Baseball America

AFL Hitters Vs. League Average

As usual, the Arizona Fall League was a hitter’s paradise this year. The league averaged a sweet 6.9 runs per nine innings (per team), resulting in league average slash stats of .293/.365/.473.

The league can make even ordinary hitters look like they belong in the middle of the Gas-House Gorillas’ lineup.

The AFL season is only 38 games long, and as managers shuffle around their lineups to get everyone adequate playing time, most prospects are lucky to get 100 or so plate appearances. That amounts to essentially one month or around 20 percent of the regular minor league season, but with so many scouts and key decision makers in attendance, a player’s AFL showing can sometimes receive a heavier weight in those minds than it might otherwise merit.

But the AFL does give us our first records of 2008 draft picks, like Justin Smoak, using wood bats against professional pitchers, and let’s us see how hitters like Tyler Flowers and Logan Morrison–both of whom spent the entire year at high Class A–fare in a league that has historically played as a Double-A/Triple-A hybrid.

And we do have the means to somewhat neutralize player performance–albeit in a blunt way–to account for the league’s high offensive environment by comparing hitters’ performances to the AFL average. 

Hitters below are sorted by Baseball-Reference.com’s OPS+ formula, without the park adjustment. The formula is: 100* (OBP/LgOBP + SLG/LgSLG – 1), a loose guideline of how a player performed relative to the league average (100). Each player’s listed position is the position at which he played the most games during the AFL season.

As always, an asterisk (*) denotes a lefthanded batter and a pound sign (#) is for a switch hitter. All caveats about analyzing small sample AFL performance records apply.

