Click Here To Visit Our Sponsor
Baseball America Online - College

Draft Preview

High School store

Regional Scouting Report: North/East

Compiled by Allan Simpson
May 22, 2002

Click a state to jump directly to its report:
Canada | Connecticut | Delaware | Indiana | Kentucky | Maryland | Massachusetts | Michigan | New York | New Jersey | Ohio | Pennsylvania | Rhode Island | Virginia | Washington, DC | West Virginia

Each state or area is graded on a five-star scale, with one star indicating a particularly weak crop and five stars a particularly strong one. The ratings are based on the level of talent a place generally produces, so Southern California isn't graded on the same scale as Alaska.

Massachusetts will have lots to talk about next year, with righthanders Jeff Allison and Patrick Bresnehan heading up a talented high school class. For now, it's Harvard's record-breaking Ben Crockett and not much else. The state can't even claim lefthander Mark Rosen, a native son attending prep school in Connecticut.

1. Ben Crockett, rhp, Harvard
2. Luke Carlin, c, Northeastern
3. Brandon Gomes, rhp, Durfee HS, Fall River
4. Jeff Mackor, c, Boston College
5. Michael Constantino, ss, Somerset HS
6. Tom Thornton, lhp, Middleboro HS
7. Matt Tupman, c, Massachusetts-Lowell
8. Omar Pena, ss, Northeastern
9. Ryan Baker, rhp, Medford HS
10. Ryan Edell, lhp, Lexington HS

Projected First-Round Picks

Projected Second- to Fifth-Round Picks

Ben Crockett, rhp
The Red Sox drafted Crockett in the 10th round last year, but he declined to sign with the hometown team. What the 6-foot-3, 205-pound Crockett asked for and what the Red Sox offered were miles apart, so he returned to the Cape Cod League, where he posted a 1.67 ERA for league champion Wareham, then to Harvard for his senior year. Crockett has always enjoyed greater success in summer ball because of the warmer weather and wood bats. He had a tendency at Harvard to pitch tentatively against aluminum. Crockett's stuff was basically the same as in 2001, though his performance was better. He went 6-3, 2.64, was the Ivy League's co-pitcher of the year and set school records for strikeouts in a game (17), season (108) and career (254). Crockett's velocity topped at 92-93 mph, but he still didn't get enough deception or movement on his pitches. His changeup is a strikeout pitch, but his breaking pitch is more for show. He has a great aptitude for pitching and is an innings-eater, but he also gives up more than his share of hits despite all the strikeouts. While some teams still view Crockett as a 10th-rounder, most see him as a third- to sixth-rounder and a candidate for going earlier because he's a college senior. The Athletics, with extra picks and connections to Harvard, are prime candidates to spring him as a sandwich pick.

Others to Watch
If there's one thing Massachusetts has plenty of, it's college catching. Cs Luke Carlin, Jeff Mackor and Matt Tupman all attracted attention from scouts this spring. Carlin and Tupman excel defensively . . . The switch-hitting Carlin, who played a lot of volleyball and lacrosse in his native Canada, is quick and agile behind the plate. He also had a good year with the bat, hitting .374. His 5-foot-11, 175-pound body limits his ability to drive balls . . . Tupman, a lefthanded hitter, continued to build off an all-star season in the New England Collegiate League last summer, but his bat remains below-average . . . The 6-foot-1, 215-pound Mackor is hard-nosed and the most physical of the trio. He also has the greatest upside offensively . . . SS Omar Pena is the younger brother of A's first baseman Carlos Pena, a first-round pick out of Northeastern in 1998. The two players are different in all phases, including personality. The quiet and reserved Omar makes the occasional spectacular play at shortstop and has no above-average tool--nor does he always play with a lot of passion . . . The state's two best high school players are 6-foot-7 LHP Tom Thornton and 5-foot-11 RHP Brandon Gomes, though neither warrants being bought out of college. Thornton, a Notre Dame signee, has increased his velocity by almost 10 mph from last summer and still has a way to go in his development. Gomes has committed to Tulane, where he should be a solid college pitcher. He has a good feel for pitching but lacks raw arm strength . . . Even with a new administration at Fenway, the Red Sox will continue to pursue players with a New England background. A leading candidate is Michael Constantino, a scrappy, athletic and versatile shortstop.

Maine, New Hampshire, Vermont
It's rare this part of New England, traditionally thin on talent, produces a premium draft pick, but lefthander Tyler Pelland may be an exception. He has a chance to become the state's earliest pick since former University of Vermont hockey/baseball star and future big leaguer Kirk McCaskill went in the fourth round in 1981.

1. Tyler Pelland, lhp, Mt. Abraham HS, Bristol, Vt.
2. Chris Shank, rhp, Franklin Pierce (N.H.) College
3. Greg Norton, rhp, South Portland HS, Portland, Maine
4. Alain Picard, c, Maine
5. Jeff Barry, of, Vermont
6. John Velosky, rhp, Dartmouth
7. Kevin Sevigny, of/rhp, Sanford HS, Springvale, Maine
8. Jeff Dixon, rhp, Vermont
9. Ryan Adams, rhp, Southern Maine
10. Andy Kumming, rhp, Vermont

Projected First-Round Picks

Projected Second- to Fifth-Round Picks

Tyler Pelland, lhp
Pelland compares favorably to Connecticut's Mark Rosen, regarded as the premier lefthander in New England and a likely second- to fourth-round pick. Both are smallish with good breaking balls and 90-91 mph fastballs. Pelland dominates weak competition in Vermont, though his fastball is straight and he lacks a changeup. He also exerts more effort than Rosen and is not quite as polished. Pelland may end up at Clemson because one of his high school coaches is the brother of Tigers coach Jack Leggett.

Others to Watch
The University of Vermont enjoyed the best season in its history, even though 6-foot-8 RHP Jeff Dixon didn't lead the team's charge as expected. He showed little of the velocity and command of his first two years . . . OF Jeff Barry made up for Dixon's disappointing season by leading the America East Conference with a .409 average, 65 hits and 32 stolen bases. He's an aggressive, slashing hitter who runs well. His size and arm strength may limit his progress in professional baseball . . . Another Canadian catcher who has made his mark at a New England college is Alain Picard, a good lefthanded hitter with projectable power. His future behind the plate will depend on his ability to shake persistent arm problems. An elbow injury forced him to miss most of the 2001 season, while a shoulder problem--stemming from lifting weights in the offseason--slowed him this year . . . RHP Chris Shank is New Hampshire's best prospect. He lacks a plus pitch, but he knows how to pitch and has command of four offerings. His fastball ranges from 87-91 mph . . . RHP John Velosky was the pitcher of the year in the New England Collegiate League last summer, going 6-1, 0.76 and leading the league in strikeouts. He has an 88-90 mph fastball with good sink and could be a good senior sign . . . RHP Greg Norton is projectable at 6-foot-3, 190 pounds. His fastball ranges from 87-92 mph, and he has a hard cut fastball and curve. He also has a surprisingly good feel for pitching for a New England high schooler.

Connecticut, Rhode Island
Cold-weather states like Connecticut and Rhode Island will always have late-blooming prospects, but the two states have more than their share this year. Lefthander Mark Rosen, who has starred with Team USA's youth and junior national teams, was the only known quantity entering the season. A number of small-college and unproven high school pitchers emerged this spring.

1. Charlie Morton, rhp, Joel Barlow HS, Redding, Conn.
2. Mark Rosen, lhp, Salisbury (Conn.) Prep
3. Jonah Bayliss, rhp, Trinity (Conn.) College
4. Russell Savickas, rhp, Johnston (R.I.) HS
5. Doug Johnson, rhp, Bryant (R.I.) College
6. Craig Breslow, lhp, Yale
7. Mike McGrew, lhp, Chariho Regional HS, Wood River Junction, R.I.
8. Jesse Carlson, lhp, Connecticut
9. Max McCarthy, lhp, Yale
10. Matt Lemanczyk, of, Sacred Heart
11. Adam Olerio, rhp, North Kingstown (R.I.) HS
12. Greg Metzger, c, Brown
13. Craig Stinson, c, Bishop Hendricken HS, Cranston, R.I.
14. Steve Bray, rhp, New Haven
15. Shawn McGill, c, South Kingstown HS, Wakefield, R.I.
16. Doug Fink, rhp, Southington (Conn.) HS
17. Kevin MacIlvane, c, East Catholic HS, Winsor, Conn.
18. John Kubatchka, 1b, Eastern Connecticut
19. Patrick Egan, rhp, Rocky Hill (Conn.) HS
20. Steve Malinowski, c, Berlin HS, Kensington, Conn.

Projected First-Round Picks

Projected Second- to Fifth-Round Picks

Charlie Morton, rhp
Morton isn't nearly as developed as Rosen, but his ceiling is considerably higher. The 6-foot-4, 180-pounder has an ideal pitcher's frame with long arms and the chance for above-average stuff. He throws a fastball at 87-90 mph now and may reach 94-95 one day because he has excellent arm speed. He has little feel for his craft right now, but he has command of a go-to breaking ball that should have a late, hard break with more work.

