Two weeks into the college season, we already have the first major injury that will affect the 2012 draft. Georgia Southern outfielder Victor Roache, a projected first-rounder who led NCAA Division I with 30 homers last spring, injured his wrist diving for a ball on Saturday. In response to a Twitter question from Baseball America’s Conor Glassey, Roache Tweeted that he may miss the rest of the season.
Before he got hurt, Roache had gone 7-for-17 (.412) with two homers. Even if he can’t play again before the draft, he still figures to go in the first round to a team that loves his righthanded power and/or may want to try to save some money on its top pick to spend elsewhere in the draft with the new limitations imposed by the Collective Bargaining Agreement.
- Can you run the complete list of everyone who received votes for the Top 100 Prospects list (and how many, and how high their highest ranking was)?
During our Top 100 chat, I said I would run the also-receiving-votes list if someone would send a reminder to Ask BA. The demand was even stronger than I anticipated, as Rafael was the first of 16 readers (including one from Ecuador) to ask for the list.
The first step in our Top 100 process is for editors to put together personal Top 150 lists, which we then mash together in a spreadsheet and start our discussion from there. Eight editors submitted ballots and 102 players who ultimately didn’t make the Top 100 received votes.
Five prospects who fell short of the Top 100 were named by all eight editors: Marlins righthander Jose Fernandez, Nationals outfielder Brian Goodwin, Padres catcher Austin Hedges, Blue Jays lefthander Justin Nicolino and Rangers righty Neil Ramirez. The highest vote received by any of the players who missed went to Royals righty Kelvin Herrera, who ranked No. 43 on one list.
Here’s the complete list of every player who received at least one Top 150 mention:
|Player, Pos, Team||Top 150s||Peak|
|Jorge Alfaro, c, Rangers||1||131|
|Oswaldo Arcia, of, Twins||3||106|
|Phillippe Aumont, rhp, Phillies||1||148|
|Matt Barnes, rhp, Red Sox||6||99|
|Tim Beckham, ss, Rays||3||100|
|Christian Bethancourt, c, Braves||1||86|
|Dante Bichette Jr., 3b, Yankees||7||81|
|Jesse Biddle, lhp, Phillies||3||82|
|Jackie Bradley, of, Red Sox||2||127|
|Bryce Brentz, of, Red Sox||3||74|
|Parker Bridwell, rhp, Orioles||1||137|
|Cody Buckel, rhp, Rangers||2||126|
|Jose Campos, rhp, Yankees||7||73|
|Matt Carpenter, 3b, Cardinals||1||134|
|Welington Castillo, c, Cubs||2||148|
|Garin Cecchini, 3b, Red Sox||7||89|
|Paul Clemens, rhp, Astros||6||78|
|Alex Colome, rhp, Rays||7||104|
|Christian Colon, ss/2b, Royals||1||126|
|Daniel Corcino, rhp, Reds||6||86|
|C.J. Cron, 1b, Angels||3||120|
|Casey Crosby, lhp, Tigers||1||136|
|Matt Dominguez, 3b, Marlins||2||102|
|Robbie Erlin, lhp, Padres||7||70|
|Jeurys Familia, rhp, Mets||3||96|
|Jose Fernandez, rhp, Marlins||8||87|
|Todd Frazier, 3b/1b/of, Reds||4||122|