ARIZONA FALL LEAGUE HITTERS
# PLAYER TM POS G AB H 2B 3B HR BB SO SB CS E AVG OBP SLG OPS OPS+
1 Flowers, Tyler ATL C 20 75 29 4 2 12 10 22 0 0 0 .387 .460 .973 1.433 232
2 Donald, Jason PHI SS 25 91 37 12 2 5 11 25 1 3 3 .407 .476 .747 1.223 188
3 McKenry, Michael COL C 28 84 31 8 0 9 6 22 0 1 1 .369 .430 .786 1.216 184
4 #Young, Eric COL OF 31 100 43 4 1 5 12 14 20 1 4 .430 .504 .640 1.144 173
5 *Baxter, Mike SD OF 22 82 33 8 1 3 14 15 0 0 2 .402 .495 .634 1.129 170
6 Beckham, Gordon CWS 2B 18 66 26 6 1 3 8 14 0 1 4 .394 .468 .652 1.119 166
7 *Hughes, Rhyne TB 1B 27 109 43 12 3 5 7 33 0 0 4 .394 .432 .697 1.129 166
8 Wells, Casper DET OF 23 78 25 6 0 8 6 26 4 4 1 .321 .424 .705 1.129 165
9 *Morrison, Logan FLA 1B 25 99 40 7 2 5 8 14 1 0 1 .404 .444 .667 1.111 163
10 Snyder, Brandon BAL 1B 17 63 22 8 0 4 6 9 0 1 5 .349 .431 .667 1.097 159
11 Mitchell, Russell LAD 3B 6 22 8 1 1 1 4 7 0 0 0 .364 .444 .636 1.081 156
12 Palmisano, Lou MIL C 29 83 32 11 0 4 7 19 0 0 1 .386 .415 .663 1.078 154
13 #Smoak, Justin TEX 1B 29 91 32 7 2 3 18 21 0 0 0 .352 .468 .571 1.040 149
14 #Sutton, Drew HOU OF 30 108 34 9 1 7 24 31 3 2 7 .315 .426 .611 1.038 146
15 *Miranda, Juan NYY 1B 19 73 22 7 2 5 7 23 0 0 0 .301 .378 .658 1.036 143
16 Brewer, Brent MIL 3B 9 30 9 3 0 3 2 9 2 0 0 .300 .344 .700 1.044 142
17 *Young, Matt ATL OF 29 108 40 10 1 3 16 11 6 0 0 .370 .448 .565 1.013 142
18 *Spears, Nate CHC SS 23 83 29 6 2 2 16 19 4 1 3 .349 .461 .542 1.003 141
19 Marson, Lou PHI C 11 34 11 3 3 0 6 8 1 0 0 .324 .425 .588 1.013 141
20 *Davis, Leonard WAS OF 22 80 26 6 2 4 11 16 2 0 2 .325 .415 .600 1.015 141
21 Cain, Lorenzo MIL OF 18 63 21 4 0 5 4 8 4 1 0 .333 .382 .635 1.017 139
22 Tolleson, Steven MIN SS 27 94 36 7 1 2 11 16 7 3 12 .383 .449 .543 .991 138
23 *Cousins, Scott FLA OF 25 101 30 7 4 6 14 28 3 1 2 .297 .385 .624 1.008 137
24 *Rhinehart, Bill WAS 1B 23 92 30 11 1 4 9 17 0 1 0 .326 .392 .598 .990 134
25 Hill, Steven STL C 13 46 14 5 0 3 6 13 0 0 2 .304 .382 .609 .991 133
# PLAYER TM POS G AB H 2B 3B HR BB SO SB CS E AVG OBP SLG OPS OPS+
26 Nelson, Chris COL 2B 29 84 27 3 1 6 11 15 2 2 3 .321 .392 .595 .987 133
27 Pettit, Chris LAA OF 37 145 52 13 1 4 9 28 8 2 2 .359 .417 .545 .962 129
28 *Armstrong, Cole CWS C 24 97 31 5 0 7 11 24 0 0 4 .320 .381 .588 .968 129
29 *Larish, Jeff DET 1B 30 124 41 9 0 6 18 25 0 0 3 .331 .410 .548 .958 128
30 *Wallace, Brett STL 3B 24 94 29 8 0 6 9 27 0 0 2 .309 .381 .585 .966 128
31 Hodges, Wes CLE 3B 25 109 38 8 0 6 3 20 0 0 8 .349 .368 .587 .956 125
32 *Doolittle, Sean OAK OF 32 116 34 7 1 8 15 29 0 1 2 .293 .363 .578 .941 122
33 Hoffmann, Jamie LAD OF 10 35 11 2 2 0 8 9 3 0 1 .314 .432 .486 .918 121
34 Wagner, Mark BOS C 18 59 17 3 0 4 8 9 0 0 0 .288 .373 .542 .916 117
35 Greene, Tyler STL 2B 23 87 25 6 2 3 8 29 1 1 4 .287 .380 .506 .886 111
36 Desmond, Ian WAS SS 28 101 27 6 4 4 17 25 4 0 9 .267 .364 .525 .888 111
37 *Bogusevic, Brian HOU OF 22 74 25 2 2 1 10 16 3 1 0 .338 .414 .459 .873 110
38 Hester, John ARI C 21 44 12 2 0 3 5 14 0 0 1 .273 .353 .523 .876 107
39 #Wieters, Matt BAL C 20 73 22 5 1 1 12 16 1 0 1 .301 .407 .438 .845 104
40 *Martin, Dustin MIN OF 33 118 37 5 1 3 17 37 6 2 1 .314 .397 .449 .846 104
41 Russo, Kevin NYY 3B 30 110 34 8 0 3 9 23 3 3 2 .309 .377 .464 .841 101
42 Johnson, Chris HOU 3B 25 98 29 9 2 2 9 32 3 0 8 .296 .355 .490 .844 101
43 *Borbon, Julio TEX OF 24 87 25 3 3 1 17 20 7 1 1 .287 .404 .425 .829 101
44 *Danks, Jordan CWS OF 18 53 16 3 0 1 10 20 3 0 2 .302 .406 .415 .821 99
45 *Thole, Josh NYM C 19 69 22 1 0 2 10 6 1 0 2 .319 .400 .420 .820 98
46 Patterson, Ryan TOR OF 26 80 24 5 0 3 7 14 0 2 1 .300 .356 .475 .831 98
47 Reimold, Nolan BAL OF 25 92 24 8 0 4 11 20 2 0 0 .261 .352 .478 .831 97
48 Henry, Sean CIN OF 15 49 16 2 0 1 5 7 8 1 1 .327 .389 .429 .817 97