Mark Rosen, lhp
Rosen is what he is, and scouts say he is probably close to his ceiling. He's a bulldog in both appearance and approach and reminds scouts of Yankees reliever Mike Stanton. He's broad in the shoulders and thick in the thighs and won't break down. He should succeed immediately at Miami--or in pro ball--as he throws three pitches for strikes. His fastball is in the 89-91 mph range, and he can reach back for 94 on occasion and maintains his velocity well. He also has a hard slider but has difficulty controlling it. Rosen has demonstrated an ability to win at a high level: He was the championship game MVP two years ago when Team USA's youth squad won the gold medal at the Pan American Youth Championship in Mexico. Signability could be an issue. He could be headed for college if he's not taken in the first two or three rounds.

Jonah Bayliss, rhp
Bayliss will be tiny Trinity College's first draft pick since righthander Jim Thomforde went to the Yankees in the 13th round in 1992. He had a dominant season at the Division III level, striking out 12.5 batters per nine innings while limiting hitters to a .144 average. The 6-foot-2, 215-pound righthander's only plus pitch is a moving, 90-91 mph fastball that he runs up to 93-94 on occasion. He has four other pitches and isn't afraid to use the split-finger, slider, curve or changeup at a key point in a game. He reminds area scouts of former Central Connecticut State and Phillies reliever Ricky Bottalico and may end up as a closer.

Others to Watch
RHP Russell Savickas was on few follow lists at the start of the year but came on hard this spring. At 6-foot-4 and 200 pounds, he has an ideal pitcher's body and his arm is in the same class as Charlie Morton, Connecticut's top pitching prospect. Savickas gets good movement on an 88-92 mph fastball and is considered signable . . . Six-foot-5, 210-pound LHP Mike McGrew also popped up late on the Rhode Island high school scene. He's more of a project than Savickas and some of the other pitching prospects in the area, as his fastball registers just 84-88 mph and his breaking stuff is below-average . . . RHP Adam Olerio falls into the same category as McGrew. All his pitches--notably an 84-87 mph fastball--are below-average now, and his value lies in his upside . . . Size is an issue with 5-foot-11 RHP Doug Johnson, but arm strength is not. His fastball sits in the 89-92 mph range, and he has an 83-86 mph slider--a pitch long on velocity but short on movement. A 45th-round pick of the Indians out of a New Hampshire high school in 1999, Johnson was one of the few draft picks to enroll at a non-Division I school . . . LHPs Craig Breslow and Jesse Carlson are solid if unspectacular college pitchers who have been compared to journeyman big leaguer Rheal Cormier. Breslow doesn't have a plus pitch, which probably will keep him out of the first 10 rounds, though he's a desirable senior sign. He has four pitches that work on a given day, including an 83-87 mph fastball that reaches 91. Carlson has good command of his curve and a fastball that touches 90 . . . Rhode Island has several good catching prospects--a common theme throughout New England this year. Brown C Greg Metzger is the most advanced. His best tool is his arm and his bat is coming on. He hit well with wood last summer and popped 10 home runs this spring . . . Sacred Heart OF Matt Lemanczyk's father Dave pitched in the big leagues from 1973-80. Yet his son's weakest tool may be his arm, which relegates him to left field. He has stolen more than 40 bases each of the last two years, ranking him among the top basestealers in Division I.

Brooklyn's Xaverian High has propped up the talent supply in New York this year and could have four picks in the first 20 rounds.

1. Danny Christensen, lhp, Xaverian HS, Brooklyn
2. Chris Garcia, rhp, Xaverian HS, Brooklyn
3. Bobby Kingsbury, of, Fordham
4. John DeFendis, of, Xaverian HS, Brooklyn
5. Tommy Major, rhp, Briarcliffe JC (Control: Red Sox)
6. Charlie Bilezikjian, of, St. John's
7. Anthony Stutz, rhp, Stony Brook
8. Craig Cooper, of, Chaminade HS, Mineola
9. Billy Fullam, rhp, Briarcliffe JC
10. Chris Barlow, rhp, Le Moyne College
11. Justin Knoff, rhp, Siena College
12. Michael Hernandez, of, Xaverian HS, Brooklyn
13. Andres Perez, ss, Lehman HS
14. Erik Rico, of/lhp, Cornell
15. Mike Gaffney, ss, New York Tech
16. Chuck Bechtel, rhp, Marist College
17. Anthony Bocchino, of, Marist College
18. Tom Merkle, 3b, New York Tech
19. Matt Buckmiller, rhp, Columbia
20. Anthony Varvaro, rhp, Curtis HS, Staten Island

Projected First-Round Picks

Projected Second- to Fifth-Round Picks

Danny Christensen, lhp
Christensen has improved significantly over the last year and ranks as the top prospect in the state. His 6-foot-2, 190-pound body is in much better shape, resulting in a faster arm and a sharper breaking ball. He throws three pitches for strikes, with a fastball at 86-88 mph that touches 90. Christensen, along with teammates Chris Garcia and Michael Hernandez, have committed to Daytona Beach (Fla.) CC, enhancing their signability.

Chris Garcia, rhp
Garcia reminds area scouts of Rutgers righthander Bobby Brownlie when Brownlie was in high school. That says something, because Brownlie emerged as one of the nation's premier prospects. Garcia is only a shade over 6 feet with a fastball that ranges up to 92 mph. He also has a good feel for a breaking ball and good overall upside for his size. Garcia is a gamer. He was knocked unconscious this spring by a catcher's attempted throw-through, and he got right back up and completed the inning. There are predictable mixed opinions among scouts on his value. He could go in the top five rounds, but scouts who place more of a premium on size view him as a draft-and-follow and wouldn't touch him in the first 20 rounds.

Bobby Kingsbury, of
Kingsbury has been compared to big league outfielders Dave Dellucci and Steve Finley in both physical appearance and approach. He has offensive potential, life in his body, solid instincts for center field and plays hard. His best tool is his bat, though not all scouts are sold on his power. He was the Atlantic-10 Conference player of the year this season after hitting .380-12-43 and compiling a .749 slugging percentage. A balanced hitter, he uses the whole field and is tough to fool. Kingsbury, an Ohio high school product, has designs on going as high as the second round, but that may be a stretch unless a scouting director saw him on the right day.

Others to Watch
OFs John DeFendis and Michael Hernandez benefited from the exposure Christensen and Garcia received this spring at Xaverian. Scouts like DeFendis' tools better, while Hernandez swings the better bat and is an easier sign. The wiry DeFendis has committed to Cal State Fullerton, one of that school's rare out-of-state signings. How scouts read his willingness to sign will affect where he's drafted, because they're all over the board on his talent. Supporters compare him to Red Sox outfielder Johnny Damon. DeFendis plays hard, enjoys the game and runs the 60 in 6.6 seconds, though he's slower down the line because of a big swing. He has a raw approach at the plate, making him an anemic hitter at times. He has arm strength but not a pretty action. Hernandez doesn't run as well as DeFendis. His style is similar to his brother Johnny, an outfielder in the Cardinals system and a 15th-round pick in 1998 . . . The best high school player in New York just might be 6-foot-3, 195-pound OF Craig Cooper, who has been deemed unsignable because of a commitment to Notre Dame. Scouts have questions about Cooper's ability to make regular contact. The rest of his tools all rank as average or better . . . SS Andres Perez is so advanced defensively that his glove alone could carry him to the big leagues. He also runs well--6.6 seconds in the 60--but his bat is just average and his power almost non-existent . . . Five-foot-10 OF Charlie Bilezikjian is the same player he was in high school, when he was picked in the 10th round. He spent most of his career in center field at St. John's, but his bat won't play there in pro ball and his speed is a little short. His best tool is an outstanding arm, and he was even tried on the mound this year. He topped out at 90 and showed little feel for pitching. His future is at a position, and it's possible he could move behind the plate or at second base. He's more of a jack-of-all-trades . . . OF Erik Rico (.380-11-42) was the Ivy League player of the year, the first time a Cornell player has won the honor. Rico did more than just perform. He showcased five tools and was clocked in the high 80s when he pitched on occasion. He has power to all fields, runs decently and has a sound right-field arm . . . SS Mike Gaffney should earn a chance because of his superior glove work . . . RHP Chris Barlow, whose father Mike pitched in the big leagues from 1975-81, doesn't throw hard despite being 6-foot-7. He's more of a sidearm/slider pitcher in the fashion of Mariners set-up man Jeff Nelson . . . Six-foot-5, 225-pound RHP Anthony Stutz is a raw power pitcher whose fastball was consistently in the high 80s and low 90s. He showed flashes of an above-average slider . . . RHP Justin Knoff ranks with Barlow and Stutz as middle-of-the-road pitching prospects. The 6-foot-4, 195-pound Knoff has a 90-plus fastball with movement but needs to develop better command of his secondary pitches . . . RHP Chuck Bechtel once projected as the best prospect of all the state's college pitchers, but two surgeries reduced him to just another college arm. At his best, the 6-foot-4, 210-pound righthander dealt at 92-94 mph . . . RHP Tommy Major, who threw three no-hitters this spring, hopes to follow the path of former Briarcliffe JC teammate Eric Thomas. Thomas spurned a 10th-round offer in 2001 to enroll at South Alabama, where he has battled injuries to become a possible first-round pick. Major throws harder and has a better breaking ball than Thomas at the same stage. His fastball topped out at 95 mph on his school's trip to Arizona this spring, prompting Arizona State to offer him a scholarship. Major, a Connecticut native, was drafted by the Red Sox the last two years and remains under their control until May 28 . . . RHP Billy Fullam hasn't gotten as much play as Major, but he's a top prospect as well. He touches the low 90s with a plus slider and projects as a situational reliever.

