ESPN SportsNation Chat With Jim Callis
By Jim Callis
October 15, 2008
Jim Callis: (2:01 PM ET ) Hi, everyone. Boy, the drama seems to have been sucked out of the League Championship Series at this point, doesn't it?
Luke (Des Moines):
Will Justin Masterson be a starter or reliever long-term? What is his
ceiling? Would you rather have him or Michael Bowden? Thanks.
Jim Callis: (2:03 PM ET )
I think Masterson's role will be whatever Boston needs — he's capable
of filling any of them. I think he could be a No. 3 starter or a closer
for a typical team. The Red Sox seem most likely to deploy him as their
top setup man. I'd rather have him over Bowden because I think his
sinker is a true out pitch. I like Bowden too, though.
Mike(Utica,NY):
I heard Weathers is getting TJ. If you were a GM would you ever take a
college closer in the 1st round because I sure wouldn't.
Jim Callis: (2:04 PM ET )
It really would depend on what the draft board looked like. I doubt I'd
take one with the eighth overall pick in the draft, though.
Luke (Des Moines): Will the Rays close it out tomorrow against Daisuke, or will the series go back to Tampa? Who do you like in the World Series?
Jim Callis: (2:05 PM ET )
I don't like the Rays' move to give the Game Five start to Kazmir. I
think you don't make changes at this point, especially to give a less
effective starter an earlier start. I think the Red Sox win tomorrow
but the Rays win Game Six.
Rick (Amherst): Maybin or Snider
Jim Callis: (2:05 PM ET ) Snider. He's not the athlete Maybin is, but I'm a little worried about Maybin's bat.
Jill (Boston):
Jon Lester's 4 seam fastball velocity has consistently been 93-96,
touching 97 the past month and a half. He's throwing harder than he
ever has before, at age 24. Is it unusual for a pitcher's velocity to
increase like that at age 24, which seems to me to be a little late for
a velocity increase?
Jim Callis: (2:07 PM ET )
Lester flashed that velocity in the minors. And you have to remember
that he hasn't had a usual development path, as cancer derailed his
progress for a while. This isn't common, but I think it's fair to say
the Red Sox envisioned Lester becoming this good.
Gerry, Seattle:
Hey Jim, some questions about Cubs relievers. How do you rate Ceda,
Samardzija and Cashner? What about Jay Jackson (is currently a starter,
I believe)? Do they all project as bullpen pitchers, or can you see any
of them as MLB starters? Where do you see them ending up realistically,
as opposed to their ceilings? Thanks bubba.
Jim Callis: (2:08 PM ET )
Ceda is definitely a reliever. The Cubs are toying with the idea of
Samardzija and Cashner as starters, but I think they'll be best off in
the bullpen. Jackson is a nice sleeper, a talented ninth-rounder from
this year's draft. I think he has a chance to be a mid-rotation
starter.
Brian (Brooklyn): Fernando Martinez and Aaron Heilman for Matt Cain. Who says no and why?
Jim Callis: (2:08 PM ET ) The Giants say no. If I'm trading a young stud major league pitcher, I wanted an established stud major league hitter.
John (Grand Rapids): What kind of ceiling does Casey Crosby have for the Tigers?
Jim Callis: (2:10 PM ET )
A high ceiling. He needed Tommy John surgery shortly after signing with
the Tigers for $748,500 as a fifth-round pick in August 2007. But he
has been throwing very well in instructional league, with one outing in
which he didn't dip below 95 mph.
Todd Nizzle, SF:
for those of us fresh out of school without the extra income, how bout
filling us in on who you had my Giants taking in your first mock draft
Jim Callis: (2:11 PM ET )
Ah, yes, I projected the top 10 picks for 2009 in a subscriber-only
column at baseballamerica.com. I had the Giants taking Georgia HS
outfielder Donavan Tate, the best prep position player in the draft.
David (Vegas):
Jim, I watch Rickie Weeks and see this bundle of incredible athletic
talent that just hasn't coalesced yet. I'm in denial on calling him a
bust, but his lack of production endangers his playing time, which he
probably needs to reach his enormous potential. Is he a bust, or just
slower in developing?
Jim Callis: (2:12 PM ET ) Not a bust, but I no longer think he'll be a star and I'd think seriously about moving him to center field.
Rory (NYC):
D. Murphy is either number 1 or 2 in batting in the AFL right now
against what seems to be an elite crop of talent this year. I think he
has lost rookie eligibility, but where would you rank him in your top
100 if he did have rookie status? Based on his hitting and how he fared
in the big leagues, he should be a top 15-20 player.
