League Top 20 Prospects

Carolina League Top 20 Prospects Chat




 Q:  Brian from Alexandria asks:
Bill Ballew ranked Justin Maxwell among his top 20 in the Sally League, but he is not in your top 20 for the Carolina League, did his age play a role in his exclusion?
 A: 

Chris Kline: I'm so focused on Cole Hamels right now, I have nothing fun to say in terms of an introduction . . . let's just go.

Chris Kline: And let's begin with Maxwell, since I figured he'd be the hot topic of conversation as one of a seemingly endless number of Nationals prospects who unexpectedly made his big league debut this year. I really can't speak for Bill, but when people mention Ian Desmond ahead of you like they did in my Carolina League calls to numerous field staff and scouts, it doesn't bode well. Some of that I think was due to scouts--and admittedly me--knocking Maxwell for his medical history . . . it really had nothing to do with age. Maxwell hit for power, but a lot of that was straight pull. I really like the body when it's healthy. He definitely has upside . . . and I guess I can see why Washington sent him up in some regard because of what wasn't happening at the big league level, but this is seriously a guy who needs a lot more ABs before he's ready for that.

 Q:  Jim from Kansas City, MO asks:
Chris, Do you see Dan Cortes moving up to AA next year and challenging for a KC rotation spot by 2009 ? Does he profile as a back of rotation type starter or better ? Thank you
 A: 

Chris Kline: I like Cortes and I think he could actually be a No. 3 if everything comes together. 2009? Maybe.

 Q:  Price from Macon, GA asks:
Chris, Great list and thanks for doing the chat. With the Braves announcing they'll not be resigning Jones, do you think Schafer gets a look in Spring Training, or do they find a stop-gap for a year. Steve Finley meets Sizemore? Finley hit 20+ hr's most years and over 30 a few times, do you think Schafer has that kind of power in him?
 A: 

Chris Kline: Look at Sizemore's minor league numbers too. Schafer initially wasn't a slam dunk No. 1 when I first started compiling this list in August, but as I saw him more and talked to more and more people, it was a no-brainer. He can do a lot of things on both sides, and I think he gets a look in the spring. But I don't think the Braves are one to really push that on him. If they don't hit the market for a CF, they have Gregor Blanco (who I feel is underrated). And for all then national media markets projecting Brandon Jones as their CF of the future, forget it. Jones is a LF all the way. As for the power, it's gap-to-gap with occasional boom-boom, just like Sizemore was in the CL.

 Q:  Brian from Rosslyn asks:
Mike Daniel seemed to be the forgotten man among the three OF prospects for Potomac (with Justin Maxwell and Chris Marrero), does he have the chance to develop into a major leaguer of some value, perhaps a #4 OF?
 A: 

Chris Kline: That's what Daniel is, and he actually had a late swoon to make the list in what was frankly a down year in terms of talent in the league.

 Q:  Dana from New Jersey asks:
Has the prospect ship sailed on Ian Desmond or is there still time for him to develop into a major league starter?
 A: 

Chris Kline: See, I'm not on that ship. If you ask Aaron Fitt, he'd say I've been on that ship since 2005, but Desmond's defense is legit--right behind Andrus at short in this league. Statistically, they finished with the same fielding percentage (.949) and off the top of my head, I think Desmond played 20+ more games and had over 100 more total chances after Andrus was dealt. I just think ever since the Nats pushed him by keeping him in big league camp nearly all spring two years ago really kind of stunted Desmond's development. And after that, they sent him to Harrisburg, where he stunk up the joint bad. The defensive tools are for real; the question is the bat. But no, I don't think his ship has sailed.

 Q:  Kyle from Mississippi asks:
Did any other Fred-Keys get considered for the top 20?? Also, what was Mitch Einertson's personal issues the past 3 years and are they resloved to the point that he can make an impact eventually for the pros?
 A: 

Chris Kline: Hmmmm . . . your Mills Cup champion Frederick Keys? Jason Berken and David Hernandez definitely were considered, and they're very similar with the arms in the 11-20 range. That's the thing about this league in 2007, especially in terms of arms--a lot of similarities. As for Einertson, I think he took a big step forward this year in his approach and maturity--not only as a player, but as a person. Maybe Callis can plug in a left fielder in the Astros' depth chart in 2008 after all.

 Q:  John C from Acworth, GA asks:
I know Bob McCrory of Frederick did not qualify. Where might he have fallen if he did?
 A: 

Chris Kline: McCrory has the best fastball in the league before he was promoted, touching 97 mph while sitting in that cool, 93-95 range. He could be Chris Ray waiting to happen . . . or at least Jim Hoey.