Pennsylvania qualifies as one of the weaker states in the country this year, even though Villanova righthander Brian Slocum could sneak into the first round. It's an especially down year for the state's high school crop, with the possibility of no one picked in the first 10 rounds. That should change next year, when outfielder Chris Lubanski and infielder Billy Muldowney are projected as high-round picks.

1. Brian Slocum, rhp, Villanova
2. Glenn Woolard, rhp, Kutztown State
3. Brandon Kirsch, rhp, Cedar Crest HS, Lebanon
4. Daniel Cevette, lhp, Elkland HS
5. Brant Colamarino, 1b, Pittsburgh
6. Craig Pearson, lhp, Downingtown HS
7. Jason Mills, rhp/ss, North Penn HS, Lansdale
8. Brian Holliday, lhp, Moon Area HS, Moon Township
9. Julio Acosta, c, DeSales Univ.
10. Michael Gibbs, rhp, Rexborough HS, Philadelphia
11. Jim Popp, rhp, Duquesne
12. Justin Nash, rhp, Penn State
13. P.J. Hiser, rhp, Pittsburgh
14. James Russell, rhp, Villanova
15. Greg Martin, rhp, Mansfield Univ.

Projected First-Round Picks

Brian Slocum, rhp
The 6-foot-2, 200-pound Slocum is the one shining light in Pennsylvania. He hasn't strung together consecutive injury-free seasons but has an outside chance of going in the first round. He has a lot going for him and might have been the best athlete at Villanova this year--in any sport. His arm works well, and he has a chance to have three above-average pitches: a 91-93 mph fastball, a hard slider and a changeup. He knows how to pitch and has excellent makeup, and his time on the shelf has saved wear and tear on his arm. Injuries have been an issue since he missed the 2001 season with a sore shoulder and came home early from the Cape Cod League. No surgery was ever performed. He pitched through biceps tendinitis again this spring and took his regular turn in the Villanova rotation, going 4-2, 3.41 with 65 strikeouts in 69 innings. He has made significant strides, particularly in his development of a breaking pitch, since being taken in the 14th round out of high school.

Projected Second- to Fifth-Round Picks

Glenn Woolard, rhp
The lack of talent in Pennsylvania may push up Woolard higher than he might have gone in a normal year. His stuff and stocky 6-foot-1, 200-pound build suggest a pick around the 10th round, but his performance, delivery and feel for pitching may ease him into the first five. Woolard was one of the best pitchers in NCAA Division II this year, posting 12-2, 2.61 numbers with 127 strikeouts in 90 innings. He succeeded with an 89-92 mph fastball that is reduced to fringe average because it lacks movement. He has solid breaking stuff and may need to simplify his repertoire--he throws as many as six different pitches.

Others to Watch
RHP Brandon Kirsch is the top-ranked high school player in the state but won't be a premium pick. The primary obstacle is a strong commitment to play quarterback at Purdue. He also prefers playing shortstop, though his upside is greater on the mound. He was suspended from his high school team this spring, and an oblique muscle pull in his side further hampered his development. Rest is the remedy for his injury. The 6-foot-3, 195-pound Kirsch has a great pitcher's body and a great arm. He has been clocked up to 93 mph, though he struggles to maintain that velocity. He also has the makings of a decent breaking ball. Unless a team is prepared to buy him out of playing football, he'll be a later pick . . . In Kirsch's absence, LHP Daniel Cevette probably will be Pennsylvania's first high school pick. He has a lean, loose, projectable body with a quick arm and the makings of a solid breaking ball. His fastball is 87-88 mph, up from 83-85 last year, and scouts expect similar improvement down the road. Cevette is committed to George Mason and will command a significant bonus to bypass college . . . LHP Craig Pearson was a high school teammate of righthander Scott Tyler, a second-round pick of the Twins in 2001. The 6-foot-5, 200-pound Pearson had visions of going early as well, but his performance regressed. His fastball rarely topped the mid-80s this spring, so he'll likely end up in school at Florida . . . RHP/SS Jason Mills looked like a solid pick when his fastball touched 93 mph, but he put out a big price tag and injuries compromised his performance. He also showed promise as a position player, where his speed, bat and defense are adequate. His best bet is honoring a commitment to George Mason . . . LHP Brian Holliday was the most talked-about high school player in Pittsburgh this spring. He resembles Tom Glavine in terms of command and actions, but his velocity is only 85-88 mph now and he has indicated a desire to attend school at Kentucky . . . RHP Jim Popp threw 92 mph on scouts day but got hurt, and his velocity settled into the 85-88 range . . . Six-foot-4, 210-pound Julio Acosta has a big league catcher's body, but all his tools are below-average. He'll be picked because of the position he plays . . . 1B Brant Colamarino hit .379-18-53 this spring and led the Big East Conference in homers and slugging percentage (.801). Some scouts said he had the best bat in the conference, but his smallish build will hurt his draft position. He is adequate around the bag and is a below-average runner.

Righthander Bobby Brownlie was everyone's choice prior to the season to be the first college player drafted. That won't happen, as Brownlie did not dominate and raised questions about whether his shoulder is 100 percent healthy. New Jersey's high school ranks offer little to compensate for Brownlie's downturn, and the state's two best prep pitchers entering the season--righthanders Ryan Doherty and Peter Duda--were nothing better than .500.

1. Bobby Brownlie, rhp, Rutgers
2. Scott Hindman, lhp, Princeton
3. Val Majewski, of, Rutgers
4. Jonathan George, rhp, Camden Catholic HS, Pennsauken
5. Isaac Pavlik, lhp, Seton Hall
6. Alex Perez, lhp, Brookdale CC
7. Ryan Doherty, rhp, Toms River East HS
8. Corey Hamman, lhp, Montclair State
9. Brian Ellerson, ss, Montclair State
10. Chris Eickhorst, c, Kean
11. Todd Davison, ss, St. Augustine Prep
12. Tim Sweeney, ss, Rutgers
13. Bryan Graham, of, William Paterson
14. Pat Boran, ss, Princeton
15. Peter Duda, rhp, St. Peter's HS, Bayonne
16. Elvys Quezada, rhp, Seton Hall
17. Jason Bergmann, rhp, Rutgers
18. Jay Law, of, Monmouth
19. Tim Staszewski, of, Rowan College
20. Shawn Parker, lhp, Mercer CC

Projected First-Round Picks

Bobby Brownlie, rhp
Brownlie entered the year with great expectations. He was coming off solid seasons as a freshman (10-1, 2.55) and sophomore (6-3, 2.36), and he dominated last summer with Team USA (7-0, 0.84) as few elite college pitchers had. The 6-foot-1, 195-pound righthander started out throwing his customary 94-97 mph fastball with great command. Then he worked in unusually cold weather in his fourth start of the year and developed biceps tendinitis. His stuff was not vintage Brownlie after that. His velocity slipped to 88-93, his arm was too tender to throw his curveball and he even missed a couple of starts. Scouts were perplexed when he made a late-season start against Notre Dame and didn't strike out anyone in 6 2/3 innings. Concerns about a tender arm became concerns about an injured arm, and it was left for teams at the top of the draft to make a call on Brownlie's status. Throughout the hype and the consternation over his injury, Brownlie handled all the pressure with poise. He continued to pitch effectively, leading the Big East Conference with a 2.58 ERA. Even when not at 100 percent, he got the most out of his ability and his command never wavered. Healthy, he has the ability to anchor a lot of major league pitching staffs, but his injury and agent (Scott Boras) may cause him to slide in the draft.

Projected Second- to Fifth-Round Picks

Scott Hindman, lhp
Hindman pitched sparingly in three years at Princeton--10 innings, to be exact--but is a darkhorse for an early-round pick if a team wants to gamble. The 6-foot-4, 210-pound lefthander was one of the most touted pitchers ever to enroll at an Ivy League school in 1999, but he worked in only three innings as a freshman because of a sore elbow that led to Tommy John surgery in August 2000. He missed the 2001 season and worked his way back this year with an inning here and an inning there. The results weren't pretty--he went 0-1, 15.43 with 11 walks in seven innings--but he struck out eight and allowed just two hits. He showed little command, yet fascinated scouts with a 92-94 mph fastball, hard-biting slider and loose, easy arm action. Unable to see him in games, scouts worked him out on the side and concluded he has one of the best raw arms in the draft. The big question is whether a team will offer enough money to buy him out of the remainder of an Ivy League education.

Val Majewski, of
As Brownlie's teammate, Majewski got attention all spring. He didn't play as well as hoped and struggled early, trying to show scouts his power was legit. It had the opposite effect as his swing deteriorated. He didn't make adjustments well on breaking balls, raising questions about whether he might struggle at the next level. On the season, he hit an ordinary .335-10-47. Majewski did adapt well to right field after playing first base his first two years at Rutgers. His speed, arm and athletic ability all played well there.

