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Chat Wrap:
Bill Ballew took your Devil Rays questions
Baseball America's Top 10 Prospects lists are based on projections
of a player's long-term worth after discussions with scouting and player-development
personnel. All players who haven't exceeded the major league rookie standards
of 130 at-bats or 50 innings pitched (without regard to service time)
are eligible. Ages are as of April 1, 2006.
During what proved to be his final season as general manager of the
Devil Rays, Chuck LaMar actually said, “The only thing that keeps
this organization from being recognized as one of the finest in baseball
is wins and losses at the major league level.”
Yet most Baseball America readers understood what LaMar was getting
at. After all, the only area Tampa Bay can consider a success while
failing to top 70 wins in each of its first eight years of existence
is its development of position players. While the Rays were at times
forced to operate with a big league payroll only slightly higher than
Alex Rodriguez’ annual salary, they have produced Rocco Baldelli,
Jorge Cantu, Carl Crawford, Jonny Gomes, Toby Hall and Aubrey Huff.
After finishing in last place for the seventh time in eight seasons,
Tampa Bay went for a full makeover at the end of the season. Stuart
Sternberg, who purchased 48 percent of the franchise in 2004, replaced
Vince Naimoli as managing partner. Sternberg immediately fired LaMar,
the only GM in club history, along with a significant chunk of his front
office, including assistant GM Scott Proefrock, director of player personnel
Cam Bonifay and director of international scouting Rudy Santin. Manager
Lou Piniella, who criticized Sternberg’s ownership for being more
concerned about the future than the present during the season, was bought
out of the final year of his contract.
To replace LaMar, Sternberg promoted Andrew Friedman. Friedman, 28,
worked on Wall Street before joining the team in 2004 as an assistant
for baseball development. He hired former Astros GM Gerry Hunsicker
as his second-in-command and Angels bench coach Joe Maddon as manager.
Since taking over, Sternberg has worked hard to change the Devil Rays’
image, trying to win over fans with lower ticket prices and free parking.
He also is playing up the nucleus of homegrown players with an “under
construction” advertising campaign centered on a theme of “rebuilding
the dream.” But while Tampa Bay has impressive young talent in
the majors and more on the way, it will be a tall order to contend in
the American League East.
The Devil Rays may have had the two best position players in the minors
last year in shortstop B.J. Upton (who no longer qualifies for BA’s
prospect list) and outfielder Delmon Young, Baseball America’s
2005 Minor League Player of the Year. LaMar’s regime antagonized
both players by declining to promote them in September in order to delay
their eligibility for arbitration and free agency.
Beyond that pair, the farm system may be deeper than ever. Special
assistant Tim Wilken, who left to become Cubs scouting director in December,
played a major role in the club’s 2004 draft and ran the 2005
effort, both of which have yielded several promising prospects. Last
year’s crop could get even stronger with the eventual signing
of third-round righthander Bryan Morris, who is at Motlow State (Tenn.)
Community College and can negotiate again once his juco season ends.
Drafted:
HS—Camarillo, Calif., 2003 (1st round) Signed
by: Rich Aude
Background:Young did nothing in 2005
to argue against the predominant belief that he’s the top prospect
in the minor leagues. After signing a major league contract with a $3.7
million bonus as the first overall pick in the 2003 draft, Young led the
low Class A South Atlantic League in hits and RBIs while making his pro
debut in 2004. Last season, he would have had a solid shot at capturing
the Double-A Southern League crown as a teenager had he not been promoted
to Triple-A Durham in mid-July. He had to settle for Baseball America’s
Minor League Player of the Year award. Young was at times a man among
boys at the Double-A level, and won the Southern League MVP award despite
his early departure. He ranked fourth in the minors in hits and total
bases (294) and finished four home runs short of a 30-30 season. He and
his brother, Tigers DH Dmitri Young (the fourth choice in 1991), were
the highest-drafted siblings ever until 2005. When Arizona took Justin
Upton No. 1 overall, he and Devil Rays shortstop B.J. Upton (No. 2 in
2002) passed the Youngs.
Strengths: Young packs a punch from the right side of the plate
with a powerful and consistent stroke. His knowledge of the strike zone
is advanced for his age, and coupled with his bat control allows him
to make repeated hard contact. He’s strong enough that he doesn’t
have to pull balls to drive them out of the park. He has average speed
but makes things happen in terms of stealing bags and taking the extra
base. Defensively, Young has above-average range for right field, plus
the arm strength and accuracy to play the position at the major league
level. With virtually no chinks in his armor, it’s easy to see
why managers tabbed him the Southern League’s best batting prospect,
best power hitter, best outfield arm and most exciting player. Because
he’s close to his brother, he grew up around the game and honed
his instincts at a young age.