49 Frandsen, Kevin SF SS 32 133 44 7 1 1 7 13 10 3 6 .331 .392 .421 .813 96
50 Blanks, Kyle SD 1B 20 71 18 5 0 1 20 28 1 1 1 .254 .430 .366 .796 95
# PLAYER TM POS G AB H 2B 3B HR BB SO SB CS E AVG OBP SLG OPS OPS+
51 Turner, Justin CIN 2B 23 89 30 7 0 1 4 18 3 1 1 .337 .362 .449 .811 94
52 *Clevenger, Steve CHC C 17 63 19 6 0 0 9 9 0 0 4 .302 .397 .397 .794 93
53 *Ori, Mark HOU 1B 13 51 13 3 2 1 7 17 0 1 0 .255 .345 .451 .796 90
54 *Campbell, Scott TOR 3B 23 50 14 0 1 0 14 15 2 1 7 .280 .446 .320 .766 90
55 *Lambo, Andrew LAD OF 17 67 21 3 1 1 4 13 0 0 0 .313 .356 .433 .789 89
56 *Slayden, Jeremy PHI OF 26 105 30 9 1 3 5 27 1 0 1 .286 .322 .476 .798 89
57 Robinson, Shane STL OF 26 107 30 8 0 2 16 13 8 0 3 .280 .372 .411 .783 89
58 *Head, Stephen CLE OF 10 28 7 1 0 0 10 13 1 0 0 .250 .463 .286 .749 87
59 Valaika, Chris CIN SS 32 119 37 7 1 2 8 26 0 0 4 .311 .346 .437 .783 87
60 Pope, Van ATL 3B 21 74 20 3 0 3 8 15 1 1 2 .270 .349 .432 .782 87
61 Arencibia, J.P. TOR C 27 95 26 8 0 4 5 26 1 0 1 .274 .298 .484 .782 84
62 Donaldson, Josh OAK 1B 29 104 30 3 1 4 5 24 0 0 3 .288 .315 .452 .767 82
63 #Burriss, Emmanuel SF SS 24 85 27 2 0 1 4 11 7 2 10 .318 .370 .376 .746 81
64 *Berry, Quintin PHI OF 22 90 28 4 0 1 6 19 5 4 0 .311 .357 .389 .746 80
65 Barney, Darwin CHC SS 23 86 26 6 0 1 4 8 1 0 5 .302 .337 .407 .744 78
66 McFall, Brian KC OF 17 62 12 3 0 4 8 19 0 0 0 .194 .315 .435 .751 78
67 *Frey, Evan ARI OF 34 125 36 6 3 0 12 22 7 4 2 .288 .350 .384 .734 77
68 Triunfel, Carlos SEA 2B 25 104 31 7 0 1 7 16 1 4 3 .298 .339 .394 .734 76
69 *Mills, Beau CLE 1B 18 67 16 4 0 2 9 22 0 0 3 .239 .338 .388 .726 75
70 *Dickerson, Joe CIN OF 25 104 28 4 2 3 4 15 2 3 1 .269 .300 .433 .733 74
71 Jennings, Desmond TB OF 12 39 9 2 0 1 4 10 3 0 1 .231 .326 .359 .685 65
72 Huffman, Chad SD OF 24 96 20 8 0 3 14 25 0 0 0 .208 .304 .385 .690 65
73 Jackson, Austin NYY OF 28 114 28 6 3 1 7 30 2 0 1 .246 .298 .377 .676 61
74 Trumbo, Mark LAA 1B 35 154 45 7 0 1 5 37 2 0 5 .292 .311 .357 .668 61
75 Romak, Jamie PIT OF 18 66 15 5 0 1 8 18 0 0 1 .227 .316 .348 .664 60
# PLAYER TM POS G AB H 2B 3B HR BB SO SB CS E AVG OBP SLG OPS OPS+
76 Rohlinger, Ryan SF 3B 16 63 15 1 0 2 6 15 1 0 4 .238 .304 .349 .654 57
77 *Rhymes, Will DET 2B 26 108 31 1 0 1 6 13 3 4 2 .287 .322 .324 .646 57
78 Kazmar, Sean SD OF 21 79 20 2 0 0 11 14 1 1 4 .253 .355 .278 .633 56
79 Johnson, Rob SEA C 16 48 11 2 0 2 2 8 1 0 1 .229 .260 .396 .656 55
80 Halman, Greg SEA OF 21 83 18 3 2 3 2 37 5 1 0 .217 .244 .410 .654 54
81 Stubbs, Drew CIN OF 22 85 17 6 1 1 11 29 6 1 0 .200 .306 .329 .636 53
82 *Hall, J.T. TB OF 23 76 18 2 2 0 9 22 0 0 3 .237 .314 .316 .630 53
83 *Cardenas, Adrian OAK 2B 24 67 16 3 0 0 9 17 1 0 8 .239 .329 .284 .613 50
84 *Lerud, Steven PIT C 12 40 10 1 0 0 2 11 1 0 1 .250 .318 .275 .593 45
85 Ford, Darren SF OF 9 21 4 0 0 0 6 10 2 2 0 .190 .379 .190 .570 44
86 Gosewisch, Tuffy PHI C 7 25 7 0 0 0 1 8 0 0 0 .280 .296 .280 .576 40
87 *Reddick, Josh BOS OF 23 95 18 0 2 5 3 36 0 0 2 .189 .210 .389 .599 40
88 Tracy, Chad TEX 1B 15 57 9 3 0 3 3 19 0 0 5 .158 .200 .368 .568 33
89 *Whittleman, John TEX 3B 17 59 8 2 0 2 11 20 0 1 3 .136 .271 .271 .543 32
90 Spring, Matt TB C 18 57 10 1 0 2 6 17 0 0 5 .175 .250 .298 .548 31
91 Rodriguez, Josh CLE 2B 23 77 13 6 0 0 13 26 2 2 5 .169 .286 .247 .532 31
92 Valencia, Danny MIN 3B 31 115 24 7 0 0 7 25 1 1 1 .209 .254 .270 .524 27
93 McConnell, Chris KC 2B 24 79 16 2 2 0 3 22 0 2 5 .203 .241 .278 .519 25
94 May, Lucas LAD C 21 82 15 4 0 1 1 16 4 0 5 .183 .202 .268 .471 12
95 Ryal, Rusty ARI SS 23 72 9 1 2 2 4 23 0 0 2 .125 .167 .278 .444 5
96 *Davis, Blake BAL SS 14 56 9 1 0 0 3 8 1 0 4 .161 .213 .179 .392 -4
97 Duff, Tim LAA C 10 37 4 0 0 0 6 9 1 0 4 .108 .233 .108 .341 -13

  

Minors | #Arizona Fall League

Add a Comment

comments powered by Disqus