Major League Preview

40-Man Roster Analysis By The Numbers




Identifying and Signing Hitters Since 1995

Top 5 Organizations
TeamRosterPASeasonsTop Three in PA
Blue Jays2132,85165.4Michael Young, Vernon Wells, Jay Gibbons
Rockies1923,37946.6Todd Helton, Juan Pierre, Juan Uribe
Cardinals 1621,00741.8Albert Pujols, Adam Kennedy, J.D. Drew
Phillies 1220,65341.1Jimmy Rollins, Pat Burrell, Marlon Anderson
Yankees1720,17640.2Mike Lowell, Alfonso Soriano, Nick Johnson

Toronto turned Young into Esteban Loaiza and lost Gibbons to the Rule 5 draft, but is still reaping the benefits from drafting Wells. The Blue Jays' sizeable advantage was obviously built on more than three hitters, though. While 11 others have amassed 1,000 big league plate appearances--Cesar Izturis, Casey Blake, Orlando Hudson, Felipe Lopez, Craig Wilson, Reed Johnson, Ryan Freel, Chris Woodward, Alex Rios, Josh Phelps, Aaron Hill--among them only Hill was drafted on general manager J.P. Ricciardi's watch. Check back in 10 years to see how Adam Lind and Travis Snider fare. The Phillies have gotten perhaps the most out of their own talent, as behind Rollins and Burrell on the list are Chase Utley (fourth) and Ryan Howard (ninth).

Bottom 5 Organizations
TeamRosterPASeasonsBatters with 1,500+ PA
Giants 81,5393.1None: Lance Niekro, 517
Padres 94,3688.7Khalil Greene
Dodgers156,75813.5Alex Cora
Cubs106,89313.7Corey Patterson, Eric Hinske
Orioles 77,33714.6Brian Roberts, David Dellucci

No wonder the Giants invest so heavily in free-agent hitters. Bill Mueller is easily the best hitter they've developed since Matt Williams (1986 draft), but if you think Niekro's uninspiring, check out the batters right behind him: Jason Ellison, Todd Linden and Kevin Frandsen, he of 102 big league plate appearances. Granted, the Padres haven't fared much better, but they have at least churned out regulars Xavier Nady, Jason Bartlett and Josh Barfield. More surprising was the Dodgers poor showing, as Cora has more than three times the big league experience of David Ross or Shane Victorino. Even more surprising, Russ Martin is already fourth on the list--after one big league season. The likes of Matt Kemp, Andy LaRoche and James Loney figure to change this sooner than later.

Identifying and Signing Pitchers Since 1995

Top 5 Organizations
TeamRosterIPSeasonsTop Three in IP
Cubs298,98955.5Jon Garland, Kerry Wood, Carlos Zambrano
Athletics207,05343.5Tim Hudson, Barry Zito, Mark Mulder
Diamondbacks 256,49540.1Brad Penny, Vicente Padilla, Brandon Webb
Angels156,23938.5Jarrod Washburn, Ramon Ortiz, John Lackey
Phillies 195,31532.8Randy Wolf, Adam Eaton, Brett Myers

The Cubs and Giants rank one-two in sheer quantity of major league pitchers developed, but the Cubs have wrung considerably more quality out of their group to date. Beyond trading Garland for Matt Karchner, Chicago also traded away Kyle Lohse (for Rick Aguilera), Dontrelle Willis (for Matt Clement) and Justin Speier (for Felix Heredia) before they could contribute to the Cubs. Not surprisingly, the Athletics ranked second on the strength of their Three Aces, but Nos. 4, 5 and 6 aren't so bad either: Jeremy Bonderman, Rich Harden and Joe Blanton. The Angels home-grew the best three-fifths of their 2002 World Series rotation and other notables like Francisco Rodriguez, Ervin Santana, Scott Schoeneweis, Scot Shields, Jered Weaver and Bobby Jenks.

Bottom 5 Organizations
TeamRosterIPSeasonsPitchers with 500+ IP
Brewers 101,4318.8Ben Sheets
Twins 211,4358.9None: J.C. Romero, 456
Expos/Nationals141,83311.3Cliff Lee
Orioles 162,13713.2None: Erik Bedard, 476
Devil Rays152,19313.5Joe Kennedy

If not for Sheets, the Brewers best pitching find since 1995 would have been . . . Ruddy Lugo, a third-round pick in 1999 with a 3.81 ERA in 85 big league innings. And while the Twins are notable for their pitching depth, only the bullpen (Juan Rincon, Jesse Crain, Pat Neshek) has been developed internally, underscoring just how good GM Terry Ryan and his staff have been at importing talent. Things could change quickly for Minnesota, though, if two or more of Matt Garza, Kevin Slowey, Glen Perkins and Anthony Swarzak pan out. The Expos/Nationals are responsible for three impact hitters (Jason Bay, Grady Sizemore, Ryan Zimmerman), but their pitching returns pale in comparison: relievers Jorge Julio, Chad Cordero and Scott Strickland.

Where Players Have Signed From Since 1995

FromTotalHittersMost PAPitchersMost IP
College369172Todd Helton, 6,073199Tim Hudson, 1,651
High School233106Carlos Beltran, 5,178127Roy Halladay, 1,336
Junior College11047Albert Pujols, 4,06263Mark Buehrle, 1,428
Dominican Republic10738Rafael Furcal, 4,38560Ramon Ortiz, 1,256
Venezuela7037Cesar Izturis, 2,61533Johan Santana, 1,090
U.S. NDFA248Brady Clark, 2,18419Eric Gagne, 545
Japan137Ichiro Suzuki, 4,4446Tomo Ohka, 943
Mexico113Jorge Cantu, 1,2638Rodrigo Lopez, 937
Cuba94Yuniesky Betancourt, 8125Livan Hernandez, 2,167
Australia82Chris Snelling, 1836Grant Balfour, 68
Korea51Shin-Soo Choo, 2004Byung-Hyun Kim, 723
Panama41Carlos Ruiz, 783Manny Corpas, 32
Taiwan30None3Chien-Ming Wang, 334
Independent League21J.D. Drew, 3,7741None
Nicaragua20None2Vicente Padilla, 979
Colombia10None1Emiliano Fruto, 36
Curacao11None0None
Netherlands10None1None
Puerto Rico11Mike Rivera, 3660None

WHEN PLAYERS SIGNED





PLAYERS ACQUIRED BY ROUND SINCE 1995