Weaknesses: Young has few faults on the field. He occasionally
takes bad routes on fly balls and sometimes gets overaggressive at the
plate. He could use some more patience at the plate after walking four
times in 52 Triple-A games and 29 times overall last year. Though there
are no questions about his makeup, he crossed the line twice in 2005.
He drew a three-game suspension after chest-bumping Southern League
umpire Jeff Latter in late April. When the Devil Rays declined to promote
him in September, he ripped the organization (though he later recanted).
The Future: Young has all the tools to be an all-star for years
to come. Tampa Bay believes he’ll channel his desire in the right
direction instead of holding a grudge over what he felt was a slap in
the face last fall. The Devil Rays are loaded with outfielders, but
they’ll hand him their right-field job when he’s ready.
He has little left to prove in the minors and could force his way into
the lineup in spring training. It’s also possible he could spend
the first half in Triple-A refining his plate discipline and getting
a little more prepared.
2005 Club (Class)
AVG
OBP
SLG
AB
R
H
2B
3B
HR
RBI
BB
SO
SB
CS
Montgomery (AA)
.336
.386
.582
330
59
111
13
4
20
71
25
66
25
8
Durham (AAA)
.285
.303
.447
228
33
65
13
3
6
28
4
33
7
4
2.
JEFF NIEMANN,
rhp Born:
February 28, 1983 B-T: R-R Ht: 6-9 Wt: 260
Drafted:
Rice, 2004 (1st round) Signed by: Jonathan Bonifay
Background: Niemann might have gone No. 1 in
the 2004 draft had he not been coming off arthroscopic elbow surgery and
a groin strain. He went fourth overall and held out until last January,
when he signed a $5.2 million major league deal. A tender shoulder and
more groin problems limited him in his pro debut, and he had minor surgery
to shave the joint between his collarbone and shoulder in October.
Strengths:
Niemann has great size and mound presence. He’s learning
how to work off his 92-96 mph fastball. His slider has sharp,
cutting action and was deemed the best breaking pitch in the 2004
draft. He has an excellent feel for pitching and good body control.
Weaknesses:
Niemann needs innings and will have to avoid the injuries that
have plagued his young career. His changeup and spike curveball
need more consistency to give him a complete repertoire.
The Future:
Provided he stays healthy, Niemann should move fast. He may open
the season back in Double-A Montgomery, but could receive his
first taste of the big leagues later in the year. The Rays envision
Niemann joining Scott Kazmir as a potent 1-2 punch.
2005 Club (Class)
W
L
ERA
G
GS
CG
SV
IP
H
HR
BB
SO
AVG
Visalia (Hi A)
0
1
3.98
5
5
0
0
20
12
3
10
28
.167
Montgomery (AA)
0
1
4.35
6
3
0
0
10
7
0
5
14
.184
3.
JASON HAMMEL,
rhp Born: September
2, 1982 B-T: R-R Ht: 6-6 Wt: 200
Drafted:
Treasure Valley (Ore.) CC, 2002 (10th round) Signed by: Paul
Kirsch
Background: Tampa Bay failed to sign Hammel
as a 19th-round draft-and-follow in 2001, then drafted him again and signed
him in 2002. After breaking through in the second half of 2004, he was
shelved for the first month of last season with a strained elbow. He didn’t
miss a start the rest of the way and could have been called up in September,
but the Devil Rays didn’t want to start his service-time clock ticking.
Strengths:
Hammel’s lively fastball sits in the 91-94 mph range and
gets on hitters quickly thanks to his tremendous extension. He
also throws a hard curveball in the 75-79 mph range, and he has
shown considerable improvement with his changeup. He has the best
command in the system.
Weaknesses:
Hammel’s curveball is inconsistent. While his fastball has
good life down in the zone, it straightens out when he leaves
it up. His projectable frame is filling out, but he still needs
to add strength.
The Future: Hammel will get a shot at earning a job on
the major league club in spring training. He should be a significant
building block as a middle-of-the-rotation starter in the Rays’
building project.
2005 Club (Class)
W
L
ERA
G
GS
CG
SV
IP
H
HR
BB
SO
AVG
Montgomery (AA)
8
2
2.66
12
12
3
0
81
70
5
19
76
.235
Durham (AAA)
3
2
4.12
10
10
0
0
55
57
8
27
48
.264
4.
REID BRIGNAC,
ss Born:
January 16, 1986 B-T: L-R Ht: 6-1 Wt: 185
Background: Brignac’s first full season
wasn’t as spectacular as his 2004 pro debut, but he more than held
his own against older competition in the low Class A Midwest League. The
Devil Rays believe he answered any questions about his ability to play
shortstop with a strong showing in all phases of the game.
Strengths:
Brignac has a live bat with a sweet, smooth swing from the left
side. Balls jump off his bat and he has natural loft in his stroke.