Jonathan George, rhp
George's rise to the top high school draft prospect in New Jersey says more about the talent in the state than his ability. He has a live arm with velocity up to 92 mph and a breaking ball that has a chance to be an average pitch. He's not overly athletic, and he may struggle keeping weight off his 6-foot-3, 220-pound frame. George, whose uncle Will is an advance scout for the Rockies, has committed to Nebraska but seems to be leaning toward pro ball.

Others to Watch
RHP Ryan Doherty has generated greater interest with his frame than his pitching. At 7-foot-3 and still growing, Doherty is the tallest pitcher ever. He became more than just a sideshow last fall when his fastball peaked at 91 mph. But his velocity regressed to a more pedestrian 86-88 this spring. He also didn't show improvement with his breaking ball, a difficult pitch for him to grip properly. One scout said it's like a normal person trying to spin a golf ball. Doherty is coordinated for his size and repeats his delivery well, and obviously has a steep downward plane on his pitches. Stamina problems, caused by a heart condition that forced him to give up basketball, often cause his velocity to fall. With so much to overcome, Doherty's best option might be his Notre Dame scholarship . . . RHP Peter Duda ranked with Doherty as the top pitching prospect in the state at the beginning of the season. He fell after tinkering with his mechanics, and his velocity dropped from 92-93 mph to as low as 82 at one point. He'll likely just move on to a college career at Stanford . . . SS Todd Davison is the top high school position player in New Jersey, and odds are he'll end up in college at Delaware. He has no plus tool, but he runs, fields and hits at a satisfactory level . . . LHP Isaac Pavlik is a 5-foot-7 bulldog on the mound with a live arm. He projects as a situational lefty, but is determined to prove to scouts that he warrants a more meaningful role . . . Six-foot-3, 200-pound SS Pat Boran has tools not normally associated with an Ivy Leaguer. He runs the 60 in 6.7 seconds, though he lacks the true actions desired in a shortstop. The only other position a questionable bat might play is center field . . . SS Tim Sweeney has an above-average arm, good range and good hands but committed a lot of errors--especially on throws. He may not have enough offensive potential to slide over to third base. It's the same rap area scouts had on Giants shortstop Rich Aurilia, who has gone on to a successful career after being a 24th-round pick out of St. John's in 1992 . . . LHP Corey Hamman made his mark as a freshman, when he earned tournament MVP honors as Montclair State won the NCAA Division III World Series. His scouting report two years later reads: good pitching savvy, fastball between 85-89 mph with good run, improved breaking ball but still below-average, solid changeup, good bounce-back ability, big heart. Hamman is the top prospect in New Jersey's traditionally strong Division III ranks, and C Chris Eickhorst, SS Brian Ellerson and OF Bryan Graham also should get attention . . . Ellerson has recovered from knee surgery that knocked him out of the 2001 draft. The best athlete ever to play at Montclair State, the 6-foot-2, 200-pound Ellerson runs and throws well, is versatile and has gap power . . . Eickhorst, drafted in the 46th round by the Devil Rays in 2001, is a take-charge defensive catcher who hit a surprising .440 as a senior . . . Graham has solid tools with gap power . . . LHP Alex Perez is the state's top junior college prospect. He has made a lot of progress after he wasn't drafted a year ago, when he lacked command. Scouts don't like his arm action, but he throws hard and has an effective changeup that moves away from righthanded hitters. Teams will need to be mindful of a scholarship to Miami.

Delaware, Maryland, West Virginia, Washington, D.C.
The area has two premium players: shortstop John McCurdy and lefthander Mark Romanczuk. McCurdy has put together one of the best seasons in the country but has been overshadowed in the Atlantic Coast Conference by Clemson shortstop Khalil Greene. Romanczuk has dominated, but a commitment to Stanford clouds his draft status.

1. John McCurdy, ss, Maryland
2. Mark Romanczuk, lhp, St. Marks HS, Newark, Del.
3. John Schneider, c, Delaware
4. Matt Avery, rhp, Landon School, Bethesda, Md.
5. Alfred Profeet, c, Delaware Tech
6. Steve Van Note, of, Delaware
7. Mike Smith, of, West Virginia State College
8. Russell Durfee, rhp/of, Springbrook HS, Silver Spring, Md.
9. Mike O'Connor, lhp, George Washington
10. Brandon Halstead, ss/rhp, Hurricane (W.Va.) HS
11. Reid Gorecki, of, Delaware
12. Isiah Wright, rhp, Dover (Del.) HS
13. Billy Biggs, rhp, West Virginia
14. Matt Swope, of, Maryland
15. Brian Santo, rhp, Mount St. Mary's (Md.) College
16. Scott Martin, 3b, Delaware State
17. Drew Jackson, of, Potomac State (W.Va.) JC
18. Jason Baker, rhp, George Washington
19. Daniel Carte, 3b, Hurricane (W.Va.) HS
20. Jared Boyd, ss, Maryland-Baltimore County

Projected First-Round Picks

Projected Second-Fifth-Round Picks

John McCurdy, ss
McCurdy had a breakout season. He led the ACC with 177 total bases while ranking second in average (.446), home runs (18), RBIs (76), slugging (.831) and several other categories. An above-average runner, he also stole 20 bases. McCurdy has legitimate offensive potential, but his defense is suspect. He has the arm strength to remain on the left side of the infield, though his hands and feet are just OK and he lacks consistency. Those factors will push him off shortstop in pro ball. He's a Jeff Kent type and likely will end up at either second base or third. His bat will play no matter where he's moved. In a draft with premium college hitters in short supply, McCurdy is an intriguing prospect. His stock continues to climb, and at least a couple of teams were considering him in the first round.

Mark Romanczuk, lhp
Romanczuk dominated weak high school competition in Delaware, going 9-0, 0.36 with 134 strikeouts in 59 innings. He had three no-hitters, including a perfect game. His fastball lost a mile or two as the season wore on, after it ranged from 89-92 mph, while his curve and slider were solid-average pitches. He shows an advanced understanding of pitching. He's a smallish pitcher with effort to his delivery, and scouts see limited upside. Talent isn't the big issue, though--signability is. He's an exceptional student with a commitment to Stanford, and it's not clear he'll sign for less than $1.5 million or with someone other than the nearby Orioles or Phillies.

Others to Watch
C John Schneider is one of the best defenders in the college game, with an arm that's second to none. He can shut down a running game and did so this year by throwing out runners at nearly a 60 percent clip. If anything, his throws were more accurate than last year, when he was selected in the 24th round as a draft-eligible sophomore. The issue with Schneider has always been his bat, which also improved this year, as he hit .302-7-51 . . . C Alfred Profeet snuck up on area scouts this spring. Having graduated from a Virginia high school in December, he was a new kid on the block. Scouts that managed to see him saw the potential for above-average skills behind the plate . . . OF Steve Van Note, a Georgia transfer, was also new to the area this year. He may have the best all-around tools in Delaware, but scouts aren't sure whether the 6-foot-3, 210-pound draft-eligible sophomore is ready to come out yet . . . RHP Isiah Wright was academically ineligible this spring and thus ignored by many scouts. He's athletic, has a live arm and was clocked at 92 mph in the fall, and where he's drafted will depend on how he works out for scouts prior to the draft . . . RHP/OF Russell Durfee was Maryland's top high school player entering his senior year, but injuries in the fall and spring and a commitment to Duke mean he'll be picked late, if at all . . . Six-foot-5, 210-pound RHP Matt Avery took Durfee's spot atop the Maryland prep crop. He also is college-oriented (Virginia), but his impressive pitcher's frame and an 88-91 mph fastball caught the attention of more than just area scouts . . . West Virginia offers no premium prospects, though it can take some credit for Ohio State 1B/OF Nick Swisher, a Parkersburg native and potential first-rounder. The best player in the state appears to be OF Dave Smith, who can hit and has decent power . . . RHP Billy Biggs did not sign last year after being drafted in the 36th round. An undersized righthander with an 87-90 mph fastball, he should be a low-round pick again . . . SS/RHP Brandon Halstead was West Virginia's most heavily scouted high school player. A legitimate two-way player for college, his greater long-term appeal is on the mound, where his fastball ranges from 86-90 mph . . . C/OF Drew Jackson was the last player drafted in 2000. He transferred back home after a year at a Florida junior college and has impressed as a lefthanded-hitting outfielder with good speed and athletic ability . . . George Washington should have several players drafted, none higher than senior LHP Mike O'Connor, a closer with good run on an 87-89 mph fastball . . . At 89-92 mph, 5-foot-11 RHP Jason Baker has a better fastball than O'Connor, but his slider was not as effective as it was last summer in the Cape Cod League.

Virginia has never produced the No. 1 overall pick in the draft, but shortstop B.J. Upton is a legitimate candidate this year. He is a five-tool shortstop and will be on the Pirates' short list right to the end. He is symbolic of the quality high school talent produced in the Tidewater region of the state in recent years. Those players are generally well schooled and play with a lot of intensity.

