| Q: | will coxwell from montgomery alabama asks: matt downs was the mvp of the league and played 4 positions where does he stand ? |
| A: | Alan Matthews: Our loyal readers might recall my Angels, Dodgers, Pioneer and Eastern League chats in years past, but this year we switched things up here at BA World Headquarters and I handled the NWL and Southern Leagues. The NWL had an interesting blend of older, four-year college talent that really performed well and some younger, raw Latin kids that have a long ways to go, but more upside, in most cases. Thanks for coming by, let's delve deeper . . . Alan Matthews: No team was older and heavier in college players than the league's best team, Salem-Keizer. Manager Steve Decker was pleasantly candid about this crowd, and he mentioned several players that had potential to overachieve their way into prospect status down the road, including Downs. He was a 36th-rounder out of Alabama in 2006, and was repeating the league. He'll be 24 next spring training, and profiles on a corner, so how he hits for power will be important as he matures, and we'll need to see him do just that against better pitching before running him up any prospect lists. |
| Q: | JAYPERS from IL asks: No Josh Vitters? Did he not have enough ABs to qualify? If so, where would he ranked if he had? |
| A: | Alan Matthews: Vitters spent just seven games in the AZL and seven more in the NWL, so he did not qualify for either league's Top 20 list. In my opinion, the best pure hitter available in this year's draft, Vitters has tremendous upside. His debut, though, was forgettable. He wanted to sign right away and get out and play, but based on his high draft status, he and his agent played the waiting game, got a reasonable signing bonus and then reported to pro ball. He's going to have to work on his approach as a pro, showing patience and willingness to use all fields, but he has great eye-hand coordination, bat speed, power, and all the intangibles to become a top-flight run producer down the line. |
| Q: | Brian from New York asks: Darrin Holcomb Carried Tri-City to the finals with .303.523.914 23 Doubles 12HR. AND more walks then K's. Why is not Top 10 on this list? Instead he is off the list all together. Curious as to what the rationale is for this? |
| A: | Alan Matthews: Holcomb was a pleasant surprise this summer from Gonzaga (12th-round, 2007) tore up the league, as you noted. He had back problems this spring, which might have been one reason he lasted until the 12th round, but there was more than one scout who saw him in college, wasn't interested, and then saw a completely different guy this summer in the NWL. I've concerns about how well he profiles on the corners, and he might wind up playing first base when it's all said and done, so he was one of the last couple of hitters to get cut from the list. He has a pull approach and doesn't have much room for physical growth as a block-bodied type of player, so let's wait and hope he repeats the performance against better pitching before we heap too much praise on him. |
| Q: | Chip from Louisville, KY asks: Did Everett left Nick Hill get any consideration for the list? I know he's got average stuff, but he's left handed was basically unhittable in the league! And he's from Army so the Mariners will probably be able to get more out of him now that he can focus solely on baseball. What do you think?? THANKS! |
| A: | Alan Matthews: I liked Hill as an amateur and believe he's got value as a prospect, though only as a reliever. With the upside of power arms in the league, he was left off the 20. He had a great debut after signing for $70,000 in the seventh round this year out of Army. His makeup, work ethic and pitchabiltiy are far ahead of his stuff. He's going to pitch at 85-87 mph with a fringy breaking ball. He mixes his stuff well and had good command during most of his outings in the NWL. |
| Q: | Emmett from Fayetteville, GA asks: I'm surprised that Danny Payne was left off the list. He had a 430+obp and seemed to improve as the season went on, |