Jim Callis: (2:12 PM ET )
That's way too high, Rory. I like Murphy, but he still needs to find a
position. He's a good prospect but not an elite prospect.
Jack Bauer (?):
Jim, did you forget about me in the past year and a half? I'm coming
back sooner than later, hopefully you've seen some of the commercials
for the 24 mini movie in November.
Jim Callis: (2:13 PM ET )
I've seen the commercials. Hopefully "24" bounces back strong this year
after a disappointing last season (eons ago). I'll be tuning in.
Eric (Atlanta):
Hi Jim, Alot of talk around Braves nation about Jake Peavy? After the
Teixeira trade, shouldn't they be weary of dealing Heyward and Hanson
for Peavy? It would be nice to see these guys in an Atlanta uniform, ya
know?
Jim Callis: (2:14 PM ET )
I agree. I think the Braves are farther from serious contention than
just one pitcher away, and I'd be leery of giving up another big
prospect package.
J.J. (CT):
Hi Jim. Before this year scouts said that they liked Jed Lowrie's bat
but there were questions on whether he could be a MLB SS. Well right
now it looks like he could be at least an average defensive SS in the
MLB but how about his bat? He really hasn't shown much pop in the bat
and seems to be striking out an awful lot. Is it just him needing to
adjsut to big league pitching or do you think he might not be that gap
to gap hitter everyone thought he was?
Jim Callis: (2:15 PM ET )
Remember he's a rookie. He hit well for a while and just needs to make
further adjustments. I think he'll provide good offense for a middle
infield, and he's a better shortstop than I expected. I'd start him
over Lugo next year.
Danny (Washington DC): Danny Espinosa—what is the ceiling?
Jim Callis: (2:16 PM ET )
Espinosa, the Nationals' third-round pick this year, is a very good
defender at shortstop. I'm not sure he'll hit enough to be a quality
regular, though.
David, G'town:
For the Cards to get Peavy, would they likely have to include Rasmus?
Is CR's stock down like some have suggested? BA articles don't support
that. Thanks and keep up the great work!
Jim Callis: (2:17 PM ET )
Yes, I think they'd likely have to include Rasmus. I don't think his
stock is down, and people need to remember that he spent the year in
Triple-A at age 21.
Tony (Brooklyn, NY):
Can the Yankees safely pencil in Hughes AND Chamberlain as SP next
season if they have a combination of Wang, Mussina OR Pettitte for IP,
and an FA at the top of the rotation? Or is Kennedy, Aceves, Rasner and
the field too thin a group behind them? Thanks!
Jim Callis: (2:18 PM ET )
I don't think it's safe to count on Hughes and Joba after what happened
this year, and you'd also have to be worried about Wang's layoff and
whether Mussina can repeat his performance. They need to add some
quality arms.
KO (Pittsfield, MA): Can Garza develop into a #1 starter talent? His stuff and continued maturity make it look like a potential reality.
Jim Callis: (2:19 PM ET ) He has that potential. I thought the Twins were going to get the better of the Delmon Young trade, but boy, was I wrong.
Dorian (Union,NJ): If he becomes an above average major league catcher, the yankees lord and savior montero or Lars Anderson?
Jim Callis: (2:20 PM ET )
I like Montero, but I think he'll be an average catcher at best and is
more likely to change positions. So give me Lars Anderson.
Rob (Brighton, MA):
Jim, I'm on the fence. I'm probably going to buy a years subscription
to BA. Why should I do it in November as opposed to March?
Jim Callis: (2:21 PM ET )
So you can get all of our team Top 10 Prospects lists and get our Early
Draft Preview. Plus you get complete access to our website. So buy now!
Jeff (Appleton,WI):
I keep reading in the local papers they think CC will resign with the
Brewers. I think that is a joke there is no way that happens, what do
you think?
Jim Callis: (2:22 PM ET )
I would be very surprised. I think Sabathia is destined to accept the
highest offer, and I don't think that will be coming from the Brewers.
mike (NYC):
The Nats have been awful quiet regarding their #1 pick in the draft
next year. What's your take on the situation? Shouldn't they just pony
up the cash?
Jim Callis: (2:22 PM ET )
When you have the No. 1 pick, that means you just had a worst season
than any other club. And the only thing you should be doing is taking
the best available player and paying to sign him. The best available
player is San Diego State RHP Steven Strasburg.