1. B.J. Upton, ss, Greenbrier Christian Academy, Chesapeake
2. Joe Saunders, lhp, Virginia Tech
3. Justin Jones, lhp, Kellam HS, Virginia Beach
4. Dan Meyer, lhp, James Madison
5. Matt Craig, ss, Richmond
6. Jared Doyle, lhp, James Madison
7. Matt Hagen, 3b, Liberty
8. Ryan Williams, rhp, Old Dominion
9. Joey Monahan, ss, Liberty
10. Steve Baker, of, Liberty
11. Michael Campbell, of, Handley HS, Winchester
12. Mike Trussell, rhp, James Madison
13. Danny Lopaze, 1b/rhp, Virginia Commonwealth
14. Jeff Ostrander, lhp/1b, Patrick Henry HS, Montpelier
15. Whitt Farr, rhp, College of William & Mary
16. Vito Chiarravalloti, 1b, Richmond
17. Wayne Renfrow, rhp, Kellam HS, Virginia Beach
18. Keith Butler, of, Liberty
19. Robert Word, 1b, Virginia
20. Jason Godin, rhp, North Stafford HS, Stafford
21. Andrew Wells, lhp, St. Stephens and St. Agnes HS, Alexandria
22. Michael Ballard, lhp, Ocean Lakes HS, Virginia Beach
23. John Leonard, rhp, Kellam HS, Virginia Beach
24. Dan Street, ss/rhp, Virginia
25. John Oehler, c, Old Dominion

Projected First-Round Picks

B.J. Upton, ss
Even if the Pirates don't take him, Upton is the consensus top-ranked player in the draft. He has the complete package. He's athletic, has all the tools and is an exciting player to watch. And he's by far the best player at a premium position. On the standard 20-80 scouting scale, he has a 75-80 arm (he can throw 90 mph across the diamond and 92 off a mound) and 70 speed (he runs the 60 in 6.55 seconds). He has good hands and excellent first-step acceleration, which is evident in both fielding balls and running the bases. His range for a middle infielder is outstanding. The only questions concern his bat. He has a wiry build with a chance for power but needs to get stronger. Scouts compare Upton to a young Derek Jeter, right down to the swagger. Upton is further along in his development than Jeter at a comparable age. He's more physically mature than Jeter, who developed his physique in pro ball, and has better power. Upton is just 17 and will play at that age throughout his first professional season. Scouts are curious how he'll handle the pressure of experiencing failure for the first time, since he's rarely failed at any step of his baseball career.

Joe Saunders, lhp
Saunders has a lower ceiling than most first-rounders, but he's a safe pick and should be one of the first players in the Class of '02 to reach the big leagues. He has such a great feel for pitching that he just toyed with college hitters this year. While his stuff isn't overpowering, he throws a lot of quality strikes. His fastball sits in the 88-91 mph range, touches 92 and even reaches 94 when he needs a little extra. Scouts say he should just let it rip more often and not try to finesse hitters as much. The biggest knock on his fastball is that it's straight as an arrow--a high hits-to-innings ratio is evidence of that. His curve is also just average now but should be above-average in the future. His best pitch is his changeup, which can be unhittable at times. He gets a lot of strikeouts and easy ground balls off it. Saunders is polished in all facets of pitching. He has an easy, effortless delivery, holds runners well, fields his position and has a good pickoff move. Just a thrower when the Phillies picked him out of a northern Virginia high school in the fifth round in 1999, Saunders has matured as a pitcher in three years. The Orioles, with the fourth overall pick, were looking hard at him early in May, but that interest appears to have dissipated. He still shouldn't last beyond the middle of the first round, though.

Projected Second- to Fifth-Round Picks

Justin Jones, lhp
Jones didn't always pitch well for the scouting directors and crosscheckers who flocked to Virginia Beach to see him and Upton this spring. Nonetheless, the 6-foot-4, 170-pound lefthander elevated his stock from last fall and could go as high as the second round. He's all about projection. Once his delivery is cleaned up and he gets stronger, his velocity should jump consistently to 92-94 mph. It now ranges from 86-91. He has the makings of a quality breaking ball but needs to add a changeup. Jones has committed to Tennessee but should sign if he's selected in the first five rounds.

Dan Meyer, lhp
James Madison has two lefthanders who should go in the first five rounds, with the 6-foot-3, 190-pound Meyer pegged to go a round sooner than 6-foot-1, 185-pound Jared Doyle. Meyer is not as refined as Doyle but throws a little harder, up to 93 mph, and is stronger. He has two above-average pitches, his fastball and a split-finger. He has greater upside than Doyle and must smooth out his arm action and refine his changeup.

Matt Craig, ss
A centerpiece of the best season in Richmond baseball history, Craig led the Atlantic-10 Conference in total bases and RBIs, while batting .382. A switch-hitter, he gets the barrel through the zone quickly and projects power from both sides. He may have been his best as a freshman at Richmond, only to lose a year of development in 2001 when a groin problem and broken finger forced him to redshirt. His bat is his best tool and will have to carry him in pro ball. His speed, hands and arm are below-average and will force him to move to third base or possibly the outfield.

Jared Doyle, lhp
Doyle is smaller and more compact than Meyer. Both throw fastballs in the 90-93 mph range and have similar flaws, strengths and styles. Doyle is mechanically cleaner, does it a little easier and also throws three pitches for strikes. That has contributed to a better on-field performance for Doyle, who led the Colonial Athletic Association with 10 wins and a 2.32 ERA. Doyle's twin brother Nathan, a shortstop, has also been a key contributor for the Dukes, ranking among the Colonial leaders in homers. He lacks the speed to move on to the next level at this point.

Others to Watch
Liberty, an also-ran in the Big South Conference, will make a surprisingly strong impact on the draft with four players likely to be mid-round selections. Six-foot-5 3B Matt Hagen always could run (6.75 seconds in the 60), but this season he added the power (15 homers) that scouts wanted to see. He's a solid defender at third but could end up behind the plate in pro ball. He should be the first Flame selected . . . SS Joey Monahan has good bloodlines. His father and grandfather (Boom Boom Geoffrion) both had long NHL careers, and his brother Shane appeared briefly in the big leagues. Joey showed better power (11 homers) and plate discipline this year than in the past, but he's still not the same player who excelled in the Cape Cod League in 2000. His lack of arm strength will probably push him to second base . . . OF Steve Baker was a 15th-round pick out of high school and wasn't even drafted last year. His offensive game never materialized as he took a lot of bad swings and showed little plate discipline. He has been a different player this season and should be a good senior sign . . . OF Keith Butler also had his better moments earlier in his career. He hit a Big South-best .406 as a freshman but hasn't matched that success. He runs the 60 in 6.6 seconds, but none of his other tools plays to pro standards . . . RHP Ryan Williams has one dominant pitch: a lively mid-90s fastball. He lost velocity this season when he was used as a starter. With his limited pitch selection, his future is in the bullpen . . . RHP Mike Trussell was used in a set-up role at James Madison this spring, yet he may be on a faster track to the big leagues than his more celebrated teammates Doyle and Meyer. Trussell, an 18th-round pick in 1998, had Tommy John surgery in April 2001 and has been brought back slowly. The injury forced him to develop a changeup, and only recently was he able to complement his 88-90 mph fastball with an offspeed pitch . . . RHP Whitt Farr didn't make the adjustments needed to elevate his stock. He went 9-4, 2.82, but lived too much off his fastball at the expense of developing the breaking stuff he'll need in pro ball . . . Danny Lopaze and Jose Pabon have been like peas in a pod since they attended a Virginia high school together, were both middle-round draft picks in 1999 and moved on to Virginia Commonwealth together. Both have played all over the field in college and don't have a set position. Lopaze can swing the bat and will probably go out as a catcher, though he's raw behind the plate. Pabon will be used as an outfielder or shortstop, depending on how his bat progresses . . . Power-hitting 1B Vito Chiarravalotti will get a chance to showcase his power in pro ball after leading the Atlantic-10 Conference in home runs, walks and slugging. He swings so hard most of the time that he has trouble adjusting at the plate . . . In addition to Justin Jones, Kellam High has two other pitchers considered good enough to be drafted. RHP Wayne Renfrow has shown an 89-91 mph fastball and 84 mph slider on occasion and could go in the first 10 rounds if he was seen by the right person on the right day. RHP John Leonard hurt the ulnar nerve in his elbow and missed time this spring. He should end up in school at Clemson.

Righthander Joseph Blanton is all that separates this state from the lowest grade. He had an erratic season but should be picked in the first round. There might not be another Kentucky player selected in the first 10 rounds.

1. Joseph Blanton, rhp, Kentucky
2. West Harris, lhp, Lone Oak HS, Paducah
3. Rob Corrado, rhp, Kentucky
4. Heath Castle, lhp, St. Catharine JC (Control: White Sox)
5. Brad Corley, of/rhp, Pleasure Ridge Park HS, Louisville
6. Casey Hamilton, ss, Boyd County HS, Catlettsburg
7. Seth Morris, of, Kentucky
8. Josh Bolen, of, Louisville
9. Adam Haley, ss, Louisville
10. Ryan Bicandoa, rhp, Western Kentucky
11. Marcus Taylor, 2b/of, Henry Clay HS, Lexington
12. Tanner Townsend, 3b, Western Kentucky

Projected First-Round Picks

Joseph Blanton, rhp
Blanton bounced in and out of the first round all spring as his performance went up and down. Considered a marginal first-round pick at the start of the year, his stock surged when he went head-to-head with Ball State's Bryan Bullington in March and outpitched him. He struck out 16 that day with a fastball that touched 95 mph. Blanton wasn't as sharp over his next several starts, appearing to be consumed by all the attention, and interest fell off. Then he pitched well again in a couple of late-season starts and seemed to solidify his position as a late first-rounder. In his final start against Florida, Blanton shut out the hard-hitting Gators for eight innings--then gave up five runs in the ninth and lost. His 5-6, 4.53 record is indicative of his inconsistent effort. Most impressive, he struck out 120 in 91 innings. Big and strong with solid mechanics, Blanton has a good curve and slider in addition to his fastball, which normally is 92-93 mph. When he's at his best, the command on his fastball is precise. His changeup continues to develop.