| A: | Alan Matthews: We have a tremendous following among college baseball fans, and I love the way our readers keep tabs on players from college ball as they make their way up the minor league ladder. Payne had a great career in college at Ga. Tech, and he was a real leader for the Jackets as their center fielder and closer as an underclassman. He was one of the college position players who got a nice boost in the draft this year based on the scarcity of proven bats. He needs to hone his approach and situational hitting skills to maximize his value. One of those players with just enough power to get himself in trouble, Payne's going to play in the big leagues when he cuts down his swing and keeps the ball from gap to gap. He's not an exceptional runner, might not make it as a center fielder, and has very little physical projection, so again, how he profiles will become a quesiton when major league general managers are estimating his ultimate value. |
| Q: | Jeff from NoCal asks: Will Tony Thomas be able to stick at 2B or will he have to move positions? What type of player do you see him becoming or do you see a MLB player that would be a good comp for his style of play? |
| A: | Alan Matthews: Back-to-back ACC player questions . . . I can hear the Cali contingent groaning already . . . Thomas was a steal, in my opinion, in the third round. Tim Wilken considered taking him with an earlier pick in the Cubs draft room, but when he was still there in the third, he might have done a cartwheel or two. He's a good--not great--athlete with good aptitude and a strong work ethic. He's not going to be a fluid defender and he's not light on his feet, so he's going to cause some grey hairs for managers with his lack of mobility in the middle of the diamond, but he might hit enough to makeup for his defensive shortcomings, and I think he can stay at second base in pro ball. |
| Q: | Rich Minford from Boone, NC asks: I want to ask about the prospect status of Spokane catcher, Jonathan Greene, who was drafted in the 8th round this year by Texas. Interestingly after playing catcher in high school,Greene played 3rd and OF at Western Carolina which speaks for his versatility. At the HS level,he was a legit 5 tool guy and a very tough competitor, so I'm curious how he stacks up in pro ball. After hitting 11 home runs at Spokane,Greene was invited to Ranger instructs. |
| A: | Alan Matthews: Greene was a topic of conversation with some managers, but when the scouts graded out his toolset, he came up short. His versatility might be a product of the Rangers trying to maximize his value. He is not a real strong defensive catcher, and his bat is going to have to carry him. He has above-average raw power and managers appreciated the way he went about his work. |
| Q: | Jeff from California asks: Seeing Donaldson at #2 and Canham at #14 and knowing they were drafted around the same spot, did the cubs do well by selecting Donaldson where they did and is he that much better of a prospect than Canham after a year in the league? |
| A: | Alan Matthews: We have an early leader for the best question of the chat . . . Both guys are offensive-minded catchers out of good college programs. Donaldson shows more natural feel for the position than Canham, yet he played third base as a freshman at Auburn in 2005, began catching as a sophomore and boosted his reputation with a strong showing in the Cape Cod League last summer. A right thumb injury limited his action behind the plate as a junior, too, but I like his chances to develop into a solid-average defender. He has a slightly better approach and a better feel for hitting than Canham. |
| Q: | Volcano Fan from Keizer Oregon asks: The Volcanoes had the best record in professional baseball. They had a bullpen with outstanding pitchers --Edelfsen, Otero, DelaGarza, and others; which never blew a lead or a save. Please take the time to look at the individual stats of these pitchers and please comment on them. Does a prospect have to be a teenager? |
| A: | Alan Matthews: Another very good question . . . At the Rookie and short-season levels, there's going to be a greater emphasis placed on tools and potential than performance. SK has a phenomenal bullpen, as it didn't lose game after leading after 6 innings all summer. I think Edlefsen, a converted position player, has the best chance to make it to the big leagues out of the bunch. He has plus sink on his fastball from a deceptive arm slot. |
| Q: | mike from washington asks: what do u know about marquis pettis?what's the story with him?he had a great year for everett.i know he was old for the league but majority of the guys in the northwest was 21 or older.what's the scouting report on him? |