|Sean Gilmartin, lhp, Braves||3||104|
|Brian Goodwin, of, Nationals||8||80|
|Garrett Gould, rhp, Dodgers||1||142|
|Grant Green, of/ss, Athletics||7||81|
|Didi Gregorius, ss, Reds||2||129|
|Robbie Grossman, of, Pirates||1||137|
|Austin Hedges, c, Padres||8||85|
|Johnny Hellweg, rhp, Angels||5||96|
|Heath Hembree, rhp, Giants||5||110|
|Liam Hendricks, rhp, Twins||2||116|
|Luis Heredia, rhp, Pirates||7||64|
|Kelvin Herrera, rhp, Royals||6||43|
|Aaron Hicks, of, Twins||5||95|
|David Holmberg, lhp, Diamondbacks||6||92|
|Dillon Howard, rhp, Indians||5||85|
|Drew Hutchison, rhp, Blue Jays||5||84|
|Brandon Jacobs, of, Red Sox||5||97|
|Chad James, lhp, Marlins||1||147|
|Tommy Joseph, c/1b, Giants||6||80|
|John Lamb, lhp, Royals||7||102|
|Ryan Lavarnway, c, Red Sox||5||102|
|Steve Lombardozzi, 2b/ss, Nationals||2||113|
|Lance Lynn, rhp, Cardinals||7||69|
|Mikie Mahtook, of, Rays||3||120|
|Dillon Maples, rhp, Cubs||3||119|
|Francisco Martinez, 3b, Mariners||7||62|
|Deck McGuire, rhp, Blue Jays||5||105|
|Trey McNutt, rhp, Cubs||6||106|
|Alex Meyer, rhp, Nationals||7||77|
|Levi Michael, ss/2b, Twins||3||143|
|Wade Miley, lhp, Diamondbacks||2||112|
|J.R. Murphy, c/3b, Yankees||1||145|
|Justin Nicolino, lhp, Blue Jays||8||83|
|Brandon Nimmo, of, Mets||6||84|
|Derek Norris, c, Athletics||5||101|
|Brett Oberholtzer, lhp, Astros||1||148|
|Chris Owings, ss, Diamondbacks||1||131|
|Marcell Ozuna, of, Marlins||7||81|
|Joe Panik, ss, Giants||4||99|
|Tyler Pastornicky, ss, Braves||6||97|
|Francisco Peguero, Giants||5||117|
|Jonathan Pettibone, rhp, Phillies||1||114|
|A.J. Pollock, of, Diamondbacks||7||86|
|Cesar Puello, of, Mets||1||138|
|Matt Purke, lhp, Nationals||6||91|
|Neil Ramirez, rhp, Rangers||8||60|
|Anthony Ranaudo, rhp, Red Sox||6||57|
|J.T. Realmuto, c, Marlins||2||118|
|Chris Reed, lhp, Dodgers||2||105|
|Enny Romero, lhp, Rays||1||133|
|Austin Romine, c, Yankees||4||104|
|Eddie Rosario, 2b/of, Twins||5||92|
|Joe Ross, rhp, Padres||5||118|
|Chance Ruffin, rhp, Mariners||1||128|
|Edward Salcedo, 3b/ss, Braves||1||113|
|Keyvius Sampson, rhp, Padres||2||134|
|Aaron Sanchez, rhp, Blue Jays||6||87|
|Eduardo Sanchez, rhp, Cardinals||2||125|
|Domingo Santana, of, Astros||5||114|
|Ravel Santana, of, Yankees||3||103|
|Drew Smyly, lhp, Tigers||7||106|
|Sammy Solis, lhp, Nationals||7||88|
|Robert Stephenson, rhp, Reds||4||114|
|Trevor Story, ss, Rockies||2||115|
|Eric Surkamp, lhp, Giants||1||150|
|Noah Syndergaard, rhp, Blue Jays||6||90|
|Tyler Thornburg, rhp, Brewers||6||103|
|Alex Torres, lhp, Rays||5||98|
|Sebastian Valle, c, Phillies||1||91|
|Jonathan Villar, ss, Astros||6||51|
|Keenyn Walker, of, White Sox||1||144|
|Tim Wheeler, of, Rockies||5||93|
|Joe Wieland, rhp, Padres||7||81|
|Asher Wojciechowski, rhp, Blue Jays||1||136|
|Tony Wolters, ss, Indians||1||143|
- Which 2012 Top 100 Prospects have the greatest potential to move up the rankings when the 2013 list comes out?