He could produce 25-plus homers annually down the road. Brignac
uses the entire field and has a plan at the plate. His speed,
arm, hands and footwork are solid. He showed the mental toughness
to handle a challenging assignment last year.
Weaknesses:
Some scouts think Brignac lacks the athleticism to stay at shortstop,
though Tampa Bay will give him every chance to prove otherwise.
He’s discovering plate discipline. He gives away too many
at-bats, which led to 131 strikeouts in 2005. While his baserunning
is improving, it still needs work.
The Future:
Brignac has made impressive progress at a young age. Plans call
for a promotion to high Class A Visalia this year.
2005 Club (Class)
AVG
OBP
SLG
AB
R
H
2B
3B
HR
RBI
BB
SO
SB
CS
Southwest Michigan (Lo A)
.264
.319
.416
512
77
135
29
2
15
61
40
131
5
5
5.
ELIJAH DUKES,
of Born:
June 26, 1984 B-T: B-R Ht: 6-2 Wt: 225
Drafted:
HS—Tampa, 2002 (3rd round) Signed by: Kevin Elfering
Background: Dukes continues to move through
the minors and have disciplinary problems along the way. He set career
highs in several categories in 2005 but was suspended twice and ejected
from five games. He also had legal problems in Tampa, declined an invitation
to the Southern League all-star game because he wasn’t selected
to start and missed the Arizona Fall League in order to complete anger-management
classes.
Strengths:
Dukes is an incredible athlete with all-star ability. He makes
solid contact, has at least 20-homer power and plays with all-out
aggression. He has plus speed and range, as well as one of the
strongest arms in the organization. He has demonstrated improved
control of the strike zone.
Weaknesses:
If he can’t accept authority and develop discipline, Dukes
will fall short of his potential. That said, he’s dedicated
to the game. His average suffers when he tries too hard to hit
for power.
The Future:
From a tools standpoint, everything is in place for Dukes to be
a prototype right fielder. The Devil Rays are working with him
to help him reach that potential. On the field, Delmon Young will
be a formidable roadblock to Dukes playing right field in Tampa
Bay.
Drafted:
HS—Lake Wales, Fla., 2004 (3rd round) Signed
by: Kevin Elfering
Background: Most teams thought Davis was headed
to the University of Florida, but area scout Kevin Elfering did his homework
and persuaded the Devil Rays to take him in 2004’s third round.
Davis signed quickly for $475,000 and showed first-round ability in 2005,
when he led the short-season New York-Penn League in strikeouts.
Strengths:
Davis is a big, power pitcher with a smooth delivery and easy
arm action. He throws on a downward plane. He drives his fastball
low in the zone at 92-98 mph. His hard curveball became more consistent
last year, and his slider is a solid-average pitch. He has had
no problem throwing strikes as a pro.
Weaknesses:
He still could use an offspeed pitch, and Davis is working on
a changeup that needs more consistent fade and depth. He can fall
into lapses of concentration on the mound, though that should
decrease with maturity.
The Future: Davis looks more like the total pitching package
every time he takes the mound. The Rays are confident he will
develop into a frontline starter. His next stop is low Class A
Southwest Michigan, and he could move quickly.
Drafted:
HS—Plano, Texas, 2002 (4th round) Signed by: Milt Hill
Background: Bankston continues his methodical
climb through the organization. After ranking among the South Atlantic
League leaders in homers, RBIs and extra-base hits in 2004, he received
a midseason promotion to Double-A last year and helped pick up the slack
in Montgomery after Delmon Young’s departure.
Strengths:
Bankston shows as much raw power as anyone in the organization.
He’s learning how to harness that pop in game action. He
has made impressive strides in hitting to the opposite field with
authority. His pitch selection and plate discipline should get
better with experience.
Weaknesses:
Injuries have plagued Bankston, including a knee injury that cost
him six weeks at the start of 2005. A right fielder until mid-2004,
he has improved at first base but remains merely adequate there.
His lower body has gotten thicker in the past two years, reducing
his speed and overall athleticism.
The Future:
Bankston reminds some scouts of former all-star Glenn Davis. He’ll
move up to Triple-A in 2006 and should get his first taste of
the big leagues by September.
2005 Club (Class)
AVG
OBP
SLG
AB
R
H
2B
3B
HR
RBI
BB
SO
SB
CS
Visalia (Hi A)
.387
.513
.629
62
15
24
4
1
3
23
15
17
0
2
Montgomery (AA)
.292
.362
.482
301
42
88
17
2
12
47
30
64
3
3
8.
