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Three Years Later

To Sign or Not To Sign?

May 19, 2002

That's a question hundreds of draft picks ask themselves each year as they contemplate signing a professional contract out of high school, or going off to college with the hopes of being drafted again (in a presumably better position) three years later.

As the following chart shows and history has verified, an early-round draft pick improves his draft position about one-third of the time, hurts his position about the same and stays the same about a third.

Here's a list of the top 25 players from the 1999 draft who went unsigned and are eligible again for this year's draft. Baseball America editor Allan Simpson projects the player's 2002 draft status so you can see whether the player helped himself by not signing, stayed the same or went down.

We also looked into this issue in our early draft preview back in February. Click here to read that again.

Player, Pos., Team

School

Status in 2002

SECOND ROUND

Jason Cooper, of, Phillies

Stanford

Second round

Alberto Concepcion, c, Padres

Southern California

Third-fourth round

Drew Meyer, ss, Dodgers

South Carolina

First round

THIRD ROUND

Kiki Bengochea, rhp, Royals

Miami

Third-fourth round

FOURTH ROUND

Jeff Baker, ss, Indians

Clemson

First round

Rory Shortell, rhp, Red Sox

San Diego State

Third round

Robert Corrado, rhp, Yankees

Kentucky

10th-15th round

FIFTH ROUND

Joe Saunders, lhp, Phillies

Virginia Tech

First round

Mike Esposito, rhp, Reds

Arizona State

Third-fourth round

Todd Deininger, rhp, Cubs

Texas A&M

Fifth-10th round

SIXTH ROUND

Justin Maureau, lhp, Diamondbacks

Wichita State

Third-fourth round

Tyler Parker, c, Mets

Georgia Tech

Second-fourth round

Jon Henry Kail, of, Red Sox

Georgia Tech

Late rounds

SEVENTH ROUND

Daylon Monette, of, Indians

Oklahoma State

Fifth-seventh round

EIGHTH ROUND

Ryan Gloger, lhp, Devil Rays

South Florida

10th-15th round

Chris Spencer, rhp, Braves

JC of San Mateo (Calif.)

Late rounds

11th ROUND

Ben King, lhp/of, Diamondbacks

Texas

10th-15th round

Mike Prochaska, lhp, Twins

North Carolina State

Late rounds

12th ROUND

Brian Stavisky, of, Expos

Notre Dame

Fifth-eighth round

Jay Garthwaite, of, Athletics

Washington

Seventh-10th round

Aaron Davidson, 2b, Cardinals

Florida

15th-20th round

13th ROUND

Seth Morris, of, Twins

Kentucky

10th-15th round

Travis Wong, 1b, Reds

Texas A&M

20th-25th round

Tony Adler, rhp, Padres

South Carolina

10th-15th round

On the flip side, here are 12 players who weren't drafted out of high school in 1999, have never been drafted and have surfaced as potential high-round picks this year:

Player, Pos.

College

Status in 2002

Jeff Francis, lhp

British Columbia

First round

Russ Adams, ss/2b

North Carolina

First round

Luke Hagerty, lhp

Ball State

First round

Joe Blanton, rhp

Kentucky

First round

Anthony Reyes, rhp

Southern California

First round

Darrell Rasner, rhp

Nevada

First round

Nick Swisher, 1b-of

Ohio State

First-second round

Nick Bourgeois, lhp

Tulane

Second round

Ben Fritz, c/rhp

Fresno State

Second-third round

Chris Leonard, lhp

Miami (Ohio)

Second-third round

John McCurdy, ss

Maryland

Second-third round

Taber Lee, ss

San Diego State

Second-third round

 

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