Chagrin Falls, Ohio
I’ll give you two lists for the price of one. First, the Top 100 Prospects with the potential to shoot up next year’s list the most, and then five guys who missed this Top 100 but could make big moves on our 2013 list:
Javier Baez, ss, Cubs (No. 61): The best pure high school hitter in the 2011 draft has tremendous bat speed and a chance to hit for big average and power. He may not stay at shortstop, but his bat will play anywhere.
Jake Marisnick, of, Blue Jays (No. 67): I like him more than fellow Toronto outfield prospect Anthony Gose, who’s more athletic but not nearly as skilled with the bat. Marisnick is no slouch athletically with four plus tools and solid raw power.
Mason Williams, of, Yankees (No. 85): A rare Yankees farmhand who’s underhyped, Williams hit .349/.395/.468 and ranked as the short-season New York-Penn League’s top prospect in his first full pro season. He can get better, too, as he’s still learning how to use his top-of-the-line speed on the bases.
Zack Cox, 3b, Cardinals (No. 88): He had no trouble hitting his way to Double-A in his first full pro season. If he starts tapping into this power potential—scouts are mixed, but it says here that he could have above-average pop—he may play his way to St. Louis and off of next year’s Top 100.
Jedd Gyorko, 3b, Padres (No. 98): He’s not the prettiest athlete or third baseman, but Gyorko was underrated when he lasted until the second round of the 2010 draft and he’s underrated after winning batting titles in the high Class A California (.365) and Arizona Fall (.437) leagues. He’s quite similar to Cox.
Alex Meyer, rhp, Nationals: With a fastball that touches 100 mph and a wicked slider, Meyer had one of the most electric arms in the 2011 draft. If he continues to progress as he did last spring as a Kentucky junior, he’ll rush through the minors.
Anthony Ranaudo, rhp, Red Sox: Billed as the 2010 draft’s best college pitcher at the start of that year, Ranaudo didn’t dazzle scouts in his 2011 pro debut. Nevertheless, he stayed healthy, showed three solid-to-plus pitches and made adjustments after tiring in July.
Jose Campos, rhp, Yankees: New York made an astute move to get him as part of the Jesus Montero/Michael Pineda trade. Campos can hit 98 mph on the radar gun, flashes three plus pitches and will have a much higher profile once he makes his full-season debut this year.
Austin Hedges, c, Padres: Scouts raved about Hedges’ defense, which earned him a $3 million bonus as a second-round pick last summer. His bat may be better than advertised, too, and he could rank as the game’s best catching prospect by the end of the season.
Eddie Rosario, 2b/of, Twins: Rosario tore up the Rookie-level Appalachian League last summer, sharing the MVP award and leading the circuit in five categories, including homers (21 in 67 games) and slugging (.670). If he can make the transition to second base, which he began in instructional league, that makes his bat all the more valuable.
- I have seen a lot of debate about young third-base prospects Miguel Sano (Twins), Xander Bogaerts (Red Sox) and Cheslor Cuthbert (Royals). Baseball America ranked Sano (No. 18 on the Top 100) considerably higher than Bogaerts (No. 58) and Cuthbert (No. 84). What are the similarities and differences between the three?
Sano ranks ahead of Bogaerts and Cuthbert because of his power, which grades near the top of the 20-80 scouting scale. Sano hit 20 homers and slugged .637 in the Appy League as an 18-year-old last summer, and if it weren’t for Bryce Harper, we’d be talking about Sano as potentially the best power prospect in the minors.
Bogaerts has tantalizing power as well, which he showed off by drilling 16 homers in 72 games as an 18-year-old who reached low Class A ahead of schedule last year. He’s the best athlete of the trio and will continue to play shortstop in 2012, though he’ll probably outgrow the position once he fills out his 6-foot-3 frame. There are no worries about his ability to play at third base, while some scouts have long-term concerns about Sano and Cuthbert at the hot corner.
Cuthbert also impressed as an 18-year-old in low Class A in 2011, batting .267/.345/.397. He ranks behind Sano and Bogaerts because his power and offensive ceiling isn’t in the same class.