| A: | Alan Matthews: He was on of several Interesting arms in Everett this summer. A 25-year-old NDFA out of Diablo Valley (Calif.) JC, his fastball ranges from 90-93 and he has plus control of it. He lacks feel for his breaking ball and doesn't repeat his delivery. He has good downhill plane on his FB. |
| Q: | Navin from Pasadena, CA asks: Thanks for doing these chats, they're great. What did you think about Boise pitcher Alberto Cabrera? He's young (18), has good height and size and put together some really good starts before slowing down and finishing the season injured. |
| A: | Alan Matthews: Cabrera was one of a handful of Latin arms in Boise to show some promise this summer. He was shut down with shoulder fatigue, but has a live arm and sticks with his best pitch--a plus fastball with some life down in the zone. He's a 6-foot-4, 18-year-old from the D.R. |
| Q: | Navin from Pasadena, CA asks: That wasn't the most encouraging report on Huseby. In your writeup in the Prospect Handbook, you had Huseby clocked 90-95. I know he's young and very projectable but is the drop in velocity cause for concern given his injury history? |
| A: | Alan Matthews: Having seen Huseby pitch as a high school underclassman at a tournament in Fort Myers way back in 2004, when he was already touching 92s, I was surprised to hear that his velocity was down at times this year. One report from Cubs camp had him touching 95 mph at one point, but three scouts who saw him said he was anywhere from 86-90 mph or the 88-91 range, depending on who saw him when. They all liked his delivery, though, and said he did it easy, so there's reason to be confident that he'll rediscover his velocity. He hasn't pitched much, having missed a year following Tommy John surgery, so there's no reason to think there are additional health concerns with this kid. |
| Q: | Adam J. Morris from Houston, Texas asks: I'm guessing Michael Main and Neftali Feliz didn't have enough time in the NWL to qualify for the top 20. Would they have cracked the list, and what are your thoughts on the future for those two Rangers prospects? |
| A: | Alan Matthews: Neither Main nor Feliz qualified. They would have both ranked in the top 10. Main would have been No 1. He's got a quick, clean arm action, and began to make some adjustments in his approach to pitching. He has a power breaking ball with tight spin and more than just feel for his changeup. He's been up to 97 mph in the past, and was checking in with 93s and 94s in the NWL. One scout compared him to Mike Mussina with a slightly firmer fastball, and don't forget that Mussina could bring it in his prime, too. Feliz is less polished, but as one of the players the Rangers received from Atlanta in the Saltalamacchia trade this summer, he figures to add some depth to the Rangers system. He needs to work on his secondary stuff, but has big tools and a fastball that has been up to 98. |
| Q: | Skills from Pittsburgh asks: It seems as if the NWL has the weakest collection of talent so far in the League Reviews. Is that a fair assessment? Also, give Canham a break, will you? Now his kids and grandkids will be able to read that he got his hoohahs smashed and you're questioning where his power went! Thanks for the chat. |
| A: | Alan Matthews: It certainly wasn't as strong as the GCL or NYPL, but compared favorably to the Pioneer and Appy Leagues. I'll take strike-throwing machines at 12 and 13, and a toolsy center fielder at 11. It wasn't heavy with no-brainer prospects that ooze tools and projection, but there was a very deep collection of guys with nice potential. Canham is a fave of practically everyone in the office, if not for the way he plays the game and carries himself on the field, but for the fact the guy needs a wheelbarrow to carry his ____ around. He's got a big heart, and when he took a foul tip to the worst place imaginable, he actually stayed in the lineup and tried to play before requiring surgery. |
| Q: | Todd from Chattanooga asks: Thanks for the time Alan! Quick question about Juan Ramirez. Do you really believe this kid has something more than just potential? I realize that he is only 19, but do you really feel he'll fair better against stiffer competition in higher level ball? Is it just a matter of him getting his control together? Mechanics seem strong but averaging 5 walks per nine! |