Projected Second- to Fifth-Round Picks

Others to Watch
Expectations were considerably higher for 6-foot-6, 230-pound Rob Corrado than for Blanton when they enrolled together at Kentucky in 1999. Corrado was a fourth-round draft pick of the Yankees that year, while Blanton was passed over. As Blanton has evolved, Corrado has enjoyed little success. He went 10-10, 6.87 in his first two college seasons and went most of this season before winning his first game. Corrado has no out pitch. He throws hard (91-92 mph), but his fastball lacks life and he has no breaking pitch to give hitters a different look . . . Blanton and Corrado are the only pitchers in Kentucky with above-average velocity. RHP Ryan Bicandoa enjoyed the greatest success (9-2, 2.70 with 130 strikeouts), but he has below-average arm strength. He mixes three pitches well and gets most of his strikeouts with a curveball . . . OF Seth Morris has always had impressive tools. He was drafted in the 14th round out of an Ohio high school and has been slow to develop his baseball skills in three years in college. He was one of the top power hitters in the Southeastern Conference this year but struggled to make contact while his average hovered around .260 . . . Six-foot-2, 225-pound OF Josh Bolen also is a tools player. He shows tremendous raw power at times, but not against quality pitching . . . SS Adam Haley is one of the best defensive shortstops in the country, with an arm second to none. His other tools don't play, and he missed time down the stretch with shin splints . . . On ability, RHP/OF Brad Corley ranks as the top high school player in Kentucky. He's also a good student, and it would take a substantial offer to buy him away from Mississippi State. He has two-way ability, and scouts are more impressed with his 90-92 mph fastball than his opposite-field power . . . LHP West Harris has committed to Kentucky, but scouts have continued to keep close tabs on the crafty lefthander with a 92 mph fastball . . . SS Casey Hamilton is Kentucky's best position prospect. His best tool is his lefthanded bat. He's an average runner despite knee surgery in his recent past . . . LHP Heath Castle was under control to the White Sox, so not a lot of clubs checked out his 90-92 mph fastball.

OHIO ***
Their 2002 performances don't necessarily warrant it, but first baseman/outfielder Nick Swisher and lefthander Chris Leonard may both sneak into the first round. The state might have only one other player get picked in the first 10 rounds.

1. Nick Swisher, 1b/of, Ohio State
2. Chris Leonard, lhp, Miami
3. Jensen Lewis, rhp, Anderson HS, Cincinnati
4. Chris Hamblen, c, Cincinnati
5. Matt Long, rhp, Granville HS
6. Mike Galloway, 1b/3b, Miami
7. Dirk Hayhurst, rhp, Kent State
8. Andy Hawranick, c/of, Lake HS, Uniontown
9. Corey Loomis, 2b, Bowling Green State
10. Doug Carpenter, rhp, Bryan HS
11. B.J. Borsa, rhp, Cincinnati
12. Jimmy Rose, rhp, Oakwood HS, Dayton
13. Justin Geiner, rhp, Whitmer HS, Toledo
14. Pat O'Brien, c, Kent State
15. Mike Arbinger, of, Ohio

Projected First-Round Picks

Projected Second- to Fifth-Round Picks

Nick Swisher, 1b/of
Swisher is the son of Steve Swisher, a 1973 first-round draft pick out of Ohio University and a one-time major league all-star catcher. They could become one of the few father-son combinations to be first-round picks. Nick hasn't shown the power scouts wanted to see this year, hitting just eight home runs, but he was pitched around quite a bit. He has a live, athletic body, strong hands and a fast bat. He has shown his raw power in batting practice from both sides of the plate. Swisher spent most of this season in the outfield to hone his athletic skills, but first base is his natural position. He has J.T. Snow-caliber skills there. Swisher played briefly with Team USA last summer before wrist surgery ended his season.

Chris Leonard, lhp
Leonard looked outstanding in the Cape Cod League last summer, earning pitcher of the year honors with a league-best 0.98 ERA. Leonard may hope scouts remember that performance at draft time more than the way he pitched this spring. Leonard went just 2-4, 4.85 this spring, pitching week after week with a split nail and blister on the index finger of his pitching hand. Swollen almost all the time, it affected the velocity on his fastball and the command of his breaking ball. It only got worse for Leonard, who missed his last start with a sore elbow, and as of May 23 was scheduled to see a specialist to determine in he needed to have Tommy John surgery. Leonard is a crafty lefthander with an outstanding feel for pitching. He's not overpowering. His fastball is 86-88 mph and touches 90, and he lost a couple of ticks off the pitch this spring. His style is similar to Mariners lefthander Jamie Moyer, except he throws harder. He projects as a No. 3 or 4 starter in the big leagues.

Jensen Lewis, rhp
Lewis has one plus pitch, a lively fastball in the 91-93 mph range that he can throw for strikes. He also has a big pitcher's body and sound mechanics. His other pitches are below-average now but have potential. If he can tighten up a big-bending curveball, it has a chance to be a solid-average pitch. The greater uncertainty with Lewis is his commitment to Vanderbilt. He is the school's top recruit, and Vanderbilt twice has swayed first-round picks--Mark Prior in 1998 and Jeremy Sowers in 2001--from signing. He has sent out mixed messages on his signability.

Others to Watch
C Chris Hamblen's time has come. He has been drafted twice before and decided he wasn't ready for pro ball. That no longer is an issue. He has caught and thrown better than ever this year and is over the Tommy John surgery that killed his 2000 season. What he sometimes loses in arm strength he makes up for in accuracy. A switch-hitter, he hit a career-high 15 homers this year . . . 1B/3B Mike Galloway spent his first two years in the Mid-American Conference at Central Michigan before transferring to Miami. Responding to a change of scenery and feasting on familiar pitching, Galloway hit a league-leading .437 with 14 homers and 61 RBIs. He has legitimate power but is below-average defensively at both first and third base. Being from Canada and maybe best suited as a DH, he's a prime target for the Blue Jays . . . 2B Corey Loomis is an offensive middle infielder and hit .405 in the MAC this year. His biggest troubles come on defense, fielding ground balls consistently . . . RHP Dirk Hayhurst has command of four pitches, including an 87-90 mph fastball . . . C Andy Hawranick is an excellent defender with a legitimate 1.8-second home-to-second throwing time. He also has power potential, which should be realized when he fills out his 6-foot-3, 165-pound frame. He has committed to Georgia Tech . . . C Kurt Eichorn is the opposite of Hawranick. He's the best high school hitter in the state, and the rest of his tools are more at an elementary stage. He has committed to Kent State . . . RHP Doug Carpenter is the top pitching prospect in the state, but a commitment to Ohio State may cause him to freefall. His fastball is only 88 mph now, but a quality slider and changeup should enable him to win immediately at the Division I level . . . Six-foot-5, 190-pound RHP Matt Long was a late bloomer. His fastball ranges from 88-91 and is projectable. He has committed to Miami (Ohio) . . . RHP Jimmy Rose is the same kind of pitching prospect as Long. He's also 6-foot-5 with a fastball in the high 80s and better days ahead of him. Rose has committed to Kentucky.

Boasting three potential first-round arms coming into the season, Indiana received a lot of action from scouts. Bryan Bullington surpassed Rutgers righthander Bobby Brownlie as the top college prospect and one of the favorites to go to the Pirates with the first-overall choice. Teammate Luke Hagerty will give Ball State a pair of first-rounders. The high school crop has been disappointing, as Adam Lind could be the only prep player selected in the first five rounds.

1. Bryan Bullington, rhp, Ball State
2. Luke Hagerty, lhp, Ball State
3. Chadd Blasko, rhp, Purdue
4. Kennard Jones, of, Indiana
5. Steve Obenchain, rhp, Evansville
6. Adam Lind, of, Highland HS, Anderson
7. Brian Stavisky, of, Notre Dame
8. Chris Beatty, lhp, Kokomo HS
9. Paul Henry, ss, Ball State
10. Matt Bolander, rhp, Pendleton Heights HS, Anderson
11. Steve Stanley, of, Notre Dame
12. Pat Neshek, rhp, Butler
13. Eric Stults, lhp, Bethel College
14. Greg Wear, rhp, Indiana State
15. Andy Rohleder, of, Evansville
16. Eric Blakely, ss, Indiana
17. Andy Bushey, c, Notre Dame
18. Dan Sattler, rhp, Harrison HS, West Lafayette
19. Ryan Grieves, rhp, Benton Central HS, Otterbein
20. Mitch Stetter, lhp, Indiana State

Projected First-Round Picks

Bryan Bullington, rhp
Bullington has been labeled first-round material since he earned all-conference honors and led the Mid-American Conference in strikeouts as a freshman. His stock went higher this spring when his velocity improved, he changed his arm slot and tightened up his breaking ball. He pitches at 92-94 mph with good life and displays pinpoint control on the black. He can reach back for 95-96 mph heat. After walking just 19 in 108 innings as a sophomore, he registered 126 strikeouts in 94 innings while issuing 17 walks this year. His 2.11 ERA led the MAC, and he had not allowed a home run. Bullington's release point has varied from a low three-quarters to a high three-quarters. After settling with a straight three-quarters slot he developed a nasty, hard slider. He's a polished pitcher with a big league body, leading most scouts to believe he'll move rapidly up the ladder in pro ball.