Nate (Madison): Do you think the Brewers should look to move JJ Hardy to 3rd base and move Escobar up to play SS?
Jim Callis: (2:24 PM ET ) Yes, or look at moving Hardy to second base and Weeks to the outfield.
erik - san clemente, ca: Jim, disregarding salaries, who would you rather have on your team for the next 2-3 years....ichiro or ellsbury? thanks.
Jim Callis: (2:25 PM ET )
Ichiro. If you regard salaries, Ellsbury. I still think Ellsbury will
be fine. He needs to adjust to getting hammered inside, and I think his
power surge in the ALDS has him hitting too many fly balls in the ALCS.
KO (Pittsfield, MA): So do you personally rank Rasmus above McCutchen for the long term? Follow-up to the 21 at AAA.
Jim Callis: (2:26 PM ET ) Yes, I would.
Dan (DC): Should/could the Orioles get into the hunt for a Peavy or Cain? They need to do something to bolster the rotation.
Jim Callis: (2:27 PM ET )
They do need to bolster the rotation, but they're not going to contend
in the short term and shouldn't deal off 3-4 young players.
Aimery(Venice, CA):
IF the Dodgers win tonight, isn't realistic to think that they can pull
off the comback? I mean after Hamels the Phils rotaion is pretty weak:
Myers(5 ER in 5 in), Moyer(6 ER in 1 1/3 in) and Blanton (3 ER in 5 in)
Jim Callis: (2:27 PM ET ) Sure, it would be realistic. But I don't see them beating Hamels tonight.
Doug (NY): Austin Romine the Yanks catcher of the future?
Jim Callis: (2:28 PM ET ) Among their in-house candidates, he has the best shot, yes. Good defender, think he'll be decent to solid at the plate.
Jason (Charlotte):
Lets say the Red Sox sign CC. If you were Epstein would you trade
Lester plus a B level prospect for McCann ? The Sox need a young
catcher and the Braves need young pitching.
Jim Callis: (2:30 PM ET ) I don't think there's any realistic scenario where the Red Sox trade Lester.
Terry (VA): ***DELUSIONAL QUESTION HERE**** Salty and Neftali Feliz for Clay Buchholz? What do you think?
Jim Callis: (2:30 PM ET ) Don't think the Rangers would do that at all.
Vince PA: More annoying Chip Caray play by play or Frank TV ads?
Jim Callis: (2:31 PM ET ) The ads are much, much shorter.
Teddy (Los Angeles): Jim, How did Wes Roemer do for the D'backs in his first full pro season? What do you expect from him in the future?
Jim Callis: (2:33 PM ET )
He got knocked around in the hitter's haven that is the Cal League, not
unexpected for a strike thrower with decent stuff. I think he's a
back-end starter or middle reliever at best.
Mike: Preston Mattingly...is he going to get better? Horrible BB to K ratio.
Jim Callis: (2:34 PM ET ) I wouldn't count on it. At this point, I'd be shocked if he became a big leaguer.
Howard (Philly):
Tell Aimery to look past just one game when assessing a rotation,
otherwise, we'd think that Billingsley (8 ER in 2+ IP) is terrible. Who
do you predict to win if it is Phillies vs. Rays?
Jim Callis: (2:34 PM ET ) Rays in six.
Rory (NYC):
Jim, you really think that Murphy's lack of a true position drops him
down from "elite" to "good" in terms of prospect rankings. In only 131
big league AB's he walked 18 times, had only 28 K's, and had 14 extra
base hits to the tune of an .871 OPS. I would say that is pretty
impressive and better than most "top" prospects that have their first
cup of coffee. His fielding was league average as well.
Jim Callis: (2:36 PM ET )
I'd submit that 131 big league ABs don't tell the complete story for
any player. Murphy is good, but I don't anticipate that he's going to
be an .871 OPS second baseman.
Mark (CT):
Jim, I'm getting concerned that Big Papi is slowly turning into Mo
Vaughn post Boston career. Please tell me it won't be the case.
Jim Callis: (2:37 PM ET )
I wouldn't panic yet. Let's see how he looks with a completely healthy
wrist next year. I don't think he's 100 percent, and he's pressing, and
that's not a good combination.
Vince PA: Bigger problem with Red Sox this series with Tampa Bay...Beckett being hurt or lack of production from Varitek/Ortiz/Ellsbury
Jim Callis: (2:38 PM ET )
I think the lineup. It's hard to score runs with three guys who are
automatic outs right now. And it hurt them trying to get that final run
that could have won Game Two.