| A: | Alan Matthews: I was skeptical as I was interviewing scouts, and the numbers of both Ramirez and Fabio Castillo are underwhelming, for sure. At times, both pitchers lose their release point and have a hard time finding it again. But that's something that was said about dozens of pitchers who are cashing big league paychecks right now, so I tried to take into account the entire package on these guys. They have clean deliveries, arm speed, can spin a breaking ball--even if it doesn't wind up where they always want--and create plane. The ingredients are there, it's just going to take time. |
| Q: | Jhon Mathew from Eugene asks: Why Luis Durango is not on this list after having the year he had? |
| A: | Alan Matthews: For the second year in a row, Durango put up outstanding numbers. He led the NWL in average and hits, and was third in on-base percentage. He does it with bat control and speed. An 80 runner on the 20-80 scale, Durango deploys a slap approach and knows how to take advantage of his speed. He doesn't have much strength, and he's a below-average defender in center field. He gets some Tony Phillips comps, as well as Juan Pierre, but he'll always have to overcome the conventional concerns about his lack of size and strength as he fights for respect as a prospect. |
| Q: | Gary from New Jersey asks: How does a guy like Kyler Burke crack the top 20? Is this league that weak? How high can Kulbacki project? |
| A: | Alan Matthews: What's wrong with Burke? This guy is a physical body of art, with strength and power to his game, as well as above-average athleticism. He's raw, but has lots of upside. He needs to hone his feel for hitting and control the strike zone better, but with his tools, it wasn't a stretch to rank him, and wasn't an indictment of the league in doing so. Kulbacki, while coincidentally drafted and signed by the same Padres area scout, Ash Lawson, is a completely different player. He lacks fluidity, but simply knows how to hit, and has a track record for doing so. A lot of people were down on his ability to hit with wood in the amateur scouting world after the Cape Cod League season last summer, but he actually came on relatively well late in the summer, and that was duly noted by San Diego. He can play everyday in the big leagues if he continues to develop his power and takes his defense more seriously. |
| Q: | Danny from Montreal asks: No one from Salem-Keizer? Wow. What impressions did supplemental-round c Jackson Williams, ss Sharlon Schoop (who BA was high on in the AZL last year) and rhp Daniel Otero (22.1 IP, 12 H, 0 BB, 15 SO, 19 SV) make? And was there anyone else on the team who stood out? Thanks. |
| A: | Alan Matthews: Williams was drafted by the Giants with one of their extra picks in this year's draft, and his MO is defense. He can really receive--with good hands, quiet feet and a low target. Decker, a former catcher, called his technique the best he had ever seen for a player coming straight out of college. He needs to improve his swing, as he has an uppercut stroke and tries to lift the ball. His bat speed is not a plus. Schoop showed some improvement with his power, remains a prospect, but is still raw and slowly learning to make adjustments at the plate and defensively. Garret Baker has plus raw power, and might be the guy off this club that makes himself into the best prospect, despite the rigidity his game features. Otero was similar to most of the relievers there--solid- to fringe-average fastball fastball than he commanded well and a chase slider that works well when he was ahead in counts. |
| Q: | Dave Cline's Baseball Camp from NC asks: Alan, Where did Dave Cline's alum Rayn Falcon (who attended your alma matter Northern High School) fit in in the NWL mix? He had a stellar 2.68 ERA. |
| A: | Alan Matthews: And the leader among deep-cut questions thus far, this one might even be hidden-track material. . . Falcon was one of two Dave Cline's Baseball Camp alumni in the league, along with Yakima righthander Jason Neighborgall. Of course, Neighborgall continues to struggle with his command, whereas Falcon just pounded the zone with fringy stuff. He turned some heads because of his aggressive approach and willingness to pitch to contact, two traits I believe I worked on with him when he was a 13-year-old camper, but with a fastball that was sitting at 83-86 mph, he didn't make the cut. |
| Q: | Jason Layton from St Louis Mo asks: Can you give me your opinion on Matt Latos stuff? Does he project as a top of the line starter. And when do you see him making an impact in San Diego? Thanks for the time. |