Luke Hagerty, lhp
Hagerty was nothing more than a projection during his first two years at Ball State. He pitched sparingly and emerged last summer in the Central Illinois Collegiate League. He's added 10 mph to his fastball and 30 pounds to his imposing 6-foot-8, 230-pound frame since he was recruited out of high school. His fastball registered up to 93-94 mph last summer and he has consistently worked in the 88-92 range with good running movement this spring. Because Hagerty threw just 41 innings as a freshman and sophomore, he tired as this season wore on, causing him to get on the side of his breaking ball. When he's on, it's a hard, sharp breaker, but it lost some of its bite down the stretch. Still, there's the projection scouts love--his father is 6-foot-9--and his arm comes with low mileage. Hagerty ranked second to Bullington in ERA in the MAC at 2.27 while striking out 81 in 71 innings.

Projected Second- to Fifth-Round Picks

Chadd Blasko, rhp
Expectations have always been high for the 6-foot-6, 205-pound Blasko. His fastball has been clocked as high as 95 mph, and he regularly pitches at 89-93. Scouts don't believe his arm action allows much room for improvement on his below-average breaking ball, and getting removed from a late start with a stiff arm didn't help this Scott Boras client's stock. He shows a feel for changing speeds and using both sides of the plate. His mechanics have been inconsistent, which some scouts feel will lead him to the bullpen down the road.

Kennard Jones, of
Jones went undrafted out of a Baltimore high school and Wallace State (Ala.) JC, then led the Big 10 in hitting with a .425 average this spring. A wiry athlete, Jones shows good first-step quickness and runs the 60 in 6.45 seconds. At the plate, he stays inside the ball and makes solid contact and good adjustments. He hits the ball to all fields and has a disciplined approach. He has the range to play well above-average defense in center field and an average arm. While he doesn't project to hit for power, he worked hard to develop upper-body strength and has been compared to Kenny Lofton.

Others to Watch
RHP Steve Obenchain is compared to former Evansville righthanders Andy Benes and Preston Larrison for his size and stuff. His fastball ranges between 89-91 mph, and his plus changeup is the key to his success. Obenchain has been used primarily out of the pen this season out of need and because he has a resilient arm, but scouts think he will make it as a starter. He led the Missouri Valley Conference with a 1.50 ERA, 11 saves and 10.13 strikeouts per nine innings . . . OF Adam Lind emerged as the top high school prospect in the state as some of the top prep pitchers entering the season struggled. Lind has the ability to hit for power with wood, and his 4-for-4, two-homer performance with Red Sox scouting director David Chadd on hand had to help his draft stock. While Lind's stroke has drawn comparisons to John Olerud's, scouts say he has more of a strength approach and more length through the zone. He has committed to South Alabama . . . OF Brian Stavisky was projected to go in the top five rounds last year as a draft-eligible sophomore after a standout performance in the Cape Cod League. Signability questions and a lack of consistent power caused him to slide to the Cubs in the 33rd round, and he returned for his junior season. He has good raw power from the left side with outstanding bat speed. He's a polished all-around hitter with a strong frame, but his arm rates as a 20 on the 20-80 scouting scale, even in left field. Stavisky missed significant time this year when he strained a shoulder sliding into third base and was hit in the face by a pitch. It forced him to play with a face guard the rest of the season, though he showed no ill effects as he hit .429 . . . Scouts give 5-foot-7 OF Steve Stanley, who led the Big East Conference with a .459 average and .527 on-base percentage, above-average marks for his instincts (80) and makeup (80). In spite of his limited tools, he is likely to get drafted because he knows how to play the game and is an excellent leadoff hitter. He attacks defenses by bunting and putting the ball in play with a short stroke and creates havoc on the bases . . . Scouts are split on where RHP/SS Paul Henry's future lies. He'll have to move off of shortstop because he has slow feet, but his arm and hands are above-average. He's been in the low 90s off the mound and showed an above-average slider at times. He's max-effort, whether pitching or playing the field. Henry is a contact hitter with fringe-average power potential . . . LHP Chris Beatty will be a tough sign because of his commitment to Arizona State. Scouts see a lot of projection in his skinny frame. He's 84-88 mph with a loose, fast arm, and he's shown the ability to spin the breaking ball and change speeds . . . RHP Matt Bolander works in the upper-80s and touches 90 mph, along with a slurvy breaking ball . . . RHP Pat Neshek has been disappointing this spring despite running his fastball up to 93 mph. He hasn't established a reliable second pitch, and his fastball is straight and hittable from a sidearm delivery. He projects as a reliever . . . LHP Eric Stults came onto the scene as a senior at Bethel, flashing an 86-92 mph fastball, plus change and fringy breaking ball . . . Fifth-year senior RHP Greg Wear brought an 8.90 ERA into this season, and coming off Tommy John surgery in 2000, showed a solid-average fastball between 87-91, touching 93 mph, and an average curveball. He is expected to sign before the draft . . . OF Andy Rohleder's tools are just shy of average but solid across the board. Like Stanley, he plays the game with fire and has outstanding makeup . . . SS Eric Blakely is a good athlete who projects as a utility player down the road. His arm is below-average and he makes up for it with a quick release and good hands and footwork. He runs well and could fill in as a center fielder in a pinch . . . C Andy Bushey moved behind the plate after spending most of his previous three years at third base. He has a good arm and solid catch-and-throw skills.

The state has the top three pitchers in Division I in strikeouts per nine innings--possibly the NCAA's most reliable statistical indicator of future success. The three are Central Michigan's Chad Pleiness (13.9), Oakland's Jared Thomas (13.6) and Michigan's Rich Hill (12.9). No. 4, incidentally, is Ball State righthander Bryan Bullington (12.1), the favorite to go No. 1 overall.

1. Rich Hill, lhp, Michigan
2. Randy Frye, rhp, Lake Orion HS
3. Bob Malek, of, Michigan State
4. Chad Pleiness, rhp, Central Michigan
5. Pat Misch, lhp, Western Michigan
6. Drew Stanton, 3b/rhp, Harrison HS, Farmington Hills
7. Jared Thomas, lhp, Oakland
8. Dan Horvath, rhp, Central Michigan
9. Lance Salsgiver, rhp/ss, Davison HS
10. Aaron Tennyson, lhp, Milan HS
11. Nick Bates, rhp, Michigan State
12. Jared Koutnik, ss, Michigan State
13. Chris Getz, ss, Grosse Point South HS
14. Brock Koman, 3b, Michigan
15. Mike Geddes, rhp/3b, Jenison HS, Hudsonville
16. Chris Way, rhp, Grand Rapids JC
17. Derek Feldkamp, rhp, Blissfield HS, Adrian
18. Ryan Rogowski, of/1b, Catholic Central HS, Livonia
19. Mike Schmidt, 3b, Heritage HS, Saginaw
20. Sean Letsinger, rhp, Glen Oaks JC (CONTROL/Orioles)

Projected First-Round Picks

Projected Second-Fifth-Round Picks

Rich Hill, lhp
Hill was the same hot-and-cold pitcher (3-6, 3.50) this year that he was last year (3-5, 3.84), though his approach, stuff and command were consistently better. His fastball continued to hover in the 88-90 mph range, and he developed a harder curve to go with it. His curveball became his primary strikeout pitch--he fanned 98 in 69 innings, compared with 72 in 61 innings a year ago. He also cut his walks considerably. Hill went in the seventh round a year ago to the Angels as a draft-eligible sophomore and reportedly turned down $200,000. His improvement this season should bump him up into the top two or three rounds.

Randy Frye, rhp
The 6-foot-6, 205-pound Frye became the best high school prospect in Michigan this spring by a considerable margin. His heavy sinking fastball jumped up to 88-91 mph and touched 93. He lowered his arm slot to resemble that of the Tigers' Jeff Weaver, and his ball exploded on hitters. He still needs to develop a better breaking ball and learn some of the finer points of pitching.

Bob Malek, of
Malek has been the toughest out in the state practically since he enrolled at Michigan State. He hit a Big 10 Conference-best .427 in 2001 and followed up by batting .380 this year while tripling his home run output. Malek also runs well and plays solid defense, but his best tool of all may be a powerful right field arm that gunned down runners with regularity this season.

Chad Pleiness, rhp
A starting forward on Central Michigan's basketball team for three years, the 6-foot-6, 235-pound Pleiness had a breakthrough season on the mound. He went 6-3, 2.42--a big improvement on his 2001 performance, when he went 6-4, 6.08 with 56 strikeouts in 52 innings. His strong showing was a continuation of his performance last summer, when he led the Great Lakes League in strikeouts. Pleiness, who was named CMU's athlete of the year, threw his customary 88-92 mph with better command of his three pitches. His curveball was his primary weapon, as he fanned 95 in 63 innings.