Rod (Chicago, IL):
Jim:
In BA's article on Jeremy Jeffress it mentioned Reds pitching coach Ted
Power tweaking with Jeffress. Do the Brewers want the Reds' pitching
coach messing with/tweaking/coaching their top pitching prospect? I
imagine someone from the organization is there and that that is the
nature of the AFL but it seems odd. What is your opinion?
Jim Callis: (2:39 PM ET )
I don't think anyone is making any changes to Jeffress or any other
pitching prospects in the AFL without the consent of the pitcher's
parent club.
Jay (VT):
Jim, 2010 what's the Red Sox infield look like? I'm guessing Anderson
at 1st, Pedroia at 2nd, Lowrie at SS and Youk at 3rd. Do you think I'm
right or will the Sox try and go after Teixeira?
Jim Callis: (2:40 PM ET ) That's my guess as well.
RJ (New York, NY): Jim, how many Octobers are there?
Jim Callis: (2:41 PM ET ) Just one. And you can't script it.
Don (Lincoln, RI):
Jim - Whether it is the Sox, Yankees or any other team, what makes fans
think that other teams will take 50 cents on a dollar for their top
talent? Delusional does not even begin to describe it! Thanks!
Jim Callis: (2:41 PM ET )
Every fan thinks his or her favorite team's prospects are better than
they are. Most club think their prospects are better than other teams
think, too.
John (NY):
Would the Yanks be better off with Cain or Peavy? Factoring in prospect
package to get them, contracts, age, health and Leftyness (I made that
last word up).
Jim Callis: (2:43 PM ET )
I'd rather have Cain, all things considered. I think he can still get
better, while we may have seen the best of Peavy, who could be in for
somewhat of a rude awakening if he leaves Petco for the AL. Also seems
like he gets hit hard in a lot of big games.
Karl, Baltimore: Does Brian Matusz rank in the top 20 pitching prospects in baseball? Should O's fans be more excited for him or Tillman?
Jim Callis: (2:44 PM ET ) Yes. I think that's a close call, I'd take Matusz because he's a lefty and has more good pitches.
Jim Callis: (2:44 PM ET ) Let's head to the lightning round . . .
John (Portland, ME): True or False: The Red Sox would be better off with Buccholz and Bard on the playoff roster over Byrd and Timlin.
Jim Callis: (2:45 PM ET )
I'll say False. Byrd and Timlin (and several other Red Sox pitchers
haven't looked good), but Buchholz' confidence was shot at the end of
the year and there's no way of knowing how Bard would react to making
his big league debut in the ALCS. Too risky.
Garrett (CT): Austin Jackson or Ellsbury?
Jim Callis: (2:45 PM ET ) Ellsbury.
Mike (San Diego): Padres take Grant Green? Good theory?
Jim Callis: (2:46 PM ET ) I don't think he necessarily gets to the Padres at No. 3.
Luis, Pearland TX: Lincecum, Webb or Santana? who's better
Jim Callis: (2:46 PM ET ) I'd take Lincecum.
John (NY): Mets can offer Sabathia the money and the NL. What do you put their odds at?
Jim Callis: (2:46 PM ET ) I think they're the frontrunners.
Drew(Dover): Phils close it out tonight behind a complete game by Cole Hamels?
Jim Callis: (2:46 PM ET ) No. Only eight innings from Hamels.
John (Philadelphia): Buzzer beater: What's more annoying? Dane Cook commercials for "Actober" last year of Frank Caliendo spots?
Jim Callis: (2:46 PM ET ) Dane Cook, no question.
Nick (Long Island, NY): F-Mart is still a elite prospect. True or false?
Jim Callis: (2:47 PM ET ) I'd say "good" rather than "elite." Though he's been rushed, I think an elite guy would have put up better numbers by now.
Mike (Madison): Jeffress or Feliz
Jim Callis: (2:47 PM ET ) Feliz.
Nick (NJ): F-Mart or Heyward?
Jim Callis: (2:47 PM ET ) Heyward.
Alex (Boston): Chances of Clay Buchholz starting Game 7 in Beckett's place if DiceK wins Game 5 and Lester wins Game 6?
Jim Callis: (2:47 PM ET ) Zero.
Ryan (Astoria, NY): If you're building your team around one player, who is it?
Jim Callis: (2:48 PM ET ) It might just be Evan Longoria.
Mig (Minneapolis): START MASTERSON!!
Jim Callis: (2:48 PM ET ) That's an idea worth considering, though I don't know how many innings he could go after relieving the last few months.