| A: | Alan Matthews: There have not been a lot of questions about the guys at the top of this list, but rather more focus on guys who did not make it, perhaps that's appropriate as the league was deeper than it was top-heavy. Latos strikes me more as a setup man or closer than a top-of-the-rotation guy. His feel for pitching doesn't jump out at you, but he can spot the ball to both corners on occasion. He fiddled with the grip of his changeup this summer, and showed some ability to get a more conventional one over for strikes, as opposed to the split-change grip he had before. He spikes his curveball and it's a plus pitch at times, but in order for me to call this guy a frontline starter, I'd have to really project high on the feel and command of these pitches. That said, a scout compared him to Todd Stottlemyer, and maybe he's a No. 3--I think that might be a high-end estimate on his ceiling, but a lot of how far he goes depends on how well he adapts to the pro setting and his ability to absorb instruction. |
| Q: | Matt from Wheaton asks: How does Donaldson prject as a major league catcher? do you believe he will stay at the position or move to a corner spot? |
| A: | Alan Matthews: I think he's got the aptitude and tools to become a front-line catcher. He already has the arm strength and exchange, he needs work on receiving and some of the nuances of the position. |
| Q: | steve S from Davis, CA asks: Which Salem-Keizer hitter and pitcher came the closest to making the list? Perhaps the 20-year-old Latin Americans SS Sharlon Schoop and RHP Waldis Joaquin? |
| A: | Alan Matthews: Schoop, Garett Davis and Sean VanElderen as position players and Edlefsen as a pitcher. The Giants might laugh at that pitcher pick, because he's just a reliever, but I'm a sucker for guys who throw strikes with heavy fastballs, and this guy has more sink than Michael Vick's QB rating. |
| Q: | Navin from Pasadena, CA asks: Can you talk about a few of these Latin arms in Boise who showed promise? |
| A: | Alan Matthews: We've already touched on Alberto Cabrera, and righthanders Audy Santana and Al Alburquerque are two others worthy of mention. Santana works off an 89-93 mph fastball and a solid-average breaking ball. he attacked hitters when he came in out of the pen. He's got lots of arm strength and some room for projection. Alberto Alburquerque is another 21-year-old Dominican who was 88-92 mph most of the summer and also has an aggressive approach and ability to get a breaking ball over for strikes. Alan Matthews: Another Latin sleeper in this league that I have not been asked about, but would be remiss without mentioning is Evereth Cabrera at Tri City. A 20-year-old infielder who spent most of the summer playing second base across from Velazquez, he has good actions in the infield and a line-drive approach at the plate. He injured his ankle this season, but when he's right, he grades as a 7 runner on the 2-8 scale. |
| Q: | Bob from Spokane, Wa asks: Do either of Spokane's most reliable relievers this summer, Ryan Falcon and Andrew Laughter have any chance of moving throught the system? |
| A: | Alan Matthews: We have already touched on Falcon, but Laughter was another guy who drew lots of interest and contended for a spot on this list. He might have been the most consistent pitcher of the year for Spokane, although he's almost 23. He has a sharp, short-breaking slider that got lots of empty swings. His fastball was up to 94, and he also throws a changeup. He hides the ball well, and it has good sink. Very interesting guy. |
| Q: | Aaron from Boston asks: What happen to Josh Horton? |
| A: | Alan Matthews: Horton didn't have enough plate appearances to qualify. He's a nice player with an approach that will always be questioned, but I believe in his ability. He's going to play in the big leagues, though I don't know that he'll be an impact guy. A's east coast crosschecker Mike Holmes, one of a handful of the A's bright, up-and-coming evaluators out there who know much more than just numbers, and area scout Neil Avent were sold on Horton's ability to make consistent hard contact, and Oakland was happy to land him in the sandwich round of what was a very strong draft top-to-bottom. Grant Desme was another prospect at Vancouver that Oakland took this year in the supplemental round who did not qualify, but he has even more upside than Horton. Alan Matthews: Thanks for coming by today. Be sure to check out our podcasts, as well, as we'll be going in depth this month about some of the gems we've uncovered during league top 20 calls. |