 Q:  Shane from Atlanta asks:
Chris, Thanks for taking the time, love these chats. I see that Hanson and Rohrbough have been rated quite high on the lists this year. Of the two, which do you feel has a higher ceiling? Wainwright is a nice comparison for Hanson, have you heard of one for Rohrbough?
 A: 

Chris Kline: If you talk to the Braves folks, they regard Hanson as their top arm. Haven't heard a comp on Rohrbough yet, but I'm sure they'll crawl out of the woodwork in the Sally League next year. He's kind of a big deal.

 Q:  PETE from FLORIDA asks:
JORDAN SCHAFER IS IMPROVING EACH YEAR. WHAT TIME FRAME DO YOU BELIEVE HE SHOULD BE UP IN THE MAJORS?
 A: 

Chris Kline: Ease off on the caps, Pete. I get yelled at enough. I think Schafer could be up at some point next season, but really believe he'll begin 2008 in Mississippi.

 Q:  Auggie from Anaheim asks:
Chris, There's a lot of good young CF's coming up in the minors. I see Schafer being compared to FinleySizemore, and i've heard similar comparisons to Desmond Jennings. Who would you rather have Jordan Schafer or Desmond Jennings and why?
 A: 

Chris Kline: Right now? Schafer. He's more polished and the more complete player . . . again . . . right now.

 Q:  Jason from Kent, OH asks:
Chris, With Josh Rodriguez the Indians seemingly have another MI prospect on their hands, even if it's in a utility role. What do you think they do this off-season, does Cabrera move over to short and Peralta to third? Does Rodriguez fill the void at 2B in another year?
 A: 

Chris Kline: Depends who you talk to. With Rodriguez's emerging power this year, there are some people in the organization that think he could handle the move to 3B. Rodriguez made some plays no one else--including Andrus or Desmond--made in that league this year, but I mean, make the routine play. Just little inconsistencies in his range, that kind of stuff. But I don't think he'd have a hard time moving over to the right side of the infield either. And the Tribe thinks Cabrera has enough arm, range and quick hands to play SS in the big leagues. It's an interesting puzzle.

 Q:  Emmett from Fayetteville, GA asks:
Was Kala Kaaihue in the discussion at all or did his second half disaster at Mississippi preclude him from the rankings?
 A: 

Chris Kline: He did, and that abysmal performance in AA definitely didn't help him. Neither did his footwork around the bag or the fact that he has a hard time using the whole field.

 Q:  john m from nyc asks:
Was frederick's pitching staff that talented to have three players in the league's top 16? Erbe and Spoone had prospect status coming into the year but Bergesen wasn't even in book. Is Bergesen a real prospect or just the beneficiary of a weak Carolina league?
 A: 

Chris Kline: It was pretty flipping good. Every starter could touch 95 mph; but Spoone had the most consistent secondary stuff. You can look at Bergesen either way, but his stuff is legit. At best, he's a No. 4, and really, a lot of the guys in the back end of the list will probably wind up as middle relievers with the ultimate ceiling being maybe a No. 5.

 Q:  John from Harrisonburg, VA asks:
While Rowdy Hardy's fastball doesn't have the same pop as the top pitching prospects, he still had an incredible year for Wilmington. What are your thoughts on his ability?
 A: 

Chris Kline: If everything works out, he's Jamie Moyer. But that's arguably the biggest if in the minor leagues in 2007. He pitches backwards, his fastball is 80-83 mph . . . my main question with him is, if the Royals were completely sold on his ability to get hitters out consistently based on his dominance in the CL, why not promote him to the Texas League (hitter's league) and see what they have?

 Q:  Gustavo Gonzalez from Caracas, Venezuela asks:
Could you explain why Josh Flores no qualify and Where would have ranked if he did qualify for this list? Thanks
 A: 

Chris Kline: Venezuela represent! I like Flores a lot, and he was the talk of the league at various points during the year. But scouts really feel his value is as a fourth or fifth outfielder and for me, guys who throw 90-95 mph, even if they profile as relievers, have more value than that.

 Q:  Sammy from Los Angeles asks:
Did the fact that David Huff was shut down at the end of May keep him from your list? His numbers up to that time were among the best in the league. I see that he is going to the Arizona Fall League.
 A: 

Chris Kline: Yes. And yes, part II. Oh, and yes, part III. Should be fun, and a challenge for Huff.

 Q:  john m from nyc asks:
Any sleepers to keep an eye out for?
 A: 

Chris Kline: Not that he's a sleeper, and he only made it to the CL for the playoffs, but we at BA love Nick Weglarz. Mark Shapiro loves him too.