Others to Watch
LHP Jared Thomas is among the nation's leading strikeout pitchers, even though he never pitched at the Division I level until this season. A redshirt junior, he sat out last season while transferring from Division II Wayne State, where he pitched two years for Mark Avery. He joined his former coach when Avery got the coaching job at Oakland. The 6-foot-3, 220-pound Thomas works at 88-89 mph and touches 91, but an 80-81 mph curve that resembles a slider is his strikeout pitch . . . LHP Pat Misch's fastball touches 90 mph, but his ability to pitch inside is the key to his success and should hold him in good standing at the next level . . . RHP Brandon Harmsen is the state's most polished junior college product. His fastball ranges from 90-93 mph . . . RHP/3B Drew Stanton has been described as a poor man's Drew Henson--the Michigan phenom who juggled a college football career with a professional baseball career in the Yankees and Reds systems. The 6-foot-5, 225-pound Stanton is one of the nation's premier high school quarterbacks and is committed to Michigan State. He's also an imposing two-way player on the baseball field, but nowhere near as polished as Henson was coming out of a Michigan high school. Stanton has an 88-92 mph fastball and a decent breaking ball but little idea of what to do with them. His skills as a hitter are even less advanced. He has been heavily scouted this spring, though it's unlikely a club will pull the trigger on him in an early round . . . SS Chris Getz is a solid baseball player and the best athlete among the top position players in the state. He's more likely to end up at Wake Forest because his tools are not ready yet for professional baseball . . . RHP/SS Lance Salsgiver is a solid two-way performer. A commitment to Harvard makes him no better than a late draft pick, though . . . LHP Aaron Tennyson was the state's top prospect going into the season, but he didn't pitch well. His velocity slipped into the mid-80s. He has committed to Kentucky.

CANADA *****
Draft history will be made in Canada this year with two 6-foot-5 lefthanders cracking the first round. Adam Loewen and Jeff Francis, both from British Columbia, will shatter the previous records for the earliest Canadians drafted.

1. Adam Loewen, lhp, Fraser Valley Christian HS, Surrey, B.C.
2. Jeff Francis, lhp, British Columbia
3. Chris Robinson, c, Lord Dorchester HS, Dorchester, Ontario
4. Scott Mathieson, rhp, Aldergrove (B.C.) SS
5. Brooks McNiven, rhp, British Columbia
6. Joey Votto, c-3b, Richview Collegiate Institute, Toronto
7. David Davidson, lhp, Denis Morris HS, Thorold, Ontario
8. Chris Emanuele, of, Michael Power/St. Joseph HS, Mississauga, Ontario
9. Rob Bland, rhp, Widdifield SS, North Bay, Ontario
10. Ryan McGovern, lhp, W.J. Mouat HS, Abbotsford, B.C.
11. Shawn Bowman, 3b, Dr. Charles Best HS, Coquitlam, B.C.
12. Mike Radanovic, lhp, L.A. Matheson HS, Surrey, B.C.
13. Chris Toneguzzi, rhp, Markville HS, Thunder Bay, Ontario
14. Adam Pernasilici, of, St. Anne HS, Tecumseh, Ontario
15. Eric Wolfe, 1b, York Mills Collegiate, Willowdale, Ontario

Projected First-Round Picks

Adam Loewen, lhp
Loewen has been known in Canadian scouting circles since 1996, when as a 6-foot-4, 180-pound 12-year-old he led his British Columbia entry to the Canadian Little League championship and a spot in the Little League World Series. The Arizona State signee has become bigger and stronger and now projects to be the highest-drafted Canadian ever. The 6-foot-6, 220-pound lefthander has silky smooth mechanics, a fluid, effortless arm action with good extension and a calm mound presence. His fastball sits between 90-94 mph with late movement, and he complements it with a nasty 76-78 mph, 12-to-6 curveball with command and an average changeup. Loewen is also an accomplished hitter with a sweet lefthanded stroke and power potential. He was used in the outfield and at DH during the 2000 World Junior Championship, and he hit third in the lineup for Canada's junior national team during a spring trip to Florida. Loewen's velocity was down the first time he pitched in Florida, and he touched just 87-90 mph in front of hoard of scouts. He redeemed himself in his next game, averaging 92-93 mph. He threw a no-hitter last summer against the Pirates' Dominican Summer League team while pitching for Team Canada and was almost unhittable throughout the tour. He didn't allow a run and gave up just three hits in 16 innings while striking out 33 batters.

Jeff Francis, lhp
Francis pitches for the University of British Columbia, the only intercollegiate baseball team in Canada. He had his coming out party last year when he spun 12 shutouts: six in NAIA competition and six more as a member of the Anchorage Bucs of the summer Alaska League. He did so well with the Bucs--he was the league's pitcher and player of the year, and top prospect--that the rival Anchorage Glacier Pilots picked him up for the National Baseball Congress World Series, where he earned MVP honors for working 14 scoreless innings. Francis then headed to the Canada Summer Games and teamed up with Loewen to lead Team B.C. to the championship. Francis is a polished lefty with solid stuff and a projectable body. The 6-foot-5, 200-pounder throws from a three-quarters arm slot with a clean, easy stroke and a solid, balanced delivery. He has good command of an 87-93 mph fastball with late movement and an average slurvy breaking pitch. His slider is inconsistent because he tends to drop down a bit on it and push the ball, flattening it out. He projects to go in the middle of the first round after going 7-1, 1.60 with 87 strikeouts in 68 innings this spring.

Projected Second- to Fifth-Round Picks

Others to Watch
C Chris Robinson, who has committed to Illinois, is a favorite among scouts because of his off-the-chart makeup and demeanor on and off the field. He's a baseball rat. He split time between catcher and third this spring with Team Canada's junior squad after earning MVP honors at the Baseball Canada Cup last fall. The 6-foot-1, 185-pound righthanded hitter has average bat speed and not a lot of power, but he hits the ball hard with regularity. Behind the plate, he has a live, athletic body with outstanding quickness, average arm strength, solid receiving skills and the ability to handle a pitching staff well. Both his parents work in the Ontario education system, so school is important and he may be a tough sign . . . RHP Scott Mathieson has gained 6-7 mph on his fastball in the past year. He has an ideal pitcher's build at 6-foot-4 and 195 pounds and a smooth, effortless delivery. Scouts project him to fill out, which should enable him to throw even harder. He generates good movement on his 90-91 mph fastball and has a good feel for his curveball and changeup . . . Chris Emanuele is an athletic outfielder who excelled as a leadoff hitter last summer for Canada's junior national team. He is a 6.6-second runner in the 60 with above-average range and solid arm strength in center field. He has a slow bat, with holes in his swing . . . Six-foot-4, 250-pound RHP Chris Toneguzzi is an interesting specimen with a live arm. He's lost 25 pounds in the last year and can run his fastball into the low 90s but lacks command and control. He's a cousin of St. Louis Blues all-star defenseman Chris Pronger. . . LHP David Davidson has a darting 87-89 mph fastball that he doesn't locate well, but he has good command of an above-average curve with good rotation and bite. He has an effortless arm action. Scouts worry about his poor mound presence and lethargic demeanor . . . RHP Robert Bland is the first Canadian signee for Kentucky. He has excellent command of an 89-92 mph fastball and shows the potential for an above-average breaking ball . . . C/3B Joey Votto is a solid hitter with a quick, smooth lefthanded stroke, plus bat speed, good extension and projectable power. He has a strong body, moves well in the field with fluid actions and shows a good glove and average arm strength . . . LHP Ryan McGovern improved his stock more than anyone when the Canadian junior national team was in Florida in April. The 6-foot-1, 175-pounder has an athletic body, easy arm action and a heavy 90 mph fastball. He has a good changeup but scuffles with his control and may be a tough sign because he has college football options . . . RHP Brooks McNiven has gained extra exposure because he's a teammate of Francis at UBC. At 6-foot-5 and 180 pounds, McNiven is a projectable righthander with a low three-quarters arm action that works well. A 46th-round pick of the Blue Jays in 1999, he has an 88-92 mph fastball with good movement. His secondary pitches need work . . . Eric Wolfe is a line-drive-hitting first baseman who projects to hit with power. He's an average runner who is mobile around the bag with sure hands and a below-average arm . . . LHP Mike Radanovic is yet another lefthander from British Columbia. The 6-foot-2, 175-pound Surrey native throws in the mid- to high 80s with a solid breaking ball and change . . . 3B Shawn Bowman shows good actions at third, has a good arm and swings the bat well . . . OF Adam Pernasilici profiles as a left fielder. He has a below-average arm and is an average runner, but is a strong kid who can really swing the bat . . . LHP Michael McFadden, who signed at Winthrop, projected as one of the top Canadians for this year's draft. But almost a year ago, the 6-foot-5, 200-pound lefthander started to feel pain in his pitching elbow, and he had Tommy John surgery in March.

Josh Boyd wrote the Indiana scouting report, and Michael Levesque wrote the Canada scouting report.

  Copyright 2002 Baseball America. All rights reserved.
This material may not be published, broadcast, rewritten, or redistributed.