CHAD
ORVELLA, rhpBorn:
October 1, 1980 B-T: R-R Ht: 5-11 Wt: 190
Drafted:
North Carolina State, 2003 (13th round) Signed by: Hank
King
Background: Mainly a shortstop in college, Orvella
made it to the majors as a pitcher less than two years after he turned
pro. He was unhittable in the minors, posting a 1.22 ERA, .159 opponent
average and 160-17 K-BB ratio in 111 innings. He assumed a late-inning
set-up role with the Devil Rays, though he didn’t pitch after Sept.
16 because of a sore shoulder.
Strengths:
When he was a shortstop, Orvella’s best tool was his arm,
which now delivers consistent 92-94 mph fastballs with late life.
Hitters can’t sit on his heater because he has a plus changeup,
which is a nifty weapon against lefthanders. His numbers testify
to his ability to locate the ball where he wants.
Weaknesses:
Orvella’s slider can be a plus pitch at times, but it lacks
consistency and is significantly behind his fastball and changeup.
While his shoulder problem was diagnosed as mild irritation, he’s
not big and never has worked more than 75 innings in a season.
The Future: Orvella and Lance Carter once again should
serve as Danys Baez’ primary set-up men. Baez continually
gets mentioned in trade talks, and Orvella is his likely successor
should Baez get dealt.
2005 Club (Class)
W
L
ERA
G
GS
CG
SV
IP
H
HR
BB
SO
AVG
Montgomery (AA)
0
0
0.36
16
0
0
9
25
15
0
6
29
.169
Tampa Bay
3
3
3.60
27
0
0
1
50
47
4
23
43
.246
9.
MATT
WALKER, rhpBorn:
August 16, 1986 B-T: R-R Ht: 6-3 Wt: 193
Background: Walker seemed to have more potential
as a quarterback entering his senior season of high school. His baseball
stock surged in the spring of 2004, but he tailed off late and dropped
to the 10th round. Still, the Devil Rays coughed up $600,000 to sign him.
He made his pro debut in 2005 and while his numbers weren’t pretty,
Rookie-level Appalachian League observers were impressed.
Strengths:
Walker is a power pitcher who has added 15 pounds since signing.
His fastball ranges from 89-96 mph with good life. His overhand
power curveball has a sharp break and is the best in the system.
He’s mentally tough and battles well on the mound.
Weaknesses:
He has a ways to go to become a true pitcher. Walker is ironing
out his mechanics. He overthrows at times, trying to overpower
hitters instead of using his head to get the out. A more consistent
changeup and added maturity will take him a long way.
The Future: Yet another high-ceiling pitcher in the system,
Walker will pitch in low Class A this year at age 19. While the
Devil Rays are grooming him as a starter, he also profiles well
as a reliever.
2005 Club (Class)
W
L
ERA
G
GS
CG
SV
IP
H
HR
BB
SO
AVG
Princeton (R)
2
3
5.31
13
12
0
1
58
63
2
22
71
.274
Hudson Valley (SS)
0
0
10.80
1
1
0
0
3
5
0
4
5
.357
10.
CHRIS
MASON, rhpBorn:
July 1, 1984 B-T: R-R Ht: 6-0 Wt: 185
Drafted:
UNC Greensboro, 2005 (2nd round) Signed by: Brad
Matthews
Background: Mason broke Kevin Millwood’s
Bessemer City (N.C.) High strikeout record, then set another mark with
135 whiffs at UNC Greenboro last spring. An excellent two-way player in
college, Mason displayed above-average defensive skills at third base
while showing electricity in his bat.
Strengths: Though he’s just 6 feet tall, Mason
generates 91-95 mph velocity and plus movement on his fastball
thanks to a lightning-quick arm. He has a power curveball and
started to develop a good changeup during instructional league.
His pickoff move and defense are among the best in the organization,
and his aggressiveness is unmatched.
Weaknesses:
Mason’s curveball can get slurvy, though he usually locates
it so well that it’s not a huge issue. The Rays were cautious
with him last season, limiting him to 40 pitches per outing because
he worked hard and played both ways in college, but he has been
durable.
The Future:
The Devil Rays will give Mason the opportunity to jump into their
Double-A rotation in 2006. He relishes the chance to hit as a
pro, but he’s too talented a pitcher for Tampa Bay to consider
it.
2005 Club (Class)
W
L
ERA
G
GS
CG
SV
IP
H
HR
BB
SO
AVG
Hudson Valley (SS)
1
1
2.40
9
0
0
2
15
11
0
8
14
.220
Southwest Michigan (Lo A)
1
0
1.45
10
0
0
0
19
17
0
5
16
.246
Photo Credits:
Hammel: Rich Abel
Young: Dan Arnold
Bankston: Larry Goren
Walker: Robert Gurganus
Dukes: Mike Janes
Niemann: Steve Moore
Davis: Mickey Weinstein
Mason: Rodger Wood
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