 Q:  Jason from Montana (Give the Big Sky some love!) asks:
Lynchburg looked pretty weak in a bad year for the Pirates but are there any prospects to look forward to other than Ford? Any hope?
 A: 

Chris Kline: Yeah, not too fun. Cuban defector Serguey Linares is interesting though.

Chris Kline: Hamels is killing me right now. (3:27 p.m.)

 Q:  Norman Banks from San Diego asks:
I recognize you cannot have all your picks from the same franchise but you left out John Drennen, who is two years younger than Mitch Einertson and has much more upside. LF is a power position and many scouts project Drennen as 25-35 HR potential. Do you really think that Kinston's pitching staff should have been eliminated from this list? Even if you exclude Huff because of injury, I am not sure what the rationale for Edell would be.
 A: 

Chris Kline: I guess we're all waiting for Drennen to show that upside. He repeated the league, and didn't exactly set the world on fire. Sure, he could still be Brian Giles, but he didn't make quick adjustments at all. Disappointing. Kinston's staff had a nice year and I'm a big Tony Arnold fan, but again, we're talking a lot of extremely similar guys--there wasn't a Lofgren-type guy anywhere in the league this time around. No question some guys on that staff have upside, but if it comes down between Cuevas and Frank Herrmann, I go Cuevas. And I love Frank Herrmann.

 Q:  Colby from Crawford, TX asks:
Chris, Interested in your thoughts on Max Ramirez. The Rangers now have Salty, Teagaarden and Ramirez all bunching up on one another behind the plate. Which one sticks there long-term, and if another moves to first base, who out of Ramirez and Teagaarden is the odd-man out either at first or behind the plate?
 A: 

Chris Kline: It's be cool if Teagarden was from Sweden, because that's likely how he'd spell his name. If Teagarden is healthy, he sticks. But Salty is a better defender than a lot of people give him credit for. Ramirez's defense has improved, but he's still behind the other two. He'll wear out the gaps though. One of the best pure hitters in the league this year.

 Q:  Dan from Hartford, CT asks:
Chris, he may not have been in the mix for the top 20, but what are scouts saying about Stephen Head's ability to regain the power stroke that made him such a highly regarded draft prospect? Also, has Ian Desmond rejoined the upper level of SS prospects? How close was he to the top 20?
 A: 

Chris Kline: Jury is still out on that one, Dan. Head came on late in AA, but I wouldn't say he's regained it just yet. The biggest thing he did later in the year was use the whole field more effectively. He's still too pull-happy though. Already touched on Desmond.

Chris Kline: Cole Hamels is still killing me. (3:39 p.m., same inning)

 Q:  Bob Hamer from Phoenix, AZ asks:
I'm willing to bet 10 thousand dollars that Brad James ends up a better pitchers than half of the guys ahead of him on this list. He has a nasty sinker... a notch below Lowe, Webb, K-Brown... just watch he will dominate. How do you rate Erbe ahead of him? Erbe will go to the bullpen and James will starter, starters are more valuable than relievers.
 A: 

Chris Kline: Please send your check to: Chris Kline Baseball America 201 W. Main Street, Suite 201 Durham, NC 27701

 Q:  Tim Burton from Fargo, ND asks:
How do the Astros get away with not having a hitting coach at HIGH A? It's one of the most if not the most important developmental level and they have no hitting coach. How inept are the members of this organization?
 A: 

Chris Kline: First of all, not fair. Second of all, incorrect. Chuck Carr was the hitting coach in Salem, dude. And he throws a mean BP. Repeats his mechanics well. "Chuckie hacks."

 Q:  J. Lebowski from Los Angeles asks:
Do you have a favorite Springsteen song?
 A: 

Chris Kline: I only listen to Creedence, dude.

 Q:  John from Kinston asks:
CK you are a Kinston guy...any intriguing prospectsplayers other than those on the list?
 A: 

Chris Kline: Technically I'm an east coast joker, and a transplanted Southerner. One guy I'll bring up is Eric Campbell. Better tools than maybe any other hitter on this list sans Schafer, but terrible makeup. It's a shame when someone has that much talent and doesn't seem to really care or show you effort.

 Q:  Peter from NYC asks:
What is Spoone's ceiling if his control improves? Where does he rank amoung Oriole pitching prospects?
 A: 

Chris Kline: Spoone could be a No. 2 or 3 as far as I'm concerned. He's got to be in the O's top 5.

Chris Kline: Thanks very much for all the outstanding questions as usual. Sorry I couldn't get to all of them . . . Let's talk again when I get back from the Arizona Fall League, OK? Terrific. Have a great weekend, CK