Vince PA: Worse run franchise over the last 10 years pirates or detroit lions
Jim Callis: (2:49 PM ET ) Lions.
Lance (Livingston, TN): Better major league first baseman: Yonder Alonso or Freddie Freeman?
Jim Callis: (2:49 PM ET ) Alonso.
Karl, Baltimore: Matusz and Tilman or Alderson and Bumgarner?
Jim Callis: (2:49 PM ET ) Matusz and Tillman.
Tim (Chicago): Vitters stock up or down after last season?
Jim Callis: (2:50 PM ET ) About the same.
Ross (CA): Can you see a match between the Twins and Giants regarding Delmon?
Jim Callis: (2:50 PM ET ) I've seen those rumors, not sure how they'd match up.
Sacramento, CA: Votto or Loney?
Jim Callis: (2:50 PM ET ) Loney.
Roy Roiders (San Fran): Teagarden or Salty?
Jim Callis: (2:51 PM ET ) Teagarden.
Joel (Coral Gables): Smoak or Lars?
Jim Callis: (2:51 PM ET ) Hmmmm. That's a tough one. I'll say Lars because he's hit in Double-A.
guinness: Murphy or Cano?
Jim Callis: (2:51 PM ET ) Cano.
Mike (San Diego): Loney or Blanks?
Jim Callis: (2:52 PM ET ) Loney. Though Blanks' stock is up.
Roy Roiders (San Fran): Elaborate a little bit on Teagarden over Salty?
Jim Callis: (2:52 PM ET ) Better defender and I think the bats are close.
Eric (Atlanta): Freeman or Alonso and you pick Alonso? Please explain.
Jim Callis: (2:52 PM ET ) Just like his bat a little better.
guinness: If you were the Mets, would you trade Beltran for Cano, Bruney and Kennedy (that was the rumor out there)?
Jim Callis: (2:53 PM ET ) If I were the Mets, I'd laugh at that proposal.
Ross (CA):
Are you more impressed with a young hitter succeeding at the lower
levels in professional ball or a college hitter who has an advanced
approach and dominated the college game?
Jim Callis: (2:53 PM ET )
The young hitter. That's apples and oranges in a way, because I'd say
college baseball is equivalent to short-season leagues in the minors.
Danny (Washington DC): Darvish or Tazawa?
Jim Callis: (2:54 PM ET ) Darvish.
Josh, San Francisco: Cahill and Anderson or Alderson and Bumgarner?
Jim Callis: (2:54 PM ET ) Cahill and Anderson.
Ryan (Astoria, NY): Should Longoria have not accepted the contract he signed? Seems like he may have cost himself a lot of money in the long run
Jim Callis: (2:57 PM ET )
There's something to be said for the security of knowing you'll bank a
guaranteed $17.5 million a couple of weeks into your big league career.
But yes, he may be leaving more than that on the table, especially if
the Rays pick up all the options.
mike (nj): better prospect Marson or Donald (lighting it up in the AFL)
Jim Callis: (2:57 PM ET ) Marson.
Brett (Mount Prospect, IL): Jarrod Parker or Madison Bumgarner?
Jim Callis: (2:58 PM ET ) Bumgarner, but it's close.
Nick (NJ): Pelfrey and Niese or Hughes and Kennedy?
Jim Callis: (2:58 PM ET ) Hughes and Kennedy.
Mike (San Diego): Padres outfield prospects: Venable, Huffman, or Hunter?
Jim Callis: (2:59 PM ET ) Venable.
Ross (CA):
Lets not get ahead of ourselves: how can we predict that 6 years from
now Longoria will resume this level of production? Things happen, and
that type of security is unmatched. Tell me anywhere else in the world
where your employer offers you mulit-millions of dollars for 6+ years
regardless if you perform?
Jim Callis: (2:59 PM ET ) I understand why he took the deal, but he may have sold himself way short.
Mike (Milwaukee): Gallardo or Cain?
Jim Callis: (2:59 PM ET ) Cain.
Gerry, WA: Best Baseball Blog out there?
Jim Callis: (3:00 PM ET ) Joe Posnanski's.
Jordan, Los Angeles: ANSWER PLEASE lincecum and cain or kershaw and billingsley. and why?
Jim Callis: (3:00 PM ET ) Lincecum and Cain. It's close but they've proven a lot more.
Jim Callis: (3:01 PM ET ) I'm out of here, but I'll be back tomorrow to chat during Game Five of the ALDS. See you then.