own hitting zone, so he often gets himself out. One manager said, "We'd just flip stuff up there, and he'd try to show us he could hit it out." If he doesn't get that figured out, he'll never tap into his power potential. |
| Q: | Jim from Newport Beach, CA asks: Will, can you please work on your response time? You are slower than Beano Cook! |
| A: | Will Lingo: Ouch. I could make a joke about No-tra Dame here, but I guess we'd better move to the lightning round because Jim is needed in surgery... |
| Q: | Greg from St. Charles Hills asks: Padres 3B of the future: Kouzmanoff or Headley? |
| A: | Will Lingo: Headley. |
| Q: | Greg from St. Charles Hills asks: What's is Hochevar's future? Ace, #2, #3? Will his results ever match his stuff? |
| A: | Will Lingo: I'd say he'll be a solid No. 2 guy. And yes! |
| Q: | Josh from Cambrian Way asks: Who has the brighter future: Cameron Maybin or Colby Rasmus? |
| A: | Will Lingo: Tough call, but I think I'd take Maybin. |
| Q: | Jody from Chicago asks: Thanks for taking our questions today. I'm seeking some insight on Chase Headley. His numbers look great on the surface, but he did play in the Texas League and his Batting Average on Balls in Play was .401! So the question becomes, did he experience real growth this year or is his 330437580 line much inflated? |
| A: | Will Lingo: I didn't talk to anyone who didn't think he was completely legit. He has learned the value of power without completely selling out for it, and he switch-hits. Strong on defense too. What's not to love? |
| Q: | Michael Swecker from vegas asks: I know everyone has Bruce rated above Rasmus, but is he really better? Rasmus is superior defensively because of centerfield skills and while Bruce has a HUGE edge in power right now, Rasmus' power profile seems likely to improve with time, given his body type, work ethic, swing, and the fact that power is often what comes last especially for those born to play baseball like Rasmus. What do you think? How close are they? |
| A: | Will Lingo: Bruce would rate ahead of Rasmus both in power and overall hitting at this point, and those are both pretty important. And Bruce has done it at Triple-A, albeit it just 50 games. So he's still the man. |
| Q: | from asks: All Freddie Sandoval seems to do is hit and produce. He even increased his numbers after playing in the CAL league last season, which is impressive. Is he a legit prospect for the Angels, even given his age? Does he have any shot at with guys like Brandon Wood and Chone Figgins in front of him? |
| A: | Will Lingo: Sandoval is a utilityman, though he could be a good one, or perhaps a second baseman if everything goes right. Not enough power for third base long term. |
| Q: | Eric Hurley from Arlington, TX asks: I'm in the top 20 in all of baseball for your midseason list, but only 8th in the Texas League top 20? Behind Luke Hochevar and Nick Adenhart and Matt Antonelli? What did I do to upset you guys? |
| A: | Will Lingo: You just weren't quite as dominant as we expected you to be. But being the fifth of five pitchers with Adenhart, Reynolds, Hochevar and Morales is certainly nothing to be ashamed of. |
| Q: | Alex from St. Louis Mo asks: With alot of Cardinals on the Texas League top 20. Ottavino in FSL top 20. Herron in the MWL top 20, and a bunch of guys in the lower level top 20's, is it safe to say the Cardinals have a top 10 farm system? |
| A: | Will Lingo: It's tough to say until we look at the top 30 lists of all the organizations as they come in for the Prospect Handbook, but off the top of my head I would say no. |
| Q: | Tom from St. Louis, MO asks: What is your opinion of Jose Martinez and Joe Mather's upside. Where do you see them in 3 years? Can they both be MLB starters? |
| A: | Will Lingo: As I said earlier, I think Martinez ends up as a backup-utility type. Mather I think will be a boom or bust player. I stuck him on the end of the list because his power potential is really intriguing and it seemed like things really started to click for him this year. |
| Q: | Mark from St. Louis asks: Here is your Cory Meacham, I mean Cory Rauschenberger question. He had some rough games this year, but he would also put up a gem every once in a while. The Cardinals continue to push him up through the system, so he must have decent stuff. What is a quick scouting report on him, and does he have a big league future? |
| A: | Will Lingo: Thanks Mark! And thanks to the Cardinals fans for coming out in force today, as well as everyone else. Good to see so much enthusiasm for these orgs. Rauschenberger was previously known as Meacham but took his stepfather's name this season, if I remember correctly. He has a fastball-changeup-slurvy curveball combo and touches 93-94 but usually works around 89-90. He has performed better after he moved to a higher arm slot, which allowed him to keep the ball down better. Not a top guy, but a guy worth keeping a eye on. |
| Q: | Tom Collins from St. Louis, MO asks: The Cardinals had 5 guys make the Texas League Top 20, including the #1 prospect. They had three in the GCL top 20, one in the Appy League, one in the NY-P league(with Mortensen falling short because of innings), one in the Midwest League and one in the FSL. Where does the Cardinals system rank among other systems? Surely its not in the bottom 13 anymore. Would the 13-16 range sound about right? |
| A: | Will Lingo: That sounds more like it. Will Lingo: That's all for today, folks. Thanks for coming out, and it's on to the Triple-A leagues in the next couple of days. Enjoy and we'll see you again when the organizational lists get cranked up. |